• Title/Summary/Keyword: False Alarm Probability

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Improvement of PM10 Forecasting Performance using Membership Function and DNN (멤버십 함수와 DNN을 이용한 PM10 예보 성능의 향상)

  • Yu, Suk Hyun;Jeon, Young Tae;Kwon, Hee Yong
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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    • v.22 no.9
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    • pp.1069-1079
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    • 2019
  • In this study, we developed a $PM_{10}$ forecasting model using DNN and Membership Function, and improved the forecasting performance. The model predicts the $PM_{10}$ concentrations of the next 3 days in the Seoul area by using the weather and air quality observation data and forecast data. The best model(RM14)'s accuracy (82%, 76%, 69%) and false alarm rate(FAR:14%,33%,44%) are good. Probability of detection (POD: 79%, 50%, 53%), however, are not good performance. These are due to the lack of training data for high concentration $PM_{10}$ compared to low concentration. In addition, the model dose not reflect seasonal factors closely related to the generation of high concentration $PM_{10}$. To improve this, we propose Julian date membership function as inputs of the $PM_{10}$ forecasting model. The function express a given date in 12 factors to reflect seasonal characteristics closely related to high concentration $PM_{10}$. As a result, the accuracy (79%, 70%, 66%) and FAR (24%, 48%, 46%) are slightly reduced in performance, but the POD (79%, 75%, 71%) are up to 25% improved compared with those of the RM14 model. Hence, this shows that the proposed Julian forecast model is effective for high concentration $PM_{10}$ forecasts.

Application of machine learning for merging multiple satellite precipitation products

  • Van, Giang Nguyen;Jung, Sungho;Lee, Giha
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.134-134
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    • 2021
  • Precipitation is a crucial component of water cycle and play a key role in hydrological processes. Traditionally, gauge-based precipitation is the main method to achieve high accuracy of rainfall estimation, but its distribution is sparsely in mountainous areas. Recently, satellite-based precipitation products (SPPs) provide grid-based precipitation with spatio-temporal variability, but SPPs contain a lot of uncertainty in estimated precipitation, and the spatial resolution quite coarse. To overcome these limitations, this study aims to generate new grid-based daily precipitation using Automatic weather system (AWS) in Korea and multiple SPPs(i.e. CHIRPSv2, CMORPH, GSMaP, TRMMv7) during the period of 2003-2017. And this study used a machine learning based Random Forest (RF) model for generating new merging precipitation. In addition, several statistical linear merging methods are used to compare with the results of the RF model. In order to investigate the efficiency of RF, observed data from 64 observed Automated Synoptic Observation System (ASOS) were collected to evaluate the accuracy of the products through Kling-Gupta efficiency (KGE), probability of detection (POD), false alarm rate (FAR), and critical success index (CSI). As a result, the new precipitation generated through the random forest model showed higher accuracy than each satellite rainfall product and spatio-temporal variability was better reflected than other statistical merging methods. Therefore, a random forest-based ensemble satellite precipitation product can be efficiently used for hydrological simulations in ungauged basins such as the Mekong River.

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Evaluation performance of machine learning in merging multiple satellite-based precipitation with gauge observation data

  • Nhuyen, Giang V.;Le, Xuan-hien;Jung, Sungho;Lee, Giha
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2022.05a
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    • pp.143-143
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    • 2022
  • Precipitation plays an essential role in water resources management and disaster prevention. Therefore, the understanding related to spatiotemporal characteristics of rainfall is necessary. Nowadays, highly accurate precipitation is mainly obtained from gauge observation systems. However, the density of gauge stations is a sparse and uneven distribution in mountainous areas. With the proliferation of technology, satellite-based precipitation sources are becoming increasingly common and can provide rainfall information in regions with complex topography. Nevertheless, satellite-based data is that it still remains uncertain. To overcome the above limitation, this study aims to take the strengthens of machine learning to generate a new reanalysis of precipitation data by fusion of multiple satellite precipitation products (SPPs) with gauge observation data. Several machine learning algorithms (i.e., Random Forest, Support Vector Regression, and Artificial Neural Network) have been adopted. To investigate the robustness of the new reanalysis product, observed data were collected to evaluate the accuracy of the products through Kling-Gupta efficiency (KGE), probability of detection (POD), false alarm rate (FAR), and critical success index (CSI). As a result, the new precipitation generated through the machine learning model showed higher accuracy than original satellite rainfall products, and its spatiotemporal variability was better reflected than others. Thus, reanalysis of satellite precipitation product based on machine learning can be useful source input data for hydrological simulations in ungauged river basins.

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Optimization of Link-level Performance and Complexity for the Floating-point and Fixed-point Designs of IEEE 802.16e OFDMA/TDD Mobile Modem (IEEE 802.16e OFDMA/TDD 이동국 모뎀의 링크 성능과 복잡도 최적화를 위한 부동 및 고정 소수점 설계)

  • Sun, Tae-Hyoung;Kang, Seung-Won;Kim, Kyu-Hyun;Chang, Kyung-Hi
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea TC
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    • v.43 no.11 s.353
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    • pp.95-117
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    • 2006
  • In this paper, we describe the optimization of the link-level performance and the complexity of floating-point and fixed-point methods in IEEE 802.16e OFDMA/TDD mobile modem. In floating-point design, we propose the channel estimation methods for downlink traffic channel and select the optimized method using computer simulation. So we also propose efficent algorithms for time and frequency synchronization, Digital Front End and CINR estimation scheme to optimize the system performance. Furthermore, we describe fixed-point method of uplink traffic and control channels. The superiority of the proposed algorithm is validated using the performances of Detection, False Alarm, Missing Probability and Mean Acquisition Time, PER Curve, etc. For fixed-point design, we propose an efficient methodology for optimized fixed-point design from floating-point At last, we design fixed-point of traffic channel, time and frequency synchronization, DFE block in uplink and downlink. The tradeoff between performance and complexity are optimized through computer simulations.

Implementation for Automatic Inspection System on Ventilating Electronic Device Based on Reliability Improvement (신뢰성 향상 기반의 송풍전자장치 자동검사 시스템 구현)

  • Do, Nam Soo;Ryu, Kwang Ryol
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.21 no.6
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    • pp.1155-1160
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    • 2017
  • This paper describes a system implementation for the automatic inspection on the ventilating electronic device based on the reliability improvement. To be enhancement, the inspection error is minimized by the automatic inspection system on the ventilating apparatuses against the manual inspecting system. The system consists of the control system, software structure and monitoring system to be scanning the inspection processing. The inspection system for reliability improvement is evaluated in Gage Repeatability and Reproducibility. The experimental results are improved about 2 times inspecting speed, measured error ${\pm}0.02V$, effectiveness of discriminating performance 15%, missing probability 17% and false alarm probability 12% respectively in comparing with the manual inspection based on the wind pressure sensor. The system will be also improved more by making database and product bar codes for the total quality control system to the effective reliability enhancement in the future.

Efficient Spectrum Sensing Based on Evolutionary Game Theory in Cognitive Radio Networks (인지무선 네트워크에서 진화게임을 이용한 효율적인 협력 스펙트럼 센싱 연구)

  • Kang, Keon-Kyu;Yoo, Sang-Jo
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.39B no.11
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    • pp.790-802
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    • 2014
  • In cognitive radio technology, secondary users can determine the absence of PU by periodic sensing operation and cooperative sensing between SUs yields a significant sensing performance improvement. However, there exists a trade off between the gains in terms of probability of detection of the primary users and the costs of false alarm probability. Therefore, the cooperation group must maintain the suitable size. And secondary users should sense not only the currently using channels and but also other candidates channel to switch in accordance with sudden appearance of the primary user. In this paper, we propose an effective group cooperative sensing algorithm in distributed network situations that is considering both of inband and outband sensing using evolutionary game theory. We derived that the strategy group of secondary users converges to an ESS(Evolutionary sable state). Using a learning algorithm, each secondary user can converge to the ESS without the exchange of information to each other.

Efficient Spectrum Sensing for Cognitive Radio Sensor Networks via Optimization of Sensing Time (센싱 시간의 최적화를 통해 인지 무선 센서 네트워크를 위한 효율적인 스펙트럼 센싱)

  • Kong, Fanhua;Cho, Jinsung
    • Journal of KIISE
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    • v.43 no.12
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    • pp.1412-1419
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    • 2016
  • In cognitive radio sensor networks (CRSNs), secondary users (SUs) can occupy licensed bands opportunistically without causing interferences to primary users (PUs). SUs perform spectrum sensing to detect the presence of PUs. Sensing time is a critical parameter for spectrum sensing that can yield a tradeoff between sensing performance and secondary throughput. In this study, we investigate new approaches for spectrum sensing by exploring the tradeoff from a) spectrum sensing for PU detection (SSPD) and b) spectrum sensing for secondary throughput (SSST). In the proposed scheme, the first sensing result of the current frame determines the dynamic performance of the second spectrum sensing. Energy constraint in CRSNs leads to maximized network energy efficiency via optimization of sensing time. Simulation results show that the proposed scheme of SSPD and SSST improves network performance in terms of energy efficiency and secondary throughput, respectively.

Development of Land fog Detection Algorithm based on the Optical and Textural Properties of Fog using COMS Data

  • Suh, Myoung-Seok;Lee, Seung-Ju;Kim, So-Hyeong;Han, Ji-Hye;Seo, Eun-Kyoung
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.359-375
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    • 2017
  • We developed fog detection algorithm (KNU_FDA) based on the optical and textural properties of fog using satellite (COMS) and ground observation data. The optical properties are dual channel difference (DCD: BT3.7 - BT11) and albedo, and the textural properties are normalized local standard deviation of IR1 and visible channels. Temperature difference between air temperature and BT11 is applied to discriminate the fog from other clouds. Fog detection is performed according to the solar zenith angle of pixel because of the different availability of satellite data: day, night and dawn/dusk. Post-processing is also performed to increase the probability of detection (POD), in particular, at the edge of main fog area. The fog probability is calculated by the weighted sum of threshold tests. The initial threshold and weighting values are optimized using sensitivity tests for the varying threshold values using receiver operating characteristic analysis. The validation results with ground visibility data for the validation cases showed that the performance of KNU_FDA show relatively consistent detection skills but it clearly depends on the fog types and time of day. The average POD and FAR (False Alarm Ratio) for the training and validation cases are ranged from 0.76 to 0.90 and from 0.41 to 0.63, respectively. In general, the performance is relatively good for the fog without high cloud and strong fog but that is significantly decreased for the weak fog. In order to improve the detection skills and stability, optimization of threshold and weighting values are needed through the various training cases.

An Efficient Adaptive Polarization-Space-Time Domain Radar Target Detection Algorithm (3차원 (편파, 공간, 시간) 영역에서의 효율적인 적응 레이다 신호검출 알고리즘)

  • Yang, Yeon-Sil;Lee, Sang-Ho;Yoon, Sang-Sik;Park, Hyung-Rae
    • Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.138-150
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    • 2002
  • This paper addresses the problem of combining adaptive polarization processing and space-time processing for further performance improvement of radar target detection in clutter and Jammer environments. Since the most straightforward cascade combinations have quite limited performance improvement potentials, we focus on the development of adaptive processing in the joint polarization-space-time domain. Unlike a direct extension of some existing space-time processing algorithms to the joint domain, the processing algorithm developed in this paper does not need a potentially costly polarization filter bank to cover the unknown target polarization parameter. The performance of the new algorithm is derived and evaluated in terms of the probability of detection and the probability of false alarm, and it is compared with other algorithms that do not utilize the polarization information or assume that the target polarization is known.

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The Efficient Detection Algorithm of Various CR signals using Channel Bonding in TV White Space (TV White Space에서 채널 본딩된 다양한 CR 시스템의 효율적인 검출 알고리즘)

  • Lim, Sun-Min;Jung, Hoi-Yoon;Jeong, Byung-Jang
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.36 no.5A
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    • pp.536-542
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    • 2011
  • For efficient utilization of spectrum resources in TV white space after DTV transition, FCC allowed usage of the spectrum for CR system. The CR system is required to cognize channel usage state for utilizing the unused spectrum in TV white space which coexists various primary and secondary systems. In the meantime, as a demand for high throughput communication had been increased recently, CR systems also consider to adopt channel bonding technology, thus spectrum sensing for channel bonded system is essentially required. In this paper, we propose a novel spectrum sensing algorithm for channel bonding system using a single channel receiver. For IEEE 802.l1af signal, the proposed algorithm provide detection probability of 90% with false alarm probability 10% at SNR -18dB for single channel system and at SNR -7dB for 8 channel bonded system, respectively. Utilizing the proposed scheme, we can detect channel bonded signal using only a single receiver, therefore system overhead for spectrum sensing can be reduced significantly.