• Title/Summary/Keyword: Fuzzy assessment

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An Assessment Method for Voltage Sag in Power Distribution System using a Fuzzy Model (퍼지 모델을 이용한 배전 계통에서의 순간전압강하 평가 방식)

  • Yun, Sang-Yun;O, Jeong-Hwan;Kim, Eon-Seok;Kim, Nak-Gyeong;Kim, Jae-Cheol
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A
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    • v.49 no.4
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    • pp.177-184
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    • 2000
  • In this paper, we proposes a method for assessing the effect of voltage sag in power distribution systems using fuzzy model. The proposed method is based on the reliability data of distribution system and specified computer business equipment manufacturer association(SCBEMA) curve that express the representative power acceptability curve by voltage sag for each customer type. The SCBEMA curves are made by using the CBEMA curves obtained from the experiment for the customers sensitive equipment. In order to transform SCBEMA curves to the differential damage by voltage sag, a fuzzy model is used. The proposed fuzzy model is composed to reflect two parameters of customers damage by voltage sag. One is the duration and magnitude of voltage sag and the other is the different risk due to the customer types. The Monte Carlo simulation method and the historical reliability data in KEPCO ae used for case studies.

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Mullti-factor fusion Process for Pedestrian Risk Assesment (보행자의 위험도 산출을 위한 다중요인 융합 처리)

  • Ryu, Chang-Keun
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.11 no.8
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    • pp.817-826
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    • 2016
  • The importance of common life safety is getting growth with modern society progress. This paper shows the extended way of assessment of danger that outcomes better result than the previous assessment based on crime frequency assessment. The assessment of this paper involves time, illusion degree, floating population and the personal condition. The evidence theory is not beneficial when the number of component increases, the assessment is more complex than before. This research solves the problem through the fuzzy theory adoption. This paper shows more advanced result that can express better danger awareness and get the adjective expression.

Small Business Research and Development Assessment System based on Fuzzy-AHP (Fuzzy-AHP 기반 중소기업 R&D 평가 시스템)

  • Park, Seong-Ho;Oh, Jae-Taek;Lee, Sang-Yong
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.18 no.9
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    • pp.323-329
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    • 2020
  • There is a system of mandating the allocation of support to small business in certain percentage or more to facilitate technological innovation at small business. Trying to assess small business R&D projects, which receive a budget of three trillion won or more from the government every year, for their possibilities of success, a group of experts perform a technological evaluation with their technologies and their difficulty levels and review closely the possibilities of their commercialization and success. Used in such a review, the Analytic Hierarchy Process technique cannot make an objective judgment of evaluation criteria for evaluation items and guarantee the professionalism and fairness of small business R&D projects due to the inherent ambiguity and uncertainty of the evaluation criteria. This study proposed an R&D evaluation system based on Fuzzy-AHP for small business to provide objective weight for the evaluation items and assess the possibilities of such projects' success. The evaluation criteria were make objective as they were applied as section values based on triangular fuzzy numbers. Weight was assigned and applied according to the management guidelines of supportive projects for small business' technological development so that it could be reflected on actual assessment. The findings of the study will be helpful for reflecting the scoring weight of these evaluation items again when an expert is appointed for a new project and guaranteeing the professionalism and fairness of small business R&D project based on them.

Risk Assessment of Marine LPG Engine Using Fuzzy Multicriteria HAZOP Technique (퍼지 다기준 HAZOP 기법을 이용한 해상용 LPG 엔진의 위험성 평가)

  • Siljung Yeo
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.238-247
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    • 2023
  • Liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) is an attractive fuel for ships considering its current technology and economic viability. However, safety guidelines for LPG-fueled ships are still under development, and there have been no cases of applying LPG propulsion systems to small and medium-sized ships in Korea. The purpose of this study was to perform an objective risk assessment for the first marine LPG engine system and propose safe operational standards. First, hazard and operability (HAZOP) analysis was used to divide the engine system into five nodes, and 58 hazards were identified. To compensate for the subjectivity of qualitative evaluation using HAZOP analysis, fuzzy set theory was used, and additional risk factors, such as detectability and sensitivity, were included to compare the relative weights of the risk factors using a fuzzy analytical hierarchy process. As a result, among the five risk factors, those with a major impact on risk were determined to be the frequency and severity. Finally, the fuzzy technique for order of preference by similarity to ideal solution (TOPSIS) was applied to select the risk rank more precisely by considering the weights of the risk factors. The risk level was divided into 47 groups, and the major hazard during the operation of the engine system was found through the analysis to be gas leakage during maintenance of the LPG supply line. The technique proposed can be applied to various facilities, such as LPG supply systems, and can be utilized as a standard procedure for risk assessment in developing safety standards for LPG-powered ships.

Fuzzy-technique-based expert elicitation on the occurrence probability of severe accident phenomena in nuclear power plants

  • Suh, Young A;Song, Kiwon;Cho, Jaehyun
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.53 no.10
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    • pp.3298-3313
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    • 2021
  • The objective of this study is to estimate the occurrence probabilities of severe accident phenomena based on a fuzzy elicitation technique. Normally, it is difficult to determine these probabilities due to the lack of information on severe accident progression and the highly uncertain values currently in use. In this case, fuzzy set theory (FST) can be best exploited. First, questions were devised for expert elicitation on technical issues of severe accident phenomena. To deal with ambiguities and the imprecision of previously developed (reference) probabilities, fuzzy aggregation methods based on FST were employed to derive the occurrence probabilities of severe accidents via four phases: 1) choosing experts, 2) quantifying weighting factors for the experts, 3) aggregating the experts' opinions, and 4) defuzzifying the fuzzy numbers. In this way, this study obtained expert elicitation results in the form of updated occurrence probabilities of severe accident phenomena in the OPR-1000 plant, after which the differences between the reference probabilities and the newly acquired probabilities using fuzzy aggregation were compared, with the advantages of the fuzzy technique over other approaches explained. Lastly, the impact of applying the updated severe accident probabilities on containment integrity was quantitatively investigated in a Level 2 PSA model.

A framework of Multi Linear Regression based on Fuzzy Theory and Situation Awareness and its application to Beach Risk Assessment

  • Shin, Gun-Yoon;Hong, Sung-Sam;Kim, Dong-Wook;Hwang, Cheol-Hun;Han, Myung-Mook;Kim, Hwayoung;Kim, Young jae
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.14 no.7
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    • pp.3039-3056
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    • 2020
  • Beaches have many risk factors that cause various accidents, such as drifting and drowning, these accidents have many risk factors. To analyze them, in this paper, we identify beach risk factors, and define the criteria and correlation for each risk factor. Then, we generate new risk factors based on Fuzzy theory, and define Situation Awareness for each time. Finally, we propose a beach risk assessment and prediction model based on linear regression using the calculated risk result and pre-defined risk factors. We use national public data of the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA), and the Korea Hydrographic and Oceanographic Agency (KHOA). The results of the experiment showed the prediction accuracy of beach risk to be 0.90%, and the prediction accuracy of drifting and drowning accidents to be 0.89% and 0.86%, respectively. Also, through factor correlation analysis and risk factor assessment, the influence of each of the factors on beach risk can be confirmed. In conclusion, we confirmed that our proposed model can assess and predict beach risks.

Risk assessment of karst collapse using an integrated fuzzy analytic hierarchy process and grey relational analysis model

  • Ding, Hanghang;Wu, Qiang;Zhao, Dekang;Mu, Wenping;Yu, Shuai
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.18 no.5
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    • pp.515-525
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    • 2019
  • A karst collapse, as a natural hazard, is totally different to a normal collapse. In recent years, karst collapses have caused substantial economic losses and even threatened human safety. A risk assessment model for karst collapse was developed based on the fuzzy analytic hierarchy process (FAHP) and grey relational analysis (GRA), which is a simple and effective mathematical algorithm. An evaluation index played an important role in the process of completing the risk assessment model. In this study, the proposed model was applied to Jiaobai village in southwest China. First, the main controlling factors were summarized as an evaluation index of the model based on an investigation and statistical analysis of the natural formation law of karst collapse. Second, the FAHP was used to determine the relative weights and GRA was used to calculate the grey relational coefficient among the indices. Finally, the relational sequence of evaluation objects was established by calculating the grey weighted relational degree. According to the maximum relational rule, the greater the relational degree the better the relational degree with the hierarchy set. The results showed that the model accurately simulated the field condition. It is also demonstrated the contribution of various control factors to the process of karst collapse and the degree of collapse in the study area.

Artificial Intelligence based Threat Assessment Study of Uncertain Ground Targets (불확실 지상 표적의 인공지능 기반 위협도 평가 연구)

  • Jin, Seung-Hyeon
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.305-313
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    • 2021
  • The upcoming warfare will be network-centric warfare with the acquiring and sharing of information on the battlefield through the connection of the entire weapon system. Therefore, the amount of information generated increases, but the technology of evaluating the information is insufficient. Threat assessment is a technology that supports a quick decision, but the information has many uncertainties and is difficult to apply to an advanced battlefield. This paper proposes a threat assessment based on artificial intelligence while removing the target uncertainty. The artificial intelligence system used was a fuzzy inference system and a multi-layer perceptron. The target was classified by inputting the unique characteristics of the target into the fuzzy inference system, and the classified target information was input into the multi-layer perceptron to calculate the appropriate threat value. The validity of the proposed technique was verified with the threat value calculated by inputting the uncertain target to the trained artificial neural network.

Design of Fuzzy Logic based Classifying System for the Degree of Goodness of Steel Balls (강구의 결함 판별을 위한 퍼지 논리 기반의 알고리즘 개발)

  • Kim, Tae-Kyun;Choi, Byung-Jae;Kim, Yoon-Su;Do, Yong-Tae
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.153-159
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    • 2009
  • The steel balls are core elements between inner part and outer part in a bearing system. The degree of goodness of the steel balls has been visually processed by human beings. In this paper we propose a new method that uses image processing algorithm and fuzzy logic theory. We use fuzzy inference engine and fuzzy Choquet integral algorithm in the proposed system. We first distinguish the defects of the steel balls by an image processing algorithm. And then the degree of the defects is classified by a fuzzy logic system. We perform some simulations to show the effectiveness and feasibility of the proposed system.

Fuzzy Reliability Analysis Models for Maintenance of Bridge Structure Systems (교량구조시스템의 유지관리를 위한 퍼지 신뢰성해석 모델)

  • 김종길;손용우;이증빈;이채규;안영기
    • Proceedings of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute Conference
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    • 2003.10a
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    • pp.103-114
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    • 2003
  • This paper aims to propose a method that helps maintenance engineers to evaluate the damage states of bridge structure systems by using a Fuzzy Fault Tree Analysis. It may be stated that Fuzzy Fault Tree Analysis may be very useful for the systematic and rational fuzzy reliability assessment for real bridge structure systems problems because the approach is able to effectively deal with all the related bridge structural element damages in terms of the linguistic variables that incorporate systematically experts experiences and subjective judgement. This paper considers these uncertainties by providing a fuzzy reliability-based framework and shows that the identification of the optimum maintenance scenario is a straightforward process. This is achieved by using a computer program for LIFETIME. This program can consider the effects of various types of actions on the fuzzy reliability index profile of a deteriorating structures. Only the effect of maintenance interventions is considered in this study. However. any environmental or mechanical action affecting the fuzzy reliability index profile can be considered in LIFETIME. Numerical examples of deteriorating bridges are presented to illustrate the capability of the proposed approach. Further development and implementation of this approach are recommended for future research.

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