• Title/Summary/Keyword: False Alarm Ratio

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Empirical Forecast of Corotating Interacting Regions and Geomagnetic Storms Based on Coronal Hole Information (코로나 홀을 이용한 CIR과 지자기 폭풍의 경험적 예보 연구)

  • Lee, Ji-Hye;Moon, Yong-Jae;Choi, Yun-Hee;Yoo, Kye-Hwa
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.305-316
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    • 2009
  • In this study, we suggest an empirical forecast of CIR (Corotating Interaction Regions) and geomagnetic storm based on the information of coronal holes (CH). For this we used CH data obtained from He I $10830{\AA}$ maps at National Solar Observatory-Kitt Peak from January 1996 to November 2003 and the CIR and storm data that Choi et al. (2009) identified. Considering the relationship among coronal holes, CIRs, and geomagnetic storms (Choi et al. 2009), we propose the criteria for geoeffective coronal holes; the center of CH is located between $N40^{\circ}$ and $S40^{\circ}$ and between $E40^{\circ}$ and $W20^{\circ}$, and its area in percentage of solar hemispheric area is larger than the following areas: (1) case 1: 0.36%, (2) case 2: 0.66%, (3) case 3: 0.36% for 1996-2000, and 0.66% for 2001-2003. Then we present contingency tables between prediction and observation for three cases and their dependence on solar cycle phase. From the contingency tables, we determined several statistical parameters for forecast evaluation such as PODy (the probability of detection yes), FAR (the false alarm ratio), Bias (the ratio of "yes" predictions to "yes" observations) and CSI (critical success index). Considering the importance of PODy and CSI, we found that the best criterion is case 3; CH-CIR: PODy=0.77, FAR=0.66, Bias=2.28, CSI=0.30. CH-storm: PODy=0.81, FAR=0.84, Bias=5.00, CSI=0.16. It is also found that the parameters after the solar maximum are much better than those before the solar maximum. Our results show that the forecasting of CIR based on coronal hole information is meaningful but the forecast of goemagnetic storm is challenging.

A Comparative Analysis of Performance of Ambiguity Validation Methods (미지정수 후보 타당성 검정 기법간의 비교 분석)

  • Ko, Jae-Young;Shin, Mi-Young;Han, Young-Hoon;Cho, Deuk-Jae
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.39 no.1
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    • pp.15-21
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    • 2015
  • In high precision positioning systems based on GNSS, ambiguity resolution is an important procedure. Correct ambiguity leads to positioning results which have high precision between millimeters and centimeters. However, when the ambiguity is determined incorrectly, ensuring accuracy and precision of the positioning result is impossible. An ambiguity validation test is required to obtain correct ambiguity when ambiguity resolution is performed based on the ILS (Integer Least Squares), which shows the best performance in point of theory and experiment when compared with other methods such as IR (Integer Rounding) and IB (Integer Bootstrapping). Comparison between the candidates of the validation test is needed to judge ambiguity correctly, because ILS searches for candidates of integer ambiguity, unlike other methods which calculate only one integer ambiguity. We analyzed the experimental performance of ambiguity validation tests. R-ratio, F-ratio and W-ratio were adopted for analysis. The performance of validation tests was evaluated by classifying normal operation, detection, missed detection and false alarm. As a result, strengths and weaknesses of validation tests was showed to experimental. we concluded that validation tests must be selected according to environment.

Flood Alert and Warning Scheme Based on Intensity-Duration-Quantity (IDQ) Curve considering Antecedant Moisture Condition (선행함수지수를 고려한 강우강도-지속시간-홍수량(IDQ) 곡선기반의 홍수예경보기법)

  • Kim, Jin-Gyeom;Kang, Boosik
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.35 no.6
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    • pp.1269-1276
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    • 2015
  • The methodology of utilizing Intensity-Duration-flood Quantity (IDQ) curve for flood alert and warning was introduced and its performance was evaluated. For this purpose the lumped parameter model was calibrated and validated for gauged basin data set and the index precipitation equivalent to alert and warning flood was estimated. The index precipitation and IDQ curves associated by three different Antecedant Moisture Conditions (AMCs) are made provision for various possible flood scenarios. The test basin is Wonju-cheon basin ($94.4km^2$) located in Gangwon province, Korea. The IDQ curves corresponding to alert (50% of design flood level) and warning (70% of design flood level) level was estimated using the Clark unit hydrograph based lumped parameter model. The performance evaluation showed 0.704 of POD (Probability of Detection), 0.136 of FAR (False Alarm Ratio), and 0.633 of CSI (Critical Success Index), which is improved from the result of IDQ with single fixed AMC.

A Study on Optimizing the Clutter Rejection Capability for a High-Speed Scanning MTI-Pulse Radar (고속 스캔 MTI 펄스 레이더의 지형 클러터 제거 능력 최적화에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Jong-Geon;Jang, Heon-Soon
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Electromagnetic Engineering and Science
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    • v.20 no.10
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    • pp.1077-1083
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    • 2009
  • To reject the Doppler frequency spectrum dispersion of clutter caused by high-speed antenna rotation of MTI radar system due to terrain characteristics, signal processing parameters(MTI filter constant, M/N detector ration, K-factor and offset of CFAR) are adjusted for the optimal elimination of the ground clutter. For this investigation, logging equipment is designed and utilized for the collection of classified ground clutter data. Test case is devised through Matlab simulation for the classified analysis and optimization of clutter rejection. Then indoor radar test and outside test in accordance with terrain characteristics are repeatedly performed for the verification of the test. This whole process is through the evolutional development model and repeated for the optimization. Final result is that ground-clutter rejection capability is 5.6 times(7.5 dB) better than that of existing radar system.

Development of Land fog Detection Algorithm based on the Optical and Textural Properties of Fog using COMS Data

  • Suh, Myoung-Seok;Lee, Seung-Ju;Kim, So-Hyeong;Han, Ji-Hye;Seo, Eun-Kyoung
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.359-375
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    • 2017
  • We developed fog detection algorithm (KNU_FDA) based on the optical and textural properties of fog using satellite (COMS) and ground observation data. The optical properties are dual channel difference (DCD: BT3.7 - BT11) and albedo, and the textural properties are normalized local standard deviation of IR1 and visible channels. Temperature difference between air temperature and BT11 is applied to discriminate the fog from other clouds. Fog detection is performed according to the solar zenith angle of pixel because of the different availability of satellite data: day, night and dawn/dusk. Post-processing is also performed to increase the probability of detection (POD), in particular, at the edge of main fog area. The fog probability is calculated by the weighted sum of threshold tests. The initial threshold and weighting values are optimized using sensitivity tests for the varying threshold values using receiver operating characteristic analysis. The validation results with ground visibility data for the validation cases showed that the performance of KNU_FDA show relatively consistent detection skills but it clearly depends on the fog types and time of day. The average POD and FAR (False Alarm Ratio) for the training and validation cases are ranged from 0.76 to 0.90 and from 0.41 to 0.63, respectively. In general, the performance is relatively good for the fog without high cloud and strong fog but that is significantly decreased for the weak fog. In order to improve the detection skills and stability, optimization of threshold and weighting values are needed through the various training cases.

Cooperative Spectrum Sensing with Distance Based Weight for Cognitive Radio Systems (인지무선 시스템을 위한 거리기반 가중치가 적용된 협력 스펙트럼 센싱)

  • Lee, So-Young;Lee, Jae-Jin;Kim, Jin-Young
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea TC
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    • v.47 no.7
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    • pp.45-50
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    • 2010
  • In this paper, we analysis the performance of cooperative spectrum sensing with distance based weight for cognitive radio (CR) systems and CR systems sense the spectrum of the licensed user by using a energy detection method. Threshold is determined in accordance with the constant false alarm rate (CFAR) algorithm for energy detection. The signal of licensed user is OFDM signal and the wireless channel between a licensed user and CR systems is modeled as Gaussian channel. From the simulation results, the cooperative spectrum sensing with distance based weight combining (DWC) and equal gain combing (EGC) methods shows higher spectrum sensing performance than single spectrum sensing does. And the detection probability performance with the DWC is higher than that with the EGC.

Parallel Acquisition Scheme for DS-SS Systems Using Antenna Arrays and Its Performance in a Fading Channel (안테나 배열을 사용한 DS-SS 시스템을 위한 병렬 포착 방식과 페이딩 채널에서의 성능)

  • Ryu, Won-Hyung;Oh, Seong-Keun
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea TC
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    • v.37 no.1
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    • pp.54-65
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    • 2000
  • We propose a parallel acquisition scheme using antenna arrays for initial acquisition of direct-sequence spread-spectrum (DS-SS) signals. The proposed parallel scheme can lower substantially the range of detectable signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) as compared to the conventional parallel scheme with a single antenna. The proposed scheme uses the sum of the independent decision samples from antenna arrays corresponding to an identical subsequence of the pseudonoise (PN) code as a decision variable. We derive the probabilities of detection, missing, and false alarm under an additive white Gaussian noise (AWGN) channel and a flat Rayleigh fading channel. Using these, we get the mean acquisition time of the proposed scheme. From numerical results, we see that the acquisition performance becomes improved continually as the number of antennas increases.

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Gunnery Detection Method Using Reference Frame Modeling and Frame Difference (참조 프레임 모델링과 차영상을 이용한 포격 탐지 기법)

  • Kim, Jae-Hyup;Song, Tae-Eun;Ko, Jin-Shin;Moon, Young-Shik
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea CI
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    • v.49 no.4
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    • pp.62-70
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    • 2012
  • In this paper, we propose the gunnery detection method based on reference frame modeling and frame difference method. The frame difference method is basic method in target detection, and it's applicable to the detection of moving targets. The goal of proposed method is the detection of gunnery target which has huge variation of energy and size in the time domain. So, proposed method is based on frame difference, and it guarantee real-time processing and high detection performance. In the method of frame difference, it's important to generate reference frame. In the proposed method, reference frame is modeled and updated in real time processing using statistical values for each pixels. We performed the simulation on 73 IR video data that has gunnery targets, and the experimental results showed that the proposed method has 95.7% detection ratio under condition that false alarm is 1 per hour.

Smoke detection in video sequences based on dynamic texture using volume local binary patterns

  • Lin, Gaohua;Zhang, Yongming;Zhang, Qixing;Jia, Yang;Xu, Gao;Wang, Jinjun
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.11 no.11
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    • pp.5522-5536
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    • 2017
  • In this paper, a video based smoke detection method using dynamic texture feature extraction with volume local binary patterns is studied. Block based method was used to distinguish smoke frames in high definition videos obtained by experiments firstly. Then we propose a method that directly extracts dynamic texture features based on irregular motion regions to reduce adverse impacts of block size and motion area ratio threshold. Several general volume local binary patterns were used to extract dynamic texture, including LBPTOP, VLBP, CLBPTOP and CVLBP, to study the effect of the number of sample points, frame interval and modes of the operator on smoke detection. Support vector machine was used as the classifier for dynamic texture features. The results show that dynamic texture is a reliable clue for video based smoke detection. It is generally conducive to reducing the false alarm rate by increasing the dimension of the feature vector. However, it does not always contribute to the improvement of the detection rate. Additionally, it is found that the feature computing time is not directly related to the vector dimension in our experiments, which is important for the realization of real-time detection.

Optimal Soft Decision for Cooperative Spectrum Sensing in Cognitive Radio Systems (무선 인지 시스템에서 협력 스펙트럼 센싱을 위한 최적화된 연판정 방식)

  • Lee, So-Young;Kim, Jin-Young
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Electromagnetic Engineering and Science
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.423-429
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    • 2011
  • Cooperative spectrum sensing is proposed to overcome some problem such as multipath fading and shadowing and to improve spectrum sensing performance. There are different combining methods for cooperative spectrum sensing: hard decision method and soft decision method. In this paper, we analysis the performance of cooperative spectrum sensing with distance based weight that is kind of a soft decision rule for cognitive radio(CR) systems and CR systems sense the spectrum of the licensed user by using a energy detection method. Threshold is determined in accordance with the constant false alarm rate(CFAR) algorithm for energy detection. The signal of licensed user is OFDM signal and the wireless channel between a licensed user and CR systems is modeled as Gaussian channel. From the simulation results, the cooperative spectrum sensing with distance based weight combining(DWC) and equal gain combing(EGC) methods shows higher spectrum sensing performance than single spectrum sensing does. And the detection probability performance with the DWC is higher than that with the EGC.