• Title/Summary/Keyword: FIEGARCH

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Value-at-Risk Estimation of the KOSPI Returns by Employing Long-Memory Volatility Models (장기기억 변동성 모형을 이용한 KOSPI 수익률의 Value-at-Risk의 추정)

  • Oh, Jeongjun;Kim, Sunggon
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.163-185
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    • 2013
  • In this paper, we investigate the need to employ long-memory volatility models in terms of Value-at-Risk(VaR) estimation. We estimate the VaR of the KOSPI returns using long-memory volatility models such as FIGARCH and FIEGARCH; in addition, via back-testing we compare the performance of the obtained VaR with short memory processes such as GARCH and EGARCH. Back-testing says that there exists a long-memory property in the volatility process of KOSPI returns and that it is essential to employ long-memory volatility models for the right estimation of VaR.