• Earthquakes and Structures
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• 제12권6호
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• pp.653-663
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• 2017

A seismic margin assessment evaluates how much margin exists for the system under beyond design basis earthquake events. Specifically, the seismic margin for the entire system is evaluated by utilizing a systems analysis based on the sub-system and component seismic fragility data. Each seismic fragility curve is obtained by using empirical, experimental, and/or numerical simulation data. The systems analysis is generally performed by employing a fault tree analysis. However, the current practice has clear limitations in that it cannot deal with the uncertainties of basic components and accommodate the newly observed data. Therefore, in this paper, we present a Bayesian-based seismic margin assessment that is conducted using seismic fragility data and fault tree analysis including Bayesian inference. This proposed approach is first applied to the pooltype nuclear research reactor system for the quantitative evaluation of the seismic margin. The results show that the applied approach can allow updating by considering the newly available data/information at any level of the fault tree, and can identify critical scenarios modified due to new information. Also, given the seismic hazard information, this approach is further extended to the real-time risk evaluation. Thus, the proposed approach can finally be expected to solve the fundamental restrictions of the current method.

• 한국터널지하공간학회 논문집
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• 제14권6호
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• pp.667-681
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• 2012

일반적으로 리스크 관리는 리스크 확인, 리스크 분석, 리스크 평가, 리스크 대책, 리스크 재평가를 포함하는 일련의 과정으로 구성된다. 본 논문에서는 쉴드 TBM 터널에서 발생 가능한 리스크 요인들을 여러 문헌 자료와 워크샵을 바탕으로 조사하였다. 리스크 요인들은 지질 요인, 설계 요인, 시공 관리 요인으로 구분되었다. Fault Tree도는 리스크들을 커터, 기계 구속, 배토(굴진), 세그먼트과 관련된 4그룹으로 분류하여 작성되었다. FT도로부터 12가지 리스크 아이템을 확인하고 각각의 발생확률을 구하였다.

• 상하수도학회지
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• 제28권6호
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• pp.699-711
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• 2014

This study was carried out to analyze water suspension in the water supply system through fault tree analysis. And quantitative factors was evaluated to minimize water suspension. Consequently the aim of this study is to build optimal planning by analyzing scenarios for water suspension. Accordingly the fault tree model makes it possible to estimate risks for water suspension, current risks is $92.23m^3/day$. The result of scenario analysis by pipe replacement, risks for water suspension was reduced $7.02m^3/day$ when replacing WD4 pipe. As a result of scenario analysis by water district connections, the amount of risk reduction is maximized when it is connecting to network pipe of D Zone. Therefore, connecting to network pipe for D Zone would be optimal to reduce risk for water suspension.

• 대한인간공학회지
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• 제20권3호
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• pp.61-76
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• 2001

This study is for analyzing the explosion accidents in the tunnels, roads, subways, streets and various kinds of building construction area with the use of Fault Tree Analysis(FTA). based on the police Department and Guns & Explosives Safety Technology Association's researching materials. the explosion accidents have been investigated and analyzed between 1988 and 1977. As the result, we can find out that the majority of the explosion accidents in Korea is the accidents by flown stones(45.7%), like in Japan. So we make the research chart which is needed for analyzing the explosion accident, and then analyze these accidents systematically. using the investigation codes of the industrial accidents. After that, the FTA was performed on the accidents by flown stones. They result fromm non-observance of the safety rules, and lees knowledge of the safety and so on. Moreover several causes are combined and then the accidents are apt to happen. So according to the results of this study, for the protection of the explosion accidents, the specialized safety education is badly needed and the enough investigation of the places before the work along with the management for safety in working must be planned.

• 대한인간공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한인간공학회 1996년도 춘계학술대회논문집
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• pp.113-127
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• 1996

In Human Reliability Analysis(HRA), the uncertainties involved in many factors that affect human reliability have to be represented as the quantitative forms. Conventional probability- based human reliability theory is used to evaluate the effect of those uncertainties but it is pointed out that the actual human reliability should be different from that of conventional one. Conventional HRA makes use of error rates, however, it is difficult to collect data enough to estimate these error rates, and the estimates of error rates are dependent only on engineering judgement. In this paper, the error possibility that is proposed by Onisawa is used to represent human reliability, and the error possibility is obtained by use of fuzzy reasoning that plays an important role to clarify the relation between human reliability and human error. Also, assuming these factors are connected to the top event through Fault Tree structure, the influence and correlation of these factors are measured by fuzzy operation. When a fuzzy operation is applied to Fault Tree Analysis, it is possible to simplify the operation applying the logic disjuction and logic conjuction to structure function, and the structure of human reliability can be represented as membership function of the top event. Also, on the basis of the the membership function, the characteristics of human reliability can be evaluated by use of the concept of pattern recognition.

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• 제40권5호
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• pp.397-408
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• 2008

This paper describes the application of a software fault tree analysis (FTA) as one of the analysis techniques for a software safety analysis (SSA) at the design phase and its analysis results for the safety-critical software of a digital reactor protection system, which is called the KNICS RPS, being developed in the KNICS (Korea Nuclear Instrumentation & Control Systems) project. The software modules in the design description were represented by function blocks (FBs), and the software FTA was performed based on the well-defined fault tree templates for the FBs. The SSA, which is part of the verification and validation (V&V) activities, was activated at each phase of the software lifecycle for the KNICS RPS. At the design phase, the software HAZOP (Hazard and Operability) and the software FTA were employed in the SSA in such a way that the software HAZOP was performed first and then the software FTA was applied. The software FTA was applied to some critical modules selected from the software HAZOP analysis.

• 산업공학
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• 제22권2호
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• pp.126-134
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• 2009

As product quality and yield are essential factors in semiconductor manufacturing, monitoring the main manufacturing steps is a critical task. For the purpose, FDC(Fault detection and classification) is used for diagnosing fault states in the processes by monitoring data stream collected by equipment sensors. This paper proposes an FDC model based on decision tree which provides if-then classification rules for causal analysis of the processing results. Unlike previous decision tree approaches, we reflect the structural aspect of the data stream to FDC. For this, we segment the data stream into multiple subregions, define structural features for each subregion, and select the features which have high relevance to results of the process and low redundancy to other features. As the result, we can construct simple, but highly accurate FDC model. Experiments using the data stream collected from etching process show that the proposed method is able to classify normal/abnormal states with high accuracy.

• 한국안전학회지
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• 제3권2호
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• pp.5-16
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• 1988

This study is conducted to evaluate the explosion of tolune storage tank in the petrochemical plant by Fault Tree Analysis. The conclusions are as follows; 1) Fault Tree diagram and the required computer program for evaluation of explosion accident is developed. 2) The probability of the top event, explosion accident, is $1.5\;{\times}\;10^{-8}$ per year, so there is almost no possibility of explosion during the life cycle of tank. However, the probability of Gate 6 and Gate 7 is 8.8 per month, therefore, attention should be paid to them for accident prevention. 3) The number of minimal cut sets is 67 sets which are not calculated the probability of each set, because of the lack of computer capacity. All the minimal cut sets should be examined case by case. However, it is necessary to be paid attention to COM1, 126, 131, and COM4 in minimal cut sets, because the number of appearance is so high. 4) The number path sets is 70 sets which are not calculated the probability of each set, because of the lack of computer capacity. It is very useful to prepare safety checklist by using this minimal path sets. Also, the events which appear many times, 123, COM5, 139, 127 and 128, are very high in reliability.

• 국제학술발표논문집
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• The 8th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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• pp.303-312
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• 2020

Safety culture is a collection of the beliefs, perceptions and values that employees share in relation to risks within an organisation. On the other hand, a resilient safety culture (RSC) means a culture with readiness of the organisation to respond effectively under stress, bounce back from shocks and continuously learn from them. RSC helps organisations to protect their interest which can be attributed to behavioural, psychological and managerial capabilities of the organization. Quantification of the degree of resilience in an organisation's safety culture can provide insights about the strong and weak links of the organisation's overall health and safety situation by identifying potential causes of system or sub-system failure. One of the major challenges of quantification of RSC is that the attributes that determine RSC need to be measured through constructs and indicators which are complex and often interrelated. In this paper, we address this challenge by applying a fault tree analysis (FTA) technique which can help analyse complex and interrelated constructs and indicators. The fault tree model of RSC is used to evaluate resilience levels of two organisations with remote and urban locations in order to demonstrate the failure path of the weak links in the RSC model.

• 전자공학회논문지CI
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• 제47권4호
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• pp.102-108
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• 2010

태양광 발전 시스템은 태양 전지에 의해 태양 에너지를 직류로 변환하며 이 직류를 인버터에 의해 일반 가정에서 사용되는 교류로 변환한다. 최근 태양광 발전 시스템의 전력량이 증가하는 추세이므로 대전력을 전송하는 3상 시스템에 관한 연구가 중요하다. 본 논문에서는 태양광전지의 계통연계 시스템의 3상 PWM 인버터의 스위치 개방이 발생했을 경우, 이를 간단히 검출하고 식별하는 방법을 제안한다. 제안 방법은 $\alpha\beta$ 평면에서 전류 벡터의 궤적 영상의 패턴을 특징으로 하여 정상상태와 각각의 고장 상태를 결정하여 트리로 분류한다. 트리 구성을 위한 고장패턴은 21개로 하였으며 고장 패턴트리의 결정을 위한 분류 파라메터는 모양, 영역, 분산각, 벡터각으로 하였다. 각 고장에 대하여 제안방법의 성능을 평가한 결과 모든 고장요소를 정확히 분류하여 패턴 트리를 구성하였다.