• Title/Summary/Keyword: Financial index

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Time-varying Co-movements and Contagion Effects in Asian Sovereign CDS Markets

  • Cho, Daehyoung;Choi, Kyongwook
    • East Asian Economic Review
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.357-379
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    • 2015
  • We investigate interconnectedness and the contagion effect of default risk in Asian sovereign CDS markets since the global financial crisis. Using dynamic conditional correlation analysis, we find that there are significant co-movements in Asian sovereign CDS markets; that such co-movements tend to be larger between developing countries than between developed and developing countries; and that in the co-movements intra-regional nature is stronger than inter-regional nature. With the Spillover Index model, we measure contagion probabilities of sovereign default risk in CDS markets of seven Asian countries and find evidence of contagion effects among six of them; Japan is the exception. In addition, we find that these six countries are affected more by cross-market spillovers than by their own-market spillovers. Furthermore, a rolling-sample analysis reveals that contagion in the Asian sovereign CDS markets expands during episodes of extreme economic and financial distress, such as the Lehman Brothers bankruptcy, the European financial crisis, and the US-credit downgrade.

Integrating Balanced Scorecard and Analytic Hierarchy Process Techniques for Evaluating Corporate Performance

  • Sohn, Myung-Ho;Park, Sungbum;Lee, Heeseok
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 2001.10a
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    • pp.111-115
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    • 2001
  • A good business performance measurement system is an effective tool io sustained growth in profits. Although interest in creating performance measurement models is widespread, a well-designed system is rare. To be successful in today's competitive environment, a performance measurement system should incorporate strategic success factors and contain financial and non-financial measuring index to carry out strategic management. In the 1990s, Kaplan & Norton introduced a concept called the Balanced Scorecard. The Balanced Scorecard supplements traditional financial measures with criteria that measured performance from three additional perspectives - those perspectives of customers, internal business processes, and learning and growth. This paper presents five measuring index criteria for each perspective. To calculate the relative priority for These measuring index, we investigate weights investigated by interviews with management consultant. Then, AHP method is employed for calculating priority weight. Our evaluation model may be referred to as the Balanced Analytic Hierarchical Performance Model(BAHPM) in the sense that the analytic hierarchical scheme, along with the AHP, is applied. The BAHPM is the first kind of analytical model to cover a wide variety of measures. In comparison with previous evaluation models, our model shows strengths in structural flexibility, ease of incorporating feedback, group evaluation capacity, participation promotion, sensitivity analysis, and computational simplicity. A prototype based on the BAHPM can be applied to various industry sectors.

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A Study on Financial Management Practices of Rural Housewives (농촌 주부의 재무관리 행동에 관한 연구 -도시근교 농촌을 대상으로-)

  • 배희선;최은숙
    • Korean Journal of Rural Living Science
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.137-149
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    • 1995
  • The first objective of this study is to examine the finanacial management practices of rural housewives. The second objective is to determine the effects of sociodemographic characteristics on financial management practices. The Deacon & Firebaugh's model of family resource management framework and previous studies were used to determine the effects, regarding a9e, income, number of family, education level, and farming/nonfarming as independent/input variables, and monthly saving and managerial behavior index as dependent/throughput variables. A sample of 179 rural housewives aged less than 60 was selected from Shihung-Si Gyonggi-Do Province. Results showed that rural housewives more frequently did keeping bills, making purchase-list and verifying purchase need than recording where money spent making financial plan, and evaluating spending. With regard to household debt use, 60% of the sample had debt the most borrower used debt for farming, 73% of borrowers paid for their debt behind the schedule, and the main source of borrowing was NACF (NongHyup). Using installment credit, the rural housewives mainly bought cosmetics. 25% of the sample had credit cards. Average debt was 6, 070, 000 won, and 81% of annual income. In terms of saving, 85% of the sample saved, and 23% of the sample lived with the money after save. The main reasons of saving were for education and marriage of children and emergency. The main saving institutions were NACF and NLCF (ChukHyup). The regression showed that income was negatively associated with monthly saving, and age was identified as the positive determinants of managerial behavior index.

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Corporate Governance and Cost of Equity: Evidence from Tehran Stock Exchange

  • SALEHI, Mahdi;ARIANPOOR, Arash;DALWAI, Tamanna
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.7
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    • pp.149-158
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    • 2020
  • The purpose of this study was to investigate the impact of corporate governance index on the cost of equity in companies listed on the Tehran Stock Exchange. This study collects data from 975 observations during the period 2012 to 2018 to test the hypotheses using multiple linear regression model for the panel data. In this research, the independent variable of corporate governance index comprises of 27 specific corporate governance attributes. The results of hypothesis testing showed that corporate governance has a negative and significant effect on the rate of capital cost. In other words, the quality of corporate governance can lower the rate of capital cost. This result suggests that, by using a powerful corporate governance system and by declining the information asymmetry (increasing transparency) and agency conflict, we would be able to enhance the quality of financial reports. It would strengthen the capital market, attract financial suppliers and investors, and absorb the required financial resources of the firm by a lower rate. The findings of the study suggest that companies are able to reduce the cost of equity by establishing strong corporate governance. This conclusion suggests the importance and effectiveness of corporate governance in the cost of equity.

Machine Learning Based Stock Price Fluctuation Prediction Models of KOSDAQ-listed Companies Using Online News, Macroeconomic Indicators, Financial Market Indicators, Technical Indicators, and Social Interest Indicators (온라인 뉴스와 거시경제 지표, 금융 지표, 기술적 지표, 관심도 지표를 이용한 코스닥 상장 기업의 기계학습 기반 주가 변동 예측)

  • Kim, Hwa Ryun;Hong, Seung Hye;Hong, Helen
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.448-459
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    • 2021
  • In this paper, we propose a method of predicting the next-day stock price fluctuations of 10 KOSDAQ-listed companies in 5G, autonomous driving, and electricity sectors by training SVM, XGBoost, and LightGBM models from macroeconomic·financial market indicators, technical indicators, social interest indicators, and daily positive indices extracted from online news. In the three experiments to find out the usefulness of social interest indicators and daily positive indices, the average accuracy improved when each indicator and index was added to the models. In addition, when feature selection was performed to analyze the superiority of the extracted features, the average importance ranking of the social interest indicator and daily positive index was 5.45 and 1.08, respectively, it showed higher importance than the macroeconomic financial market indicators and technical indicators. With the results of these experiments, we confirmed the effectiveness of the social interest indicators as alternative data and the daily positive index for predicting stock price fluctuation.

Factors Affecting Bankruptcy Risks of Firms: Evidence from Listed Companies on Vietnamese Stock Market

  • TRUONG, Thanh Hang;NGUYEN, La Soa
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.275-283
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    • 2022
  • This study aims to investigate the influence of internal factors on the bankruptcy risk of an enterprise through a sample of 439 companies listed on the Vietnamese stock exchange. The research collected secondary data from annual audited financial statements from 2008 to 2019 of listing companies. Using two different regression models with two dependent variables, six independent and control variables, we discovered that three of the model's six factors, namely return on total assets, current payment rate, and financial leverage, influence the risk of bankruptcy and account for 86.78% of the variations in firm bankruptcy risk. Financial leverage has the opposite effect on the Z-score index, increasing the risk of bankruptcy of listed firms. Return on total assets and current ratio have a positive impact on the Z-score index, reducing the risk of bankruptcy of listed companies. The findings also revealed that there is no evidence that the size of a corporation, its fixed asset investment ratio, or the size of an auditing firm have an impact on the Z-score index. These findings provide crucial evidence for business owners and managers, as well as shareholders making future capital investment decisions. Our findings can be applied to other businesses in Vietnam and similar jurisdictions.

Risk Structure Analysis for Cost of Capital : A Demonstrative Study using Financial Indices

  • Ling, Feng;Suzuki, Tomomichi;Ojima, Yoshikazu
    • International Journal of Quality Innovation
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.1-14
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    • 2006
  • Economic value added (EVA) is introduced on two levels: as index for evaluation of corporation and as index for evaluation of business unit. In the latter case, application of one and the same cost of capital to all business units of a business corporation may be possible, but it is a fundamental policy for EVA to apply different cost of capital to business units with different risks. Estimate of cost of capital of business units is a problem to be resolved. The author, focusing on the question of the estimate of cost of capital of business units, has conducted a demonstrative study on risk structure of cost of capital estimates by using financial indices of Japanese manufacturers (37 automotive industries, 141 electrical and electronic machinery industries, 63 food processing industries, 98 chemical industries, 125 general machinery industries) for a period of 5 years from 1995 to 1999. The author presumes that $\beta$ is explained by a regression formula ${\beta}=B_0+{\Sigma}B_iY_i+{\alpha}$ ($Y_i$: financial indices) and selects 40 explanatory variables from financial statements as risk components. Using their financial indices, the author concludes through a series of statistical analyses that there is a good likelihood of estimating cost of capital for Japanese industries and is convinced that it will lead to more reliable and practical results by assigning averages and variances to 40 primary financial indices for a period of 3 to 5 years selected in this demonstrative study.

An Empirical Analysis on the Effect of Data Quality on Economic Performance in the Financial Industry (금융산업에서의 데이터 품질이 경제적인 성과에 주는 영향의 실증분석)

  • Lee, Sang-Ho;Park, Joo-Seok;Kim, Jae-Kyeong
    • Information Systems Review
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2011
  • This study empirically investigated the effect of firm-level data quality on economic performance in the Korean financial industry during 2008~2009. The data quality was measured by data quality management process index and data quality criteria by Korea Database Agency, and financial firm performance data was acquired from Financial Statistics Information System of the Financial Supervisory Service. The result showed that the data quality has statistically significant impacts on financial firm performance such as sales, operating profit, and value added. If the data quality management process index increases by one, the value added can increase by 2.3 percent. Moreover, the data quality criteria increase by one, the value added can increase by 72.6 percent.

The Effect of the Economic Environment Change on the Financial Performance (경제환경 변화가 재무성과에 미치는 영향)

  • Park, Jin-Yeong
    • Korean Journal of Human Ecology
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.563-576
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    • 2007
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the financial performance according to the economic environment change. The data of 4,577 households in 2003 and 3994 households in 2000 is from the Korean Labor and Income Panel Study. The data were analyzed by various statistical methods such as frequency, mean-test, Duncan's multiple range test, k-mean cluster analysis. Findings were as follows; First, the classified household financial strategy types were Residual(44.3%), Financial Assets(24.0%), Informal Institutional(19.7%), Diversified Portfolio(7.6%), Real Estate(4.5%). Second, the criteria of classification of the financial strategies were relative, not absolute. Third, the rate of economic growth was high and the index of the current money was low in 2000. Fourth, households that employed a diversified portfolio strategy had the greatest net wealth.

The Importance of Financial Literacy: Household's Income Mobility Measurement and Decomposition Approach

  • MONSURA, Melcah Pascua
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.12
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    • pp.647-655
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    • 2020
  • This study introduced income mobility analysis using pseudo-longitudinal panel data from Family Income and Expenditure Survey (FIES) to consider the dynamic process of individual's well-being through time. Since there is no comprehensive measurement of income mobility because of its dynamic process, various income mobility indices such as Chi-square, Average Jump Index, Atkinson et al. Mobility Ratio, and Shorrocks' Mobility Index were used. These indices revealed that Filipino households' income movements are more mobile than expected, and their income status improved from 2000 to 2015. As income mobility takes place, income inequality is reduced by 91.80 percent (91.80%). Furthermore, the growth effect is the main factor of income mobility. This indicates that households took the economic opportunities from economic growth to earn more. However, income mobility due to transfer effect (transfer of income from one household to another through lottery winning and borrowing) increased when the economy is not good. The higher income mobility due to growth effect compared to transfer effect, whether the economy is good or bad, means that households learned how to use their income in savings, investments, and entrepreneurship. This is the result of a successful financial literacy program of the government wherein households realized financial stability and security.