• Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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• 2001.05a
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• pp.52-54
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• 2001

전력 수요 예측은 전력 수급 안정과 양질의 전력을 공급하기 위한 필수 기법이며 경쟁적인 전력 시장에서 전력요금과 밀접한 관련이 있다. 그러므로, 경쟁적인 전력시장 구조하의 시장 참여자에게 있어서 전력수요 예측은 매우 관심 있는 사항이다. 최근의 전력 수요 예측 기법으로 예측한 오차율을 살펴보면 특수일의 전력 수요 예측의 정확도가 평일 예측에 비해 낮으며 특히, 토요일 또는 월요일에 특수일이 오는 경우 예측의 정확도가 낮아지는 경향이 있다. 따라서, 찬 논문은 퍼지 선형회귀 분석법과 상대계수법을 병행하여 예측함으로써 특수일 수요 예측의 정확도를 개선하는 방법을 제시한다.

• Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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• 2001.11b
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• pp.51-53
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• 2001

전력 수요 예측은 전력 수급 안정과 양질의 전력을 공급하기 위한 필수 기법이며 경쟁적인 전력시장에서 전력요금과 밀접한 관련이 있다. 그러므로, 경쟁적인 전력시장 구조하의 시장 참여자에게 있어서 전력 수요 예측은 매우 관심 있는 사항이다. 최근의 전력 수요 예측 기법으로 예측한 오차율을 살펴보면 평일과는 다르게 특수일의 전력 수요예측은 평균 5%를 상회하는 수준으로 예측의 정확도가 평일 예측에 비해 크게 낮은데 이유는 특수일이 평일에 비하여 부하의 크기가 다소 낮게 나타나고 특수일 마다 계절적인 차이가 있으며 각각의 특수일 마다 고유한 부하의 특성이 있으므로 과거 데이터를 이용할 때 동일 특수일을 이용하게 되며 따라서 평일과는 다르게 일년 단위로 과거 데이터 값들이 취득되므로 오차율이 커진다. 따라서 데이터들을 퍼지화하여 선형계획법을 수행하여 평균 $2{\sim}3%$ 정도의 우수한 결과를 도출한 바 있다. 본 논문에서는 퍼지 선형회귀분석법을 이용한 예측 기법에 최소자승법을 도입하여 특수일 전력 수요예측의 정확도를 개선하였다.

• Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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• v.15 no.11
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• pp.143-156
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• 2010

Faced with an increase of malicious threats from the Internet as well as local area networks, many companies are considering deploying a security system. To help a decision maker select a suitable security tool, this paper proposed a three-step integrated framework using linear fuzzy regression (LFR) and physical programming (PP). First, based on the experts' estimations on security criteria, analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and quality function deployment (QFD) are employed to specify an intermediate score for each criterion and the relationship among these criteria. Next, evaluation value of each criterion is computed by using LFR. Finally, a goal programming (GP) method is customized to obtain the most appropriate security tool for an organization, considering a tradeoff among the multi-objectives associated with quality, credibility and costs, utilizing the relative weights calculated by the physical programming weights (PPW) algorithm. A numerical example provided illustrates the advantages and contributions of this approach. Proposed approach is anticipated to help a decision maker select a suitable security tool by taking advantage of experts' experience, with noises eliminated, as well as the accuracy of mathematical optimization methods.

• Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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• v.7 no.3
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• pp.251-262
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• 2003

LCP(Life Cycle Profiles) of bridge structures are indispensable for the LCC(Life Cycle Cost) evaluations of bridge system. The bridge under considerations may be newly-designed one or one in service. Thus, a systematic study of LCP is essential for both reliable LCC evaluation and strategic bridge management. LCP is mainly influenced by the structural environment in nature. However, in Korea, LCC evaluation has been performed with the LCP of foreign research results or only with the pieces of professional engineers' opinion. Therefore, to alleviate the drawbacks of foreign LCP and to enhance the reliability of current LCP, LCP should be established using the available data in bridge management system(BMS). In this study, LCP along with a subset of the BMS data was investigated and several mathematical expressions were proposed and evaluated. The condition ratings of a bridge were trasformed into the numerical indices through fuzzy logics with real field data. From the numerical results, it is concluded that the mathematical LCP model of $y=\sqrt{y^2_0-at}$ is shown to be the fittest one (R=0.815) to express the condition rating varied with the age. This has been drawn from the case study of slab bridges under the similar conditions.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
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• 2002.05a
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• pp.245-251
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• 2002

본 논문에서는 상대적으로 큰 퍼지 엔트로피를 갖는 입력-출력 데이터 집단에 다중 회귀 분석을 적용하여 다차원 평면 클러스터를 생성하고, 이 클러스터를 새로운 퍼지 모델의 규칙으로 추가한 후 퍼지 모델 파라미터의 개략 동조와 정밀 동조를 수행하는 자기구성 퍼지 모델링을 제안한다. Weighted recursive least squared 알고리즘과 fuzzy C-regression model 클러스터링에 의해 퍼지 모델의 파라미터를 개략적으로 동조한 후 gradient descent 알고리즘에 의해 파라미터를 정밀 동조하면서 감수분열 유전 알고리즘을 이용하여 최적의 학습률을 탐색한다. 그리고 자기 구성 퍼지 모델링 기법을 이용하여 Box-Jenkins의 가스로 데이터, 다변수비선형 정적 함수의 데이터와 하수 처리 활성오니 공정의 모델링을 수행하고, 기존의 방법에 의한 모델링 결과와 비교하여 그 성능을 입증한다.

• Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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• 2000.07a
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• pp.298-300
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• 2000

This paper proposes a fuzzy linear regression algorithm based on Tanaka's theory for holiday load forecasting. The load patterns of holidays are quite different from those of ordinary weekdays. It is difficult to accurately forecast the holiday load due to the insufficiency of the load patterns compared with ordinary weekdays. The test results show that the proposed method greatly improves the forecast accuracy for holidays.

• Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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• 2001.11b
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• pp.432-434
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• 2001

This paper proposes a special-day load forecasting method with the characteristics of temperature based on fuzzy linear regression. We can obtain a linear regression model from the relation between daily peak load and daily maximum or minimum temperature. Simulation results show that the proposed method can improve an accuracy of a special-day load forecasting.

• Journal of the Korea Computer Industry Society
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• v.2 no.3
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• pp.377-388
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• 2001

Software metrics provide effective methods for characterizing software. Metrics have traditionally been composed through the definition of an equation, but this approach restricted within a full understanding of every interrelationships among the parameters. This paper use fuzzy logic system that is capable of uniformly approximating any nonlinear function and applying cognitive psychology theory. First of all, we extract multiple regression equation from the factors of 12 software complexity metrics collected from Java programs. We apply cognitive psychology theory in program volume factor, and then measure program volume complexity to execute fuzzy learning. This approach is sound, thus serving as the groundwork for further exploration into the analysis and design of software metrics.

• Journal of the Korean Institute of Landscape Architecture
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• v.42 no.6
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• pp.111-123
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• 2014

The city square is an important public open space for people. Being used for various activities, such as community gatherings, open markets, concerts, political rallies, and other events, many types of city squares are represented in a city. Nevertheless, most city squares are planned uniformly, lacking consideration for visitor behavior and use satisfaction. The study investigated the design factors and subcomponents influencing user satisfaction with different types of city squares. This study focused on the general city square in Seoul, including the grand public place (i.e. Gwanghwamun Square) and the neighborhood park (i.e. Geumbit Square). The data were analyzed using factor analysis, linear regression and fuzzy theory. The results of the study are as follows: first, five design factors of satisfaction with city squares are identified (Amenity, Usability, Spatial components, Culture, and Comfortableness). Second, Amenity, Comfortableness, and spatial components significantly affect user satisfaction with Gwanghwamun in that order. On the other hand, in Geumbit Square, Comfortableness, Amenity, Usability and Spatial components affect user satisfaction in a significant way, in that order. Third, cleanliness, a subcomponent of amenity, was ranked highest using the fuzzy theory function for satisfaction with Gwanghwamun Square. Otherwise, the prevalence of plants was ranked the highest on the Geumbit Square survey. The study compared design factors influencing satisfaction in the public grand place and the neighborhood park. The results have implications for designing and planning city squares to the satisfaction of their visitors.

• Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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• v.17 no.2
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• pp.131-140
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• 2004

It really needs fuzzy decision making of integrity assessment considering about both durability and load carrying capacity for maintenance and administration, such as repairing and reinforcing. This thesis shows efficient models about reinforced concrete structure using CART-ANFIS. It compares and analyzes decision trees parts of expert system, using the theory of fuzzy, and applying damage & diagnosis at reinforced concrete structure and decision trees of integrity assessment using established artificial neural. Decided the theory of reinforcement design for recovery of durability at damaged concrete ＆ the theory of reinforcement design for increasing load carrying capacity keep stability of damage and detection. It is more efficient maintenance and administration at reinforced concrete for using integrity assessment model of this study and can carry out predicting cost of life cycle.