• 제목/요약/키워드: Frequency-Consequence

검색결과 216건 처리시간 0.031초

도시가스 배관의 위험평가 방법론 제시 (An Approach to Risk Assessment of City Gas Pipeline)

  • 박교식;이진한;조영도;박진희
    • 한국가스학회지
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    • 제7권1호
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    • pp.33-40
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    • 2003
  • 본 연구에서는 위험을 등급화하여 검사대상 및 주기를 결정하여 투자비용기 효용성을 높이는 기술의 접근방법을 도입하여, 위험의 정도뿐만 아니라 위험의 양(손실비용)을 평가 할 수 있는 활용 방법을 제시하였다. 위험의 정량화를 위해 가스배관의 손상확률과 영향을 예측하는 방법이 필요한데 손상확률의 경우 사고원인을 굴착공사, 외부부식, 지반침하 및 장치손상으로 구분하였고, 그 각각의 원인에 대해 사고발생빈도를 구하는 방법을 제시하였으며 영향을 예측하기 위하여 가스의 누출시 주로 피해를 유발하는 화제에 대해 사망, 화상 및 건물에 피해를 줄 수 있는 경우 그 피해범위를 산정하는 방법을 제시하였다. 또한, 이 확률과 영향을 결합하여 위험비용을 예측하는 방법과 그 결과를 예시하였는데 이 기술은 경제적인 측면을 고려한 종합적 안전관리 기술로서 위험관리가 중요한 도시가스업계에 적용된다면, 위험을 줄일 수 있는 최적의 위험감소 전략 수립에 유용한 정보를 제공할 수 있다.

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A STUDY ON METHODOLOGY FOR IDENTIFYING CORRELATIONS BETWEEN LERF AND EARLY FATALITY

  • Kang, Kyungmin;Jae, Moosung;Ahn, Kwang-Il
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제44권7호
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    • pp.745-754
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    • 2012
  • The correlations between Large Early Release Frequency (LERF) and Early Fatality need to be investigated for risk-informed application and regulation. In Regulatory Guide (RG) -1.174, while there are decision-making criteria using the measures of Core Damage Frequency (CDF) and LERF, there are no specific criteria on LERF. Since there are both huge uncertainties and large costs needed in off-site consequence calculation, a LERF assessment methodology needs to be developed, and its correlation factor needs to be identified, for risk-informed decision-making. A new method for estimating off-site consequence has been presented and performed for assessing health effects caused by radioisotopes released from severe accidents of nuclear power plants in this study. The MACCS2 code is used for validating the source term quantitatively regarding health effects, depending on the release characteristics of radioisotopes during severe accidents. This study developed a method for identifying correlations between LERF and Early Fatality and validates the results of the model using the MACCS2 code. The results of this study may contribute to defining LERF and finding a measure for risk-informed regulations and risk-informed decision-making.

위험도 매트릭스를 이용한 어선의 사고 위험도 분석과 사고 주요 요인 도출에 관한 연구 (Risk Analysis and Selection of the Main Factors in Fishing Vessel Accidents Through a Risk Matrix)

  • 원유경;김동진
    • 해양환경안전학회지
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    • 제25권2호
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    • pp.139-150
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    • 2019
  • 우리나라 해역에서 발생하는 해양사고 중 어선사고가 약 70 %를 차지하고 있음에도 불구하고, 대부분의 연구는 해양사고 전체를 대상으로 하고 있으며 단순히 사고 발생률에 대한 분석과 사고 발생 빈도를 줄이기 위한 대책 마련에 중점을 두고 있다. 그러나 효과적인 사고 저감 대책의 수립과 이를 실행하기 위해서는 정량적인 사고 위험도 예측 및 평가가 반드시 선행되어야 한다. 본 연구에서는 해양안전심판원의 최근 5년간의 어선사고 통계에 근거하여 9가지 사고유형에 대한 위험도를 연도별로 비교하였다. 또한 현재 우리나라의 경우 객관적인 위험도 평가기준이 없다는 점을 고려하여 이에 대한 대안으로 사고 유형별 사고 빈도와 사고 피해의 조합을 4사분면 상에 표시하는 2차원 사고 빈도-피해 매트릭스를 제안하고 이를 이용하여 사고 빈도와 사고 피해의 영향을 쉽게 확인할 수 있도록 하였다. 이러한 과정을 통한 위험도 평가 결과는 저감대책을 수립하고 안전대책을 마련하는 정책 제안자로 하여금 보다 다양하고 현실적인 사고 저감 대책을 마련하는데 도움을 줄 것이다. 또한 위험도 평가 매트릭스를 이용하여 각 사고유형에 대한 인적오류를 포함한 사고 원인의 상대적인 빈도 및 결과를 비교함으로써 사고 유형별로 원인에 따른 차별화된 위험 저감 대책을 수립할 수 있다.

해상교통환경 위험요소 평가기준 설정을 위한 기초 연구 (A Basic Study on Assessment Criterion of the Risk Factor for the Marine Traffic Environment)

  • 김철승;이홍훈
    • 해양환경안전학회지
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    • 제18권5호
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    • pp.431-438
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    • 2012
  • 해상교통환경의 위험도를 평가하기 위한 기술로는 대표적으로 FSA, PAWSA, IWRAP 등이 있으며, 이러한 기술의 개발을 위해서는 해상교통환경에 적합한 위험요소를 선정하고 이에 대한 평가기준이 마련되어야 한다. 기존 기술에서 위험도는 사고의 출현빈도와 이로 인한 영향의 곱으로 정의되어 이에 따라 사고의 출현빈도 및 영향에 해당되는 위험요소들이 각각 구분되어 선정되고 있었다. 그러나, 본 연구는 각 위험요소에 요소별 출현빈도와 영향을 포함하여 이들의 합으로 위험도를 정의함으로써 기존 기술에서 사고의 영향에 해당되었던 위험요소들을 제외하는 한편, 위험요소 분류체계에 관한 기존 연구의 사례 검토를 통하여 위험도를 구성하는 위험요소를 20가지로 추출한 후 유사한 성격에 따라 5가지 카테고리로 분류하였다. 또한, 선정된 각 위험요소에 대하여 관련 통계자료 등을 이용 실용적으로 용이하게 평가할 수 있는 기준을 제시하여, 향후 국내 해상교통환경에 적합한 위험도 평가모델의 개발을 위한 기초를 마련하였다.

Consistency issues in quantitative safety goals of nuclear power plants in Korea

  • Kim, Ji Suk;Kim, Man Cheol
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제51권7호
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    • pp.1758-1764
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    • 2019
  • As the safety level of nuclear power plants (NPPs) relates to the safety of individuals, society, and the environment, it is important to establish NPP safety goals. In Korea, two quantitative health objectives and one large release frequency (LRF) criterion were formally set as quantitative safety goals for NPPs by the Nuclear Safety and Security Commission in 2016. The risks of prompt and cancer fatalities from NPPs should be less than 0.1% of the overall risk, and the frequency of nuclear accidents releasing more than 100 TBq of Cs-137 should not exceed 1E-06 per reactor year. This paper reviews the hierarchical structure of safety goals in Korea, its relationship with those of other countries, and the relationships among safety goals and subsidiary criteria like core damage frequency and large early release frequency. By analyzing the effect of the release of 100 TBq of Cs-137 via consequence analysis codes in eight different accident scenarios, it was shown that meeting the LRF criterion results in negligible prompt fatalities in the surrounding area. Hence, the LRF criterion dominates the safety goals for Korean NPPs. Safety goals must be consistent with national policy, international standards, and the goals of other counties.

영국철도시스템에 적용된 리스크평가 사례 (Application Cases of Risk Assessment for British Railtrack System)

  • 이동하;정광태
    • 대한인간공학회지
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    • 제22권1호
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    • pp.81-94
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    • 2003
  • The British railway safety research group has developed a risk assessment model for the railway infrastructure and major railway accidents. The major hazardous factors of the railway infrastructure were identified and classified in the model. The frequency rates of critical top events were predicted by the fault tree analysis method using failure data of the railway system components and ratings of railway maintenance experts, The consequences of critical top events were predicted by the event tree analysis method. They classified the Joss of accident due to railway system into personal. commercial and environmental damages. They also classified 110 hazardous event due to railway system into three categories. train accident. movement accident and non-movement accident. The risk assessment model of the British railway system has been designed to take full account of both the high frequency low consequence type events (events occurring routinely for which there is significant quantity of recorded data) and the low frequency high consequence events (events occurring rarely for which there is little recorded data). The results for each hazardous event were presented in terms of the frequency of occurrence (number of events/year) and the risk (number of equivalent fatalities per year).

소각설비에 대한 확률론적 환경위험성 평가 적용 (An Application of Probabilistic Environmental Risk Assessment for An Incineration Facility)

  • 김영제;장의종;안경수
    • 환경영향평가
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    • 제13권1호
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2004
  • A wide spectrum of risk assessments including qualitative and quantitative approaches and the analyses of its consequence were performed for an environmentally sensitive object such as incineration facility. To find out the major risk concerns, HAZOP(Hazard and Operability) were performed. Then, the frequency of hazardous gas release scenarios was calculated. Finally consequence analyses were performed for the gas release scenarios. On the basis of analyses through evaluation, a more innovative way for making a better control system or the enhancement of operation procedure was given. The results from these analyses would act as a substantial benefits for the incineration facility operator, and giving some measured information for the neighbors and the people involved.

MACCS II 코드를 이용한 국내 경수로 및 중수로형 원전의 소외결말분석 (Off-Site Consequence Analysis for PWR and PHWR Types of Nuclear Power Plants Using MACCS II Code)

  • 전호준;지문구;황석원
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제26권5호
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    • pp.105-109
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    • 2011
  • Since a severe accident, which happens in low frequency, can cause serious damages, the interests in off-site consequence analysis for a nuclear power plant have been increased after Chernobyl, TMI and Fukushima accidents. Consequences, which are the effects on health and environment caused by released radioisotopes, are evaluated using MACCS II code based on the method of Level 3 PSA. To perform a consequence analysis for the reference plants, the input data of the code were generated such as meteorological data, population distribution, release fractions, and so on. Using these input data, acute and lifetime dose as an organ, CCDF for early fatalities and latent cancer fatalities, and average individual risk were analyzed by using MACCS II code in this study. These results might contribute to establishing accident management plan and quantitative health object.

심매설 접지전극에 대한 접지임피던스의 주파수특성 (Frequency Characteristics of Grounding Impedances of the Deeply-driven Ground Rods)

  • 강성만;김태기;김한수;이복희
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2008년도 제39회 하계학술대회
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    • pp.1348-1349
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    • 2008
  • Grounding impedance depends on the frequency of current flowing into a grounding system. Especially, the lightning gives a broad frequency spectrum from low frequency up to 1 MHz. So the grounding impedance related to high frequency current like lightning should be measured with high frequency source. In this paper, we described the grounding impedances of deeply-driven ground rods of 10 $\sim$ 48 m long with respect to the frequency of injected currents. For the experiments, we used the wideband power amplifier which can produce sinusoidal voltages with the frequency ranges of DC $\sim$ 250 MHz. As a result, the longer the ground rod is, the lower the ground resistance is. However the grounding impedance of deeply-driven ground rod in the range of higher frequency is significantly increased. As a consequence, it is important to evaluate the high frequency performance of grounding systems for lightning protection.

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심매설 접지전극의 접지임피던스의 주파수의존성 (Frequency Dependence of Grounding Impedances of the Deeply-driven Ground Rods)

  • 김태기;강성만;이복희
    • 한국조명전기설비학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국조명전기설비학회 2008년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.70-73
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    • 2008
  • Grounding impedance depends on the frequency of current flowing into a grounding system. Especially, the lightning gives a broad frequency spectrum from low frequency up to 1 MHz. So the grounding impedance related to high frequency current like lightning should be measured with high frequency source. In this paper, we described the grounding impedances of deeply-driven ground rods of 10 ${\sim}$ 48 m long with respect to the frequency of injected currents and the feed point. For the experiments, we used the wideband power amplifier which can produce sinusoidal voltages with the frequency ranges of DC ${\sim}$ 250 MHz. As a result, the longer the ground rod is, the lower the ground resistance is. However the grounding impedance of deeply-driven ground rod in the range of higher frequency is significantly increased. As a consequence, it is important to evaluate the high frequency performance of grounding systems for lightning protection.

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