• 제목/요약/키워드: Fuzzy assessment

검색결과 257건 처리시간 0.025초

항행 선박 주변 환경의 위험도 평가를 위한 퍼지 전문가 시스템 (FuzzyES for Environmental Risk Assessment of Ship Navigation)

  • 김도연;이미라;박계각
    • 한국지능시스템학회논문지
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    • 제20권4호
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    • pp.541-547
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    • 2010
  • 일반적인 사고와는 달리 해양사고는 인명피해와 함께 심각한 자본의 손실을 초래한다. 이러한 해양 사고가 발생하는 원인을 살펴보면 대부분 항해사의 부주의나 잘못된 판단에 의한 것으로 추정되고 있기 때문에, 항해사의 의사결정을 보조하거나 대체할 수 있는 기술에 대한 요구가 있다. 이와 관련한 기술들을 소개하는 많은 연구들이 진행되어 오고 있지만, 항행중인 선박의 주변 환경(수심, 항로 폭, 어로구역, 조류, 해양사고 발생 건수, 해상 장애물 등)에 대한 고려는 거의 되어있지 않다. 그러나, 실제 항행 상황에서 선박 인근 환경 정보에 대한 고려는 중요한 요소이다. 이전 연구에서 우리는 항행 선박의 다양한 주변 환경 요소가 고려된 환경 위험도 평가에 관한 개념 모델을 소개하였다. 이 연구에서는 항행 전문가의 의견을 수렴하여 각 주변 환경 요소별 상세 설계 내용을 소개하고, 검증용 구현 결과의 분석을 통해 기존 개념 모델에 대한 타당성을 보인다.

Using Bayesian network and Intuitionistic fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process to assess the risk of water inrush from fault in subsea tunnel

  • Song, Qian;Xue, Yiguo;Li, Guangkun;Su, Maoxin;Qiu, Daohong;Kong, Fanmeng;Zhou, Binghua
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • 제27권6호
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    • pp.605-614
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    • 2021
  • Water inrush from fault is one of the most severe hazards during tunnel excavation. However, the traditional evaluation methods are deficient in both quantitative evaluation and uncertainty handling. In this paper, a comprehensive methodology method combined intuitionistic fuzzy AHP with a Bayesian network for the risk assessment of water inrush from fault in the subsea tunnel was proposed. Through the intuitionistic fuzzy analytic hierarchy process to replace the traditional expert scoring method to determine the prior probability of the node in the Bayesian network. After the field data is normalized, it is classified according to the data range. Then, using obtained results into the Bayesian network, conduct a risk assessment with field data which have processed of water inrush disaster on the tunnel. Simultaneously, a sensitivity analysis technique was utilized to investigate each factor's contribution rate to determine the most critical factor affecting tunnel water inrush risk. Taking Qingdao Kiaochow Bay Tunnel as an example, by predictive analysis of fifteen fault zones, thirteen of them are consistent with the actual situation which shows that the IFAHP-Bayesian Network method is feasible and applicable. Through sensitivity analysis, it is shown that the Fissure development and Apparent resistivity are more critical comparing than other factor especially the Permeability coefficient and Fault dip. The method can provide planners and engineers with adequate decision-making support, which is vital to prevent and control tunnel water inrush.

The Application of Fuzzy Logic to Assess the Performance of Participants and Components of Building Information Modeling

  • Wang, Bohan;Yang, Jin;Tan, Adrian;Tan, Fabian Hadipriono;Parke, Michael
    • Journal of Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • 제8권4호
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    • pp.1-24
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    • 2018
  • In the last decade, the use of Building Information Modeling (BIM) as a new technology has been applied with traditional Computer-aided design implementations in an increasing number of architecture, engineering, and construction projects and applications. Its employment alongside construction management, can be a valuable tool in helping move these activities and projects forward in a more efficient and time-effective manner. The traditional stakeholders, i.e., Owner, A/E and the Contractor are involved in this BIM system that is used in almost every activity of construction projects, such as design, cost estimate and scheduling. This article extracts major features of the application of BIM from perspective of participating BIM components, along with the different phrases, and applies to them a logistic analysis using a fuzzy performance tree, quantifying these phrases to judge the effectiveness of the BIM techniques employed. That is to say, these fuzzy performance trees with fuzzy logic concepts can properly translate the linguistic rating into numeric expressions, and are thus employed in evaluating the influence of BIM applications as a mathematical process. The rotational fuzzy models are used to represent the membership functions of the performance values and their corresponding weights. Illustrations of the use of this fuzzy BIM performance tree are presented in the study for the uninitiated users. The results of these processes are an evaluation of BIM project performance as highly positive. The quantification of the performance ratings for the individual factors is a significant contributor to this assessment, capable of parsing vernacular language into numerical data for a more accurate and precise use in performance analysis. It is hoped that fuzzy performance trees and fuzzy set analysis can be used as a tool for the quality and risk analysis for other construction techniques in the future. Baldwin's rotational models are used to represent the membership functions of the fuzzy sets. Three scenarios are presented using fuzzy MEAN, AND and OR gates from the lowest to intermediate levels of the tree, and fuzzy SUM gate to relate the intermediate level to the top component of the tree, i.e., BIM application final performance. The use of fuzzy MEAN for lower levels and fuzzy SUM gates to reach the top level suggests the most realistic and accurate results. The methodology (fuzzy performance tree) described in this paper is appropriate to implement in today's construction industry when limited objective data is presented and it is heavily relied on experts' subjective judgment.

FAHP 기법에 의한 농업용저수지의 추가저수량 확보사업 우선순위 결정 (Prioritization for Water Storage Increase of Agricultural Reservoir using FAHP Method)

  • 최은혁;배상수;지홍기
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제46권2호
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    • pp.171-182
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    • 2013
  • 본 논문은 퍼지집합이론을 이용한 다기준 의사결정(MCDM) 과정에 관한 연구이며, 농업용 저수지의 수자원계획 평가에 관한 가장 합리적이고 효율적인 방법을 찾기 위해 FAHP를 이용하여 각각의 대안들에 대한 우선순위를 정하였다. 농업용 저수지의 추가저수량 확보를 위해 의사결정자 및 수혜자가 동시에 만족하는 조건을 조사하여 6개의 주 기준을 설정하고 이에 따른 10개의 대안을 설정하여 우선순위를 결정하고자 하였으며, 우선순위를 결정에서의 불확실성과 모호성을 규명하기 위해 퍼지수와 언어변수를 정의하였다. 또한 적절한 의사결정모형의 제시를 위해 의사결정 방법에 따른 분석결과를 비교 검토하였으며 FAHP 기법 적용의 타당성을 논의하였다.

퍼지 신뢰성 이론에 의한 방파제의 VE/LCC 분석모델 (VE/LCC Analysis Models of Breakwaters by Fuzzy Reliability Approach)

  • 안종필;박주원;유덕찬
    • 한국건설관리학회논문집
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    • 제8권3호
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    • pp.159-167
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    • 2007
  • 항만구조물의 계획 및 설계과정에서 VE/LCC분석을 통한 최적의 경제적인 의사결정이 더욱더 요구되고 있는 추세이나, 최근의 VE/LCC 설계자료를 분석해 보면 항만구조물의 열화성능에 대한 확률적 불확실성을 고려한 포괄적인 분석은 충분히 이루어지지 않은 실정이다. 본 연구에서는 퍼지 신뢰성 이론을 도입하여 항만구조물 중 방파제의 열화성능을 평가한 후 퍼지 신뢰성 해석에 따른 생애주기 비용으로 가치를 분석할 수 있는 VE/LCC 분석 모델을 개발하였고, 분석모델의 신뢰성과 활용성을 향상시키기 위한 측면에서 실제 대상 구조물에 적용한 결과, 기존의 확정론적 방법에서 고려되지 않는 데이터의 불확실량과 주관적 가치분석을 본 연구의 퍼지론적 방법에서 보다 합리적으로 반영할 수 있었고, 가치지향적 설계대안의 선정과 생애주기비용의 평가 및 유지관리조치를 위한 예산의 분배 등에 유리한 방법으로 평가되었다.

Assessment of surface ship environment adaptability in seaways: A fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method

  • Jiao, Jialong;Ren, Huilong;Sun, Shuzheng
    • International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering
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    • 제8권4호
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    • pp.344-359
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    • 2016
  • Due to the increasing occurrence of maritime accidents and high-level requirements and modernization of naval wars, the concept of ship environment adaptability becomes more and more important. Therefore, it is of great importance to carry out an evaluation system for ship environment adaptability, which contributes to both ship design and classification. This paper develops a comprehensive evaluation system for ship environment adaptability based on fuzzy mathematics theory. An evaluation index system for ship environment adaptability is elaborately summarized first. Then the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and entropy weighting methods are applied to aggregate the evaluations of criteria weights for each criterion and the corresponding subcriteria. Next, the multilevel fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method is applied to assess the ship integrative environment adaptability. Finally, in order to verify the proposed approach, an illustrative example for optimization and evaluation of five ship alternatives is adopted. Moreover, the influence of criteria weights, membership functions and fuzzy operators on the results is also analyzed.

퍼지 클러스터링을 이용한 심전도 신호의 라벨링에 관한 연구 (A Study on Labeling of ECG Signal using Fuzzy Clustering)

  • 공인욱;이정환;이상학;최석준;이명호
    • 대한의용생체공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한의용생체공학회 1996년도 추계학술대회
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    • pp.118-121
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    • 1996
  • This paper describes ECG signal labeling based on Fuzzy clustering, which is necessary at automated ECG diagnosis. The NPPA(Non parametric partitioning algorithm) compares the correlations of wave forms, which tends to recognize the same wave forms as different when the wave forms have a little morphological variation. We propose to apply Fuzzy clustering to ECG QRS Complex labeling, which prevents the errors to mistake by using If-then comparision. The process is divided into two parts. The first part is a parameters extraction process from ECG signal, which is composed of filtering, QRS detection by mapping to a phase space by time delay coordinates and generation of characteristic vectors. The second is fuzzy clustering by FCM(Fuzzy c-means), which is composed of a clustering, an assessment of cluster validity and labeling.

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Application of Total Quality Management in Developing Quality Assessment Model: The Case of Vietnamese Higher Education

  • NGUYEN, Quyen Le Hoang Thuy To;NGUYEN, Du Van;CHU, Ngoc Nguyen Mong;TRAN, Van Hong
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제7권11호
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    • pp.1049-1057
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    • 2020
  • The shift from elite education to mass education in Vietnam has met the demand for education for everybody as well as for quality human resource talent for an emerging nation. Under the resource constraint, understanding the quality dimensions of education and its priority level is important for effective and efficient policies. This study was carried out using both qualitative and quantitative methodologies to develop quality criteria and a ranking model. Two rounds of in-depth interviews were conducted with fifteen experts in the field, who were rectors, employers, and recruitment specialists to develop the quality framework applied in Vietnamese universities under total quality management (TQM), starting from the input of the senior secondary school leavers, through a teaching process to the output. The first round of interviews were unstructured questionnaires designed to explore the main factors in quality assessment model. The second round affirmed the experts' agreement on the assessment model. Then, fuzzy logic was applied to rank eight criteria in the quality assessment model into priority order: cost, teaching and administrative staff, leadership, curriculum, student-related factors, internationalization, admissions, and campus. The results are critical for identifying the necessary actions to enhance the education quality and to further research on the optimal quality model.

서비스 수준 측정 및 교체점 평가에 의한 소프트웨어 교체시기 예측 기법 (Software Replacement Time Prediction Technique Using the Service Level Measurement and Replacement Point Assessment)

  • 문영준;류성열
    • 정보처리학회논문지:소프트웨어 및 데이터공학
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    • 제2권8호
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    • pp.527-534
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    • 2013
  • 소프트웨어는 업무의 변화 및 사용자의 요구사항에 따라서 변경이 수반되므로, 내부 복잡도가 증가하고 비용이 발생한다. 이러한 과정이 반복되면 어느 시점에서는 유지보다는 교체가 더욱 효율적이다. 본 연구에서는 업무단위의 소프트웨어 그룹별로 사용자에게 제공하는 서비스 불만 지수와 교체점 평가 지수에 따라 교체시기를 예측하였다. 첫째, 퍼지추론을 이용하여 서비스 수준의 사용자 불만족도를 평가하기 위한 방법과 지표를 개발하였고 둘째, 소프트웨어의 품질, 비용, 신기술을 반영한 교체점 평가 방법을 수립하였으며 셋째, 사용자 서비스 측정값과 교체점 평가 값과의 간격에 따라 교체시기를 예측하는 기법을 제시하였다. 본 연구에서 제시하는 예측기법의 타당성을 검증하기 위하여 3개 조직의 업무솔루션을 대상으로 실험한 결과, 서비스 불만 지수는 약 16% 하락하였으며 교체점 평가 지수는 약 9% 상승하였다.

퍼지 기반 다양한 모델을 이용한 회전익 항공기 착륙장치의 위험 우선순위 평가 (Risk Analysis for the Rotorcraft Landing System Using Comparative Models Based on Fuzzy)

  • 나성현;이광은;구정모
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제36권2호
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    • pp.49-57
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    • 2021
  • In the case of military supplies, any potential failure and causes of failures must be considered. This study is aimed at examining the failure modes of a rotorcraft landing system to identify the priority items. Failure mode and effects analysis (FMEA) is applied to the rotorcraft landing system. In general, the FMEA is used to evaluate the reliability in engineering fields. Three elements, specifically, the severity, occurrence, and detectability are used to evaluate the failure modes. The risk priority number (RPN) can be obtained by multiplying the scores or the risk levels pertaining to severity, occurrence, and detectability. In this study, different weights of the three elements are considered for the RPN assessment to implement the FMEA. Furthermore, the FMEA is implemented using a fuzzy rule base, similarity aggregation model (SAM), and grey theory model (GTM) to perform a comparative analysis. The same input data are used for all models to enable a fair comparison. The FMEA is applied to military supplies by considering methodological issues. In general, the fuzzy theory is based on a hypothesis regarding the likelihood of the conversion of the crisp value to the fuzzy input. Fuzzy FMEA is the basic method to obtain the fuzzy RPN. The three elements of the FMEA are used as five linguistic terms. The membership functions as triangular fuzzy sets are the simplest models defined by the three elements. In addition, a fuzzy set is described using a membership function mapping the elements to the intervals 0 and 1. The fuzzy rule base is designed to identify the failure modes according to the expert knowledge. The IF-THEN criterion of the fuzzy rule base is formulated to convert a fuzzy input into a fuzzy output. The total number of rules is 125 in the fuzzy rule base. The SAM expresses the judgment corresponding to the individual experiences of the experts performing FMEA as weights. Implementing the SAM is of significance when operating fuzzy sets regarding the expert opinion and can confirm the concurrence of expert opinion. The GTM can perform defuzzification to obtain a crisp value from a fuzzy membership function and determine the priorities by considering the degree of relation and the form of a matrix and weights for the severity, occurrence, and detectability. The proposed models prioritize the failure modes of the rotorcraft landing system. The conventional FMEA and fuzzy rule base can set the same priorities. SAM and GTM can set different priorities with objectivity through weight setting.