• 수산해양기술연구
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• 제48권1호
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• pp.72-81
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• 2012

Using artificial neural network (ANN) technique, auction prices for common mackerel were forecasted with the daily total sale and auction price data at the Busan Cooperative Fish Market before introducing Total Allowable Catch (TAC) system, when catch data had no limit in Korea. Virtual input data produced from actual data were used to improve the accuracy of prediction and the suitable neural network was induced for the prediction. We tested 35 networks to be retained 10, and found good performance network with regression ratio of 0.904 and determination coefficient of 0.695. There were significant variations between training and verification errors in this network. Ideally, it should require more training cases to avoid over-learning, which leads to improve performance and makes the results more reliable. And the precision of prediction was improved when environmental factors including physical and biological variables were added. This network for prediction of price and catch was considered to be applicable for other fishes.

• Ocean and Polar Research
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• 제36권1호
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• pp.71-76
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• 2014

This study aims to analyze the market interactions among the main farmed fish species in Korea, using both multivariate and bivariate cointegration analysis. For the analysis of market interactions among farmed fish species, major four farmed fish species, olive flounder (Paralichthys olivaceus), black rockfish (Sebastes schlegeli), red seabream (Pagrus major), and grey mullet (Mugil cephalus) were selected as the analytical target species. And their real price data by month from January 2000 to December 2011 were used in the analysis. The results of the multivariate cointegration test for four farmed fish showed that there would be no long-term equilibrium relationships among farmed fish species, and consequently they do not share the same market. The results of bivariate cointegration test indicated that there was little evidence to suggest that all farmed fish species were cointegrated each other. However, it was only analyzed that olive flounder and grey mullet might have a long run equilibrium relationship.

• 한국수산과학회지
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• 제56권2호
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• pp.243-252
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• 2023

Fluctuations in the price of aquaculture products have recently intensified. In particular, wholesale price fluctuations are adversely affecting consumers. Therefore, there is an emerging need for a study on forecasting the wholesale price of aquaculture products. The present study forecasted the wholesale price of olive flounder Paralichthys olivaceus, a representative farmed fish species in Korea, by constructing multivariate long-short term memory (LSTM) and gated recurrent unit (GRU) models. These deep learning models have recently been proven to be effective for forecasting in various fields. A total of 191 monthly data obtained for 17 variables were used to train and test the models. The results showed that the mean average percent error of LSTM and GRU models were 2.19% and 2.68%, respectively.

• 수산경영론집
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• 제45권3호
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• pp.99-110
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• 2014

Flounder was selected as one of the 10 strategic export aquaculture products for seafood export expansion in 2013. The flounder aquaculture industry has promoted export market diversification and product diversification from live to processed goods as a it's main strategy. The purpose of this study is to find an improvement plan for export expansion to the United States, as it emerged as a new target export market for the flounder. A summary of the key findings is as follows. First, the western region of the United States prefers to consume live and fresh flounder, whereas the eastern region prefers to consume fresh flounder. Second, because of it's high quality, Korean flounder is favored in the western region of the United States despite it's high price, whereas in the eastern region of the United States, where production volume is high, Korean flounder has to compete with US flounders because of it's high price. Third, according to the survey results, US consumers tend to enjoy seafood, as well as flounder cuisines. Fourth, the main consumption place of flounders by US consumers are restaurants, and they prefer to consume them in the form of sashimi and sushi. Fifth, 70% of US consumers expressed willingness to consume flounder when eating out. which shows great market potential. However, the high price of Korean flounder and limited size of the live fish market act as major obstacles to expanding export volume. To expand exporting Korean flounder, continuos efforts such as price reduction, exporting highly fresh fish, the co-development of processed food with the US are needed.

• 한국어업기술학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국어업기술학회 2001년도 춘계 수산관련학회 공동학술대회발표요지집
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• pp.319-321
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• 2001

Supply of ntrition-balanced feed is very important for growth of fish, especially for growth of early period of fish. Therefore, most of commercial feeds for larval and juvenile fish are relatively expensive due to high level of the several nutrients to satisfy their requirements for growth. Overfeeding larval fish may increase fish production cost because of larvae feeds high price and deteriorate water quality, eventually reduce growth of fish. (omitted)

• 수산경영론집
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• 제26권2호
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• pp.75-92
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• 1995

This paper tried to estimate the pass - through of exchange rate changes to export price of fishery products using export price function. The results are as follows : 1) The variable of fluctuation of exchange rate of Won(equation omitted) to Yen(equation omitted)(variable E2) is more powerful explanatory variable than that of Won to U.S. dollar to explain the fluctiation of export price of fishery products(varible $P_{t}$)- 2) The variable of fish catches(variable K $P_{t}$) is also found to be a statistically significant varible but that of producer price index is not found. 3) The variable E2 have statistically a more influence on variable $P_{t}$ than variable K $P_{t.}$ 4) The estimation shows us that 1% of fluctuation of variable E2 could result in 0.9978% of fluctuation of variable $P_{t.}$

• 수산경영론집
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• 제28권2호
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• pp.39-66
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• 1997

The objective of this study is to suggest the improvement method of the profitability in our marine fish culture business. So I investigated the actual condition for aquaculture farms in South Sea coast by the question and actual survey. 1 recognized the following facts; 1) The marine floating netcage system are a great portion in two province - Kyeongnam and Cheunnam, 2) The rockfish are reared absolutely much more than the olive flounder, 3) The polyculture by various species are more carried out than the monoculture of the olive flounder or rockfish, etc. I analyzed the profitability in olive flounder monoculture, rockfish monoculture, olive flounder and rockfish polyculture, and rockfish polyculture taking turns year by year respectively. At a result I comfirmed that the net income to net sales was the highest in the olive flounder monoculture bacouse the olive flounder,s sale price was higher than rockfish price. But internal rate of return(IRR) and net present value(NPV) were high in the olive flounder and rockfish polyculture or the rockfish taking turns polyculture. The reasons were alttributed to their high utility of a netcage and to reduction of a capital cost. So, I suggest 1) to feed the bigger product in short term, 2) to reduction of a feed and seed cost, 3) to increase a survival rate of fish and 4) to enlarge production by highly utilizing a netcage. And I recognized that a aquaculture manager should make constantly an effort to gain more profit by rearing more good products and by reducing a production cost.

• 수산경영론집
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• 제38권3호
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• pp.89-108
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• 2007

The purpose of the study are summarized as follows: First, it has researched the new functions of middleman in Fisheries Port Market. Second, the new functions which middleman have to perform in Fisheries Port Market consist of the origin function, marketing function, logistics function. The origin function consists of the discrimination of fish species and freshness, making the price by auction, financing, etc. Marketing function consists of various species assortment from not only fisheries port market but also non fisheries port market as frozen and import fish markets, finding the new selling markets as not broker but wholesaler, making the price and margin non through the action, processing, etc. Logistics function consist of fish stock, delivery Third, it has recognized the upcoming important problems by building up the new functions as middleman in Fisheries port Market. This study has used a questionnaire to verify 3 hypotheses. Research model, factor analysis, regression analysis. The result of this study are summarized as follows: The origin function influences positively on the effectiveness of middleman's performance in Fisheries port Market. Marketing function influences positively on the effectiveness of middleman's performance. However, logistics function did not directly influences on the effectiveness of middleman's performance.

• Ocean and Polar Research
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• 제32권1호
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• pp.23-40
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• 2010

This study investigated the effects of imported fisheries products on WTO/DDA tariff negotiations. To calculate the results, the study estimated the demand functions of imported fisheries products by using unit root and cointegration approaches. These approaches allowed us to solve spurious regression problems with macro-economic variables. In addition, this study surmised the effects of change by individually imported fish products from a tariff negotiation model using price elasticities of estimated import demand function. In a process of the analysis for estimating import effects, this study found out that 39 out of 128 imported fish products had positive (+) price elasticities or did not exhibit cointegrations. To cure this problem, this study suggested that the effects of these 39 imported products be estimated with the average variation rate of import volume, rather than by the Ordinary Least Squares approach. In this study, a case-study of tariff formula with coefficient 8 based on a 'Swiss formula' for priority duty rate of 2001 and 2008 was used by to analyze the effect of change in the 128 imported fish products of both years, respectively.

• 수산해양교육연구
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• 제20권1호
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• pp.78-89
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• 2008

This study is intended to analyse the economic sensitivity of imported fishery products due to decrease in or elimination of tariff rates through the progress of free trade. Forty-seven species of fishes were selected for this study on the basis of the HS Code. The substitution and price effects were calculated using the price elasticities of both domestic and imported demands for fishery products under the assumption of 5% decrease in a tariff rate. Seven main economic variables were extracted from the fishery industry which can mediate the substitution and price effects. A multiple regression analysis was conducted to obtain the influence weights of these main economic variables on both effects. The order of sensitivity of the fishes was calculated using these weights. The 47 fish species were classified into four groups according to their sensitivity based on the means and the standard deviations of their total scores on seven main economic considerations. Nine fish species such as squids, hair tails, shellfishes, and crabs belonged to the hyper-sensitive group, whereas 15 fishes such as eels, sea breams, and sea weeds belonged to the sensitive group. Twelve species including common sea basses, cods, and abalones were among the less-sensitive group, and 11 species including skate rays and mud fishes comprised the non-sensitive group.