• 제목/요약/키워드: Extreme sea state

검색결과 21건 처리시간 0.021초

주전해역의 파랑의 통계적 변동 특성 (Characteristics on the Variation of Ocean Wave Statistics in the Chujeon Sea)

  • 손병규;류청로
    • 한국해양공학회지
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    • 제15권3호
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    • pp.20-27
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    • 2001
  • After using the filtering method, wave parameters are calculated by the spectral analysis and wave by wave analysis. Extreme environments and higher wave characteristics int he Chujeon Sea are analyzed using the observed wave data. Higher wave has been intensely emphasized as an important environmental force parameter in several recent research works. The aims of this study are to summarize the distribution of extreme environment for wind waves, and to find occurrence probability of higher wave in Chujeon Sea. Ocean wave statistics varying with sea state are found to respond linearly to the spectral peakedness parameter Qp, mean run-length and Ursell number. Although the spreading of the field results is large, it may be concluded that the tendency of wave group formation depends on the spectral peakedness parameter Qp. Extreme wave is estimated to apply various model distribution functions by using the monthly maximum significant wave parameters which can be used to the design and analysis of coastal structures.

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On the possibility of freak wave forecasting

  • Janssen, Peter A.E.M.;Mori, Nobuhito;Onorato, Miguel
    • 한국해양공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국해양공학회 2006년 창립20주년기념 정기학술대회 및 국제워크샵
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    • pp.121-126
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    • 2006
  • Modern Ocean wave forecasting systems predict the mean sea state, as characterized by the wave spectrum, in a box of size ${\Delta}x{\Delta}y$ surrounding a grid point at location x. It is shown that this approach also allows the determination of deviations from the mean sea state, i.e. the probability distribution function of the surface elevation. Hence, ocean wave forecasting may provide valuable information on extreme sea states.

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1982-1983년.1997-1998년 엘니뇨현상 전후 한국동해역에서의 이상 저수온 현상 (Abnormal Cooling before and after the 1982-1983 and 1997-1998 ENSO Events in the Korean East Sea Water)

  • 홍철훈
    • 한국수산과학회지
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    • 제41권4호
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    • pp.294-300
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    • 2008
  • Abnormal cooling of the Korean East Sea Water(KESW) in the East Sea before and after the 1982-1983 and 1997-1998 ENSO events is examined using bimonthly routine observation data from the National Fisheries Research and Development Institute of Korea for the period 1965 to 2002. The KESW, which occupies roughly a region between the Korean Peninsula and west of approximately $131^{\circ}E$, showed extreme cold-state years(1981 and 1996) prior to the two strongest ENSO events of the last half-century. Inter-annual bimonthly mean anomalies at 100 m in the KESW region were $-3.10^{\circ}C\;and\;-3.41^{\circ}C(SD=1.4^{\circ}C)$ in 1981 and 1996, respectively. These results suggest that extreme cooling of the KESW may be a prelude to very strong ENSO events through large-scale teleconnections.

Reliability of TLP tethers under extreme tensions

  • Siddiqui, N.A.;Ahmad, Suhail
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제16권3호
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    • pp.317-326
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    • 2003
  • The tension leg platform (TLP) is a moored floating offshore structure whose buoyancy is more than its weight. The mooring system, known as tethers, is vulnerable to failure due to extreme (maximum and minimum) tensions. In the present study the reliability of these tethers under maximum and minimum tension (ultimate limit state) has been studied. Von-Mises failure criteria has been adopted to define the failure of a tether against maximum tension. The minimum tension failure criteria has been assumed to meet when the tethers slack due to loss of tension. First Order Reliability method (FORM) has been adopted for reliability assessment. The reliability, in terms of reliability index, and probability of failure has been obtained for twelve sea states. The probabilities of failure so obtained for different sea states have been adopted for the calculation of annual and life time probabilities of failure.

한국 남해의 구난환경 위험성 분석을 위한 극치 조석 산정 (Estimation of Extreme Tide for Risk Analysis of Marine Salvage in the Namhae (southern sea of Korea))

  • 이문진
    • 해양환경안전학회지
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    • 제12권1호
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    • pp.33-38
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    • 2006
  • 해난사고 선박의 구난환경 위험성 분석을 위한 극치조석 산정을 연구하였다. 본 연구에서는 표준항에서 관측된 해면변위에서 주요 4대분조($M_2$조, $S_2$조, $K_1$조, $O_1$조)의 진폭과 극치조석의 진폭을 산정하고, 조석 공간분포의 균일성에 근거한 유추(inference)방법을 이용하여 둘 간의 상관관계를 수치모델로 계산된 주요 4대분조의 공간분포에 적용함으로써 극치조석의 공간분포를 산정하였다. 극치조석의 분포는 한국 남해를 대상으로 산정하였으며, 50년 주기와 100년 주기의 극치조석을 각각 산정하였다. 한국 남해의 50년 주기 극치조석 진폭은 $70cm{\sim}260cm$의 분포를 보였으며, 100년 주기 극치조석 진폭은 $80cm{\sim}270cm$의 분포를 보였다. 극치조류의 유속은 100년 주기의 경우 평균상태 조류 유속에 비하여 약 1.55배 강한 것으로 나타났다.

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Response Analysis of MW-Class Floating Offshore Wind Power System using International Standard IEC61400-3-2

  • Yu, Youngjae;Shin, Hyunkyoung
    • 한국해양공학회지
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    • 제34권6호
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    • pp.454-460
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    • 2020
  • In 2019, the Korean government announced the 3rd Basic Plan for Energy, which included expanding the rate of renewable energy generation by 30-40% by 2040. Hence, offshore wind power generation, which is relatively easy to construct in large areas, should be considered. The East Sea coast of Korea is a sea area where the depth reaches 50 m, which is deeper than the west coast, even though it is only 2.5 km away from the coastline. Therefore, for offshore wind power projects on the East Sea coast, a floating offshore wind power should be considered instead of a fixed one. In this study, a response analysis was performed by applying the analytical conditions of IEC61400-3-2 for the design of floating offshore wind power generation systems. In the newly revised IEC61400-3-2 international standard, design load cases to be considered in floating offshore wind power systems are specified. The upper structure applied to the numerical analysis was a 5-MW-class wind generator developed by the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL), and the marine environment conditions required for the analysis were based on the Ulsan Meteorological Buoy data from the Korea Meteorological Administration. The FAST v8 developed by NREL was used in the coupled analysis. From the simulation, the maximum response of the six degrees-of-freedom motion and the maximum load response of the joint part were compared. Additionally, redundancy was verified under abnormal conditions. The results indicate that the platform has a maximum displacement radius of approximately 40 m under an extreme sea state, and when one mooring line is broken, this distance increased to approximately 565 m. In conclusion, redundancy should be verified to determine the design of floating offshore wind farms or the arrangement of mooring systems.

A case study of gust factor characteristics for typhoon Morakat observed by distributed sites

  • Liu, Zihang;Fang, Genshen;Zhao, Lin;Cao, Shuyang;Ge, Yaojun
    • Wind and Structures
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    • 제35권1호
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    • pp.21-34
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    • 2022
  • Gust factor is an important parameter for the conversion between peak gust wind and mean wind speed used for the structural design and wind-related hazard mitigation. The gust factor of typhoon wind is observed to show a significant dispersion and some differences with large-scale weather systems, e.g., monsoons and extratropical cyclones. In this study, insitu measurement data captured by 13 meteorological towers during a strong typhoon Morakot are collected to investigate the statistical characteristics, height and wind speed dependency of the gust factor. Onshore off-sea and off-land winds are comparatively studied, respectively to characterize the underlying terrain effects on the gust factor. The theoretical method of peak factor based on Gaussian assumption is then introduced to compare the gust factor profiles observed in this study and given in some building codes and standards. The results show that the probability distributions of gust factor for both off-sea winds and off-land winds can be well described using the generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution model. Compared with the off-land winds, the off-sea gust factors are relatively smaller, and the probability distribution is more leptokurtic with longer tails. With the increase of height, especially for off-sea winds, the probability distributions of gust factor are more peaked and right-tailed. The scatters of gust factor decrease with the mean wind speed and height. AS/NZ's suggestions are nearly parallel with the measured gust factor profiles below 80m, while the fitting curve of off-sea data below 120m is more similar to AIJ, ASCE and EU.

Numerical and experimental analysis of a wave energy converter in extreme waves

  • Ignacio P. Johannesen;Jose M. Ahumada;Gonzalo Tampier;Laura Gruter;Cristian Cifuentes
    • Ocean Systems Engineering
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    • 제13권3호
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    • pp.225-245
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    • 2023
  • In the present paper, a numerical and experimental analysis for a wave energy converter under extreme environmental conditions is carried out. After the definition of design waves, including a 100-year return period stochastic sea state and a deterministic rogue wave condition, a numerical analysis using potential theory and a RANS equations solver are compared with experiments carried out at the Seakeeping Basin at the Technical University of Berlin. Results are discussed with special emphasis on the limits of potential theory methods for the evaluation of extreme wave conditions and the use of the presented methodology for early design stages.

Prediction of Extreme Sloshing Pressure Using Different Statistical Models

  • Cetin, Ekin Ceyda;Lee, Jeoungkyu;Kim, Sangyeob;Kim, Yonghwan
    • Journal of Advanced Research in Ocean Engineering
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    • 제4권4호
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    • pp.185-194
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    • 2018
  • In this study, the extreme sloshing pressure was predicted using various statistical models: three-parameter Weibull distribution, generalized Pareto distribution, generalized extreme value distribution, and three-parameter log-logistic distribution. The estimation of sloshing impact pressure is important in design of liquid cargo tank in severe sea state. In order to get the extreme values of local impact pressures, a lot of model tests have been carried out and statistical analysis has been performed. Three-parameter Weibull distribution and generalized Pareto distribution are widely used as the statistical analysis method in sloshing phenomenon, but generalized extreme value distribution and three-parameter log-logistic distribution are added in this study. Additionally, statistical distributions are fitted to peak pressure data using three different parameter estimation methods. The data were obtained from a three-dimensional sloshing model text conducted at Seoul National University. The loading conditions were 20%, 50%, and 95% of tank height, and the analysis was performed based on the measured impact pressure on four significant panels with large sloshing impacts. These fittings were compared by observing probability of exceedance diagrams and probability plot correlation coefficient test for goodness-of-fit.

Modeling the long-term vegetation dynamics of a backbarrier salt marsh in the Danish Wadden Sea

  • Daehyun Kim
    • Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • 제47권2호
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    • pp.49-62
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    • 2023
  • Background: Over the past three decades, gradual eustatic sea-level rise has been considered a primary exogenous factor in the increased frequency of flooding and biological changes in several salt marshes. Under this paradigm, the potential importance of short-term events, such as ocean storminess, in coastal hydrology and ecology is underrepresented in the literature. In this study, a simulation was developed to evaluate the influence of wind waves driven by atmospheric oscillations on sedimentary and vegetation dynamics at the Skallingen salt marsh in southwestern Denmark. The model was built based on long-term data of mean sea level, sediment accretion, and plant species composition collected at the Skallingen salt marsh from 1933-2006. In the model, the submergence frequency (number yr-1) was estimated as a combined function of wind-driven high water level (HWL) events (> 80 cm Danish Ordnance Datum) affected by the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and changes in surface elevation (cm yr-1). Vegetation dynamics were represented as transitions between successional stages controlled by flooding effects. Two types of simulations were performed: (1) baseline modeling, which assumed no effect of wind-driven sea-level change, and (2) experimental modeling, which considered both normal tidal activity and wind-driven sea-level change. Results: Experimental modeling successfully represented the patterns of vegetation change observed in the field. It realistically simulated a retarded or retrogressive successional state dominated by early- to mid-successional species, despite a continuous increase in surface elevation at Skallingen. This situation is believed to be caused by an increase in extreme HWL events that cannot occur without meteorological ocean storms. In contrast, baseline modeling showed progressive succession towards the predominance of late-successional species, which was not the then-current state in the marsh. Conclusions: These findings support the hypothesis that variations in the NAO index toward its positive phase have increased storminess and wind tides on the North Sea surface (especially since the 1980s). This led to an increased frequency and duration of submergence and delayed ecological succession. Researchers should therefore employ a multitemporal perspective, recognizing the importance of short-term sea-level changes nested within long-term gradual trends.