• 제목/요약/키워드: Financial Indicators

검색결과 334건 처리시간 0.024초

Comparison of Stock Price Prediction Using Time Series and Non-Time Series Data

  • Min-Seob Song;Junghye Min
    • 한국컴퓨터정보학회논문지
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    • 제28권8호
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    • pp.67-75
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    • 2023
  • 주가 예측은 금융시장에서 중요하게 다뤄지고 있는 주제이지만 영향을 미칠 수 있는 다수의 요소들로 인해 어려운 주제로 고려되고 있다. 본 논문에서는 시계열 예측 모델 (LSTM, GRU)과 데이터의 시간적 의존성을 고려하지 않는 비 시계열 예측 모델 (RF, SVR, KNN, LGBM)을 주가 예측에 적용하여 성능을 비교하고 분석하였다. 또한 주가 데이터와 기술적 분석 보조지표, 재무제표 지표, 매수매도 지표, 공매도, 외국인 지표 등 다양한 데이터를 조합 및 활용하여 최적의 예측 요소를 찾아내고 업종별로 주가 예측에 영향을 미치는 주요 요소들을 분석했다. 하이퍼파라미터 최적화 과정을 통해 알고리즘별 예측 성능을 향상 시키는 과정도 진행하여 성능에 영향을 주는 요인을 분석하였다. 변수 선택과 하이퍼 파라미터 최적화 과정을 거친 결과, 시계열 예측 알고리즘인 GRU, 그리고 LSTM+GRU의 예측 정확도가 가장 높은 것으로 나타났다.

Profiling Green IT Leaders Quantitatively and Qualitatively

  • Kim, Yong Seog;Kwag, Seung Woog
    • Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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    • 제12권2호
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    • pp.118-129
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    • 2013
  • In this study, we intend to identify key financial variables that can accurately classify Green IT leaders against Green IT followers. In particular, we build and compare single and meta-classifiers to identify the relationship between environmental performance and financial performance, while focusing on selecting and interpreting a final prediction model with a smaller set of financial performance indicators. Our experimental results demonstrate that several key variables representing the size, financial resources, operational efficiency, and risk-taking tendency of an organization can successfully identify Green IT leaders with approximately 90% of accuracy. In addition, we find that Green IT leaders show a higher utilization rate of Web pages as a green marketing channel than Green IT followers while they share common layouts of Web publication to build green IT brands with some differences.

병원의 지적자본이 진료 및 재무 성과에 미치는 영향 (The Effect of Intellectual Capital on the Clinical and Financial Performance of Hospitals)

  • 김장묵;김성호;서영준
    • 보건의료산업학회지
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    • 제10권1호
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    • pp.27-37
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    • 2016
  • Objectives : This study applied the research model of Bontis (1998), which has been used to investigate everything from business corporations to hospitals in Korea, examined its generalizability and attempted to verify which factors of the intellectual capital affects organizational performance, represented by indicators for the clinical and financial performance of hospitals. Methods : Primary data for the study were collected from 91 general hospitals through self-administered questionnaires, and secondary data on clinical and financial performance of hospitals were collected form existing statistics. Collected data were analyzed with SPSS 11.5 (ver.) and AMOS 18.0 (ver.). Results : It was found that only human capital and customer capital had indirect effects on hospital performance. It was also revealed that structural capital had a direct effect on clinical performance, and an indirect effect on financial performance. Conclusions : This result means that there is a need to individually consider both the clinical performance and financial performance when measuring the organizational performance of a hospital, and it also shows that positive improvement in the clinical performance can contribute to the improvement of the financial performance through this process.

Modelling of Public Financial Security and Budget Policy Effects

  • Zaichko, Iryna;Vysotska, Maryna;Miakyshevska, Olena;Kosmidailo, Inna;Osadchuk, Nataliia
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • 제21권9호
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    • pp.239-246
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    • 2021
  • This article substantiates the scientific provisions for modelling the level of Ukraine's public financial security taking into account the impact of budget policy, in the process of which identified indicators of budget policy that significantly affect the public financial security and the factors of budget policy based on regression analysis do not interact closely with each other. A seven-factor regression equation is constructed, which is statistically significant, reliable, economically logical, and devoid of autocorrelation. The objective function of maximizing the level of public financial security is constructed and strategic guidelines of budget policy in the context of Ukraine's public financial security are developed, in particular: optimization of the structure of budget revenues through the expansion of the resource base; reduction of the budget deficit while ensuring faster growth rates of state and local budget revenues compared to their expenditures; optimization of debt serviced from the budget through raising funds from the sale of domestic government bonds, mainly on a long-term basis; minimization of budgetary risks and existing threats to the public financial security by ensuring long-term stability of budgets etc.

The Effect of Sustainable Dimensions on the Financial Performance of Commercial Banks: A Comparative Study in Emerging Markets

  • TAWFIK, Omar Ikbal;KAMAR, Saifaldin Hashim;BILAL, Zaroug Osman
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제8권3호
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    • pp.1121-1133
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    • 2021
  • The paper examines the impacts of the various sustainability dimensions on the financial performance of commercial banks in three Arab countries. Three dimensions have been considered as constitutive of the term sustainable development (social, economic, and environmental). The relationship between the sustainability dimensions of companies and accounting indicators was analyzed. The main hypothesis posits that the dimensions of sustainability do not have a significant and positive effect on the financial performance of the commercial banks. The study population consisted of commercial banks operating in three Arab countries (Oman, United Arab Emirates, and Jordan); the period of the study is from 2007 to 2018. The data were collected from the financial reports and sustainability reports of each bank through the Internet. The overall results of the study showed a moderately positive relationship between all sustainability dimensions and the banks' financial performance. The main contribution of the research is to study the dimensions of sustainability reports as contained in the Global Reporting Initiative (GRI-G4) and their impacts on the financial performance of commercial banks. Thus, this research will contribute to increasing the interest of the banks in sustainable development in a context where this research in Arab countries is scarce.

BSC 활용이 외식업 점장의 핵심성과지표 인식에 미치는 영향 (The Effect of BSC Implementation on Restaurant Managers' Perception of KPIs)

  • 장기룡;임현정
    • 한국식생활문화학회지
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    • 제24권5호
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    • pp.486-495
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    • 2009
  • The purpose of this research was to investigate whether the perception of KPIs by restaurant managers from financial and non-financial perspectives was affected by BSC implementation. The perceptions that were examined were importance, adoption, performance, and utilization of KPIs. We surveyed managers from multinational restaurant chains that were adopting BSC and those that were not. From a non-financial perspective, the difference in perceived importance between BSC adopted firms and firms that did not adopt BSC was significant. The managers of BSC adopted firms perceived KPIs more seriously than the others. Secondly, according to the managers' working experiences, the difference of perceived utilization in the internal business process perspective was significant between BSC adopted firms and firms that did not adopt BSC. In addition, from the learning and growth perspective, the difference in perceived adoption and utilization between the two groups was significant. Finally, in the BSC adopted firms, the perceived importance of the managers affected the other perceptions like adoption and utilization from both the financial and non-financial perspectives.

분식 적발을 위한 재무이상치 분석시스템 개발 (Development of the Financial Account Pre-screening System for Corporate Credit Evaluation)

  • 노태협
    • 한국정보시스템학회지:정보시스템연구
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    • 제18권4호
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    • pp.41-57
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    • 2009
  • Although financial information is a great influence upon determining of the group which use them, detection of management fraud and earning manipulation is a difficult task using normal audit procedures and corporate credit evaluation processes, due to the shortage of knowledge concerning the characteristics of management fraud, and the limitation of time and cost. These limitations suggest the need of systemic process for !he effective risk of earning manipulation for credit evaluators, external auditors, financial analysts, and regulators. Moot researches on management fraud have examined how various characteristics of the company's management features affect the occurrence of corporate fraud. This study examines financial characteristics of companies engaged in fraudulent financial reporting and suggests a model and system for detecting GAAP violations to improve reliability of accounting information and transparency of their management. Since the detection of management fraud has limited proven theory, this study used the detecting method of outlier(upper, and lower bound) financial ratio, as a real-field application. The strength of outlier detecting method is its use of easiness and understandability. In the suggested model, 14 variables of the 7 useful variable categories among the 76 financial ratio variables are examined through the distribution analysis as possible indicators of fraudulent financial statements accounts. The developed model from these variables show a 80.82% of hit ratio for the holdout sample. This model was developed as a financial outlier detecting system for a financial institution. External auditors, financial analysts, regulators, and other users of financial statements might use this model to pre-screen potential earnings manipulators in the credit evaluation system. Especially, this model will be helpful for the loan evaluators of financial institutes to decide more objective and effective credit ratings and to improve the quality of financial statements.

Research on the Financial Data Fraud Detection of Chinese Listed Enterprises by Integrating Audit Opinions

  • Leiruo Zhou;Yunlong Duan;Wei Wei
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • 제17권12호
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    • pp.3218-3241
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    • 2023
  • Financial fraud undermines the sustainable development of financial markets. Financial statements can be regarded as the key source of information to obtain the operating conditions of listed companies. Current research focuses more on mining financial digital data instead of looking into text data. However, text data can reveal emotional information, which is an important basis for detecting financial fraud. The audit opinion of the financial statement is especially the fair opinion of a certified public accountant on the quality of enterprise financial reports. Therefore, this research was carried out by using the data features of 4,153 listed companies' financial annual reports and audits of text opinions in the past six years, and the paper puts forward a financial fraud detection model integrating audit opinions. First, the financial data index database and audit opinion text database were built. Second, digitized audit opinions with deep learning Bert model was employed. Finally, both the extracted audit numerical characteristics and the financial numerical indicators were used as the training data of the LightGBM model. What is worth paying attention to is that the imbalanced distribution of sample labels is also one of the focuses of financial fraud research. To solve this problem, data enhancement and Focal Loss feature learning functions were used in data processing and model training respectively. The experimental results show that compared with the conventional financial fraud detection model, the performance of the proposed model is improved greatly, with Area Under the Curve (AUC) and Accuracy reaching 81.42% and 78.15%, respectively.

Efficiency of Financing High-Tech Industries: The Case of Kazakhstan

  • SADYKHANOVA, Gulnara;EREZHEPOVA, Aiman;NURMANOVA, Biken;AITBEMBETOVA, Aida;BIMENDIYEVA, Laila
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제6권4호
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    • pp.287-295
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    • 2019
  • The study aims to build a model for evaluating the effectiveness of activities and the effectiveness of financial investments in high-tech industries in Kazakhstan. The development of high-tech industries plays an important role in the economic growth of a country. In this regard, it is relevant to study the effectiveness of financing the most important industry in Kazakhstan. The development of the high-tech sector ensures the efficient functioning of the national innovation system. High-tech enterprises are one of the competitive sectors that allow us to develop and implement leading-edge innovations with the goal of their subsequent commercialization domestically and abroad. The author defines the multicriteria of efficiency in a knowledge-based economy associated with achieving an economic effect with multivariate correlation of results with costs. A multivariate dynamic model, an integral indicator of performance, an integral indicator of cost-effectiveness is proposed. The assessment of the effectiveness of financial costs and performance indicators in all regions of Kazakhstan have the positive dynamics of indicators, as well as a high economic effect. The results of the study can be applied in regional management to adequately assess the effectiveness of high-tech organizations and the effectiveness of financial investments, contribution to ensuring the economic security of the region.

공기업의 효율적 재정 운영관리 방안 연구 (A Study on Effective financial management plan of public institutions)

  • 전광섭;정성훈
    • 지적과 국토정보
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    • 제44권2호
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    • pp.193-207
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    • 2014
  • 공공기관의 재정 집행의 문제점 및 평가지표 개선, 공공기관 통합관리 방안에 대한 연구를 통해 국가재정의 효율성을 증대시키는 것이 본 연구의 목적이다. 공공기관의 재정 운영상 5가지 문제점(평가지표 체계, 재정운영 통제기구, 민간 공공사업 구분관리, 공공재정 관련 법 제도, 정부 예산지원 관리)이 존재한다. 이러한 문제를 개선하기 위해서는 국회가 참여한 Control Tower(공공재정정책위원회)의 설치와 같은 다양한 의견을 제시한다.