• KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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• 제38권3호
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• pp.53-77
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• 2016

Financial soundness in the household sector matters for financial stability and for the real economy. The level of household debt in Korea raises concern about the financial soundness of the household sector due to its size, growth rate and quality. Against this backdrop, we assess the financial vulnerability of borrowers based on an analysis of credit bureau (CB) data, in which the actual credit activities of most individuals are recorded at a high frequency in Korea. We construct over-indebtedness indicators from the CB data and then assess the predictability of forthcoming defaults. Based on the over-indebtedness indicators, we show how borrowers are distributed in terms of over-indebtedness and how the over-indebted differ from average borrowers in terms of their characteristics. Furthermore, we show how the aggregate credit risk in the household sector would change under macroeconomic distress by analyzing how each borrower's credit quality would be affected by adverse shocks. The findings of this paper may contribute to assessing household debt vulnerability and to enhancing regulatory and supervisory practices for financial stability.

• 아태비즈니스연구
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• 제13권4호
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• pp.91-107
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• 2022

Purpose - This study quantitatively examines the level of financial inclusion of a microfinance institution in each region and how this is changing recently, and examines the level of financial inclusion by region and various financial characteristic factors related to it. It was empirically verified what kind of significant impact actually has on the institution's major management performance indicators (stability, profitability, efficiency, and public interest). Design/methodology/approach - It was confirmed that the institution's financial inclusion index declined rapidly after 2015 as a whole, although there were some differences by region depending on regional characteristics. However, considering the fact that the number of branches per 100,000 adult population is steadily increasing nationwide, it was found that, contrary to what is known, the simple decrease in the number of branches of the institution was not the main cause. Findings - The analysis results of this study show that the institution's efforts for financial inclusion have a positive impact on profitability, stability, efficiency, and public interest, and that the institution pursues profitability, efficiency, stability, and public interest. showed that some trade-offs exist. In other words, overall, it was analyzed that profitability of the institution has a positive effect on efficiency, and efficiency has a positive effect on stability and public interest. Research implications or Originality - Since the institution's efforts to improve its profitability do not have a negative impact on its stability and public interest, it is judged that it is important to take a strategic stance, so excessive loan supply that exceeds the scope of the institution's own control needs to be avoided as much as possible. More detailed financial supply strategies and business management capabilities that enhance the asset soundness and management efficiency of safes need to be demonstrated.

• 동아시아경상학회지
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• 제11권4호
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• pp.19-28
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• 2023

Purpose - research the main methods of financial analysis of corporation in the condition of inflationary processes: the analysis of financial sustainability, liquidity, profitability and etc. Research design, Data, and methodology - the main methodical aspects of financial analysis of operations in the conditions of inflation, their efficiency are presented in the theses. Also the main financial indicators are generalized and systematized with the factor of inflation. The general scheme of adjusting the analysis of financial stability for the factor of inflation is presented. Result - The specifics of adjusting the company's assets and liabilities for the factor of inflation during the analysis of prospective financial stability are details revealed in the article. The features of a comprehensive prospective assessment of liquidity and the financial stability are determined. Conclusion - The account of factor of inflations in the financial operations enable reduce the losses, to identify the price of price strategy on the market, to analyze the problematic situations and develop scenarios for the development of the organization's activities in these conditions. The article the limitations and recommendations for adjusting for the factor of inflation are presented, including the necessary to clearly define the levels of their detail, since the study may be overloaded with calculations.

• Journal of Korea Trade
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• 제23권5호
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• pp.129-144
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• 2019

Purpose - Recent empirical studies have reached mixed results on the effects of financial liberalization and currency crises. We argue that this relationship is likely to depend both on whether controls are primarily on the degrees of financial liberalization and on the stability of the government. Using the disaggregated data on financial liberalization recently developed by Abiad et al (2010) for a sample of 30 emerging countries over the period 1995-2015, we attempt to investigate the political economy determinants of currency crises. Design/methodology - Our empirical model considers the relationship between financial liberalization and currency crises for emerging market economies. This study employs the existing theoretical framework to identify the disaggregate level for financial liberalization across countries. Using a multivariate logit model, this study attempts to estimate the interrelationship among financial liberalization, government stability and currency crises complemented by a case study of South Korea. Findings - Our main findings can be summarized as follows: we find strong support for the proposition that more liberalized financial institutions are positively associated with the probability of currency crises especially under less stable governments, but reduce the risks of currency crises especially for more stable governments. We also examine the role of financial systems with the case of South Korea after Asian financial crises and the results are further supported and consistent with the empirical findings. Originality/value - Existing studies focus on the economic factors across countries. This paper instead attempts to evaluate the effects of financial liberalization and currency crises by incorporating political considerations with newly developed dataset on financial liberalization, which are essential to the understanding of the causes of currency crises.

• KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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• 제44권3호
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• pp.49-74
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• 2022

This paper empirically examines how fiscal instability affects financial instability. According to an IMF forecast (2021a), the fiscal space in Korea will be steadily reduced in the future. The theoretical literature predicts that if fiscal stability is undermined, financial stability will also be in danger given that government guarantees on banks are weakened and/or sovereign bonds held in banks become riskier. This paper empirically finds the existence of this negative impact of fiscal instability on financial instability. I also find that the intensity of this fiscal-financial relationship is greater in a country where (i) its currency is not a reserve currency such as the US dollar or euro, (ii) its banking sector is large relative to government sector, and/or (iii) its private credit to GDP is high. Korea has all of these three characteristics and hence needs to put more effort into maintaining fiscal stability.

• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• 제4권2호
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• pp.5-17
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• 2017

The main objective of the study is to measure the vulnerability of Indonesia's financial system stability in response to external shocks, including from regional economies namely three biggest Indonesia major trading partners (China, the U.S and Japan) and other external factors (oil price and the federal funds rate). Using Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model and Orthogonalized Impulse Response Function (OIRF) with quarterly data over the period Q4 2002 - Q1 2016, results confirm that, 1) oil price response has the largest effect to Indonesia financial stability system and the effect period is the longest compared to others, represented by NPL and IHSG; 2) among those three economies, only China's economic growth has significantly positive effect to Indonesia financial stability system. Based on the findings it is better for the authorities to: 1) Diversify international trade commodities by decreasing share of oil, gas, and mining export and boosting other potential sectors such as manufacture, and fisheries; 2) Ensure the survival of Indonesia large coal exporter companies without neglecting burden of national budget; and 3) Create buffer for demand shock from specific countries by diversifying and increasing share of trading from other countries particularly from ASEAN member states.

• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• 제8권12호
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• pp.353-361
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• 2021

An economic system is a means by which societies or governments organize and distribute available resources, services, and goods across a geographic region or country. The Islamic financial system faces a number of challenges as part of its role as a tool for developing economic activities. This study intends to advance research by Lassoued (2018) by expanding the research population to include Islamic banks in Asia and adding new dimensions - the size of the independent commissioner and corporate governance. The population of this study is the 100 largest Islamic banks in Asia. Statistical calculations with the STATA application is used for data analysis. Based on the test results, it was found that the size of the sharia board and the independent board of directors did not affect the financial stability of Islamic banking companies. Another finding is that the size of the independent commissioner affects financial stability. This finding shows that commissioners have played an active role in the company, indicating that if the sharia banking company has an ideal number of independent commissioners, it will be advantageous to the company's stability and business sustainability.

• 한국컴퓨터정보학회논문지
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• 제3권3호
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• pp.129-137
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• 1998

국민경제에서 중소기업이 차지하고 있는 비중은 계속 증가하고 있는 가운데 중소기업의 경영상의 애로점으로 자금 조달의 문제가 가장 심각한 것으로 지적되고 있다. 본 연구는 중소기업의 경영 문제 가운데 재무구조의 실태를 파악하고 이를 대기업 또는 우리나라산업평균 재무비율과 비교함으로써 중소기업의 재무안정성 비율을 분석한 것이다. 조사 분석 결과 전체적으로 산업별 표준비율에는 그 수준이 미치지 못하고 있으나 산업평균과 비교할 때 그 수준이 양호한 것으로 조사되었으며 산업평균에 비해 안정성과 유동성이 양호한 반면 차입금 의존도가 대단히 낮은 것으로 조사되어 국가 또는 행정 자치적인 측면에서 중소기업 자금 지원 정책이 개발되어야 할 것으로 인식되었다.

• KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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• 제38권1호
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• pp.53-70
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• 2016

This paper examines market concentration and its effect on competition in the Chinese commercial banking market. This study also investigates how changes in competition have affected the financial stability of Chinese commercial banks. To test the competitive conditions, we obtained the H statistic of the Panzar-Rosse model from a revenue function equation. The degree of financial stability is estimated by the Z-score formula. The Chinese banking industry has become an increasingly less concentrated market with an increased number of banks. Along with a decreased market concentration, competition in the Chinese banking industry has improved moderately. However, its market structure is still far from a competitive market. An individual bank's ability to earn higher markup or charge a higher net interest margin contributes to its financial soundness, although a higher degree of market concentration may have negative effect on the financial stability of the entire banking system.

• 대한가정학회지
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• 제37권9호
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• pp.39-56
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• 1999

Households have experienced economic instability since Korea economic crisis in 1997. This study attempts to explore the financial management behavior by the types of economic instability classified considering the two aspects of the employment and the income instability of the households. The specific objectives of this study are : 1) to classify households’economic instability in terms of employment and income instability. 2) to examine whether the financial management behavior is different between households experiencing the different types of the economic instability. The sample consisted of 792 married women living in Seoul. The statistical methods used for analysis included Reliability, Frequencies, Percent, Mean, Standard Deviation, Analysis of Covariance, one-way Anova, DMR-test. The major results can be summarized as following : 1) The economic instability experienced by houeholds can be classified into the 4 types employment-income instability, employment instability income stability, employment stability$.$income instability, and employment$.$income stability. 2) There are statistically significant differences in the levels of financial management behavior between households having the different types of economoc instability. The results of this study could be needed for development of the employment policies and the financial education programs.