• 제목/요약/키워드: Financial Markets

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Chinese Corporate Leverage Determinants

  • Ferrarini, Benno;Hinojales, Marthe;Scaramozzino, Pasquale
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제4권1호
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    • pp.5-18
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    • 2017
  • Total debt in the People's Republic of China surged to nearly 290% as a ratio to GDP by the second quarter of 2016, mostly on account of non-financial corporate debt. The outpouring of credit to stem the impact of the global financial crisis accentuated industrial overcapacity in traditional sectors, such as steel, cement, and energy, while feeding asset bubbles in the property, equity and bond markets. At the Chinese corporate level, this has translated into weakened fundamentals and a fall in industrial profits, particularly of SOEs. As debtors struggle to service interest payments, non-performing loans (NPLs) have been on the rise. This paper assesses the financial fragility of the Chinese economy by looking at risk factors in the non-financial sector. We apply quantile regressions to a dataset containing all Chinese listed companies in Standard & Poor's IQ Capital database. We find higher sensitivity over time of corporate leverage to some of its key determinants, particularly for firms at the upper margin of the distribution. In particular, profitability increasingly acts as a curb on corporate leverage. At a time of falling profitability across the Chinese non-financial corporate sector, this eases the brake on leverage and may contribute to its continuing increase.

The Relationship Between Financial Literacy and Public Awareness on Combating the Threat of Cybercrime in Malaysia

  • ISA, Mohd Yaziz Bin Mohd;IBRAHIM, Wan Nora Binti Wan;MOHAMED, Zulkifflee
    • 산경연구논집
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    • 제12권12호
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2021
  • Purpose: Cyber criminals have affected various markets and the banking system has encountered various kinds of cyberattacks. The purpose of this study is to analyze cybercrime that is an emerging threat and investigate the significant contribution of financial literacy and public awareness on cybercrimes. To understand the security issues and the need for corrective steps, the techniques and strategies used by cyber fraudsters in obtaining unauthorized access and use the financial information for purpose of fraud need to be understood. Research design, data and methodology: A sample of 123 banks employees from 12 commercial banks in Malaysia was surveyed. This study differs from previous studies as it surveyed the employees' awareness, and this approach fills in the gap in existing literature. Results: The financial literacy and public awareness have positive impact on organizational performance effectiveness to combat threat of cybercrime. Some recommendations are also proposed from research findings, for banking industry and government regulations. Conclusion: The present study focuses on banking sector so its findings cannot be generalized to other sectors. Linking these topics has created a new study in combating threat of cybercrimes generally, and specifically in Malaysia. The present study enhances the understanding of customers' role to combat the impact of cybercrimes on performances of banking industry.

KOSPI 200 파생상품시장의 거래대금 변동에 관한 연구 (A Study on a Decrease in Trading Values in KOSPI 200 Financial Derivatives Market)

  • 손경우;정지영
    • 아태비즈니스연구
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    • 제9권4호
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    • pp.85-97
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    • 2018
  • This paper investigates factors underlying a decrease in trading values in KOSPI 200 futures/options market on the basis of the current state of the markets. Among the factors that could affect trading values in KOSPI 200 derivatives market, we focus on the market activity of underlying assets as it has an impact on the trading of financial derivatives. Trading value and volatility are designated as market activity and the empirical results confirm that the market activity of the underlying assets is significant in explaining the decrease in trading values in KOSPI 200 futures/options market. To figure out fundamental reasons of the decrease in trading values in this market, we examine mitigation of home bias and decrease in leverage incentives as they are presumed to have influence on KOSPI 200 index market. As the global and local financial environment is time-varying, the degree of home bias and the leverage demand also changes. It implies that institutional change and/or policy effort to promote the trading of KOSPI 200 financial derivatives should be made taking into account the fact that considerable portion of the change in trading values in financial derivatives market depends on the state of the market.

The Effect of Legal Political Determination of Perpu Number 1 of 2020 on Financial Markets in Indonesia During the COVID-19 Pandemic

  • RAJAGUKGUK, Blucer Welington;NAJIB, Muhammad
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제8권3호
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    • pp.655-664
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    • 2021
  • The purpose of this research paper is to overcome the impact the COVID-19 in Indonesia, the Government of the Republic of Indonesia has set Perpu No.1 of 2020 concerning State Financial Policies and Financial System Stability for Handling COVID-19 Pandemic. This paper uses a descriptive analysis method with a normative juridical approach, namely by explaining the politics of law in the stipulation of Perpu No. 1 of 2020 into Law, then analyzing its effect on the character of legal products contained in the Act. The data sources used in this paper are the 1945 Constitution of the Republic of Indonesia, Perpu Number 1 of 2020 which has been ratified into Law Number 2 of 2020, Legislation in the field of state finance, literature books, and several articles from print and electronic media. This paper concludes that the legal politics of establishing Perpu No.1 of 2020 into Act was born from a democratic political system and configuration, but the character of its legal products was conservative. The aim of the paper is to focus on the discussions related to the new regulations that have been made by the Indonesian government and analyse the impact resulting from the enactment of these regulations.

Digitalization of Financial Reporting through XBRL and Corporate Tax Avoidance: Evidence from Indonesia

  • Sameh KOBBI-FAKHFAKH;Souleimane ATHIE
    • Asia pacific journal of information systems
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    • 제33권4호
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    • pp.1016-1035
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    • 2023
  • Corporate tax avoidance has been the subject of international debate since the Enron scandal and has raised awareness of the need for greater transparency in financial markets. Efforts have been made to strengthen financial reporting requirements and meet the needs of investors and other stakeholders, including digitalization of financial reporting through Extensible Business Reporting Language (XBRL). This study examines the impact of the mandatory adoption of XBRL on corporate tax avoidance. We tested our predictions using a panel dataset of Indonesian firms listed on the IDX stock exchange. Based on available information in the DATASTREAM database covering the 2013-2017 period, we used two proxies for tax avoidance i.e., GAAP effective tax rate and current effective tax rate. We estimated multiple regression model including industry and year fixed effects. The results show that XBRL implementation has reduced corporate tax avoidance. These findings suggest that improving corporate transparency through XBRL could play a deterrent tool to corporate tax avoidance. The results of this study should be useful to tax authorities and accounting standard setters supporting the benefits of digitalizing financial reporting and continuing to complete XBRL taxonomies around the world.

국채선물과 현물시장의 이변량 변동성 추정에 관한 연구 (Estimating the Volatility in KTB Spot and Futures Markets)

  • 장국현;윤병조;조영석
    • 재무관리연구
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    • 제21권2호
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    • pp.183-209
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    • 2004
  • 본 연구에서는 금리변동에 따른 헤지수단의 목적으로 도입된 국채선물과 해당 기초자산인 국채현물의 일별 자료를 통해 두 시계열의 상호관계를 변동성에 초점을 두고 Bivariate GARCH 모형인 BEKK 모형과 국면전환 및 백터 오차수정항이 포함된 Bivariate-AR(1)-Markov-Switching-VECM 모형을 이용하여 비교 분석하였다. 본 연구의 분석기간은 2000년 1월 4일부터 2003년 10월 30일까지이며 분석대상은 일별 국채현물지수와 국채선물지수 935 관측치 이다. 본 연구의 결과 우리나라에서 국채선물과 현물시장의 분석에 있어서 두 시장을 한꺼번에 아우를 수 있는 Bivariate 모형설정의 중요성이 강하게 대두되었다. 특히 본 연구의 분석기간 중에는 국채시장의 상승국면과 하락국면이라는 두 상태보다는 국채가격의 변동성국면이 훨씬 더 강하게 국채시장에 작용하고 있음이 밝혀졌다. 이는 투자자가 보다 나은 헷징결과를 기대한다면 국채시장의 분석시 현물과 선물, 각각의 분산과정뿐만 아니라 공분산과정도 반드시 시계열모형내에서 동시에 고려해야함을 시사하고 있다.

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연결재무제표정보공시제도의 유용성 분석 (Benefits of the System of Consolidated Financial Statements Information Disclosure)

  • 박상봉
    • 한국콘텐츠학회논문지
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    • 제8권3호
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    • pp.215-224
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    • 2008
  • 연결재무제표는 자본시장의 국제화에 따라 기업의 해외자금을 조달과 외국인 투자기업 국제적기업에게 필요한 사항이다. 본 논문의 연결재무제표정보공시에 따른 분석결과는 첫째, 감사의견이 반영된 연결재무제표를 공시함으로써 신뢰하고 유용한 재무정보 제공이 된다. 둘째, 연결재무제표를 주 재무제표로 하고 개별재무제표를 보조 재무제표로 하는 국제적 정합성에 부합하게 된다. 국제회계기준 도입을 앞두고 국제회계기준 로드맵에 의하여 2009년부터 국내법인이 국제회계기준을 조기에 적용이 가능 할 것이다. 셋째, 연결손익계산서 대상으로 법인세를 과세하는 연결납세제도의 실용화를 촉진하는 데 중요한 역할을 할 것이다(미국은 1917년, 일본은 2002년 연결납세제도 도입).

The Impact of Overvaluation on Analysts' Forecasting Errors

  • CHA, Sang-Kwon;CHOI, Hyunji
    • 산경연구논집
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    • 제11권1호
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    • pp.39-47
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    • 2020
  • Purpose: This study investigated the effects of valuation errors on the capital market through the earnings forecasting errors of financial analysts. As a follow-up to Jensen (2005)'s study, which argued of agency cost of overvaluation, it was intended to analyze the effect of valuation errors on the earnings forecasting behavior of financial analysts. We hypothesized that if the manager tried to explain to the market that their firms are overvalued, the analysts' earnings forecasting errors would decrease. Research design, data and methodology: To this end, the analysis period was set from 2011 to 2018 of KOSPI and KOSDAQ-listed markets. For overvaluation, the study methodology of Rhodes-Kropf, Robinson, and Viswanathan (2005) was measured. The earnings forecasting errors of the financial analyst was measured by the accuracy and bias. Results: Empirical analysis shows that the accuracy and bias of analysts' forecasting errors decrease as overvaluation increase. Second, the negative relationship showed no difference, depending on the size of the auditor. Third, the results have not changed sensitively according to the listed market. Conclusions: Our results indicated that the valuation error lowered the financial analyst earnings forecasting errors. Considering that the greater overvaluation, the higher the compensation and reputation of the manager, it can be interpreted that an active explanation of the market can promote the accuracy of the financial analyst's earnings forecasts. This study has the following contributions when compared to prior research. First, the impact of valuation errors on the capital market was analyzed for the domestic capital market. Second, while there has been no research between valuation error and earnings forecasting by financial analysts, the results of the study suggested that valuation errors reduce financial analyst's earnings forecasting errors. Third, valuation error induced lower the earnings forecasting error of the financial analyst. The greater the valuation error, the greater the management's effort to explain the market more actively. Considering that the greater the error in valuation, the higher the compensation and reputation of the manager, it can be interpreted that an active explanation of the market can promote the accuracy of the financial analyst's earnings forecasts.

투자주체별 투자행태 분석 : 한미 주가동조화를 중심으로 (Analysis of Investment Behavior : From the Perspective of Capital Market Comovements)

  • 전상경;최종연
    • 재무관리연구
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    • 제20권2호
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    • pp.127-150
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    • 2003
  • 본 논문은 주가동조화 현상이 투자주체별 투자결정과 어떠한 관련성을 가질 수 있는지를 연구하였다. 이를 위해, 한국과 미국의 거래소지수와 비거래소지수에 대해 시간가변적 상관관계를 분석하고, 그 분석결과를 투자주체별 투자행태와 연관하여 설명하였다. 본 연구의 실증분석 결과, 한국과 미국의 거래소시장 간에, 그리고 비거래소시장 간에 각각 동조화 현상이 존재하며, 그 경향은 기간이 경과함에 따라 점차 강화되고 있었다. 투자주체별 투자행태에 대한 분석을 행한 결과, 외국인 투자자자는 전일 미국지수가 상승할 때, 한국 주식의 매수비중을 증대시키지만, 투신사와 개인투자자들은 외국인투자자와는 대조적으로, 전일 미국주가가 상승할 때, 매도비중을 증대시키는 것을 발견하였다. 이러한 분석결과는 외국인투자자들이 한미 주가동조화와 가장 관련이 깊은 투자행태를 보임을 암시하고 있다. 또한 투자주체별 순매수비율에 대한 Granger 인과관계분석을 통하여, 외국인투자자들은 내국인투자자와는 분리된 투자전략을 취하고 있음을 확인할 수 있었다. 우리는 이러한 현상의 원인이 외국인투자자들이 동태적 헷징전략을 사용하거나, 또는 국제경제요인을 국내요인보다 중시하는 투자전략을 취하고 있기 때문이라고 추론하였다.

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채권시장에서의 신용평가기능 개선을 위한 정책방향 (Policy Recommendations for Enhancing the Role of Credit Rating Agencies in the Debt Market)

  • 임경묵
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • 제28권1호
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    • pp.1-47
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    • 2006
  • 우리나라의 회사채시장은 양적으로 꾸준한 성장세를 지속하였으나 여전히 질적 성숙이 그에 미치지 못하는 것으로 평가되고 있으며 외환위기 이후에도 대우채, 현대채, 카드채 사태 등의 금융시장 불안을 반복적으로 초래하였다. 회사채시장의 질적 발전이 이루어지지 못한 것은 무엇보다도 관련 인프라의 적절한 구축이 이루어지지 못한데 크게 영향 받은 것으로 판단된다. 특히 신용평가산업은 실제 발행기업의 채무상환능력을 평가하는 정보의 생성기능을 적절하게 담당하지 못한 채 제도의 이식 수준에 머물고 있다. 본 연구는 미국 SEC 및 미국학계에서 제기되고 있는 신용평가사제도 개선 논의를 고려하여 우리나라의 신용평가사제도 개선의 가능성을 모색한다. 특히, 우리나라 특유의 상황에 의해 발생하고 있는 우리나라 신용평가산업 특유의 문제들을 소유 지배구조 및 부수업무 수행에 따르는 이해상충, 역사적 발전과정, 신용등급에 대한 법리적 해석 및 경제 사회적 차이에 따르는 문제로 분류하여 지적하고 대응방향을 제시하였다.

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