• Title/Summary/Keyword: Flow fluctuation

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Stock Prediction Model based on Bidirectional LSTM Recurrent Neural Network (양방향 LSTM 순환신경망 기반 주가예측모델)

  • Joo, Il-Taeck;Choi, Seung-Ho
    • The Journal of Korea Institute of Information, Electronics, and Communication Technology
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.204-208
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    • 2018
  • In this paper, we proposed and evaluated the time series deep learning prediction model for learning fluctuation pattern of stock price. Recurrent neural networks, which can store previous information in the hidden layer, are suitable for the stock price prediction model, which is time series data. In order to maintain the long - term dependency by solving the gradient vanish problem in the recurrent neural network, we use LSTM with small memory inside the recurrent neural network. Furthermore, we proposed the stock price prediction model using bidirectional LSTM recurrent neural network in which the hidden layer is added in the reverse direction of the data flow for solving the limitation of the tendency of learning only based on the immediately preceding pattern of the recurrent neural network. In this experiment, we used the Tensorflow to learn the proposed stock price prediction model with stock price and trading volume input. In order to evaluate the performance of the stock price prediction, the mean square root error between the real stock price and the predicted stock price was obtained. As a result, the stock price prediction model using bidirectional LSTM recurrent neural network has improved prediction accuracy compared with unidirectional LSTM recurrent neural network.

The Estimation of Groundwater Recharge with Spatial-Temporal Variability at the Musimcheon Catchment (시공간적 변동성을 고려한 무심천 유역의 지하수 함양량 추정)

  • Kim Nam-Won;Chung Il-Moon;Won Yoo-Seung;Lee Jeong-Woo;Lee Byung-Ju
    • Journal of Soil and Groundwater Environment
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    • v.11 no.5
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    • pp.9-19
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    • 2006
  • The accurate estimation of groundwater recharge is important for the proper management of groundwater systems. The widely used techniques of groundwater recharge estimation include water table fluctuation method, baseflow separation method, and annual water balance method. However, these methods can not represent the temporal-spatial variability of recharge resulting from climatic condition, land use, soil storage and hydrogeological heterogeneity because the methods are all based on the lumped concept and local scale problems. Therefore, the objective of this paper is to present an effective method for estimating groundwater recharge with spatial-temporal variability using the SWAT model which can represent the heterogeneity of the watershed. The SWAT model can simulate daily surface runoff, evapotranspiration, soil storage, recharge, and groundwater flow within the watershed. The model was applied to the Musimcheon watershed located in the upstream of Mihocheon watershed. Hydrological components were determined during the period from 2001 to 2004, and the validity of the results was tested by comparing the estimated runoff with the observed runoff at the outlet of the catchment. The results of temporal and spatial variations of groundwater recharge were presented here. This study suggests that variations in recharge can be significantly affected by subbasin slope as well as land use.

Analysis of Hydraulic Gradient at Coastal Aquifers in Eastern Part of Jeju Island (제주도 동부지역 해안대수층의 조석에 의한 수리경사 변화 연구)

  • Kim, Kue-Young;Shim, Byoung-Ohan;Park, Ki-Hwa;Kim, Tae-Hee;Seong, Hyeon-Jeong;Park, Yun-Seok;Koh, Gi-Won;Woo, Nam-Chil
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
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    • v.38 no.1
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    • pp.79-89
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    • 2005
  • Groundwater level changes in coastal aquifers occur due to oceanic tides, where the properties of oceanic tides can be applied to estimate hyadraulic parameters. Hydraulic parameters of coastal aquifers located in eastern part of Jeju island were estimated using the tidal response technique. Groundwater level data from a saltwater intrusion monitoring well system was used which showed tidal effects from 3 to 5 km. The hydraulic gradient was assessed by utilizing the filtering method from 71 consecutive hourly water-level observations. Calculated hydraulic diffusivity ranged from 2.94${\times}10^7m^2d^{-1}$ to 4.36${\times}10^7m^2d^{-1}$ . The hydraulic gradient of the coastal aquifer area was found to be ~$10^{-4}$, whereas the gradient of the area between wells Handong-1 and 2 was found to be ~$10^{-6}$, which is very low comparatively. Analysis of groundwater monitoring data showed that groundwater levels are periodically higher near coastal areas compared to that of inner land areas due to oceanic tide influences. When assessing groundwater flow direction in coastal aquifers it is important to consider tidal fluctuation.

Variation of Liquid to Gas Ratio and Sulfur Oxide Emission Concentrations in Desulfurization Absorber with Coal-fired Thermal Power Plant Outputs (석탄화력 발전설비의 출력에 따른 탈황 흡수탑 액기비와 황산화물 배출농도 변화에 대한 연구)

  • Kim, Kee-Yeong;Moon, Seung-Jae
    • Plant Journal
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.39-47
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    • 2018
  • In this research, when the output of the standard coal-fired thermal power plant operating continuously at the rated output of 500 MW is changed to operate at 300 to 500 MW, the amount of sulfur oxide produced and the amount of sulfur oxide in the absorption tower of desulfurization equipment and proposed an extra liquid to gas ratio improvement inversely proportional to the output. In order to calibrate the combustion efficiency at low power, the ratio of sulfur oxides relative to the amount of combustion gas is increased as the excess air ratio is increased. When the concentration of sulfur oxide at the inlet of the desulfurization absorber was changed from 300 to 500 ppm along with the output fluctuation. The liquid to gas ratio of limestone slurry and combustion gas was changed from 10.99 to 16.27. Therefore, if the concentration of sulfur oxides with output of 300 MW is x, The following correlation equation is recommended for the minimum required flow rate of slurry for the reduction of surplus energy due to the increase of the liquid weight at low load. $y1[m^3/sec]=0.11x+3.74$

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Mechanism of Wetland Formation according to Interaction of River Bed Fluctuation and Plant Success in the Hangang River Estuary (한강하구에서 하도변화와 식물천이의 상호작용에 따른 습지형성 기작)

  • Lee, Samhee;Youn, Sukzun
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.320-330
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    • 2022
  • The Hangang river estuary, which is a natural estuary without structures such as estuary barrage, is an ecological pathway connecting the sea and rivers. Accordingly, Hangang river estuary has various species, and there is very valuable. Sediment classification in Hangang river estuary is three-dimensionally and diversely is distributed. Sediment classification in Hangang river estuary is also sensitively changed according to various factors such as climate change and river development. It is typically cause to landform and to develop a compound cross section. In Janghang wetland, the plant success is remarkable according to the morphological change at river bed. The purpose of this study is to identify the mechanism of wetland formation based on the observation on-site. As a result of the observation, Janghang wetland where was artificially created, has been grown according to the river bed change based on the flow rate and the plant success. The viscous surface layer material(fine grains of wash rod properties), which is not the main material(sand) of the river bed, but sub-materials of river bed, jas been settled on the pioneer plants(bolboschoenus planiculmis, etc.). It is an important role in the growth of a compound cross section and a wetland. After the wetland developed to the compound cross section, it is observed that the pioneer plants are transferred to other plant species.

Characteristics of Groundwater Levels Fluctuation and Quality in Ddan-sum Area (낙동강 하중도 딴섬의 지하수위 변동 및 수질 특성)

  • Kim, Gyoobum;Choi, Doohoung;Shin, Seonho
    • Journal of the Korean GEO-environmental Society
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.35-43
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    • 2011
  • Confined aquifer, which is separated with upper clayey or silty materials, is partially distributed at the depths of the sediments in Ddan-sum area on the lower Nakdong river. Measurements of groundwater levels at 13 sites explain that groundwater flow shows seasonally various due to seasonal rainfall and agricultural water use. From 9 long-term monitoring data of groundwater levels at 7 sites, 3 types of groundwater levels time series can be classified using principal component analysis. The first type is seen in the center of Ddan-sum and has a round-shape graph due to a weak response to stream water levels. The second type exists in the outer part of Ddan-sum and shows sharply peak-shape graph due to a rapid and strong response to stream water levels and rainfall. The last type, which is seen in a deep layer, has a periodicity by tital effect. From geochemical analysis at each monitoring sites, [$Ca-HCO_3$] type happens in the center of Ddan-sum far from Nakdong river, and [$Na-HCO_3$] and [$Ca-SO_4(Cl)$] types exist in the outer of Ddan-sum affected by river quality.

Major environmental factors and traits of invasive alien plants determining their spatial distribution

  • Oh, Minwoo;Heo, Yoonjeong;Lee, Eun Ju;Lee, Hyohyemi
    • Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • v.45 no.4
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    • pp.277-286
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    • 2021
  • Background: As trade increases, the influx of various alien species and their spread to new regions are prevalent and no longer a special problem. Anthropogenic activities and climate changes have made the distribution of alien species out of their native range common. As a result, alien species can be easily found anywhere, and they have nothing but only a few differences in intensity. The prevalent distribution of alien species adversely affects the ecosystem, and a strategic management plan must be established to control them effectively. To this end, hot spots and cold spots were analyzed according to the degree of distribution of invasive alien plants, and major environmental factors related to hot spots were found. We analyzed the 10,287 distribution points of 126 species of alien plants collected through the national survey of alien species by the hierarchical model of species communities (HMSC) framework. Results: The explanatory and fourfold cross-validation predictive power of the model were 0.91 and 0.75 as AUC values, respectively. The hot spots of invasive plants were found in the Seoul metropolitan area, Daegu metropolitan city, Chungcheongbuk-do Province, southwest shore, and Jeju island. Generally, the hot spots were found where the higher maximum temperature of summer, precipitation of winter, and road density are observed, but temperature seasonality, annual temperature range, precipitation of the summer, and distance to river and sea were negatively related to the hot spots. According to the model, the functional traits accounted for 55% of the variance explained by the environmental factors. The species with higher specific leaf areas were more found where temperature seasonality was low. Taller species preferred the bigger annual temperature range. The heavier seed mass was only preferred when the max temperature of summer exceeded 29 ℃. Conclusions: In this study, hot spots were places where 2.1 times more alien plants were distributed on average than non-hot spots (33.5 vs 15.7 species). The hot spots of invasive plants were expected to appear in less stressful climate conditions, such as low fluctuation of temperature and precipitation. Also, the disturbance by anthropogenic factors or water flow had positive influences on the hot spots. These results were consistent with the previous reports about the ruderal or competitive strategies of invasive plants instead of the stress-tolerant strategy. The functional traits are closely related to the ecological strategies of plants by shaping the response of species to various environmental filters, and our result confirmed this. Therefore, in order to effectively control alien plants, it is judged that the occurrence of disturbed sites in which alien plants can grow in large quantities is minimized, and the river management of waterfronts is required.

Computational Simulation of Coaxial eVTOL Aircraft in Ground Effect (동축 반전 전기동력 수직이착륙기의 지면 효과에 대한 전산해석)

  • Yang, Jin-Yong;Lee, Hyeok-Jin;Myong, Rho-Shin;Lee, Hakjin
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.50 no.9
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    • pp.599-608
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    • 2022
  • Urban air mobility (UAM) equipped with rotor system is subject to ground effect at vertiport during takeoff and landing. The aerodynamic performance of the aircraft in ground effect should be analyzed for the safe operation. In this study, The ground effects on the aerodynamic performance and wake structure of the quadcopter electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) configuration equipped with coaxial counter-rotating propellers were investigated by using the lattice Boltzmann method (LBM). The influence of the ground effect was observed differently in the upper and lower propellers of the coaxial counter-rotating propeller system. There was no significant change in the aerodynamic performance of the upper propeller even if the propeller height above the ground was changed, whereas the averaged thrust and torque of the lower propeller increased significantly as propeller height decreased. In addition, the amplitude of the thrust fluctuation tended to increase as the propeller height decreased. The propeller wake was not sufficiently propagated downstream and was diffused along the ground due to the outwash flow developed by the ground effect. The impingement of the rotor wakes on the ground and a fountain vortex structure were observed.

Estimation of Spatial Accumulation and transportation of Chl-$\alpha$ by the Numerical Modeling in Red Tide of Chinhae Bay (진해만 적조에 있어서 수치모델링에 의한 Chl-$\alpha$의 공간적 집적과 확산 평가)

  • Lee Dae-In
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Marine Environment & Energy
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2004
  • The summer distribution of $Cha-{alpha}$ and physical processes for simulating outbreak region of red tide were estimated by the Eco-Hydrodynamic model in Chinhae Bay. As a result of simulation of surface residual currents, the southward flow come in contact with the northward flow at the inlet and western part of bay in case of windlessness and below wind velocity 2 m/sec. As wind velocity increases, the velocity and direction of currents were fairly shifted. The predicted concentration of $Cha-{alpha}$ exceeded 20 mg/㎥ in Masan and Haengam Bays, and most regions were over 10 mg/㎥, which meant the possibility of red tide outbreak. From the results of the contributed physical processes to $Cha-{alpha}$, accumulation sites were distributed at the northern part of Kadok channel, around the Chilcheon island, the western part of Kajo island and some area of Chindong Bay. On the other hand, inner parts of the study area such as Masan Bay were estimated as the sites of strong algal activities. Masan and Haengam Bay are considered as the initial outbreak region of red tide by the modeling and observed data, and then red tide expanded to other areas such as physical accumulation region and western inner bay, as depending on environmental variation. The increase of wind velocity led to decrease of $Cha-{alpha}$ and enlargement of accumulation region. The variation of intensity of radiation and sunshine duration caused to rapidly fluctuation of $Cha-{alpha}$: however, it was not largely affected by the variation of pollutant loads from the land only.

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A Study of Hydrodynamic Dispersions in the Unsaturated and the Saturated Zone of a Multi-soil Layer Deposit Using a Continuous Injection Tracer Test (복합토양층의 불포화대와 포화대에서 연속주입 추적자시험을 이용한 수리분산특성 연구)

  • Chung, Sang-Yong;Kang, Dong-Hwan;Lee, Min-Hee;Son, Joo-Hyong
    • Journal of Soil and Groundwater Environment
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.48-56
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    • 2006
  • Using a continuous injection tracer test at a multi-soil layer deposit, the difference of hydrodynamic dispersions in unsaturated and saturated zones were analyzed through breakthrough curves of Rhodamine WT, linear regression of concentration versus time, concentration variation rates versus time, and concentration ratio according to the distance from injection well. As a result of continuous injection tracer test, the difference of the maximum concentrations of Rhodamine WT in unsaturated and saturated zones were 13-15 times after 160 hours, and the increased rate of concentration versus time in unsaturated zone was about 10 times higher than in saturated zone. The fluctuation of Rhodamine WT breakthrough curve and concentration variation rate with time in saturated zone were larger than in unsaturated zone. Rhodamine WT concentration ratio with the distance from the injection well in saturation zone was linearly decreased faster than in unsaturated zone, and the elapsed time necessary for the concentration ratio less than 2 was longer in saturation zone. The differences resulted from the lower concentration and slower hydrodynamic dispersion of Rhodamine WT at the saturation zone of the multi-soil layer deposit, in which groundwater flow significantly flow and aquifer materials have high hydraulic heterogeneity. Effective porosity, longitudinal and transverse dispersivities were estimated $10.19{\sim}10.50%,\;0.80{\sim}1.98m$ and $0.02{\sim}0.04m$, respectively. The field longitudinal dispersivity is over 12 times larger than the laboratory longitudinal dispersivity by the scale-dependent effect.