• 산업경영시스템학회지
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• 제41권1호
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• pp.84-93
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• 2018

In this paper, we propose an Elman recurrent neural network to predict and analyze a time series of power energy consumption. To this end, we consider the volatility of the time series and apply the sample variance and the detrended fluctuation analyses to the volatilities. We demonstrate that there exists a correlation in the time series of the volatilities, which suggests that the power consumption time series contain a non-negligible amount of the non-linear correlation. Based on this finding, we adopt the Elman recurrent neural network as the model for the prediction of the power consumption. As the simplest form of the recurrent network, the Elman network is designed to learn sequential or time-varying pattern and could predict learned series of values. The Elman network has a layer of "context units" in addition to a standard feedforward network. By adjusting two parameters in the model and performing the cross validation, we demonstrated that the proposed model predicts the power consumption with the relative errors and the average errors in the range of 2%~5% and 3kWh~8kWh, respectively. To further confirm the experimental results, we performed two types of the cross validations designed for the time series data. We also support the validity of the model by analyzing the multi-step forecasting. We found that the prediction errors tend to be saturated although they increase as the prediction time step increases. The results of this study can be used to the energy management system in terms of the effective control of the cross usage of the electric and the gas energies.

• Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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• 제10권4호
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• pp.1480-1491
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• 2015

In new deregulated electricity market, short-term price forecasting is key information for all market players. A better forecast of market-clearing price (MCP) helps market participants to strategically set up their bidding strategies for energy markets in the short-term. This paper presents a new prediction strategy to improve the need for more accurate short-term price forecasting tool at spot market using an artificial neural networks (ANNs). To build the forecasting ANN model, a three-layered feedforward neural network trained by the improved Levenberg-marquardt (LM) algorithm is used to forecast the locational marginal prices (LMPs). To accurately predict LMPs, actual power generation and load are considered as the input sets, and then the difference is used to predict price differences in the spot market. The proposed ANN model generalizes the relationship between the LMP in each area and the unconstrained MCP during the same period of time. The LMP calculation is iterated so that the capacity between the areas is maximized and the mechanism itself helps to relieve grid congestion. The addition of flow between the areas gives the LMPs a new equilibrium point, which is balanced when taking the transfer capacity into account, LMP forecasting is then possible. The proposed forecasting strategy is tested on the spot market of the Nord Pool. The validity, the efficiency, and effectiveness of the proposed approach are shown by comparing with time-series models

• 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한전기학회 2005년도 제36회 하계학술대회 논문집 D
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• pp.2876-2878
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• 2005

In this paper, we propose Genetic Algorithms(GAs)-based Optimal Polynomial Neural Networks(PNN). The proposed algorithm is based on Group Method of Data Handling(GMDH) method and its structure is similar to feedforward Neural Networks. But the structure of PNN is not fixed like in conventional Neural Networks and can be generated. The each node of PNN structure uses several types of high-order polynomial such as linear, quadratic and modified quadratic, and is connected as various kinds of multi-variable inputs. The conventional PNN depends on experience of a designer that select No. of input variable, input variable and polynomial type. Therefore it is very difficult a organizing of optimized network. The proposed algorithm identified and selected No. of input variable, input variable and polynomial type by using Genetic Algorithms(GAs). In the sequel the proposed model shows not only superior results to the existing models, but also pliability in organizing of optimal network. The study is illustrated with the ACI Distance Relay Data for application to power systems.

• 전자공학회논문지B
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• 제31B권10호
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• pp.149-157
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• 1994

A method of applying a recurrent backpropagation network to identifying or modelling a dynamic system is proposed. After the recurrent backpropagation network having both the characteristicsof interpolative network and associative network is applied to XOR problem, a new model of recurrent backpropagation network is proposed and compared with the original recurrent backpropagation network by applying them to XOR problem. based on the observation thata function can be approximated with polynomials to arbitrary accuracy, the new model is developed so that it may generate higher-order terms in the internal states Moreover, it is shown that the new network is succesfully applied to recognizing noisy patterns of numbers.

• 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한전기학회 2005년도 학술대회 논문집 정보 및 제어부문
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• pp.149-151
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• 2005

In this paper, we propose the Optimal Polynomial Neural Networks(PNN) for nonlinear process. The PNN is based on Group Method of Data Handling(GMDH) method and its structure is similar to feedforward Neural Networks. But the structure of PNN is not fixed like in conventional Neural Networks and can be generated. The each node of PNN structure uses several types of high-order polynomial such as linear, quadratic and modified quadratic, and is connected as various kinds of multi-variable inputs. The conventional PNN depends on experience of a designer that select No. of input variable, input variable and polynomial type. Therefore it is very difficult a organizing of optimized network. The proposed algorithm identified and selected No. of input variable, input variable and polynomial type by using Genetic Algorithms(GAs). In the sequel the proposed model shows not only superior results to the existing models, but also pliability in organizing of optimal network. Medical Imaging System(MIS) data is simulated in order to confirm the efficiency and feasibility of the proposed approach in this paper.

• 조명전기설비학회논문지
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• 제25권9호
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• pp.33-43
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• 2011

Since the fuzzy neural network(FNN) is universal approximators, the development of FNN control systems have also grown rapidly to deal with non-linearities and uncertainties. However, the major drawback of the existing FNNs is that their processor is limited to static problems due to their feedforward network structure. This paper proposes the recurrent FNN(RFNN) for high performance and robust control of SynRM. RFNN is applied to speed controller for SynRM drive and model reference adaptive fuzzy controller(MFC) that combine adaptive fuzzy learning controller(AFLC) and fuzzy logic control(FLC), is applied to current controller. Also, this paper proposes speed estimation algorithm using artificial neural network(ANN). The proposed method is analyzed and compared to conventional PI and FNN controller in various operating condition such as parameter variation, steady and transient states etc.

• 지능정보연구
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• 제22권2호
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• pp.127-142
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• 2016

딥러닝은 인공신경망(neural network)이라는 인공지능분야의 모형이 발전된 형태로서, 계층구조로 이루어진 인공신경망의 내부계층(hidden layer)이 여러 단계로 이루어진 구조이다. 딥러닝에서의 주요 모형은 합성곱신경망(convolutional neural network), 순환신경망(recurrent neural network), 그리고 심층신뢰신경망(deep belief network)의 세가지라고 할 수 있다. 그 중에서 현재 흥미로운 연구가 많이 발표되어서 관심이 집중되고 있는 모형은 지도학습(supervised learning)모형인 처음 두 개의 모형이다. 따라서 본 논문에서는 지도학습모형의 가중치를 최적화하는 기본적인 방법인 오류역전파 알고리즘을 살펴본 뒤에 합성곱신경망과 순환신경망의 구조와 응용사례 등을 살펴보고자 한다. 본문에서 다루지 않은 모형인 심층신뢰신경망은 아직까지는 합성곱신경망 이나 순환신경망보다는 상대적으로 주목을 덜 받고 있다. 그러나 심층신뢰신경망은 CNN이나 RNN과는 달리 비지도학습(unsupervised learning)모형이며, 사람이나 동물은 관찰을 통해서 스스로 학습한다는 점에서 궁극적으로는 비지도학습모형이 더 많이 연구되어야 할 주제가 될 것이다.

• Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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• 제45권2호
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• pp.133-142
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• 2007

화학비료의 과다사용으로 환경오염의 문제가 심각해 지면서 친환경 농자재(목초재 또는 축산분뇨 등)를 사용하는 유기농업의 필요성이 대두되어 왔다. 이러한 친환경 농자재의 시용량은 작물 종류별, 토양 종류별, 계절별, 재배환경 등에 따라 결정되어져야 한다. 유기비료로서 축산분뇨량의 효율적 사용과 축산분뇨로부터의 암모니아 방출량 저감을 위해서는 먼저 축산분뇨의 경작지 시비 후 암모니아 방출모델이 제시되어야 한다. 그리고 암모니아 방출에 영향이 큰 인자들을 찾아내어 이 인자들을 변화시킴으로서 암모니아 방출량을 감소시킬 수 있을 것이다. 이 연구에서는 인공신경망(artificial neural network) 기법을 이용하여 시비된 돈분의 암모니아 휘산량을 예측한다. 유럽지역에서 얻은 암모니아 방출 실험데이터(ALFAM database)를 바탕으로, 암모니아 손실 영향인자에 따른 암모니아 방출량을 Michaelis-Menten 모델식을 이용하여 예측한다. 이 모델식의 모델인자(암모니아 최대 방출량과 암모니아 최대 방출량의 50%에 도달하는 시간)는 feedforward-backpropagation 인공신경망 기법으로 예측하였고, 가중치 분할법(weight partitioning method)으로 암모니아 손실에 미치는 총 15개의 영향인자의 상대적인 중요도를 분석하였다. 그 결과 암모니아 방출량은 기후에 따라 크게 좌우되고, 돈분의 상태도 상당한 영향을 주고 있다.

• Journal of Power Electronics
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• 제7권2호
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• pp.159-173
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• 2007

In this paper, an intelligent sliding-mode position controller (ISMC) for achieving favorable decoupling control and high precision position tracking performance of permanent-magnet synchronous motor (PMSM) servo drives is proposed. The intelligent position controller consists of a sliding-mode position controller (SMC) in the position feed-back loop in addition to an on-line trained fuzzy-neural-network model-following controller (FNNMFC) in the feedforward loop. The intelligent position controller combines the merits of the SMC with robust characteristics and the FNNMFC with on-line learning ability for periodic command tracking of a PMSM servo drive. The theoretical analyses of the sliding-mode position controller are described with a second order switching surface (PID) which is insensitive to parameter uncertainties and external load disturbances. To realize high dynamic performance in disturbance rejection and tracking characteristics, an on-line trained FNNMFC is proposed. The connective weights and membership functions of the FNNMFC are trained on-line according to the model-following error between the outputs of the reference model and the PMSM servo drive system. The FNNMFC generates an adaptive control signal which is added to the SMC output to attain robust model-following characteristics under different operating conditions regardless of parameter uncertainties and load disturbances. A computer simulation is developed to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed intelligent sliding mode position controller. The results confirm that the proposed ISMC grants robust performance and precise response to the reference model regardless of load disturbances and PMSM parameter uncertainties.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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• 제12권5호
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• pp.527-540
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• 2001

A new sort of learning algorithm named whole learning algorithm is proposed to simulate the nonlinear and dynamic behavior of RC members for the estimation of structural integrity. A mathematical technique to solve the multi-objective optimization problem is applied for the learning of the feedforward neural network, which is formulated so as to minimize the Euclidean norm of the error vector defined as the difference between the outputs and the target values for all the learning data sets. The change of the outputs is approximated in the first-order with respect to the amount of weight modification of the network. The governing equation for weight modification to make the error vector null is constituted with the consideration of the approximated outputs for all the learning data sets. The solution is neatly determined by means of the Moore-Penrose generalized inverse after summarization of the governing equation into the linear simultaneous equations with a rectangular matrix of coefficients. The learning efficiency of the proposed algorithm from the viewpoint of computational cost is verified in three types of problems to learn the truth table for exclusive or, the stress-strain relationship described by the Ramberg-Osgood model and the nonlinear and dynamic behavior of RC members observed under an earthquake.