• East Asian Economic Review
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• 제24권4호
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• pp.441-468
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• 2020

Capital inflows have a strong presence that influences destination countries' development of institutions, which can in turn help resuscitate a stopped economy and re-attract capital that was lost during crises such as the recent public health crisis. While the previous literature emphasizes the mechanism that foreign investors press or even threaten the local government for change, this paper explores empirically whether institutional improvement can be achieved through the channel that host countries voluntarily reform institutions in anticipation of potential investments predicted by the exogenous geographical and cultural characteristics of the recipient countries. Given that countries with better institutional quality can accumulate larger FDI stocks, we still find that the need for more FDI, in contrast to FPI and debt, gives higher incentives to host countries to strategically improve their institutions before seeking capital overseas. Moreover, the predicted FDI exerts more prominent impacts on institutions on constraining elite than those involved in launching a business, enforcing contracts, and protecting properties. The results imply that a long-run plan for upgrading elite constraint institutions is crucial for a post-pandemic FDI reboot.

• 한국산학기술학회논문지
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• 제12권1호
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• pp.216-221
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• 2011

우리나라는 2000년도부터 외국인투자 한도의 전면폐지로 외국인투자가 크게 증가하였다. 국내기업들의 소유구조가 급격히 변모하면서 외국인투자자가 주식시장 시가총액에서 차지하는 비중을 보면 40%를 상회하고 있고, 외국인지분율이 50%를 넘는 기업들도 상당수 나타나고 있다. 국내투자자들 사이에서는 외국인투자자가 선호하는 국내기업의 재무적 특성 또는 주식의 종류들에 대한 관심이 지대하다. 구미의 연구들에 따르면, 미국과 유럽시장에서의 외국인투자자들은 잘 알려져 있거나 지리적으로 가까운 지역의 기업주식 또는 투명하고 유동성이 높은 주식을 선호한다고 알려져 있다. 본 연구는 국내시장에서 외국인투자자가 투자종목으로 선호하는 국내주식의 종류 또는 국내기업의 재무적 특성을 분석하였다. 연구결과, 한국시장에서의 외국인투자자들은 자본의 시가총액이 큰 기업과 배당수익률이 높은 기업을 매우 선호하는 것으로 나타났다. 한국시장에서 활동하는 외국인투자자들은 또한 장부가-시장가 비율이 높은 가치주(value firms)를 보다 선호하고 있는 반면, 부채비율과 최대주주 1인 지분비율이 높은 기업에 대하여는 투자를 회피하고 있는 것으로 나타났다.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제23권1호
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• pp.151-159
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• 2012

본 논문에서는 외환시장에서 주성분 분석과 로지스틱 회귀분석을 이용한 다국 통화 포트폴리오 전략을 개발하는 것을 제안한다. 과거 환율시장의 분석에 대한 많은 연구가 진행되어 왔으나 상대적으로 외환시장에서의 거래 전략을 개발하는 연구는 거의 없었다. 본 연구는 크게 두 가지 목적을 가지고 있다. 첫 번째 목적은 주성분 분석을 적용시켜 포트폴리오를 구성하는 다양한 나라의 환율에 가중치 할당 방법을 제안하는 것이다. 두 번째 목적은 로지스틱 회귀분석을 이용하여 구성된 포트폴리오의 적절한 매수시점과 매도시점을 정하는 것이다. 이 논문의 실험결과는 제안한 투자전략의 유용성을 증명할 수 있을 것이며, 또한 이를 통해 시장참여자들에게 투자 결정에 있어 도움을 줄 수 있을 것이다.

• Journal of Korea Trade
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• 제23권7호
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• pp.147-155
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• 2019

Purpose - As the U.S.-China trade war has become considerably worse, the Chinese government is considering applying non-tariff barriers to trade, especially local contents rule. The main purpose of this research is to check whether it is suitable for Korean investors to invest in the current Chinese capital market. Design/methodology - In order to check the stability of the recent Chinese capital market, we investigated the behavior of foreign equity investment (including Korean equity investment) in the Chinese capital market after China announced the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect (SH-HK Connect). In this paper, we researched whether international portfolio investment would or would not contribute to an increase the volatility of an emerging market's stock market (Chinese capital market) when foreign investors make investment decisions based on the objective of short-term gains by rushing into countries whose markets are booming and fleeing from countries whose markets are falling. Findings - The empirical results indicate that foreign investors show strong, negative feedback trading behavior with regard to the stock index of the Shanghai Stock Exchange (SSE), and when the performance of foreign investors in the Chinese stock market was fairly good. Also, we found evidence that the behavior of foreign investors significantly decreased volatility in SSE stock returns. Consequently, the SH-HK Connect brought on a win-win effect for both the Chinese capital market and foreign investors. Originality/value - It appeared that the Chinese capital market was very suitable for Korean investors after the China's declaration of the SH-HK Connect. However, the win-win effect was brought on by the Chinese government's aggressive capital control but the capital controls could possibly cause financial turmoil in the Chinese capital market. Therefore, Chinese reform in industrial structure and the financial sector should keep pace with suitable capital control policies.

• 정보학연구
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• 제3권4호
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• pp.73-88
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• 2000

선진국 대기업간 인수 ·합병, 개도국 공기업 민영화와 구조조정 등으로 인하여 세계경제에서 외국인직접투자가 차지하는 비중은 커지고 있다. 각국별 외국인직접투자 결정요인을 비교 ·분석함으로써 외국인직접투자 유치를 위해서 중점적으로 추진해야할 분야가 국가별로 다르다는 것을 강조하였다. 아울러 차관, 포트폴리오투자 등 타 자본시장 개방은 외국인직접투자 유치에 직접적 효과가 없었다. .

• 산업경영시스템학회지
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• 제21권48호
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• pp.133-144
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• 1998

International capital movement has made progress at global liberalization of finance and foreign exchange, international monetary norm changing into floating exchange rate system, easiness of collection of information and trade at improvement of information communication technology from early of 1970's. Results of empirical test for relation between foreign exchange rate or various determination factors of foreign exchange rate and interest rate are followed by next sentences. First, according to relation between foreign exchange rate and interest rate, correlation for each of variables after OECD entrance is increased. But, long-term & short-term interest rate is affected by Hanbo & Kia's bankruptcy, continuous large scale corporates bankruptcy and crisis of foreign exchange. Therefore, financial instability is occured. If portfolio investment fund has been inflow as it is mollified by continuous shortage of foreign exchange and fall of country's credit rating, it is expected to have positive effect for long-term & short-term interest rate from appreciation of won against dollar. Second, results from relation between determination factor of foreign exchange rate and interest rate are followed by next sentences. If surplus of current account and goods account is continued, yield of corporate bond is to be stable. But, margin of surplus is expected to diminish after second quarter 98, and difference between external and domestic interest (after adjusting foreign exchange rate) is to be diminished. And if net inflows of foreign investor's fund (stock and bond) is diminished, it is to have negative effect for yield of corporate bond. According to foreign investor's investment movement of previous years, hedge fund were stayed at least during two years in Mexico. It means that sudden capital outflow is not to be happened at Korea. But if external factors from depreciation of yen and China's renminbi are instable, interest rate is expected to increase from capital's outflows. Third, if it is to decrease instability of foreign exchange rate from increase in surplus of future current account, credit rating's upwardness, stability of yen and renminbi, foreign exchange rate is expected to be stable. It is expected to have continuous stability from short-term interest rate to long-term interest rate in this empirical test.

• 대한안전경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한안전경영과학회 2002년도 추계학술대회
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• pp.305-319
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• 2002

International capital movement has made progress at global liberalization of finance and foreign exchange, international monetary norm changing into floating exchange rate system, easiness of collection of information and trade at improvement of information communication technology from early of 1970's. Results of empirical test for relation between foreign exchange rate or various determination factors of foreign exchange rate and interest rate are followed by next sentences. First, according to relation between foreign exchange rate and interest rate, correlation for each of variables after OECD entrance is increased. But, long-term ＆short-term interest rate is affected by Hanbo ＆ Kia's bankruptcy, continuous large scale coporates bankruptcy and crisis of foreign exchange. Therefore, financial instability is occured. If portfolio investment fund has been inflow as it is mollified by continuous shortage of foreign exchange and fall of country's credit rating, it is expected to have positive effect for long-term & short-term interest rate from appreciation of won against dollar. Second, results from relation between determination factor of foreign exchange rate and interest rate are followed by next sentences. If surplus of current account and goods account is continued, yield of corporate bond is to be stable. But, margin of surplus is expected to diminish after second quarter 98, and difference between external and domestic interest (after adjusting foreign exchange rate) is to be diminished. And if net inflows of foreign investor's fund (stock and bond) is diminished, it is to have negative effect for yield of corporate bond. According to foreign investor's investment movement of previous years, hedge md were stayed at least during two years in Mexico. It means that sudden capital outflow is not to be happened at Korea. But if external factors from depreciation of yen and China's renminbi are instable, interest rate is expected to increase from capital's outflows. Third, if it is to decrease instability of foreign exchange rate from increase in surplus of future current account, credit rating's upwardness, stability of yen and renminbi, foreign exchange rate is expected to be stable. It is expected to have continuous stability from short-term interest rate to long-term interest rate in this empirical test.

• 대한안전경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한안전경영과학회 2005년도 추계학술대회
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• pp.569-579
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• 2005

International capital movement has made progress at global liberalization of finance and foreign exchange, international monetary norm changing into floating exchange rate system, easiness of collection of information and trade at improvement of information communication technology from early of 1970's. Results of empirical test for relation between foreign exchange rate or various determination factors of foreign exchange rate and interest rate are followed by next sentences. First, according to relation between foreign exchange rate and interest rate, correlation for each of variables after OECD entrance is increased. 'But, long-term & short-term interest rate is affected by Hanbo & Kia's bankruptcy, continuous large scale coporates bankruptcy and crisis of foreign exchange. Therefore, financial instability is occured. If portfolio investment fund has been inflow as it is mollified by continuous shortage of foreign exchange and fall of country's credit rating, it is expected to have positive effect for long-term & short-term interest rate from appreciation of won against dollar. Second, results from relation between determination factor of foreign exchange rate and interest rate are followed by next sentences. If surplus of current account and goods account is continued, yield of corporate bond is to be stable. But, margin of surplus is expected to diminish after second quarter 98, and difference between external and domestic interest (after adjusting foreign exchange rate) is to be diminished. And if net inflows of foreign investor's fund (stock and bond) is diminished, it is to have negative effect for yield of corporate bond. According to foreign investor's investment movement of previous years, hedge fund were stayed at least during two years in Mexico. It means that sudden capital outflow is not to be happened at Korea.