• Title/Summary/Keyword: Fuzzy factor

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Intelligent Navigation Safety Information System using Blackboard (블랙보드를 이용한 지능형 항행 안전 정보 시스템)

  • Kim, Do-Yeon;Yi, Mi-Ra
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.307-316
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    • 2011
  • The majority of maritime accidents happened by human factor. For that reason, navigation experts want to an intelligent support system for navigation safety, without officer involvement. The expert system which is one of artificial intelligence skills for navigation support is an important tool that a machine can substitute for an expert through the design of a knowledge base and inference engine using the experience or knowledge of an expert. Further, in the real world, a complex situation requires synthetic estimation with the input of experts in various fields for the correct estimation of the situation, not any one expert. In particular, synthetic estimation is more important for navigation situations than in other cases, because of diverse potential threats. This paper presents the method of knowledge fusion pertaining to navigation safety knowledge from various expert systems, using a blackboard system. Then we will show the validity of the method via a design and implementation of test system effort.

Increasing Profitability of the Halal Cosmetics Industry using Configuration Modelling based on Indonesian and Malaysian Markets

  • Dalir, Sara;Olya, Hossein GT;Al-Ansi, Amr;Rahim, Alina Abdul;Lee, Hee-Yul
    • Journal of Korea Trade
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    • v.24 no.8
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    • pp.81-100
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    • 2020
  • Purpose - Based on complexity theory, this study develops a configurational model to predict the profitability of Halal cosmetics firms in the Indonesian and Malaysian markets. The proposed research model involves two level configurations-industry context and selling strategies-to predict high and low scores of a firm's profitability. The industry context configuration model comprises industry stability, product homogeneity, price sensitivity, and switching cost. Selling strategies include customer-focused, competitor-focused, and margin-focused approaches. Design/methodology - This is the first empirical study that calculates causal models using a combination of industry context and selling strategy factors to predict profitability. Data obtained from the marketing managers of cosmetics firms are used to test the proposed configurational model using fuzzy-set qualitative comparative analysis (fsQCA). It contributes to the current knowledge of business marketing by identifying the factors necessary to achieve profitability using analysis of condition (ANC). Findings - The results revealed that unique and distinct models explain the conditions for high and low profitability in the Indonesian and Malaysian halal cosmetic markets. While customer-focused selling strategy is necessary to attain a higher profit in both the markets, margin-focused selling strategy appears to be an essential factor only in Malaysia. Complexity of the interactions of selling strategies with industry factors and differences between across two study markets confirmed that complexity theory can support the research configurational model. The theoretical and practical implications are also illustrated. Originality/value - Despite the rapid growth of the global halal industry, there is little knowledge about the halal cosmetic market. This study contributes to the current literature of the halal market by performing a set of asymmetric analytical approaches using a complex theoretical model. It also deepens our understating of how the Korean firms can approach the Muslim consumer's needs to generate more beneficial turnover/revenue.

An analysis of the Factors of Moving in and Activation Strategies for Incheon Cold-Chain Cluster using LNG cold energy (LNG 냉열을 활용한 인천항 냉동·냉장 클러스터 입주요인 분석 및 활성화 방안 연구)

  • Ahn, kil-Seob;Oh, Jae-Gyun;Yang, Tae-Hyeon;Yeo, Gi-Tae
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.101-111
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    • 2019
  • The construction of a "cold-chain cluster," which is a complex of cold-storage warehouses is emerging as an issue in the logistics industry. The Incheon Port Authority, in partnership with Korea Gas Corporation, is carrying out a project to build a cold-storage cluster using cold energy generated in the Songdo LNG receiving terminal. This study proposes a method of activating the cold-storage cluster using the CFPR methodology. An analysis of major factors showed that the most important factor was stability and profitability, which scored 0.281. For sub-factors, sustainable trade volume was the highest in importance, followed by rent level, the sustainability of LNG cold energy utilization technology, competition with general cold-storage warehouses, and exclusion of duplicate investments in facilities. For the future study, the evaluation of complex of cold-storage warehouses using major factors drawn out from this study is needed.

World Logistics Evolution & Marketing Strategy for Korea's Enhanced Port Competition (세계물류발전과 한국의 항만경쟁력 강화를 위한 마케팅 전략)

  • Gim, Jin-Goo
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.363-384
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    • 2008
  • This study aims at improving Korea's competitiveness in port logistics through marketing strategy with integrating the conceptual approach into the empirical one and combining both the oldest military treatise and the newest evaluating model in social science that was applied by the HFP(hierarchical fuzzy process) model enhanced by the KJ method. The empirical results of this study show Busan in the middle among subject ports. At present, Korea plays a reciprocal role in the port market in East Asia, but in the medium- and long-term, Korea's ports will vie together with most major ports in the East Asian region. A descriptive investigation shows that Korea's developing tasks in port logistics must be considered in the context of the direction for developing port policies, the necessity of expanding port facilities in the capital region, securing the sufficient traffic volume through the establishment of the hinterland linking system and its positive utilization, and reforming the direction for developing the global logistics through increased port competitiveness. In the short- and medium-term, Korea must use the opportunity factor of 'Growth and open door policy of China' as a geoeconomic advantage and to utilize Korea's ports as a gate to Chinese foreign trade. With the rise of China's economy, China also plays a significant role in both port and airport markets. Hence, the linking system between the two must be established to meet the expanding traffic volume, especially in the capital area. Moreover, it is necessary for Korea to secure port logistics through the establishment of the hinterland linking system and its positive utilization. The great accomplishment of this paper is to present strategies to increase Korea's port competitiveness in the rapidly changing environments of world logistics with the focus on both the oldest military strategic treatise and the newest empirical method in social science. In order to reinforce this study, it needs further compensative research because the evaluation structure could be subdivided with more extensive and precise criteria.

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The Satisfaction Analysis of Suburban Rural Human Settlements in Henan Province, China -Focused on Tai Nan Village - (중국 허난성(河南省) 도시 근교형 농촌 거주환경 만족도 분석 - 태남마을(太南村)을 중심으로 -)

  • Hou, ShuJun;Jung, Teayeol
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Landscape Architecture
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    • v.51 no.1
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    • pp.72-84
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    • 2023
  • The Rural Revitalization Strategy (2018-2022), published by the Chinese State Council in 2018, represents a new period of rural development in China. Suburban areas are more convenient than other rural areas in integrated urban-rural development but are under greater pressure from construction and industrial pollution. As a rural area with a high proportion of rural areas, it would be valuable for Henan province to gain a comprehensive grasp of rural human settlementst while identifying problems and proposing solutions. The purpose of this study is to analyze the satisfaction of the evaluation items based on the usage status and life perception of the residents of Tai Nan village, a suburb-type rural village in Henan province. The study proposes improvement programs based on the evaluation results. As a result of the study, 24 evaluation items were derived and divided into five categories: "Living Service Facilities", "Housing Environment, "Road Environment", "Health & Ecology Environment", and "Social & Cultural Environment". The Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation Method was used to find the overall satisfaction level of the human living environment in Tai Nan village, which was "average", among which "Living Service Facilities" was the most important "Health & Ecology Environment" was the least satisfied. Based on these results, an improvement plan is proposed in three stages. First, the living service will be improved while strengthening the facility management of the hygiene and the ecological environment. Second, reasonable improvement of housing and the road environment will be applied. Third, programs will be introduced to cultivate residents' ability to build their own and improve the social and cultural environment. This study provides basic data for the future improvement of rural settlements in the suburban areas of Henan province and is of great significance in gradually improving the the residents' quality of life.

Computational estimation of the earthquake response for fibre reinforced concrete rectangular columns

  • Liu, Chanjuan;Wu, Xinling;Wakil, Karzan;Jermsittiparsert, Kittisak;Ho, Lanh Si;Alabduljabbar, Hisham;Alaskar, Abdulaziz;Alrshoudi, Fahed;Alyousef, Rayed;Mohamed, Abdeliazim Mustafa
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • v.34 no.5
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    • pp.743-767
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    • 2020
  • Due to the impressive flexural performance, enhanced compressive strength and more constrained crack propagation, Fibre-reinforced concrete (FRC) have been widely employed in the construction application. Majority of experimental studies have focused on the seismic behavior of FRC columns. Based on the valid experimental data obtained from the previous studies, the current study has evaluated the seismic response and compressive strength of FRC rectangular columns while following hybrid metaheuristic techniques. Due to the non-linearity of seismic data, Adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) has been incorporated with metaheuristic algorithms. 317 different datasets from FRC column tests has been applied as one database in order to determine the most influential factor on the ultimate strengths of FRC rectangular columns subjected to the simulated seismic loading. ANFIS has been used with the incorporation of Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) and Genetic algorithm (GA). For the analysis of the attained results, Extreme learning machine (ELM) as an authentic prediction method has been concurrently used. The variable selection procedure is to choose the most dominant parameters affecting the ultimate strengths of FRC rectangular columns subjected to simulated seismic loading. Accordingly, the results have shown that ANFIS-PSO has successfully predicted the seismic lateral load with R2 = 0.857 and 0.902 for the test and train phase, respectively, nominated as the lateral load prediction estimator. On the other hand, in case of compressive strength prediction, ELM is to predict the compressive strength with R2 = 0.657 and 0.862 for test and train phase, respectively. The results have shown that the seismic lateral force trend is more predictable than the compressive strength of FRC rectangular columns, in which the best results belong to the lateral force prediction. Compressive strength prediction has illustrated a significant deviation above 40 Mpa which could be related to the considerable non-linearity and possible empirical shortcomings. Finally, employing ANFIS-GA and ANFIS-PSO techniques to evaluate the seismic response of FRC are a promising reliable approach to be replaced for high cost and time-consuming experimental tests.

A Study on the Development of Dynamic Models under Inter Port Competition (항만의 경쟁상황을 고려한 동적모형 개발에 관한 연구)

  • 여기태;이철영
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Navigation
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.75-84
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    • 1999
  • Although many studies on modelling of port competitive situation have been conducted, both theoretical frame and methodology are still very weak. In this study, therefore, a new algorithm called ESD (Extensional System Dynamics) for the evaluation of port competition was presented, and applied to simulate port systems in northeast asia. The detailed objectives of this paper are to develop Unit fort Model by using SD(System Dynamics) method; to develop Competitive Port Model by ESD method; to perform sensitivity analysis by altering parameters, and to propose port development strategies. For these the algorithm for the evaluation of part's competition was developed in two steps. Firstly, SD method was adopted to develop the Unit Port models, and secondly HFP(Hierarchical Fuzzy Process) method was introduced to expand previous SD method. The proposed models were then developed and applied to the five ports - Pusan, Kobe, Yokohama, Kaoshiung, Keelung - with real data on each ports, and several findings were derived. Firstly, the extraction of factors for Unit Port was accomplished by consultation of experts such as research worker, professor, research fellows related to harbor, and expert group, and finally, five factor groups - location, facility, service, cargo volumes, and port charge - were obtained. Secondly, system's structure consisting of feedback loop was found easily by location of representative and detailed factors on keyword network of STGB map. Using these keyword network, feedback loop was found. Thirdly, for the target year of 2003, the simulation for Pusan port revealed that liner's number would be increased from 829 ships to 1,450 ships and container cargo volumes increased from 4.56 million TEU to 7.74 million TEU. It also revealed that because of increased liners and container cargo volumes, length of berth should be expanded from 2,162m to 4,729m. This berth expansion was resulted in the decrease of congested ship's number from 97 to 11. It was also found that port's charge had a fluctuation. Results of simulation for Kobe, Yokohama, Kaoshiung, Keelung in northeast asia were also acquired. Finally, the inter port competition models developed by ESB method were used to simulate container cargo volumes for Pusan port. The results revealed that under competitive situation container cargo volume was smaller than non-competitive situation, which means Pusan port is lack of competitive power to other ports. Developed models in this study were then applied to estimate change of container cargo volumes in competitive relation by altering several parameters. And, the results were found to be very helpful for port mangers who are in charge of planning of port development.

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A Study on the Evaluation of Container Terminal Logistics Systems in SCM's Perspective (SCM 관점의 컨테이너터미널 물류시스템 평가)

  • Kim, Sungu;Choi, Yongseok;Yeun, Dongha
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.30 no.4
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    • pp.47-67
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    • 2014
  • This study examined elements which could evaluate a container terminal logistics system from the viewpoint of supply chain management. This study derived the elements of a container terminal logistics system such as flexibility, reliability, responsiveness, and information sharing and 16 evaluation sub-items in the aspect of a supply chain. In the result of analysis, the weight between SCM elements of a container terminal logistics system was the highest in reliability(0.282), followed by flexibility(0.273), responsiveness(0.224), and information sharing(0.221). The conversion weight was calculated by combining the weight of elements of a container terminal logistics system and the weight of evaluation sub-items. The highest weight which was considered as the most important factor to evaluate a container terminal logistics system was work planning(berth, yard) of flexibility(0.081), followed by accurate fulfillment of container work schedule(ship, yard) and the optimum distribution and arrangement of equipment(QC, TC, YT)(0.079), stable works without damage of containers and ships(0.071), and preventive maintenance of equipment and operators' skill(0.070).

Weighing the Importance of Mode Choice Factors on Intermodal Transportation Service in Europe (유럽지역 인터모달운송 선택요인의 중요도 측정에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Namyeon;Jeon, Junwoo;Jo, Geonsik;Yeo, Gitae
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.113-133
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    • 2013
  • Since 1995, Korean enterprises have been rapidly expanding their business, especially to Eastern European countries such as Poland, Slovakia, Czech Republic, Hungary and so on. After the establishment of Korea-EU FTA in 2011, close relationship between the two through economic cooperation has been maintained. To efficiently connect the seaport regions to inland factories located in Eastern European countries, researches on mode choice in the intermodal sector are needed to perform. However, there is a scant of research for mode choice factors on intermodal transportation service in Europe. Therefore, the aim of this research is to understand the current situation of intermodal transportation sector in Europe, identify key factors of mode choice, and weigh the importance among factors influencing intermodal selection in the perspective of Korean exporters or forwarders with overseas cargo to Europe. A survey and in-depth interviews to CEOs and executives who have more than 20 to 30 years of career in logistics sector were carried out from April 01 to May 01, 2013. Using the fuzzy theory as the methodology, 'Reliability of arrival time', 'Transit time', and 'Freight Rate' are equally ranked as the most important factor in the selection of intermodal transportation.

Study on Water Stage Prediction Using Hybrid Model of Artificial Neural Network and Genetic Algorithm (인공신경망과 유전자알고리즘의 결합모형을 이용한 수위예측에 관한 연구)

  • Yeo, Woon-Ki;Seo, Young-Min;Lee, Seung-Yoon;Jee, Hong-Kee
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.43 no.8
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    • pp.721-731
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    • 2010
  • The rainfall-runoff relationship is very difficult to predict because it is complicate factor affected by many temporal and spatial parameters of the basin. In recent, models which is based on artificial intelligent such as neural network, genetic algorithm fuzzy etc., are frequently used to predict discharge while stochastic or deterministic or empirical models are used in the past. However, the discharge data which are generally used for prediction as training and validation set are often estimated from rating curve which has potential error in its estimation that makes a problem in reliability. Therefore, in this study, water stage is predicted from antecedent rainfall and water stage data for short term using three models of neural network which trained by error back propagation algorithm and optimized by genetic algorithm and training error back propagation after it is optimized by genetic algorithm respectively. As the result, the model optimized by Genetic Algorithm gives the best forecasting ability which is not much decreased as the forecasting time increase. Moreover, the models using stage data only as the input data give better results than the models using precipitation data with stage data.