• Title/Summary/Keyword: Flood evaluation

Search Result 388, Processing Time 0.024 seconds

Establishment of Accuracy Criteria of Flood Inundation Map Using Quantitative Evaluation Indices (정량적 평가 지표를 활용한 호우피해 예측지도의 정확도 판단기준 설정)

  • Lee, Jin-Young;Kim, Dongkyun;Park, Kyung Woon;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
    • /
    • v.39 no.3
    • /
    • pp.381-389
    • /
    • 2019
  • It is important to estimate flood overflow because adverse weather phenomena are frequently occurring in recent years. In order to cope with such abnormal floods, it is essential to perform flood inundation simulations for constructing flood inundation maps as nonstructural countermeasures. However, there is no quantitative evaluation method and criterion for flood inundation prediction. In this study, the Receiver Operation Characteristics (ROC) and Lee Sallee Shape Index (LSSI) were employed to quantitatively evaluate the accuracy of flood inundation maps for 10 administrative districts. Comparing predicted inundation maps with actual inundation trace maps, the ROC score was 0.631 and the LSSI was 25.16 %. Using the ROC and the LSSI, we proposed an evaluation criterion for flood inundation map. The average score was set as an intermediate score and distributed into 5 intervals. The validity of the evaluation criterion was investigated by applying to the XP-SWMM model, which has been verified and corrected. The ROC analysis result was 0.8496 and the LSSI was 51.92 %. It is considered that the proposed evaluation criteria can be applied to flood inundation maps.

Sub-Components Evaluation Method of Potential Flood Damage Considering Yearly Change and Improved Method (연도별 변화와 개선된 방법을 고려한 홍수피해잠재능의 세부 항목 평가 방안)

  • Hong, Seungjin;Joo, Hongjun;Kim, Kyoungtak;Kim, Hung Soo
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
    • /
    • v.20 no.4
    • /
    • pp.370-382
    • /
    • 2018
  • The purpose of this study is to quantitatively and effectively evaluate the factors affecting flood damage by watershed. National Water Resource Plan(MOCT, 2001) has been developed Potential Flood Damage(PFD) which indicates flood vulnerability. But, it is only a simple grouping and it does not provide guidelines for flood control planning based on detailed evaluation of sub-components. In this study, we used PFD in the Han River basin according to the method applied in the National Water Resource Plan (existing method) and improvement based on actual flood hazard area and data. As an application method, after analyzing by yearly change(2009~2014), we compared and analyzed the tendency of the sub - components that constitute the potential and risk rather than the current grouping. As the result, it was possible to accurately evaluate the existing and improved methods, and it was possible to derive the vulnerability rankings, but the existing methods have different results from the actual watershed tendency. Therefore, the PFD of the improvement method that correctly reflects past history and watershed characteristics is more appropriate for the evaluation of flood vulnerability in the watershed. In addition, it is reasonable to establish a flood control plan referring to this and prevent flood damage in advance.

Conceptual Design of a Hazard Evaluation Process for Constructing the Korean Hazard Information System : Focused on Flood Hazard (한국형 재해정보시스템 구축을 위한 재해평가 프로세스 개념설계 : 홍수재해를 중심으로)

  • Jeong, Keun-Chae
    • IE interfaces
    • /
    • v.21 no.4
    • /
    • pp.365-377
    • /
    • 2008
  • In this paper, for constructing the Korean Hazard Information System (KHIS), we conceptually design a hazard evaluation process. We first deal with a hazard evaluation process focused on flood hazard to give the most immense damage and loss. The hazard evaluation process is consist of a damage evaluation process and a loss evaluation process, and is used for transforming hazards from natural disasters into economic measures. The proposed process is developed based on the famous FEMA (Federal Emergency Management Agency)'s $HAZAS^{@MH}$methodology. We modify the FEMA's process to be mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive, that is all losses from the hazards are included into the estimation process but the losses are not duplicated in the process. In addition to this, we define the loss process specifically by considering the characteristics from the hazard environments of Korea. We can expect that KHIS for evaluating economic losses from natural hazards can be developed based on the conceptual design for the economic loss evaluation process, and KHIS can be used as a useful tool for analyzing the feasibilities of mitigation plans in central/local governments.

Assessment of Potential Flood Damage Considering Regional Flood Damage Cycle (지역별 홍수피해주기를 고려한 홍수위험잠재능 평가)

  • Kim, Soo-jin;Bae, Seung-jong;Kim, Seong-pil;Bae, Yeon-Joung
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
    • /
    • v.57 no.4
    • /
    • pp.143-151
    • /
    • 2015
  • Recently, flood has been increased due to climate change resulting in numerous damages for humans and properties. The main objective of this study was to suggest a methodology to estimate the flood vulnerability using Potential Flood Damage (PFD) concept. To evaluate the PFD at a spatial resolutions of city/county units, the 19 representative evaluation indexing factors were carefully selected for the three categories such as damage target ($F_{DT}$), damage potential ($F_{DP}$) and prevention ability ($F_{PA}$). The three flood vulnerability indices of $F_{DT}$, $F_{DP}$ and $F_{PA}$ were applied for the 162 cities and counties in Korea for the pattern classification of potential flood damage. It is expected that the supposed PFD can be utilized as the useful flood vulnerability index for more rational and practical protection plans against flood damage.

A Study on Potential Flood Damage Classification and characteristic analysis (시군별 홍수위험잠재능 유형화 및 특성분석)

  • Kim, Soo-Jin;Eun, Sang-Kyu;Kim, Seong-Pil;Bae, Seung-Jong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
    • /
    • v.23 no.3
    • /
    • pp.21-36
    • /
    • 2017
  • Climate change is intensifying storms and floods around the world. Where nature has been destroyed by development, communities are at risk from these intensified climate patterns. This study was to suggest a methodology for estimating flood vulnerability using Potential Flood Damage(PFD) concept and classify city/county about Potential Flood Damage(PFD) using various typology techniques. To evaluate the PFD at a spatial resolutions of city/county units, the 20 representative evaluation indexing factors were carefully selected for the three categories such as damage target(FDT), damage potential(FDP) and prevention ability(FPA). The three flood vulnerability indices of FDT, FDP and FPA were applied for the 167 cities and counties in Korea for the pattern classification of potential flood damage. Potential Flood Damage(PFD) was classified by using grouping analysis, decision tree analysis, and cluster analysis, and characteristics of each type were analyzed. It is expected that the suggested PFD can be utilized as the useful flood vulnerability index for more rational and practical risk management plans against flood damage.

Evaluation of flood control capacity of agricultural reservoirs during flood season (홍수기 농업용 저수지의 홍수조절용량의 평가)

  • Jang, Ik Geun;Lee, Jae Yong;Lee, Jeong Beom;Kim, Jin Soo
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
    • /
    • v.56 no.4
    • /
    • pp.69-75
    • /
    • 2014
  • We investigated flood control capacity of 484 agricultural reservoirs with storage capacity of over 1 million $m^3$ in South Korea. In general, agricultural reservoir secures flood control capacity by setting up limited water level during flood season from late June to mid-September. The flood control capacity of an agricultural reservoir during flood season can be divided into stable flood control capacity during non-flood season, stable flood control capacity associated with limited water level, and unstable flood control capacity associated with limited water level. In general, the flood control capacity significantly (P < 0.001) increased with reservoir capacity irrespective of type of spillway. The unstable flood control capacity accounted for about 20 % of reservoir capacity in the uncontrolled reservoirs. The study reservoirs showed flood control capacity of 0.60-65 billion (B) $m^3$ and stable flood control capacity of 0.43-47 B $m^3$, depending on the upper and lower limited water levels during the flood season. The stable flood control capacity of the gated reservoirs (0.29-0.33 B $m^3$) was about two times than that of reservoirs with uncontrolled spillways (0.14 B $m^3$). The ratios of stable flood control capacity to reservoir capacity for agricultural reservoirs range from 21 to 23 %, similar to that for Daecheong multipurpose dam. Moreover, the reservoirs with over 100 mm ratio of flood control capacity to watershed area accounted for 38 % of total gated reservoirs. The results indicate that many agricultural reservoirs may contribute to controlling flood in the small watersheds during the flood season.

A Study on the Risk Evaluation of Subway Flood Inundation in Urban Area (도심지역 지하철 침수 위험도 평가에 관한 연구)

  • Kun-Hak Chun;Jong-Cheol Seo ;Hyeon-Gu Choi;Ji-Min Kim
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
    • /
    • v.25 no.2
    • /
    • pp.83-90
    • /
    • 2023
  • Due to climate change, the occurrence of abnormal rainfall is increasing, and the intensity and scale of damage caused by heavy rain are increasing every year. In addition, as the frequency of heavy rains becomes more frequent, heavy rains often occur continuously, resulting in large flooding damage that has never been seen before in urban area. When near rivers and coastal areas are impermeable areas, the maximum flow increases rapidly as the rainfall intensity increases, so a comprehensive flood risk evaluation is needed considering the characteristics of the basin. In this study, the flood inundation risk evaluation was analyzed by giving scores on evaluation factors as a measure to prevent inundation in subway stations. Through the flood inundation risk evaluation process considering the comprehensive evaluation index, the flood risk evaluation was conducted on five urban railway stations with a large amount of traffic and floating population that had been inundated in the past. It is judged that by comprehensively analyzing this and establishing a inundation risk grade (grade 1 to 4) to establish a flood measure suitable for the risk grade.

Evaluation of Overtopping Risks of Levee by using Reliability Analysis (신뢰성 해석에 의한 제방의 월류 위험도 산정)

  • Lee, Cheol-Eung;Park, Dong-Heon;Shim, Jae-Wook
    • Journal of Industrial Technology
    • /
    • v.29 no.A
    • /
    • pp.101-110
    • /
    • 2009
  • Due to frequent occurrence of a localized torrential downpour caused by global warming and change of outflow tendency caused by rapid urbanization and industrialization, risk analysis must be carried out in levee design with uncertainty. In this study, reliability analysis was introduced to quantitatively evaluate the overtopping risk of levee by the uncertainty. First of all, breaking function was established as a function of flood stage and height of levee. All variables of breaking function were considered as random variables following any distribution functions, and the risk was defined as the possibility that the flood stage is formed higher than height of levee. The risk evaluation model was developed with AFDA (Approximate Full Distribution Approach). The flood stage computed by 2-D numerical model FESWMS-2DH was used as input data for the model of levee risk evaluation. Risk for levee submergence were quantitatively presented for levee of Wol-Song-Cheon.

  • PDF

Parameter Calibration of Storage Function Model and Flood Forecasting (1) Calibration Methods and Evaluation of Simulated Flood Hydrograph (저류함수모형의 매개변수 보정과 홍수예측 (1) 보정 방법론과 모의 홍수수문곡선의 평가)

  • Song, Jae Hyun;Kim, Hung Soo;Hong, Il Pyo;Kim, Sang Ug
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
    • /
    • v.26 no.1B
    • /
    • pp.27-38
    • /
    • 2006
  • The storage function model (SFM) has been used for the flood forecasting in Korea. The SFM has a simple calculation process and it is known that the model is more reasonable than linear model because it considers non-linearity of flood runoff. However, the determination of parameters is very difficult. In general, the trial and error method which is an manual calibration by the decision of a model manager. This study calibrated the parameters by the trial and error method and optimization technique. The calibrated parameters were compared with the representative parameters which are used in the Flood Control Centers in Korea. Also, the evaluation indexes on objective functions and calibration methods for the comparative analysis of simulation efficiency. As a result, the Genetic Algorithm showed the smallest variation in objective functions and, in this study, it is known that the objective function of SSR (Sum of Squared of Residual) is the best one for the flood forecasting.

Numerical Analysis in Hydrograph Determination for Sluice Gate installed Levee (배수통문이 설치된 제방의 설계수위파형결정에 관한 수치해석)

  • Kim, Jin-Man;Choi, Bong-Hyuck;Oh, Eun-Ho;Cho, Won-Beom
    • Journal of the Korean Geosynthetics Society
    • /
    • v.14 no.4
    • /
    • pp.1-9
    • /
    • 2015
  • According to national regulations and its commentary, such as Rivers Design Criteria & Commentary (KWRA, 2009), Foundation Structure Guideline and its Commentary(MLTM, 2014 and KGS, 2009), the integrity evaluation of river levee includes slope stability evaluation of both riverside/protected low-land and piping stability evaluation with respect to foundation and levee body along with water level conditions. In this case the design hydro-graph can be the most important input factor for the integrity evaluation, however it is fact that the national regulations do not provide any proper determination methods regarding hydro-graph. The authors thus executed an integrity evaluation of sluice gate in levee by changing each hydro-graph factor, including rising ordinary water level, lasting flood water level, falling water level, and flood frequency, in order to suggest a determination method of reasonable hydro-graph. As a result, the authors suggested that at least over 57 hours of rising ordinary water level and over 53 hours of lasting flood water level should be considered for the design hydro-graph of sluice gate in levee at Mun-san-jae.