• Title/Summary/Keyword: Frequency and intensity of typhoon

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Characteristics of Tropical Cyclones Over the Western North Pacific in 2009 (2009년 태풍 특징)

  • Cha, Eun-Jeong;Kwon, H. Joe;Kim, Sejin
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.451-466
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    • 2010
  • This edition has continued since 2006 tropical cyclone season our effort to provide standard tropical cyclone summaries by the western North Pacific basin and detailed reviews of operationally or meteorologically significant tropical cyclones to document significant challenges and shortfalls in the tropical cyclone warning system to serve as a focal point for research and development efforts. The tropical cyclone season of 2009 in the western North Pacific basin is summarized and the main characteristics of general atmospheric circulation are described. Also, the official track and intensity forecasts of these cyclones are verified. The total number is less than 59-year (1951~2009) average frequency of 26.4. The 2009 western North Pacific season was an inactive one, in which 22 tropical storms generated. Of these, 13 TCs reached typhoon (TY) intensity, while the rest 9 TCs only reached severe tropical storm (STS) and tropical storm (TS) intensity - three STS and six TS storms. On average of 22 TCs in 2009, the Korea Meteorological Administration official track forecast error for 48 hours was 219 km. There was a big challenge for individual cyclones such as 0902 CHAN-HOM, 0909 ETAU, and 0920 LUPIT resulting in significant forecast error, with both intricate tracks and irregular moving speed. There was no tropical cyclone causing significant direct impact to the country. The tropical cyclone season in 2009 began in May with the formation of KUJIRA (0901). In September and October, ten TSs formed in the western North Pacific in response to enhanced convective activity. On the other hand, the TC activity was very weak from June to July. It is found that the unusual anti-cyclonic circulation in the lower level and weak convection near the Philippines are dominant during summertime. The convection and atmospheric circulation in the western North Pacific contributed unfavorable condition for TC activity in the 2009 summertime. Year 2009 has continued the below normal condition since mid 1990s which is apparent in the decadal variability in TC activity.

Analysis of Rainfall Characteristics and Landslides at the West Side Area of Gangwon Province (강원 영서지역 산사태 및 강우특성 분석)

  • Yoo, Namjae;Yoon, Daehee;Um, Jaekyung;Kim, Donggun;Park, Byungsoo
    • Journal of the Korean GEO-environmental Society
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    • v.13 no.9
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    • pp.75-82
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    • 2012
  • This paper is the results of analysis for the causes and characteristics of landslide according to heavy rain occurred in west area of Gangwon province which is affected by typhoon such as Ewiniar and Bilis in 2006. West side of Gangwon province is topographically weak for the landslide and debris flow since it is covered by soil of weathered rock such as Gneiss and Granite. From the results of analysis for the rainfall characteristics, it was found that landslide occurrence is closely related to the accumulated rainfall amount less than 3 days. Furthermore, it was found that regional difference of occurrence frequency is effected by 1-hour maximum rainfall intensity. From the results of analysis for the landslide data of 860 locations occurred in west side, it was shown that failure mode was changed from transition slide to liquidity slide. Occurrence frequency was high at the slope angle of $20{\sim}30^{\circ}$ slope length of 11~20, and slope width of 6~10. Landslide of west side is the typical landslide of Gneiss and Granite and the type of small scale which has narrow slope width.

A Foundational Study on Deep Learning for Assessing Building Damage Due to Natural Disasters (자연재해로 인한 건물의 피해 평가를 위한 딥러닝 기초 연구)

  • Kim, Ji-Myong;Yun, Gyeong-Cheol
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.363-370
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    • 2024
  • The escalating frequency and intensity of natural disasters and extreme weather events due to climate change have caused increasingly severe damage to societal infrastructure and buildings. Government agencies and private companies are actively working to evaluate these damages, but existing technologies and methodologies often fall short of meeting the practical demands for accurate assessment and prediction. This study proposes a novel approach to assess building damage resulting from natural disasters, focusing on typhoons-one of the most devastating natural hazards experienced in the country. The methodology leverages deep learning algorithms to evaluate typhoon-related damage, providing a comprehensive framework for assessment. The framework and outcomes of this research can provide foundational data for the evaluation of natural disaster-induced damage over the entire life cycle of buildings and can be applied in various other industries and research areas for assessing risk of damage.

Development of the Wind Wave Damage Estimation Functions based on Annual Disaster Reports : Focused on the Western Coastal Zone (재해연보기반 풍랑피해예측함수 개발 : 서해연안지역)

  • Choo, Tai-Ho;Cho, Hyoun-Min;Shim, Sang-Bo;Park, Sang-Jin
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.154-163
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    • 2018
  • Not only South Korea but also Global world show that the frequency and damages of large-scale natural disaster due to the rise of heavy rain event and typhoon or hurricane intensity are increasing. Natural disasters such as typhoon, flood, heavy rain, strong wind, wind wave, tidal wave, tide, heavy snow, drought, earthquake, yellow dust and so on, are difficult to estimate the scale of damage and spot. Also, there are many difficulties to take action because natural disasters don't appear precursor phenomena However, if scale of damage can be estimated, damages would be mitigated through the initial damage action. In the present study, therefore, wind wave damage estimation functions for the western coastal zone are developed based on annual disaster reports which were published by the Ministry of Public Safety and Security. The wind wave damage estimation functions were distinguished by regional groups and facilities and NRMSE (Normalized Root Mean Square Error) was analyzed from 1.94% to 26.07%. The damage could be mitigated if scale of damage can be estimated through developed functions and the proper response is taken.

Development of the Damage Investigation Item to Debris Flow using the Delphi Method (델파이 기법을 활용한 토석류 피해조사 항목 개발)

  • Byun, Yo Seph;Kim, Min Gi;Park, Kyung Han;Oh, Tae Keun;Seong, Joo Hyun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.31 no.2
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    • pp.41-48
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    • 2016
  • Recently, the frequency and intensity of localized heavy rain and typhoon due to the abnormal climate has increased, and especially the damage by an avalanche of earth and rocks similar to the landslide of Umyeon Mountain has become a social issue. However, the standardized damage investigation method doesn't yet exist, so the systematic analysis of the data has not been carried out. In this regard, this study developed assessment items to conduct standardized damage investigation of debris flow. To achieve this, preliminary assessment items were derived from analysis of literature review and the Delphi technique of 12 experts who are engaged in research facility, academia and industry was conducted. As a result, 29 assessment items which can be classified into 6 groups were determined. Surveying the relevant hand-on workers, details assessment items in each group were determined by exploratory factor analysis and reliability analysis.

Mesoscale Features and Forecasting Guidance of Heavy Rain Types over the Korean Peninsula (한반도 호우유형의 중규모 특성 및 예보 가이던스)

  • Kim, Sunyoung;Song, Hwan-Jin;Lee, Hyesook
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.29 no.4
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    • pp.463-480
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    • 2019
  • This study classified heavy rain types from K-means clustering for the hourly relationship between rainfall intensity and cloud top height over the Korean peninsula, and then examined their statistical characteristics for the period of June~August 2013~2018. Total rainfall amount of warm-type events was 2.65 times larger than that of the cold-type, whereas the lightning frequency divided by total rainfall for the warm-type was only 46% of the cold-type. Typical cold-type cases exhibited high cloud top height around 16 km, large reflectivity in the upper layer, and frequent lightning flashes under convectively unstable condition. Phenomenally, the cold-type cases corresponded to cloud cluster or multi-cell thunderstorms. However, two warm-type cases related to Changma and typhoon were characterized by heavy rainfall due to long duration, relatively low cloud top height and upper-level reflectivity, and the absence of lightning under the convectively neutral and extremely humid conditions. This study further confirmed that the forecast skill of rainfall could be improved by applying correction factor with the overestimation for cold-type and underestimation for warm-type cases in the Local Data Assimilation and Prediction System (LDAPS) operational model (e.g., BIAS score was improved by 5%).

Impact of Climate Change on An Urban Drainage System (기후변화가 도시배수시스템에 미치는 영향)

  • Kang, Na-Rae;Kim, Soo-Jun;Lee, Keon-Haeng;Kim, Duck-Gil;Kwak, Jae-Won;Noh, Hui-Sung;Kim, Hung-Soo
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.623-631
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    • 2011
  • In recent decade, the occurrences of typhoon and severe storm events are increasing trend due to the climate change. And the intensity of natural disaster is more and more stronger and the loss of life and damage of property are also increasing. Therefore, this study tried to understand the impact of climate change on urban drainage system for prevention and control of natural disaster and for this, we selected Gyeyang-gu, Incheon city as a study area. We investigated the climate models and scenarios for the selection of proper model and scenario, then we estimated frequency based rainfall in hourly unit considering climate change. The XP-SWMM model was used to estimate the future flood discharge on urban drainage system using the estimated frequency based rainfall. As a result, we have known that the study area will be overflown in the future and so we may need prepare proper measures for the flood prevention and control.

Analysis of Slope Hazard-Triggering Rainfall Characteristics in Gangwon Province by Database Construction (DB구축을 통한 강원지역 사면재해 유발강우특성 분석)

  • Yune, Chan-Young;Jun, Kyoung-Jea;Kim, Kyung-Suk;Kim, Gi-Hong;Lee, Seung-Woo
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.26 no.10
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    • pp.27-38
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    • 2010
  • In every summer season, most of the slope failures and debris flows occurr due to seasonal rain, typhoon, and localized extreme rainfall in Gangwon Province where 83% of the area is of mountain region. To investigate the slope-hazard triggering rainfall characteristics in Gangwon Province, slope hazard data, precipitation records, and forest fire data were collected and the DATABASE was constructed. Analysis results based on the DATABASE showed that many slope hazards occurred when there was little rainfall and the preceding rainfall had more effect on the slope hazard than the rainfall intensity at the day of hazard. It also showed that the burned area by forest fire was highly susceptible to slope hazard with low rainfall intensity, and the slope hazard in burned area showed highest frequency, especially, under the rainfall below 2-year return period.

Variability of measured modal frequencies of a cable-stayed bridge under different wind conditions

  • Ni, Y.Q.;Ko, J.M.;Hua, X.G.;Zhou, H.F.
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • v.3 no.3
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    • pp.341-356
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    • 2007
  • A good understanding of normal modal variability of civil structures due to varying environmental conditions such as temperature and wind is important for reliable performance of vibration-based damage detection methods. This paper addresses the quantification of wind-induced modal variability of a cable-stayed bridge making use of one-year monitoring data. In order to discriminate the wind-induced modal variability from the temperature-induced modal variability, the one-year monitoring data are divided into two sets: the first set includes the data obtained under weak wind conditions (hourly-average wind speed less than 2 m/s) during all four seasons, and the second set includes the data obtained under both weak and strong (typhoon) wind conditions during the summer only. The measured modal frequencies and temperatures of the bridge obtained from the first set of data are used to formulate temperature-frequency correlation models by means of artificial neural network technique. Before the second set of data is utilized to quantify the wind-induced modal variability, the effect of temperature on the measured modal frequencies is first eliminated by normalizing these modal frequencies to a reference temperature with the use of the temperature-frequency correlation models. Then the wind-induced modal variability is quantitatively evaluated by correlating the normalized modal frequencies for each mode with the wind speed measurement data. It is revealed that in contrast to the dependence of modal frequencies on temperature, there is no explicit correlation between the modal frequencies and wind intensity. For most of the measured modes, the modal frequencies exhibit a slightly increasing trend with the increase of wind speed in statistical sense. The relative variation of the modal frequencies arising from wind effect (with the maximum hourly-average wind speed up to 17.6 m/s) is estimated to range from 1.61% to 7.87% for the measured 8 modes of the bridge, being notably less than the modal variability caused by temperature effect.

Applicability Evaluation of Flood Inundation Analysis using Quadtree Grid-based Model (쿼드트리 격자기반 모형의 홍수범람해석 적용성 평가)

  • Lee, Dae Eop;An, Hyun Uk;Lee, Gi Ha;Jung, Kwan Sue
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.46 no.6
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    • pp.655-666
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    • 2013
  • Lately, intensity and frequency of natural disasters such as flood are increasing because of abnormal climate. Casualties and property damages due to large-scale floods such as Typhoon Rusa in 2002 and Typhoon Maemi in 2003 rapidly increased, and these show the limits of the existing disaster prevention measures and flood forecasting systems regarding irregular climate changes. In order to efficiently respond to extraordinary flood, it is important to provide effective countermeasures through an inundation model that can accurately simulate flood inundation patterns. However, the existing flood inundation analysis model has problems such as excessive take of analysis time and accuracy of the analyzed results. Therefore, this study conducted a flood inundation analysis by using the Gerris flow solver that uses quadtree grid, targeting the Baeksan Levee in the Nakdong River Basin that collapsed because of a concentrated torrential rainfall in August, 2002. Through comparisons with the FLUMEN model that uses unstructured grid among the existing flood inundation models and the actual flooded areas, it determined the applicability and efficiency of the quadtree grid-based flood inundation model of the Gerris flow solver.