• Title/Summary/Keyword: Extreme wave

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Wintertime Extreme Storm Waves in the East Sea: Estimation of Extreme Storm Waves and Wave-Structure Interaction Study in the Fushiki Port, Toyama Bay (동해의 동계 극한 폭풍파랑: 토야마만 후시키항의 극한 폭풍파랑 추산 및 파랑 · 구조물 상호작용 연구)

  • Lee, Han Soo;Komaguchi, Tomoaki;Yamamoto, Atsushi;Hara, Masanori
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.25 no.5
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    • pp.335-347
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    • 2013
  • In February 2008, high storm waves due to a developed atmospheric low pressure system propagating from the west off Hokkaido, Japan, to the south and southwest throughout the East Sea (ES) caused extensive damages along the central coast of Japan and along the east coast of Korea. This study consists of two parts. In the first part, we estimate extreme storm wave characteristics in the Toyama Bay where heavy coastal damages occurred, using a non-hydrostatic meteorological model and a spectral wave model by considering the extreme conditions for two factors for wind wave growth, such as wind intensity and duration. The estimated extreme significant wave height and corresponding wave period were 6.78 m and 18.28 sec, respectively, at the Fushiki Toyama. In the second part, we perform numerical experiments on wave-structure interaction in the Fushiki Port, Toyama Bay, where the long North-Breakwater was heavily damaged by the storm waves in February 2008. The experiments are conducted using a non-linear shallow-water equation model with adaptive mesh refinement (AMR) and wet-dry scheme. The estimated extreme storm waves of 6.78 m and 18.28 sec are used for incident wave profile. The results show that the Fushiki Port would be overtopped and flooded by extreme storm waves if the North-Breakwater does not function properly after being damaged. Also the storm waves would overtop seawalls and sidewalls of the Manyou Pier behind the North-Breakwater. The results also depict that refined meshes by AMR method with wet-dry scheme applied capture the coastline and coastal structure well while keeping the computational load efficiently.

An alternative approach to extreme value analysis for design purposes

  • Bardsley, Earl
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2016.05a
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    • pp.201-201
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    • 2016
  • The asymptotic extreme value distributions of maxima are a natural choice when designing against future extreme events like flood peaks or wave heights, given a stationary time series. The generalized extreme value distribution (GEV) is often utilised in this context because it is seen as a convenient single expression for extreme event analysis. However, the GEV has a drawback because the location of the distribution bound relative to the data is a discontinuous function of the GEV shape parameter. That is, for annual maxima approximated by the Gumbel distribution, the data is also consistent with a GEV distribution with an upper bound (no lower bound) or a GEV distribution with a lower bound (no upper bound). A more consistent single extreme value expression for design purposes is proposed as the Weibull distribution of smallest extremes, as applied to transformed annual maxima. The Weibull distribution limit holds here for sufficiently large sample sizes, irrespective of the extreme value domain of attraction applicable to the untransformed maxima. The Gumbel, Type 2, and Type 3 extreme value distributions thus become redundant, together with the GEV, because in reality there is only a single asymptotic extreme value distribution required for design purposes - the Weibull distribution of minima as applied to transformed maxima. An illustrative synthetic example is given showing transformed maxima from the normal distribution approaching the Weibull limit much faster than the untransformed sample maxima approach the normal distribution Gumbel limit. Some New Zealand examples are given with the Weibull distribution being applied to reciprocal transformations of annual flood maxima, where the untransformed maxima follow apparently different extreme value distributions.

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Long-term Wave Monitoring and Analysis Off the Coast of Sokcho (속초 연안의 장기 파랑관측 및 분석)

  • Jeong, Weon Mu;Ryu, Kyung-Ho;Cho, Hongyeon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.274-279
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    • 2015
  • Wave data acquired over eleven years near Sokcho Harbor located in the central area of the east coast were analyzed using spectral method and wave-by-wave analysis method and its major wave characteristics were examined. Significant wave heights were found to be high in winter and low in summer, and peak periods were also found to be long in winter and short in summer. The maximum significant wave height observed was 8.95 m caused by the East Sea twister. The distributional pattern of the significant wave heights and peak periods were both fitted better by Kernel distribution function than by Generalized Gamma distribution function and Generalized Extreme Value distribution function. The wave data were compiled to subdivide the wave height into intervals for each month, and the cumulative occurrence rates of wave heights were calculated to be utilized for the design and construction works in nearby construction works.

Analysis of the Long-term Wave Characteristics off the Coast of Daejin (대진 연안의 장기 파랑 특성 분석)

  • Jeong, Weon Mu;Cho, Hongyeon;Baek, Wondae
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.142-147
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    • 2015
  • Wave data acquired over seven years near Daejin Harbor located in the north central area of the east coast was analyzed using spectral method and wave-by-wave analysis method and its major wave characteristics were examined. Significant wave heights were found to be high in winter and low in summer, and peak periods were also found to be long in winter and short in summer. The maximum significant wave height observed was 6.59 m and was caused by Typhoon No. 1216, SANBA. The distributional pattern of the significant wave heights and peak periods were both reproduced better by Kernel distribution function than by Generalized Gamma distribution function and Generalized Extreme Value distribution function. Meanwhile, the wave data was subdivided by month and wave height level and the cumulative appearance rate was proposed to aid designing and constructing works in nearby coastal areas.

Assessment of New Design Wave by Spread Parameter and Expected Sliding Distance of Caisson Breakwater (확산모수와 제이슨방파제 기대활동량을 이용한 개정 설계파 분석)

  • Kim, Dong-Hyawn;Yoon, Gil-Lim;Shim, Jae-Seol
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.146-150
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    • 2007
  • Extreme value distributions for new deep sea wave were analyzed by using spread parameter and correlations between spread parameter and sliding distance of caisson breakwater were shown in numerical example. When spread parameter is larger than as usual, there occurred extra-ordinarily large wave height among 50 annual maximum significant waves generated by extreme value distribution. Spread parameter of new design wave is identified to be comparably larger than some foreign coastal areas and may cause large sliding displacement though deterministic safety factor for sliding is satisfied with enough margin.

Parameter Estimation and Analysis of Deepwater Design Wave in Marginal Seas around Korea (한국 연안 심해 설계파의 매개변수 추정 및 분석)

  • Kim, Jeong-Dae;Jeong, Shin-Taek;Cho, Hong-Yeon;Oh, Nam-Sun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.313-319
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    • 2007
  • Long term wave climate of both extreme and operational wave height is essential for planning and designing coastal structures. Since the availability of the field wave data for the waters around Korean peninsula is limited to provide a reliable wave statistics, the wave climate information has been generated by means of long-term wave hindcasting using available meteorological data. In this paper, a set of deep water wave data obtained from KORDI(2003) were analyzed for extreme wave heights. These wave data at 67 stations off the Korean coast from 1979 to 1998 were arranged in the 16 directions. The probability distributions considered in this research were the FT-I and Weibull distribution. For each of these distributions, the method proposed by Goda(2004) was applied to estimate the parameters. For judgment of best fitting, MIR criterion proposed by Goda and Gobune(1990) was used. FT-I distribution which best fits to the 886 data, while Weibull(k=0.75) 81 data, Weibull(k=1.00) 105 data.

Occurrence Probability of Freak Waves at Nearshore of Donghae Harbor in the East Sea (동해항 전면 해역에서의 Freak Waves 발생확률)

  • Ahn, Kyungmo;Oh, Chan Young;Jeong, Weon Mu
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.258-265
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    • 2015
  • Over the last 20 years, freak waves have attracted many researchers because of their unexpected behaviors and damages on offshore structures and vessels in the ocean and coastal waters. Despite many researches on the causes, mechanisms and occurrence of freak waves, we have not reached consensus on the results of the researches. This paper presents the occurrence probability of freak waves based on the analysis of wave records measured at coastal waters of Donghae harbor in the East Sea. Three freak waves were found which satisfied conditions of m and $H_S{\geq}2.5m$ and $H_m/H_S{\geq}2$. The occurrence probabilities of freak waves were estimated from extreme distributions by Mori, Rayleigh and Ahn, and found to be on the orders of O($10^{-1}$), O($10^{-2}$), and O($10^{-3}$), respectively. The occurrence probabilities of freak waves measured from waves records were estimated between O($10^{-2}$) and O($10^{-3}$), which were located between predictions by Rayleigh and Ahn's extreme probability distributions. However, we need more analysis of wave records obtained from diverse field conditions in order to verify the accuracy of the estimation of occurrence probability of freak waves.

On statistical Properties of the Extreme Waves (극한파의 통계적 특성에 대한 연구)

  • Ryu, Hwang-Jin;Kim, Do-Yong
    • Proceedings of the Korea Committee for Ocean Resources and Engineering Conference
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    • 2003.10a
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    • pp.309-316
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    • 2003
  • In this paper, The statistical properties of ocean waves in the sea area of Hong-do, Korea are examined based on 1998-2002's wave data from a directional wave buoy. Wave data aquisition rate, mean wave heights, frequency of wave direction are summarized. Wave height and period scatter diagrams and n-years return period wave heights are estimated. Wave periods of maximum wave heights are also estimated. Large amplitude wave characteristics during the typhoon Prapiroon in 2000, Rusa in 2002 are also examined.

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Estimating the Economic Impacts of Extreme Climate Events on Agriculture: the Case of Gangwon-do (극한 기후변수가 농업에 미친 경제적 효과 추정 -강원도의 사례-)

  • Jeong, Jun-Ho;Lee, Seung-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.47 no.3
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    • pp.459-470
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    • 2012
  • This study attempts to estimate the economic effects of extreme climate events on agriculture with the case of Gangwon-do, drawing upon the Ricardian approach based upon the panel data on extreme climate events, soil and geography, farmland prices, and economic and social variables for the 11 municipal units of Gangwon-do during the period of 1993-2010. Our empirical analysis shows that the heavy rainfall-related extreme climate variable negatively affects the prices of rice paddy and dry farm field. The summer-related extreme temperature variables have negative economic impacts on the land values of both farmlands, while the winter-related ones positively affect them except for the extreme cold wave variable.

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Comparison of the Shallow-Water Design Wave Height on the Korean East Coast Based on Wave Observation Data and Numerical Simulation (장기파랑관측자료와 수치실험에 의한 동해안 천해설계파고 검토)

  • Jeong, Weon-Mu;Choi, Hyukjin;Cho, Hong-Yeon;Oh, Sang-Ho
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.28 no.5
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    • pp.292-302
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    • 2016
  • In this study, shallow-water design waves are estimated for various return periods based on statistical analysis of extreme waves observed 13 years at four stations on the Korean east coast (Sokcho, Mukho, Hupo, Jinha). These values are compared with the results from SWAN simulation by using the deep water design waves conventionally used in Korea (KORDI, 2005). It was found that the simulated values of the shallow-water design waves are comparatively smaller than the values from the extreme value analysis, expecially below 30 years frequency, which implies possible under-estimation of the deep-water design waves on the Korean east coast.