• 대기
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• 제29권5호
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• pp.659-669
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• 2019

This study assesses the quality of the total column ozone (TCO) data from five reanalysis datasets against nine independent observation in East Asia. The assessed datasets are the ECMWF Interim reanalysis (ERAI), Monitoring Atmosphere Composition and Climate reanalysis (MACC), Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service reanalysis (CAMS), the NASA Modern-Era Retrospective analysis for Research and Applications, Version2 (MERRA2), and NCEP Climate Forecast System Reanalysis (CFSR). All datasets reasonably well capture the spatial distribution, annual cycle and interannual variability of TCO in East Asia. In particular, characteristics of TCO according to the latitude difference were similar at all points with a maximum bias of less than about 4%. Among them, CAMS and CFSR show the smallest mean bias and root-mean square error across all nine ground-based observations. This result indicates that while TCO data in modern reanalyses are reasonably good, CAMS and CFSR TCO data are the best for analysing the spatio-temporal variability and change of TCO in East Asia.

• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국수자원학회 2020년도 학술발표회
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• pp.166-166
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• 2020

Recently, As the frequency of localized heavy rains increases, the use of high-resolution radar data is increasing. The produced radar rainfall has still gaps of spatial and temporal compared to gauge observation rainfall, and in many studies, various statistical techniques are performed for correct rainfall. In this study, the precipitation correction of the S-band Dual Polarization radar in use in the flood forecast was performed using the ConvAE algorithm, one of the Convolutional Neural Network. The ConvAE model was trained based on radar data sets having a 10-min temporal resolution: radar rainfall data, gauge rainfall data for 790minutes(July 2017 in Cheongju flood event). As a result of the validation of corrected radar rainfall were reduced gaps compared to gauge rainfall and the spatial correction was also performed. Therefore, it is judged that the corrected radar rainfall using ConvAE will increase the reliability of the gridded rainfall data used in various physically-based distributed hydrodynamic models.

• 한국환경과학회지
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• 제9권6호
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• pp.455-462
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• 2000

This study aims at the development of the model for a forecasting of water quality in river basins using artificial neural network technique. Water quality by Artificial Neural Network Model forecasted and compared with observed values at the Sangju q and Dalsung stations in Nakdong river basin. For it, a multi-layer neural network was constructed to forecast river water quality. The neural network learns continuous-valued input and output data. Input data was selected as BOD, CO discharge and precipitation. As a result, it showed that method III of three methods was suitable more han other methods by statistical test(ME, MSE, Bias and VER). Therefore, it showed that Artificial Neural Network Model was suitable for forecasting river water quality.

• 대기
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• 제19권3호
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• pp.289-296
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• 2009

Measurements of the three-dimensional water vapor distribution in the atmosphere are important for forecast and analysis of meteorological phenomenon. In this study, two Global Positioning System (GPS) campaign networks were installed in Jeju Island and Kangwon-do to construct the vertical water vapor profile solely based on GPS measurements. We implemented a layer model to get the wet refractivity profile and compared the result with radiosonde measurements. The result showed that the vertical profiles from GPS and radiosonde agree well. The bias, root-mean-square error (RMSE) and standard deviation of GPS wet refractivities compared with radiosonde measurements were in the range of 6.6~11.1 mm $km^{-1}$, 11.9~13.9 mm $km^{-1}$, and 4.3~12.3 mm $km^{-1}$, respectively.

• 천문학회보
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• 제44권2호
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• pp.59.1-59.1
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• 2019

I will compute the rate of merger events in the multi-scale initial conditions to forecast special events driving the anisotropic assembly of dark matter halos and understand their impact on galaxy formation. Beyond halo mergers, I consider all sets of mergers, including wall and lament mergers, as they impact the geometry of galactic infall. Their one- and two-points statistics are computed as a function of cosmic time. I establish the relation between merger rates and connectivity, which is then used to assess the impact the large scale structures on assembly bias. The anisotropy of the cosmic web, as encoded in this theory, is a signi cant ingredient to describe jointly the physics and dynamics of galaxies in their environment, e.g. in the context of intrinsic alignments or morphological diversity.

• 한국위성정보통신학회논문지
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• 제12권3호
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• pp.22-34
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• 2017

K-water의 분포형 강우-유출모형인 K-DRUM(K-water hydrologic & hydraulic Distributed RUnoff Model)은 단기예측 강수자료를 통해 댐의 예측 유출량 및 수위를 산출하는 모형으로, 장기적인 수문기상정보를 획득하기 위해서는 장기예측 강수자료를 입력자료로 사용할 필요가 있다. 본 연구에서는 2014년 국내에 도입된 기상청의 계절예측시스템인 GloSea5(Global Seasonal Forecast System version 5) 예측 강수량 앙상블을 K-DRUM의 입력자료로 사용하는 프로그램을 개발하였으며, 이를 통해 산출된 예측 유출량 앙상블 자료를 기반으로 댐 운영자에게 수문기상정보를 제공하는 웹 기반 확률장기예보 활용 물관리 의사결정지원시스템을 함께 구축하였다. GloSea5의 예측 결과를 입력자료로 사용하기 위하여 대상 댐 유역에 대해 전처리 과정을 수행한 후 편의보정기법을 적용하여 예측 강수 앙상블 자료를 산출하였으며, 이를 K-DRUM에 입력하여 수행하여 예측 유출량을 산출하였다. 이 과정에서 편의보정된 강수량과 강우-유출모형에서 산정된 예측 유출량은 그래프와 테이블로 함께 표출할 수 있도록 하였다. 본 연구의 결과를 통해 시스템의 사용자는 예측 강수량과 유출량을 토대로 댐의 방류량을 조정함으로써 댐 수위 모의 운영을 수행할 수 있게 되어 장기적인 물관리 의사결정에 도움이 될 것으로 기대된다.

• 대기
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• 제25권1호
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• pp.19-30
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• 2015

The Ka-band cloud radar (KCR) has been operated by the National Institute of Meteorological Research (NIMR) of Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) at Boseong National Center for Intensive Observation of severe weather since 2013. Evaluation of data quality is an essential process to further analyze cloud information. In this study, we estimate the measurement error and the sampling uncertainty to evaluate data quality. By using vertically pointing data, the statistical uncertainty is obtained by calculating the standard deviation of each radar parameter. The statistical uncertainties decrease as functions of sampling number. The statistical uncertainties of horizontal and vertical reflectivities are identical (0.28 dB). On the other hand, the statistical uncertainties of Doppler velocity (spectrum width) are 2.2 times (1.6 times) larger at the vertical channel. The reflectivity calibration of KCR is also performed using X-band vertically pointing radar (VertiX) and 2-dimensional video disdrometer (2DVD). Since the monitoring of calibration values is useful to evaluate radar condition, the variation of calibration is monitored for five rain events. The average of calibration bias is 10.77 dBZ and standard deviation is 3.69 dB. Finally, the statistical characteristics of cloud properties have been investigated during two months in autumn using calibrated reflectivity. The percentage of clouds is about 26% and 16% on September to October. However, further analyses are required to derive general characteristics of autumn cloud in Korea.

• 한국환경과학회지
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• 제19권8호
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• pp.983-999
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• 2010

Wind power energy is one of the favorable and fast growing renewable energies. It is most important for exact analysis of wind to evaluate and forecast the wind power energy. The purpose of this study is to improve the performance of numerical atmospheric model by data assimilation over a complex coastal area. The benefit of the profiler is its high temporal resolution and dense observation data at the lower troposphere. Three wind profiler sites used in this study are inhomogeneously situated near south-western coastal area of Korean Peninsula. The method of the data assimilation for using the profiler to the model simulation is the three-dimensional variational data assimilation (3DVAR). The experiment of two cases, with/without assimilation, were conducted for how to effect on model results with wind profiler data. It was found that the assimilated case shows the more reasonable results than the other case compared with vertical observation and surface Automatic Weather Station(AWS) data. Although the effect of sonde data was better than profiler at a higher altitude, the profiler data improves the model performance at lower atmosphere. Comparison with the results of 4 June and 5 June suggests that the efficiency with hourly assimilated profiler data is strongly influenced by synoptic conditions. The reduction rate of Normalized Mean Error(NME), mean bias normalized by averaged wind speed of observation, on 4 June was 28% which was larger than 13% of 5 June. In order to examine the difference in wind power energy, the wind power density(WPD) was calculated and compared.

• 한국대기환경학회지
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• 제33권6호
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• pp.554-569
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• 2017

Sensitivity analysis on $PM_{10}$ forecasting simulations was carried out by using two different initial and boundary conditions of meteorological fields: NCEP/FNL (National Centers for Environmental Prediction/Final Analysis) reanlaysis data and NCEP/GFS (National Centers for Environmental Prediction/Global Forecast System) forecasting data, and the comparisons were made between two different simulations. The two results both yielded lower $PM_{10}$ concentrations than observations, with relatively lower biased results by NCEP/FNL than NCEP/GFS. We explored the detailed individual meteorological variables to associate with $PM_{10}$ prediction performance. With the results of NCEP/FNL outperforming GFS, our conclusion is that no particular significant bias was found in temperature fields between NCEP/FNL and NCEP/GFS data, while the overestimated wind speed by NCEP/GFS data influenced on the lower $PM_{10}$ concentrations simulation than NCEP/FNL, by decreasing the duration time of high-$PM_{10}$ loaded air mass over both coastal and metropolitan areas. These comparative characteristics of FNL against GFS data such as maximum 3~4 m/s weaker wind speed, $PM_{10}$ concentration control with the highest possible factor of 1.3~1.6, and one or two hour difference of peak time for each case in this study, were also reflected into the results of statistical analysis. It is implying that improving the surface wind speed fluctuation is an important controlling factor for the better prediction of $PM_{10}$ over Korean Peninsula.

• 한국융합학회논문지
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• 제8권11호
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• pp.363-372
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• 2017

본 연구는 경영자가 제공하는 이익예측정보가 미래 이익의 질에 어떤 영향을 미치는지 분석하였다. 연구의 분석기간은 관심변수(종속변수)를 기준으로 하여 2003년부터 2009년까지(2004년부터 2011년까지)이며, 유가증권상장기업 중 경영자가 영업이익의 예측치를 공시한 기업을 대상으로 총 475개 기업/년 자료가 분석에 이용되었다. 분석결과를 살펴보면 첫째, 당기 경영자의 이익예측성향이 낙관적일수록 미래 이익의 질이 낮은 것으로 나타났다. 둘째, 당기 경영자의 이익예측정확성이 낮을수록 미래 이익의 질이 낮은 것으로 나타났다. 이러한 결과는 미래이익의 질을 결정하는데 있어 경영자의 이익예측정보가 활용될 수 있음을 시사한다.