• Title/Summary/Keyword: Financial Markets

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A Macroprudential Approach to Financial Supervision and Monetary Policy in Emerging Economies (금융시장의 안정과 통화신용정책의 효율성을 위한 거시건전성 감독의 방향)

  • Park, Yung Chul
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.34 no.1
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    • pp.1-27
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    • 2012
  • This paper attempts to define, construct a policy framework, and analyze interactions with monetary policy of macroprudential policy. The available pieces of evidence suggest that the effects of the LTV and DTI regulations for financial stability are rather unclear in Korea. It also shows that when financial markets exhibit instability in a stable inflationary environment, macroprudential policy could run into conflict with monetary policy. This paper proposes an appropriate modality of macroprudential policy to minimize the potential conflict with monetary policy.

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Psychological Aspects of Household Debt Decision: The Use of the Heckman's Procedure

  • Lee, Jong-Hee
    • International Journal of Human Ecology
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.81-95
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    • 2008
  • This paper examined the impact of psychological characteristics of consumers on household debt decisions. With the use of the Heckit models (the traditional approach to the selection problem) this study undertook an empirical study of the influence of a wide range of factors on financial decisions. This study used U.S. household-level data that offers detailed information on household debt, expectations about future income, expectations about future economic conditions, the amount of financial risk the respondent was willing to take, and the amount of time allotted for planning family savings and spending. This study showed that respondents with both substantial financial risk tolerance and positive expectations about future income were likely to have larger household debt showing that researchers and policy-makers need to consider consumer sentiment and preference measures in modeling behavior in credit markets. Additional results showed that household debt is significantly related to two key economic variables: income and net worth.

A Study on Dutch Disease: Effect of Financial Flow on Real Exchange Rate

  • Atama, Louis
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.21-37
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    • 2016
  • Using panel data for 29 developed countries, this paper studies the relationship between financial flow and trade markets on Dutch diseases for the period 2000-2010 and applying a fixed effects model. In particular, the study shows that an increase in inflows of foreign direct investment (FDI) leads to an appreciation of the real exchange rate. The result also suggests that an inflow of FDI accompanied by exports or government expenditure from tax revenue leads to real exchange rate appreciation. This paper also argued that stock market with FDI does not cause an appreciation of the real exchange rate.

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The Pricing of Corporate Common Stock By OPM (OPM에 의한 주식가치(株式價値) 평가(評價))

  • Jung, Hyung-Chan
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.133-149
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    • 1985
  • The theory of option pricing has undergone rapid advances in recent years. Simultaneously, organized option markets have developed in the United States and Europe. The closed form solution for pricing options has only recently been developed, but its potential for application to problems in finance is tremendous. Almost all financial assets are really contingent claims. Especially, Black and Scholes(1973) suggest that the equity in a levered firm can be thought of as a call option. When shareholders issue bonds, it is equivalent to selling the assets of the firm to the bond holders in return for cash (the proceeds of the bond issues) and a call option. This paper takes the insight provided by Black and Scholes and shows how it may be applied to many of the traditional issues in corporate finance such as dividend policy, acquisitions and divestitures and capital structure. In this paper a combined capital asset pricing model (CAPM) and option pricing model (OPM) is considered and then applied to the derivation of equity value and its systematic risk. Essentially, this paper is an attempt to gain a clearer focus theoretically on the question of corporate stock risk and how the OPM adds to its understanding.

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The Impact of Global Financial Crisis 2008 on Amman Stock Exchange

  • Ajlouni, Moh'd Mahmoud;Mehyaoui, Wafaa;Hmedat, Waleed
    • Journal of Distribution Science
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    • v.10 no.7
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    • pp.13-22
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    • 2012
  • The effect of the September 2008 global financial crisis weighed heavily on stock markets around the world. The purpose of this study is to empirically investigate the impact of the crisis on Amman Stock Exchange. Event study methodology has been adopted on a period of 24 months, from January 2008 to December 2009. Monthly average abnormal returns across a sample of 52 industrial and services companies have been tested separately. The results reveal that Amman Stock Exchange experienced significant negative abnormal returns in the fourth quarter of the year 2008. However, there were no significant abnormal returns observed thereafter. This means that Amman Stock Exchange managed to overcome its adverse consequences. Since the event study tests for market efficiency, as well, the results show that Amman Stock Exchange reaction is consistent with the semi-strong form of the efficient market hypothesis.

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Forecasting the Volatility of KOSPI 200 Using Data Mining

  • Kim, Keon-Kyun;Cho, Mee-Hye;Park, Eun-Sik
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.1305-1325
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    • 2008
  • As index option markets grow recently, many analysts and investors become interested in forecasting the volatility of KOSPI 200 Index to achieve portfolio's goal from the point of financial risk management and asset evaluation. To serve this purpose, we introduce NN and SVM integrated with other financial series models such as GARCH, EGARCH, and EWMA. Moreover, according to the empirical test, Integrating NN with GARCH or EWMA models improves prediction power in terms of the precision and the direction of the volatility of KOSPI 200 index. However, integrating SVM with financial series models doesn't improve greatly the prediction power. In summary, SVM-EGARCH was the best in terms of predicting the direction of the volatility and NN-GARCH was the best in terms of the prediction precision. We conclude with advantages of the integration process and the need for integrating models to enhance the prediction power.

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Limited Financial Market Participations and Shocks in Business Cycles in Korea

  • Yongseung Jung
    • East Asian Economic Review
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.245-273
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    • 2024
  • This paper sets up a small open new Keynesian economy model with constrained households and incomplete markets to address the driving forces of business cycles in Korea. It shows that there exists a substantial fraction of constrained households who cannot have access to financial market. Furthermore, the estimated model reveals that a TANK model is better than a RANK model in explaining business cycles in Korea. The effect of domestic productivity shock on Korean economy has dominated in the variations of output, while the contribution of the foreign productivity shock to the variations of output and inflation has increased after the Asian financial crisis. The monetary policy shock has dominated the variation of inflation at short and medium horizons.

The Impact of US Monetary Policy upon Korea's Financial Markets and Capital Flows: Based on TVP-VAR Analysis (미국 통화정책이 국내 금융시장 및 자금유출입에 미치는 영향: TVP-VAR 모형 분석)

  • Suh, Hyunduk;Kang, Tae Soo
    • Economic Analysis
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.132-176
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    • 2019
  • We use a time-varying parameter vector auto regression (TVP-VAR) model to understand the impact of U.S. monetary policy normalization on Korean financial markets and capital accounts. The U.S. monetary policy is represented by the federal funds rate, term premium and credit spread. During the U.S. monetary contraction period of 2004 to 2006, changes in the federal funds rate presented negative pressure on Korean financial markets. The changes in federal funds rate also led to a simultaneous contraction in inward and outward capital flows. However, the effects of a federal funds rate shock has been reduced since 2015. On the other hand, the effects of U.S. term premiums is getting stronger after the period of quantitative easing (QE). The influence of the U.S. credit spread also significantly increased after the global financial crisis. Simulation results show that a rise in the U.S. credit spread, which can be triggered by a contractionary monetary policy, can pose a larger adverse impact on the Korean economy than a rise in the federal funds rate itself. As for capital flows, a U.S. monetary policy contraction causes an outflow of foreign investment, but the repatriation of overseas investment by Korean residents can offset this outflow.

Towards a Knowledge Recipe for State Corporations in the Financial Sector in Kenya

  • Moturi, Humphrey;Kwanya, Tom;Chebon, Philemon
    • International Journal of Knowledge Content Development & Technology
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.33-50
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    • 2020
  • Knowledge recipes are packages of knowledge which arise from the process of combining the knowledge assets in the organization in distinctive ways. This involves converting them into useful outputs which are the ideal core competitive advantage enablers for companies. The major objective of this study was to propose a knowledge recipe for financial-sector state corporations in Kenya. The study adopted a convergent parallel mixed methods research design. Quantitative and qualitative data were collected using questionnaires and key informant interviews. The target population of the study was 1574 respondents drawn from all financial state corporations. A multistage sampling technique was used for the study. The first phase involved purposive sampling of the organizations to be studied whereby the four state corporations namely: Capital Markets Authority, Competition Authority of Kenya, Kenya Investment Authority, and Kenya Revenue Authority were identified. The second phase entailed stratified sampling of the respondents in three strata namely senior management team, knowledge management team, and general staff. The authors used a census of all senior management team and knowledge management staff while a simple random sampling technique was used for the general staff. By use of the Krejcie and Morgan table, the actual sample size was 358 respondents from all the four organizations. Data were collected using questionnaires and interview schedules. The qualitative data were analyzed using content analysis while the quantitative data were analyzed by the use of Ms. Excel and VOSviewer and presented using pie charts, bar graphs, and tables. The response rate for this study was 257 (72%). The study revealed that while most employees in the financial sector organizations understand their knowledge needs, knowledge types, knowledge uses and knowledge gaps, they do not have a universal knowledge recipe to facilitate effective knowledge management in their organizations. Consequently, the authors propose a universal knowledge recipe for the state corporations in the financial sector in Kenya. The ingredients of the recipe are legal-knowledge (18%), financial knowledge (15%), administrative knowledge (11%), best practice (10%), lessons learnt (8%), human resource knowledge (8%), research and statistics knowledge (7%), product knowledge (6%), policy and procedure knowledge (5%), ICT knowledge (4%), investor knowledge (3%), markets knowledge (2%), general knowledge (2%) and regulatory framework knowledge (1%).

Design of Flexible DSS Architecture for OTC Derivatives Trading: 'A' Bank Case (장외파생상품거래를 위한 유연한 의사결정지원시스템 아키텍처 설계에 관한 연구: A은행 사례)

  • Lee, Keun-Woo;Yang, Kun-Woo
    • The Journal of Information Systems
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.107-126
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    • 2011
  • Model-based decision support system (DSS) has acted as a crucial role in strengthening the business competitiveness by providing a way of modeling and solving real-world decision problems in a quantitative and scientific manner. It is even more important for trading OTC derivatives, which requires extensive financial-engineering expertise while actively reacting to the continuously changing financial market. This paper proposes a flexible model-based DSS architecture that can support user-friendly interface for executing and analyzing the models and can adapt to the changes of financial market seamlessly. For user-friendliness, we implement the user-interfaces (UIs) using Microsoft Excel, a very widely used spreadsheet program for its great generality and extensibility. Users can utilize the analysis results of DSS or reprocess them for their special needs through the UIs in the form of familiar spreadsheets easily. For adaptiveness to the markets, the proposed architecture is constructed based on the object-oriented concepts, which enables such changes as release of a new financial product can be updated into the system without any delay at the lowest cost. We investigate the practical benefits and limitations of the proposed architecture by a case study on the construction of Model-based Trading Support System (MTSS), performed by a commercial bank in Korea.