• Title/Summary/Keyword: Extreme wind speed

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Statistical Estimation of Wind Speed in the Gwangyang-Myodo Region (광양 - 묘도 지역의 통계학적인 풍속 추정)

  • Bae, Yong Gwi;Han, Gwan Mun;Lee, Seong Lo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.28 no.2A
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    • pp.197-205
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    • 2008
  • In order to estimate mean wind speed in the Gwangyang-Myodo Region, the probability distribution model of extreme values has been used in the statistical analysis of joint distribution probability of daily maximum wind speed and corresponding direction in this paper. For this purpose frequency of daily maximum records at respective stations is inquired into and sample of largest yearly wind speed of sixteen compass direction and non-direction is extracted from daily data of maximum wind speed and appropriate direction of the meteorological observing stations nearby the bridge construction site. These extreme speed records are applied to Gumbel and Weibull distribution model and parameters are estimated through method of moment and method of least squares etc. And also, distribution and parameters are inquired into whether it is fitted through the probability plot correlation coefficient examination. From fitted parameters the largest yearly wind speed of sixteen compass direction and non-direction is extrapolated taking into account factors regarding sample size of data and distance from the bridge construction site according to the appropriate stations.

Near-ground wind and its characterization for engineering applications

  • Crandell, Jay H.;Farkas, William;Lyons, James M.;Freeborne, William
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.3 no.3
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    • pp.143-158
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    • 2000
  • This report presents the findings of a one-year monitoring effort to empirically characterize and evaluate the nature of near-ground winds for structural engineering purposes. The current wind engineering practice in the United States does not explicitly consider certain important near-ground wind characteristics in typical rough terrain conditions and the possible effect on efficient design of low-rise structures, such as homes and other light-frame buildings that comprise most of the building population. Therefore, near ground wind data was collected for the purpose of comparing actual near-ground wind characteristics to the current U.S. wind engineering practice. The study provides data depicting variability of wind speeds, wind velocity profiles for a major thunderstorm event and a northeaster, and the influence of thunderstorms on annual extreme wind speeds at various heights above ground in a typical rough environment. Data showing the decrease in the power law exponent with increasing wind speed is also presented. It is demonstrated that near-ground wind speeds (i.e., less than 10 m above ground) are likely to be over-estimated in the current design practice by as much as 20 percent which may result in wind load over-estimate of about 50% for low-rise buildings in typical rough terrain. The importance of thunderstorm wind profiles on determination of design wind speeds and building loads (particularly for buildings substantially taller than 10 m) is also discussed. Recommendations are given for possible improvements to the current design practice in the United States with respect to low-rise buildings in rough terrain and for the need to study the impact of thunderstorm gust profile shapes on extreme value wind speed estimates and building loads.

Dynamic response of an overhead transmission tower-line system to high-speed train-induced wind

  • Zhang, Meng;Liu, Ying;Liu, Hao;Zhao, Guifeng
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.34 no.4
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    • pp.335-353
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    • 2022
  • The current work numerically investigates the transient force and dynamic response of an overhead transmission tower-line structure caused by the passage of a high-speed train (HST). Taking the CRH2C HST and an overhead transmission tower-line structure as the research objects, both an HST-transmission line fluid numerical model and a transmission tower-line structure finite element model are established and validated through comparison with experimental and theoretical data. The transient force and typical dynamic response of the overhead transmission tower-line structure due to HST-induced wind are analyzed. The results show that when the train passes through the overhead transmission tower-line structure, the extreme force on the transmission line is related to the train speed with a significant quadratic function relationship. Once the relative distance from the track is more than 15 m, the train-induced force is small enough to be ignored. The extreme value of the mid-span dynamic response of the transmission line is related to the train speed and span length with a significant linear functional relationship.

Driving Safety Analysis for vehicles Against High Wind on the Bridges Using Extreme Value Statistics (극치통계분석을 이용한 교량상판 풍하중에 대한 차량주행 안전도 평가)

  • Chung, Jee-Seung
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.112-117
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    • 2010
  • This study presents a methodology to evaluate the driving safety of vehicles against localized high wind on the roads over the valleys or along the coasts. Risk level for vehicle accident is derived from the side slip caused by cross wind, and then safety criteria based on reliability for driving stability are defined. The level of safety is classified according to probability of exceeding against wind speed using the concept of extreme value statistics. To attain the safety level of vehicle on bridges, numerical simulations using Computational Fluid Dynamics(CFD) are performed. Based on this result, risk reduction and quality improvement is expected through analysis for each alternative in bridges design, construction and operation & maintenance stage with proposed process

Estimation of Surface Wind Speed on the Strong Wind Damage by Typhoon (태풍으로 인한 강풍 피해 추정을 위한 지상풍 산정 연구(Ⅰ))

  • Park, Jong-Kil;Jung, Woo-Sik;Choi, Hyo-Jin
    • 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2008.02a
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    • pp.85-88
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    • 2008
  • Damage from typhoon disaster can be mitigated by grasping and dealing with the damage promptly for the regions in typhoon track. What is this work, a technique to analyzed dangerousness of typhoon should be presupposed. This study estimated 10m level wind speed using 700hPa wind by typhoon, referring to GPS dropwindsonde study of Franklin(2003). For 700hPa wind, 30km resolution data of Regional Data Assimilation Prediction System(RDAPS) were used. For roughness length in estimating wind of 10m level, landuse data of USGS are employed. For 10m level wind speed of Typhoon Rusa in 2002, we sampled AWS point of $7.4\sim30km$ distant from typhoon center and compare them with observational data. The results show that the 10m level wind speed is the estimation of maximum wind speed which can appear in surface by typhoon and it cannot be compared with general hourly observational data. Wind load on domestic buildings relies on probability distributions of extreme wind speed. Hence, calculated 10m level wind speed is useful for estimating the damage structure from typhoon.

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A Nonstationary Frequency Analysis of Extreme Wind Speed in Jeju using Bayesian Approach (베이지안 기법을 이용한 제주지역 극치풍속의 비정상성 빈도해석)

  • Kim, Kyoungmin;Kwon, Hyun-Han;Kwon, Soon-Duck
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.39 no.6
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    • pp.667-673
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    • 2019
  • Global warming may accelerate climate change and may increase disaster caused by strong winds. This research studied a method for a nonstationary frequency analysis considering the linear trend over time. The Bayesian method was used to estimate the posterior distribution of the parameters for the extreme value distribution of the annual maximum wind speed at Jeju Airport. The nonstationary frequency analysis was performed based on the Monte Carlo Markov Chain simulation and the Gibbs sampling. The estimated wind speeds by nonstationary frequency analysis was larger than those by stationary analysis. The conventional frequency analysis procedure assuming stationarity is likely to underestimate the future design wind speed in the region where statistically significant trend exists.

Analysis of extreme wind speed and precipitation using copula (코플라함수를 이용한 극단치 강풍과 강수 분석)

  • Kwon, Taeyong;Yoon, Sanghoo
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.797-810
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    • 2017
  • The Korean peninsula is exposed to typhoons every year. Typhoons cause huge socioeconomic damage because tropical cyclones tend to occur with strong winds and heavy precipitation. In order to understand the complex dependence structure between strong winds and heavy precipitation, the copula links a set of univariate distributions to a multivariate distribution and has been actively studied in the field of hydrology. In this study, we carried out analysis using data of wind speed and precipitation collected from the weather stations in Busan and Jeju. Log-Normal, Gamma, and Weibull distributions were considered to explain marginal distributions of the copula. Kolmogorov-Smirnov, Cramer-von-Mises, and Anderson-Darling test statistics were employed for testing the goodness-of-fit of marginal distribution. Observed pseudo data were calculated through inverse transformation method for establishing the copula. Elliptical, archimedean, and extreme copula were considered to explain the dependence structure between strong winds and heavy precipitation. In selecting the best copula, we employed the Cramer-von-Mises test and cross-validation. In Busan, precipitation according to average wind speed followed t copula and precipitation just as maximum wind speed adopted Clayton copula. In Jeju, precipitation according to maximum wind speed complied Normal copula and average wind speed as stated in precipitation followed Frank copula and maximum wind speed according to precipitation observed Husler-Reiss copula.

Probability-Based Estimates of Basic Design wind Speeds in Korea (확률에 기초한 한국의 기본 설계풍속 추정)

  • 조효남;차철준;백현식
    • Computational Structural Engineering
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.62-72
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    • 1989
  • This study presents rational methods for probability-based estimates of basic design wind speeds in Korea and proposes a risk-based nation-wide map of design wind speeds. The paper examines the fittings of the extreme Type I mode to largest yearly non-typhoon wind data from long-term records, and to largest monthly non-typhoon wind data from short-term records. For the estimation of the extreme typhoon wins speed distribution, an indirect analytical method based on a Monte-Carlo simulation is applied to typhoon-prone regions. The basic desig wind speeds for typhoon and non-typhoon winds at the sites of concern are made to be obtained from the mixed model given as a product of the two distributions. The results of this study show that the proposed models and methods provide a practicable tool for the development of the risk-based basic design wind speed and the design wind map from short-term station records currently available in Korea.

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Joint distribution of wind speed and direction in the context of field measurement

  • Wang, Hao;Tao, Tianyou;Wu, Teng;Mao, Jianxiao;Li, Aiqun
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.20 no.5
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    • pp.701-718
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    • 2015
  • The joint distribution of wind speed and wind direction at a bridge site is vital to the estimation of the basic wind speed, and hence to the wind-induced vibration analysis of long-span bridges. Instead of the conventional way relying on the weather stations, this study proposed an alternate approach to obtain the original records of wind speed and the corresponding directions based on field measurement supported by the Structural Health Monitoring System (SHMS). Specifically, SHMS of Sutong Cable-stayed Bridge (SCB) is utilized to study the basic wind speed with directional information. Four anemometers are installed in the SHMS of SCB: upstream and downstream of the main deck center, top of the north and south tower respectively. Using the recorded wind data from SHMS, the joint distribution of wind speed and direction is investigated based on statistical methods, and then the basic wind speeds in 10-year and 100-year recurrence intervals at these four key positions are calculated. Analytical results verify the reliability of the recorded wind data from SHMS, and indicate that the joint probability model for the extreme wind speed at SCB site fits well with the Weibull model. It is shown that the calculated basic wind speed is reduced by considering the influence of wind direction. Compared to the design basic wind speed in the Specification of China, basic wind speed considering the influence of direction or not is much smaller, indicating a high safety coefficient in the design of SCB. The results obtained in this study can provide not only references for further wind-resistance research of SCB, but also improve the understanding of the safety coefficient for wind-resistance design of other engineering structures in the similar area.

Multi-step wind speed forecasting synergistically using generalized S-transform and improved grey wolf optimizer

  • Ruwei Ma;Zhexuan Zhu;Chunxiang Li;Liyuan Cao
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.38 no.6
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    • pp.461-475
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    • 2024
  • A reliable wind speed forecasting method is crucial for the applications in wind engineering. In this study, the generalized S-transform (GST) is innovatively applied for wind speed forecasting to uncover the time-frequency characteristics in the non-stationary wind speed data. The improved grey wolf optimizer (IGWO) is employed to optimize the adjustable parameters of GST to obtain the best time-frequency resolution. Then a hybrid method based on IGWO-optimized GST is proposed to validate the effectiveness and superiority for multi-step non-stationary wind speed forecasting. The historical wind speed is chosen as the first input feature, while the dynamic time-frequency characteristics obtained by IGWO-optimized GST are chosen as the second input feature. Comparative experiment with six competitors is conducted to demonstrate the best performance of the proposed method in terms of prediction accuracy and stability. The superiority of the GST compared to other time-frequency analysis methods is also discussed by another experiment. It can be concluded that the introduction of IGWO-optimized GST can deeply exploit the time-frequency characteristics and effectively improving the prediction accuracy.