• 해양환경안전학회지
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• 제21권3호
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• pp.253-258
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• 2015

The purpose of this study is to find suitable probability distribution function of complex distribution data like multimodal. Normal distribution is broadly used to assume probability distribution function. However, complex distribution data like multimodal are very hard to be estimated by using normal distribution function only, and there might be errors when other distribution functions including normal distribution function are used. In this study, we experimented to find fit probability distribution function in multimodal area, by using AIS(Automatic Identification System) observation data gathered in Mokpo port for a year of 2013. By using chi-squared statistic, gaussian mixture model(GMM) is the fittest model rather than other distribution functions, such as extreme value, generalized extreme value, logistic, and normal distribution. GMM was found to the fit model regard to multimodal data of maritime traffic flow distribution. Probability density function for collision probability and traffic flow distribution will be calculated much precisely in the future.

• 해양환경안전학회지
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• 제27권6호
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• pp.701-707
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• 2021

본 연구에서는 강한 한파가 발생했던 2018년과 온난 한파가 발생했던 2019년의 기온에 따른 수온의 반응 및 지연시간과 북풍계열 바람 빈도와의 상관관계를 분석하였다. 사용된 시간 자료는 국립수산과학원에서 제공하는 7개 지점 해역별 수온자료와 수온관측소 인근 7개 지점 AWS 기온자료를 이용하였다. 관측되지 못한 자료는 내삽법으로 근사값을 계산하였고, FIR Filter를 이용하여 자료의 주기성을 파악하였다. 그 결과, 강한 한파가 발생했던 2018년은 북풍계열 바람을 통해 차가운 공기가 남하하면서 기온을 하강시켜 전 해역에 저수온을 유발한 반면 온난 한파가 발생했던 2019년은 평년 수준의 기온으로 하강하였지만 수온은 크게 변화하지 않았다. 강한 한파가 발생했던 2018년 기온 하강에 따른 수온의 지연시간은 평균 14시간으로 0.7 이상의 높은 상관성을 나타냈고 온난 한파가 발생했던 2019년은 평균 지연시간이 20시간으로 0.44-0.67 사이의 상관성을 보였다. 본 연구를 통해 해역별로 기온 하강에 따른 표층수온의 반응을 해석하였고 지연시간을 파악함으로써 양식생물의 피해를 최소화하고 한파 피해의 신속한 대응에 기여할 수 것으로 기대한다.

• 한국대기환경학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국대기환경학회 2009년도 추계학술대회 논문집
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• pp.291-292
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• 2009

• 한국습지학회지
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• 제18권1호
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• pp.76-83
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• 2016

최근 연속적인 태풍에 의한 일련의 극한 호우 사상으로 홍수가 발생하였고, 이로 인해 인명과 막대한 재산피해가 발생하였다. 본 연구에서는 연속 호우 사상으로 인해 발생한 극한홍수를 거대홍수라고 정의하고, 일정 시간 간격으로 극한 호우 사상이 연속적으로 발생 될 수 있음을 가정하여 가상의 거대홍수 시나리오를 구성하였다. 최소 무강우 시간 결정(Inter Event Time Definition, IETD)방법을 사용하여 연속적인 강우의 시간 간격을 결정하였으며, IETD에 의해 산정된 시간 간격 안에서 호우 사상을 연속적으로 발생시켜 평창강 유역을 대상으로 거대홍수를 모의하였다. 즉, (1) 기록된 극한 호우 사상의 연속적인 발생 (2) 기왕 자료를 기반으로 빈도해석에 의해 산정된 설계 호우 사상의 연속적인 발생을 가정하여 거대홍수를 모의하였다. 연속 호우 사상으로 인한 거대홍수는 단일 호우 사상으로 인한 일반 홍수에 비해 6~17%의 홍수량이 증가하는 것으로 나타났다. 앞의 호우 사상으로 인한 홍수량에 비해 뒤에 오는 호우로 인한 홍수량의 증가는 많지 않지만, 연속적인 호우는 두 번의 홍수피해를 가져오므로 가상의 거대홍수로 인한 홍수 피해는 매우 클 것으로 판단된다. 따라서 본 연구와 같이 가상의 강우 시나리오를 통해 예상하지 못한 연속적인 홍수 재해와 같은 비상 상황에 대비할 방안을 마련할 필요가 있을 것으로 사료된다.

• 한국산업보건학회지
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• 제32권4호
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• pp.402-413
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• 2022

Objectives: In this study, the scale of exceeding the extreme heat exposure standard at the construction site was estimated using the nationally approved statistical data and wet bulb globe temperature modeling method. By comparing and analyzing the modeling results with the existing work environment monitoring results, the risk of heat exposure at outdoor construction sites was considered. Methods: Using the coordinates of second level administrative districts and meteorological observatories as the key, the automated synoptic observing system data and building permit data for 2021 were matched. The wet-bulb temperature was obtained using Stull's formula, and the globe temperature was obtained using the Tg_KMA2006 model. WBGT was calculated using these. Excess rates were obtained compared to exposure limits for heavy work-continuous work and moderate work-25% rest. It was compared with the results of the work environment monitoring in 2020. Results: As a result, 1,827,536 cases were estimated for 11,052 workplaces in one year. This is much higher than the 5,116 cases of 3818 workplaces of the existing work environment monitoring results. It is confirmed that the exposure limit was exceeded in 10.6~24.0% of the entire period and 70.2~84.1% of the peak period of the heat wave. It is very high compared to 0.9% of the existing work environment monitoring result. Conclusions: It is necessary to improve the system of monitoring and statistics related to extreme heat. Additional considerations are needed regarding WBGT estimation methods, meteorological data, and evaluation time. Various follow-up risk assessment studies for other industries and time series need to be continued.

• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국수자원학회 2012년도 학술발표회
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• pp.38-38
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• 2012

The East Asia (EA) region including China, Taiwan, Japan, and Korea are especially vulnerable to hydrometerological extremes during the boreal summer (June-September). This study, therefore, pursued an exploratory analysis to improve better understanding of the potential impacts of the two types of PJ patterns on WNP Tropical cyclone (TC) activities and TC-induced extreme moisture fluxes over Korea's five major river basins. This study shows that during positive PJ years, the large-scale atmospheric environments are more favorable for the TC activities than those in negative PJ years. During positive PJ year, it is found that there are weaker wind shear, stronger rising motion, as well as large relative humidity over the Korean peninsula (KP) compared to negative PJ years. As a result, TCs making landfall are more exhibited over the southeastern portions of South Korea. Despite the relatively modest sample size, we expect that insights and results presented here will be useful for developing a critical support system for the effective reduction and mitigation of TC-caused disasters, as well as for water supply management in coupled human and natural systems.

• 대한조선학회논문집
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• 제56권3호
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• pp.211-216
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• 2019

In order to utilize the marine environment in various fields such as renewable energy and offshore plant, it is necessary to utilize the far and deep ocean. However, there is still a limit to overcome and utilize the extreme deep-sea environment. Currently, the mooring system, which is the representative position control method of floating structure, has a structural and economic limit to expand the installation range to extreme deep-sea environment. Research has been conducted to utilize wave energy by developing floater using flapping foil as an alternative for station keeping in the deep sea by University of Ulsan. Based on the research, a model test was conducted for application to actual structures. In this study, we investigate how the floating body with passive flapping foils move in regular waves with different periods and study the condition of the model that can maintain its position within a certain range by overcoming the movement.

• 대기
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• 제24권3호
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• pp.343-364
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• 2014

This study presents local and synoptic conditions associated with extreme heavy snowfall events in the Yeongdong region, as well as the temporal and spatial variability of these conditions. During the last 12 years (2001~2012), 3 extreme snowfall events occurred in the Yeongdong region, which recorded daily snowfall greater than 50 cm, respectively. In these events, one of the noticeable features is the occurrence of heavy hourly snowfall greater than 10 cm. It was reported from satellite analysis that these heavy snowfall may be closely related to mesoscale convective clouds. In this paper the 3 extreme events are examined on their synoptic environments associated with the developments of mesoscale convective system using numerical model output. These 3 events all occurred in strongly forced synoptic environments where 500 and 300 hPa troughs and 500 hPa thermal troughs were evident. From the analysis of diagnostic variables, it was found in all 3 events that absolute vorticity and cold air advection were dominant in the Yeongdong region and its surrounding sea at upper levels, especially at around 500 hPa (absolute vorticity: $20{\sim}60{\times}10^{-5}s^{-1}$, cold air advection: $-10{\sim}-20^{\circ}C$ $12hr^{-1}$). Moreover, the spatial distributions of cold advection showed mostly the shape of a narrow band along the eastern coast of Korea. These features of absolute vorticity and cold advection at 500 hPa were sustained for about 10 hours before the occurrence of maximum hourly snowfall.

• Journal of Mechanical Science and Technology
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• 제17권1호
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• pp.1-10
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• 2003

This paper summarizes the results of the fatigue test of four composite bridge decks in extreme temperatures (-30$^{\circ}C$ and 50$^{\circ}C$ ). The work was performed as part of a research program to evaluate and install multiple FRP bridge deck systems in Dayton, Ohio. A two-span continuous concrete deck was also built on three steel girders for the benchmark tests. Simulated wheel loads were applied simultaneously at two points by two servo-controlled hydraulic actuators specially designed and fabricated to perform under extreme temperatures. Each deck was initially subjected to one million wheel load cycles at low temperature and another one million cycles at high temperature. The results presented in this paper correspond to the fatigue response of each deck for four million load cycles at low temperature and another four million cycles at high temperature. Thus, the deck was subjected to a total of ten million cycles. Quasi-static load-deflection and load-strain responses were determined at predetermined fatigue cycle levels. Except for the progressive reduction in stiffness, no significant distress was observed in any of the composite deck prototypes during ten million load cycles. The effects of extreme temperatures and accumulated load cycles on the load-deflection and load-strain response of FRP composite and FRP-concrete hybrid bridge decks are discussed based on the experimental results.

• 한국응용과학기술학회지
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• 제30권1호
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• pp.78-87
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• 2013

본 연구는 연속조명과 함께 폭염 스트레스(extreme heat stress, EHS)에 노출된 브로일러에서 폭염사료 급여가 혈액지질, 성장능력, 면역기관, 혈청 면역물질, 맹장 미생물 변화에 미치는 영향을 조사하였다. 일반 환경온도 ($25^{\circ}C$) 또는 폭염스트레스 ($33{\pm}2^{\circ}C$)하에서 사육한 병아리는 일반사료(chow diet, CD)와 폭염사료(extreme heat diet, EHD)를 섭취하였다. 부화 당일 Ross 308 병아리 500 마리를 5 처리구 4 반복(반복 펜 당 25 마리)으로 완전임의배치 하였다. T1 (일반환경+CD), T2 (EHS+CD), T3 (EHS+CD 내 우지를 대두유로 대체 및 당밀 5%를 함유하는 EHD), T4 (EHS+CD 내 우지를 대두유로 대체, 당밀 5%, 메치오닌과 라이신을 각각 CD 의 1.5 배씩 함유하는 EHD), T5 (폭염+CD 내 우지를 대두유로 대체, 당밀 5%, 메치오닌과 라이신을 각각 CD 의 1.5 배씩 추가 및 비타민 C 300 ppm 을 함유하는 EHD)로 구분하였다. EHS 는 체중 및 사료섭취량을 유의하게 감소하였다. 혈액지질, 혈액 면역물질, F 낭, 흉선 그리고 비장의 무게는 브로일러를 EHS 에 노출하였을 때 유의하게 낮아졌다. 일반 환경온도 처리군과 비교할 때 EHS 처리군에서 맹장 Lactobacillus sp.는 낮았으나 Escherichia sp., Salmonella sp. 및 총호기성균은 높게 나타났으며 각 처리구 사이의 통계적인 유의차가 인정되었다.