• Title/Summary/Keyword: Foreign exchange market

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The effect of shipbuilding industry foreign exchange hedge on exchange rate, volatility of exchange rate and the policy implication (조선산업 환헤지가 환율 및 환율변동성에 미치는 영향과 정책적 시사점)

  • Moon, Ho-Seong
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.235-245
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    • 2011
  • This paper finds that business in the shipbuilding industry affects significantly the exchange rate and its variability. The effects of the amount of orders received and construction in the shipbuilding industry on the exchange rate and its variability are preemptive and long lasted. This implies that business cycles and the exchange rate hedge in the shipbuilding industry are important factors in understanding the exchange rate and its variability. Advancement in the technology of exchange rate hedge in future may reinforce the importance of business cycles in the shipbuilding industry. It is, therefore, required that the policy authority should monitor carefully the shipbuilding industry for the stability of foreign exchange market.

The Analysis of the current state and components of Korea's National Debt (한국의 국가채무 현황과 구성요인 분석)

  • Yang, Seung-Kwon;Choi, Jeong-Il
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.18 no.9
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    • pp.103-112
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    • 2020
  • The purpose of this study is to examine the current status and components of Korean National Debt and to analyze the effects of each component on National Debt. In the Korean Statistical Information Service (KOSIS), we searched for data such as General Accounting Deficit Conservation, For Foreign Exchange Market Stabilization, For Common Housing Stability, Local Government Net Debt Public Funds, etc that constitute National Debt. The analysis period used a total of 23 annual data from 1997 to 2019. The data collected in this study use the rate of change compared to the previous year for each component. Using this, this study attempted index analysis, numerical analysis, and model analysis. Correlation analysis result, the National Debt has a high relationship with the For Common Housing Stability. For Foreign Exchange Market Stabilization, Public Funds, etc., but has a low relationship with the Local Government Net Debt. Since 1997, National Debt has been increasing similarly to the For Foreign Exchange Market Stabilization, For Common Housing Stability and Public Funds etc. Since 2020, Korea is expected to increase significantly in terms of For Common Housing Stability and Public Funds, etc due to Corona19. At a time when the global economic situation is difficult, Korea's National Debt is expected to increase significantly due to the use of national disaster subsidies. However, if possible, the government expects to operate efficiently for economic growth and financial market stability.

Symmetric and Asymmetric Effects of Financial Innovation and FDI on Exchange Rate Volatility: Evidence from South Asian Countries

  • QAMRUZZAMAN, Md.;MEHTA, Ahmed Muneeb;KHALID, Rimsha;SERFRAZ, Ayesha;SALEEM, Hina
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.23-36
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    • 2021
  • The study explores the nexus between foreign direct investment (FDI), financial innovation, and exchange rate volatility in selected South Asian countries for 1980 to 2017. The study applies the unit root test, Autoregressive Distributed Lagged, nonlinear ARDL, and causality test following Toda-Yamamoto. Unit root tests ascertain that variables are integrated in a mixed order; few variables are stationary at a level and few after the first difference. Empirical model estimation with ARDL, Long-run cointegration revealed with the tests of FPSS, WPSS, and tBDM by rejecting the null hypothesis of "no cointegration." This finding suggests that, in the long-run financial innovation, FDI inflows, and exchange rate volatility move together. Moreover, study findings established adverse effects running from FDI inflows and financial innovation to exchange rate volatility in the long run. These findings suggest that continual FDI inflows and innovativeness in the financial system assist in lessening the volatility in the foreign exchange market. Furthermore, nonlinear ARDL confirms the presence of asymmetric cointegration in the model. The standard Wald test established asymmetric effects running from FDI inflows and financial innovation to exchange rate volatility, both in the long and short run. Directional causality unveils feedback hypothesis holds for explaining causality between FDI, financial innovation, and exchange rate volatility.

Determinants of Stock Liquidity: Forward-Looking Information, Corporate Governance, and Asymmetric Information

  • UTAMI, Wiwik;WAHYUNI, Putri Dwi;NUGROHO, Lucky
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.12
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    • pp.795-807
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    • 2020
  • The more liquid the capital market, the more attractive it will be for investors to place their money in the capital market. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to investigate the factors that influence stock liquidity of manufacturing sector companies listed on the stock exchange in Indonesia. The independent variables used in this study are forward-looking information disclosure, institutional ownership, foreign ownership, and board activity with information asymmetry as an intervening variable and stock liquidity as the dependent variable. The population of this study is manufacturing sector companies listed on the Indonesian stock exchange (IDX). Samples are selected based on the random sampling method, and the number of samples is calculated based on the Slovin formula. The sample was 59 manufacturers, and data was annual reports (for 2 years) and stock transactions from 2016 to 2017. The results of the study showed that forward-looking information disclosure had a significant effect on information asymmetry. Information asymmetry and foreign ownership have a significant impact on stock liquidity, whereas information asymmetry mediates the relationship between forward-looking disclosures and stock liquidity. Furthermore, the accuracy of information about the certainty of business activity both now and in the future can instill confidence in stakeholders in interacting and cooperating.

Performance of Contrarian Strategies using Price Change and Price Level (과거의 주가수준과 주식수익률을 이용한 투자전략의 성과)

  • Lee, Myung-Chul;Lee, Soo-Geun
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.30 no.4
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    • pp.147-173
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    • 2011
  • It is generally accepted that there are momentum effects in the short term and reversal effects in the long term, which makes abnormal excess returns in the major stock markets in the world. In Korea stock market, however, the previous studies demonstrate that contrarian strategies based on reversal effects are more effective than momentum strategies following momentum effects in the short term as well as in the long term. This paper examines wether contrarian strategies are still effective In Korea stock market from 1980 to 2009, and the short term reversals may be changed after the foreign exchange crisis in 1997-1998. Moreover, this paper investigates how contrarian profits are shown considering the state of market. In my research, unlike previous studies, I find that both of contrarian strategies using price change and price level cannot gain excess risk adjusted returns in Korea stock market from 1980 to 2009, but this result is due to the fact that reversal effects existed before the foreign exchange crisis but momentum effects does after the foreign exchange crisis in 1997-1998. Specially, after the foreign exchange crisis, it is confirmed momentum strategies using 52 week high price, that is, price level are more effective than momentum strategies using price change. And following the strategies using 52 week high price after the foreign exchange crisis, the momentum is not only observed in the up market but also in the down market, which is different with the results of the studies regarding to American market, where the momentum is just found in the up market.

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Testing the Valuation Effect of Foreign Exchange Risk Insurance in Korea (환헤지가 기업가치를 높이는가? : 환변동보험의 기업가치 효과)

  • Song, Hong-Sun;Hahn, Sang-Buhm
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.63-84
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    • 2010
  • We investigate whether FX hedging materially increases firm value by testing the valuation effect of Foreign Exchange Risk Insurance in Korea, using our sample of 84 listed firms with 617 observations between 2000 and 2008, Employing Tobin's Q as a proxy of firm value and foreign exchange risk insurance as a proxy of hedging instrument, we find a positive relation between firm value and the use of foreign exchange risk insurance. The hedging premium is statistically significant and is on average 7.4% of sample firm value. We also find our empirical results consistent with the preceding evidence that firm uses the hedging instrument in order to alleviate economic frictions and then hedging causes an increase in firm value.

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Study on the causality between call rate and exchange rate under global economic crisis (글로벌경제위기에서 콜금리와 환율의 인과관계에 관한 연구)

  • Shin, Yang-Gyu
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.655-660
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    • 2009
  • As the global economic crisis, the Korean foreign exchange market appears unstable with large fluctuations in exchange rate. Inevitably, there is growing attention on price variables such as exchange rate and interest rates and also on corelation between the factors. This is an empirical study on the causality of fluctuation between exchange rate and interest rate in the Korean market under global economic crisis. The fluctuations in won/dollar exchange rate and call rate are described and followed by analysis of lead-lag relationship between the two variables using Cross-correlation function and Granger causality test.

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Economic Policy Uncertainty in the US: Does It Matter for Korea?

  • Lee, Seojin
    • East Asian Economic Review
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.29-54
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    • 2018
  • Using the indicators of economic policy uncertainty developed by Baker et al. (2016), this paper investigates the effects of the US economic policy uncertainty on the Korea economic uncertainty as well as Korea-US foreign exchange risk. The key findings are that: (i) the degree of spillovers of policy uncertainty from the US to Korea is considerable but not comparatively high; (ii) the US policy uncertainty plays a stronger and more consistent role in Korean currency risk than Korea policy uncertainty and other macro variables. It implies that the economic policy uncertainty in the US is an important contributor to Korea-US exchange rates.

Legal Implications of U.S. CVD on Tires and Undervalued Currency in the WTO's SCM

  • Thi Thanh Tuyen Nguyen;Xuan Zhou;Chang Hwan Choi
    • Journal of Korea Trade
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    • v.27 no.5
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    • pp.41-62
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    • 2023
  • Purpose - This paper examines whether the imposition of countervailing duties by the United States on undervalued foreign currency is legally consistent with the WTO's SCM Agreement. Design/methodology - The study uses a methodology that involves analyzing relevant WTO agreements, prior panel reports, Appellate Body decisions, and other legal documents. Findings - The findings suggest that to impose countervailing duties, certain legal requirements must be met, including financial contribution, benefit, and specificity. The paper also notes that when calculating the benefits of undervalued foreign currency, losses from import activities due to currency undervaluation must be considered. Additionally, classifying all exports to the US under specific industries or business groups is likely to be inconsistent with the SCM Agreement. Originality/value - Even the US countervailing measures on exchange rate subsidies may not comply with WTO regulations due to incorrect calculation of benefits and a lack of specificity, however, it suggests that when intervening in the foreign exchange market, the measures should aim to achieve only minimum policy goals.

The Relationship Between International Capital Flows and Foreign Exchange Volatility (국제 자본이동과 환율 변동성에 관한 연구: 주요 통화대비 원화 환율을 중심으로)

  • Choi, Don-Seung
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.42 no.4
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    • pp.1-20
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    • 2017
  • This study is to investigate the dynamic relationship between international capital flows and won exchange rate to the major currency in Korea. As the results of Granger causality test, international capital flows Granger-cause currency rate volatility in the short term. However, over time, won exchange rate volatility Granger-cause international capital flows in Korea. According to the results by period divided based on 2008 financial crisis, international capital flows have the significant effects on won-dollar exchange rate volatility before 2008 crisis although currency rate volatility Granger-cause international capital flows after the crisis. As the results of impulse-response function of the basis of VAR, foreign exchange rate volatility has no connection with international capital flows before the crisis while it doesn't after. After the crisis, currency rate volatility has promoted international capital flows, while its influence diminishes as time passes. As these results, the uncertainty of foreign exchange market tend to influence the international capital flows rather than vice versa in Korea. Thus, it would be a more effective policy to control the uncertainty of market than the direct restrictions international capital flows.

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