• 제목/요약/키워드: Flood Model

검색결과 1,579건 처리시간 0.023초

하천유역의 홍수관리 시스템 모델 (Flood-Flow Managenent System Model of River Basin)

  • Lee, Soon-Tak
    • 물과 미래
    • /
    • 제26권4호
    • /
    • pp.117-125
    • /
    • 1993
  • A flood -flow management system model of river basin has been developed in this study. The system model consists of the observation and telemetering system, the rainfall forecasting and data-bank system, the flood runoff simulation system, the dam operation simulation system, the flood forecasting simulation system and the flood warning system. The Multivariate model(MV) and Meterological-factor regression model(FR) for rainfall forecasting and the Streamflow synthesis and reservoir regulation(SSARR) model for flood runoff simulation have been adopted for the development of a new system model for flood-flow management. These models are calibrated to determine the optimal parameters on the basis of observed rainfall, streamflow and other hydrological data during the past flood periods. The flood-flow management system model with SSARR model(FFMM-SR,FFMM-SR(FR) and FFMM-SR(MV)), in which the integrated operation of dams and rainfall forecasting in the basin are considered, is then suggested and applied for flood-flow management and forecasting. The results of the simulations done at the base stations are analysed and were found to be more accurate and effective in the FFMM-SR and FFMM0-SR(MV).

  • PDF

댐저수지군의 최적연계운영을 고려한 유출예측시스템모형 구축을 위한 기초적 연구 (A Basic Study on the Flood-Flow Forecasting System Model with Integrated Optimal Operation of Multipurpose Dams)

  • 안승섭
    • 한국농공학회지
    • /
    • 제37권3_4호
    • /
    • pp.48-60
    • /
    • 1995
  • A flood - flow forecasting system model of river basins has been developed in this study. The system model consists of the data management system(the observation and telemetering system, the rainfall forecasting and data-bank system), the flood runoff simulation system, the reservoir operation simulation system, the flood forecasting simulation system, the flood warning system and the user's menu system. The Multivariate Rainfall Forecasting model, Meteorological factor regression model and Zone expected rainfall model for rainfall forecasting and the Streamflow synthesis and reservoir regulation(SSARR) model for flood runoff simulation have been adopted for the development of a new system model for flood - flow forecasting. These models are calibrated to determine the optimal parameters on the basis of observed rainfall, 7 streamfiow and other hydrological data during the past flood periods.

  • PDF

One-Way Error Component Regression Model을 활용한 도시지역 수재해 취약성 변화의 실증연구 (A Study on the Changes of Flood Vulnerability in Urban Area Using One-Way Error Component Regression Model)

  • 최충익
    • 환경정책연구
    • /
    • 제3권2호
    • /
    • pp.89-112
    • /
    • 2004
  • This Study aims to demonstrate how much flood vulnerability in urban area changed for the past 32 years by using the panel model. At the same time, this study strives to determine the primary factors and to construct an effective counter-plan by means of empirical research. After selecting research hypotheses based on considerations of issues concerning causes for urban flooding, their relevance is put to the test by conducting empirical research in individual case locations. This research verifies the four research hypotheses by using one-way error component regression model. In conclusion, this research has shown that urban land use and local characteristics act as significant flood determinants, with forests acting to reduce flood dangers. Moreover, constructing embankments can no longer represent a reliable flood control policy. The changes in future flood control policies need to incorporate local characteristics and to minimize natural destruction, so that humans and nature can coexist through environmentally friendly flood management policies.

  • PDF

돌발홍수 모니터링 및 예측 모형을 이용한 예측(F2MAP)태풍 루사에 의한 양양남대천 유역의 돌발홍수 모니터링

  • 김병식;홍준범;최규현;윤석영
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국수자원학회 2006년도 학술발표회 논문집
    • /
    • pp.1145-1149
    • /
    • 2006
  • The typhoon Rusa passed through the Korean peninsula from the west-southern part to the east-northern part in the summer season of 2002. The flash flood due to the Rusa was occurred over the Korean peninsula and especially the damage was concentrated in Kangnung, Yangyang, Kosung, and Jeongsun areas of Kangwon-Do. Since the latter half of the 1990s the flash flood has became one of the frequently occurred natural disasters in Korea. Flash floods are a significant threat to lives and properties. The government has prepared against the flood disaster with the structural and nonstructural measures such as dams, levees, and flood forecasting systems. However, since the flood forecasting system requires the rainfall observations as the input data of a rainfall-runoff model, it is not a realistic system for the flash flood which is occurred in the small basins with the short travel time of flood flow. Therefore, the flash flood forecasting system should be constructed for providing the realistic alternative plan for the flash flood. To do so, firstly, Flash Flood Monitoring and Prediction (FFMP) Model must be developed suitable to Korea terrain. In this paper, We develop the FFMP model which is based on GIS, Radar techniques and hydro-geomorphologic approaches. We call it the F2MAP model. F2MAP model has three main components (1) radar rainfall estimation module for the Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts (QPF), (2) GIS Module for the Digital terrain analysis, called TOPAZ(Topographic PArametiZation), (3) hydrological module for the estimation of threshold runoff and Flash Flood Guidance(FFG). For the performance test of the model developed in this paper, F2MAP model applied to the Kangwon-Do, Korea, where had a severe damage by the Typhoon Rusa in August, 2002. The result shown that F2MAP model is suitable for the monitoring and the prediction of flash flood.

  • PDF

A Forecasting Model for the Flood Peak Stage and Flood Travel Time by Hydraulic Flood Routing

  • Yoon, Yong-Nam;Park, Moo-Jong
    • Korean Journal of Hydrosciences
    • /
    • 제4권
    • /
    • pp.11-19
    • /
    • 1993
  • The peak flood discharge at a downstream station and the flood travel time between a pair of dams due to a specific flood release from the upper reservoir are computed using a hydraulic river channel routing method. The study covered the whole large reservoir system in the Han River, Korea. The computed flood discharges and the travel times between dams were correlated with the duration and the magnitude of flood release rate at the upstream reservoir, and hence a multiple regression model is proposed for each river reach between a pair of dams. The peak flood discharge at a downstream location can be converted to the peak flood stage by a rating curve. Hence, the proposed regression model could be used to forecast the peak flood stage at a downstream location and the flood travel time between dams using the information on the flood travel time, release rate and duration from the upper dam.

  • PDF

신경회로망을 이용한 Web기반 홍수유출 예측시스템 (Web-Based Forecasting System for Flood Runoff with Neural Network)

  • 황동국;전계원
    • 한국지능시스템학회논문지
    • /
    • 제15권4호
    • /
    • pp.437-442
    • /
    • 2005
  • 하천에서의 홍수유출 예측은 하천의 치수적인 측면에서도 중요하다. 본 논문에서는 신경회로망 모형을 이용해서 개발된 홍수유출 예측 시스템의 적용성을 검토하였다. 입력층에는 강우자료와 홍수량 자료를 출력층에는 홍수유출량이 예측되도록 구성하였다. 홍수유출 예측 시스템 구성시 예측모형 선정을 위해 신경회로망 모형과 상태공간 모형을 이용하여 홍수시 실시간 하천유출량 예측을 수행하였다. 두 모형의 예측결과 비교시 신경회로망 모형이 실시간 홍수량 예측에 적합한 모형으로 선정되었다. 신경회로망 모형은 Web 상에서 사용이 가능하게 변환하여 홍수유출 예측시스템의 기본모형으로 개발하였다.

HEC-HMS와 HEC-RAS모형의 연계에 의한 댐 유역의 홍수영향 분석 (Flood Effects Analysis of Reservoir Basin through the Linkage of HEC-HMS and HEC-RAS Models)

  • 이원희;김선주;김필식
    • 한국농공학회논문집
    • /
    • 제46권2호
    • /
    • pp.15-25
    • /
    • 2004
  • For the effective operation of irrigation reservoirs, a general and systematic policy is suggested to make balance of the conflicting purposes between water conservation and flood control. In this study, the flood effective analysis system was developed through the integration of long-term water budget analysis model, GIS-based HEC-HMS model and HEC-RAS model. The system structure consists of long-term water budget model using modified TANK theory, flood runoff and flood effects analysis model using HEC-GeoHMS, HEC-HMS and HEC-RAS models. The flood effects analysis system simulated the flood runoff from the upstream, downstream flood and long-term runoff of the watershed using the observed data collected from 1998 to 2002 of Seongju dam. The simulated results were reasonably good compared with the observed data. The optimal management method of the reservoir during the whole season is suggested in this study, and the flood analysis system can be a useful tool to evaluate a reservoir operation quantitatively for the mitigation of flood damages of reservoir basin.

자연하천의 홍수범람 모의 및 가시화 (Modeling and Visualization of Flood Inundation in Natural River)

  • 고태진;정태성
    • 한국방재학회 논문집
    • /
    • 제8권3호
    • /
    • pp.157-164
    • /
    • 2008
  • 하천의 홍수범람 예보시스템개발을 위한 초기연구로 부정류 모형인 FLDWAV 모형을 사용하여 홍수범람을 해석하고, 모형결과인 홍수 범람 현상의 시간적 변화를 그래픽을 사용하여 효과적으로 볼 수 있도록 한 홍수범람 가시화 시스템을 개발하였다. FLDWAV를 이용한 모형결과의 신뢰성을 확인하기 위해 HEC-RAS 모형을 동시에 적용하여 모의결과를 비교한 결과, 두 모형에 의한 결과는 거의 일치하였다. 본 연구에서 개발된 가시화시스템을 활용하면, 강우로 인해 발생되는 자연하천에서 홍수파 전파와 하천 범람을 신속하고 자세하게 그래픽으로 관찰할 수 있다. 본 시스템은 수리학적 지식이 없는 사람들도 홍수범람 모의 결과를 쉽게 이해하게 하며, 홍수범람 예보와 하천 범람으로 인한 재해의 방지대책을 신속하게 수립하는 데 도움을 주어 홍수범람으로 인한 자연재해를 경감하는 데 기여할 것이다.

결정론적 홍수위 추적 모형을 이용한 우이천 유역의 홍수범람도 작성 (Flood Hazard Map in Woo Ee Stream Basin Using Conclusive Hydraulic Routing Model)

  • 문영일;윤선권;김재현;안재현
    • 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국방재학회 2008년도 정기총회 및 학술발표대회
    • /
    • pp.637-640
    • /
    • 2008
  • Flood control and river improvement works are carried out every year for the defense of the flood disaster, it is impossible to avoid the damage when there is a flood exceeding the capacity of hydraulic structures. Therefore, nonstructural counter plans such as the establishment of flood hazard maps, the flood warning systems are essential with structural counter plans. In this study, analysis of the internal inundation effect using rainfall runoff model such as PC-SWMM was applied to Woo Ee experimental stream basin. Also, the design frequency analysis for effects of the external inundation was accomplished by main parameter estimation for conclusive hydraulic routing using HEC-RAS model. Finally, inundated areas for flood hazard map were estimated at Woo Ee downstream basin according to flood frequency using HEC-GeoRAS model linked by Arc View GIS.

  • PDF

A Channel Flood Routing by the Analytical Diffusion Model

  • Yoon, Yong-Nam;Yoo, Chul-Sang
    • Korean Journal of Hydrosciences
    • /
    • 제1권
    • /
    • pp.1-14
    • /
    • 1990
  • The analytical diffusion model is first formulated and its characteristics are critically reviewed. The flood events during the 1985-1986 flood seasons in the IHP Pyungchang Representative Basin are routed by this model and are compared with those routed by the kinematic wave model. The present model is proven to be an excellent means of taking the backwater effects due to lateral inflow or downstream river stage variations into consideration in channel routing of flood flows. It also requires much less effort and computing time at a desired station compared to any other reliable flood routing methods.

  • PDF