• 제목/요약/키워드: Exponential Average

검색결과 281건 처리시간 0.024초

시뮬레이션에 의한 컨테이너 물류시스템의 분석에 관하여(BCTOC를 중심으로) (An Analysis of Container Logistics System by Computer Simulation)

  • 유승열;여기태;이철영
    • 한국항해학회지
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    • 제21권1호
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 1997
  • Because of the sharp increase of its export and import container cargo volumes contrast to the lack of related Container Terminal facility, equipment and inefficient procedure, there is now heavy container cargo congestions in Pusan Container Terminal. As a result of such a situation, many container ships avoid their calls into Pusan port. This is a major cause that in tum kads to weakening intemational competitiveness of the Korean industry. This study, therefore, aims are to make a quantitative analysis of Container Terminal System through the computer simulation, especially focusing on its 4 sub-system of a handling system, 'it is checked whether the current operation is being performed effectively through the computer simulation. The overall findings are as folIows; Firstly, average tonnage of the ships visiting the BCTOC was 32,360 G/T in from January '96, to may '96. The average arrival interval and service time of container ships at BCTOC are 5.63 hours and 18.67 hours respectively. Ship's arrival and service pattern at BCTOC was exponential distribution with 95% confidence and Erlang-4 distribution with 99% confidence. Secondly, average waiting time and number of ships was 9.9 hours, 235 ships(38%) among 620 ships. Number of stevedoring container per ship was average 747.7 TED, standard deviation 379.1 TEU and normal distribution with 99% confidence. Thirdly, from the fact that the average storage days of containers at BCTOC are 2.75 days (3.0 days when import, 2.5 days when export). it is founds that most containers were transfered to the off-dock storage areas with the free periods(5 days when import, 4 days when export), the reason for which is considered to be the insufficient storage area at BCTOC. Fourthly, in the case of gate in-out at BCTOC, occupied containers and emptied containers are 89% and 11% respectively in the gate-in, 75% and 25% seperately in the gate-out. Finally, from the quantitative analysis results for container terminal at BCTOC, ship's average wating time of ships was found to be 20.77 hours and berth occupancy rate(${\rho}$) was 0.83. 5~6 berths were required in order that the berth occupancy rate(${\rho}$) may be maintained up to 60% degree.

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시판 어묵 및 게맛살의 변형력완화 실험을 통한 유변학적 특성 (Determination of Rheological Properties of Surimi Gels and Imitation Crab-leg Products by Stress-Relaxation Test)

  • 최원석;이철호
    • 한국식품과학회지
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    • 제30권5호
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    • pp.1085-1091
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    • 1998
  • 본 실험에서는 변형력 완화시험을 통하여 고기풀을 주원료로 하는 시중 게맛살과 어묵의 물성학적 성질을 조사하였다. 또한 변형력완화시험과 T.P.A.값과의 상관관계를 조사하였다. 시료의 내부구조적 변화에 의한 영향을 가능한 한 피하기 위하여 인장율 20%에서, 또한 변형속도는 2.4 mm/sec의 조건에서 실험을 실시하였다. 어묵과 맛살의 변형력완화시험결과 초기변형력의 경우 2종류의 어묵(370.4 g)과 5종류의 맛살의 평균값(436.4 g)은 유사한 값을 나타내었으나, 변형력완화시간과 점성성분은 2종류 어묵의 평균값(17256.1 sec, $1.357{\times}10^{10}$ poise)이 5종류의 맛살의 평균값(6110 sec,$0.519^{\ast}10^{10}$ poise)보다 월등히 높은 값을 나타내었다. 변형력완화시험 결과와 T.P.A.결과를 비교시 지수항의 직선식에 대한 절편값은 T.P.A.실험에서의 경도 및 껌성, 씹힘성과 높은 상관관계(r=0.93, 0.93, 0.95, p

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A Comparative study on smoothing techniques for performance improvement of LSTM learning model

  • Tae-Jin, Park;Gab-Sig, Sim
    • 한국컴퓨터정보학회논문지
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    • 제28권1호
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    • pp.17-26
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    • 2023
  • 본 연구논문에서는 LSTM 기반의 학습 모델 적용과 그 효용성을 높일 수 있도록 몇 가지 평활 기법을 비교, 적용하고자 한다. 적용된 평활 기법은 Savitky-Golay, 지수 평활법, 가중치 이동 평균 등이다. 본 연구를 통해 비트코인 데이터에 LSTM모델 적용 시 보여준 결과 값보다 전처리 과정에서 적용된 Savitky-Golay 필터가 적용된 LSTM 알고리즘이 예측 성능에 유의미한 좋은 결과를 보였다. 예측 성능 결과를 확인하기 위해 비트코인 가격 예측에 따른 복잡 요인을 제거하는데 사용된 LSTM의 경우와 Savitzky-Golay LSTM 모델에 따른 학습 손실율과 검증 손실율을 비교하고 그 신뢰성을 높일 수 있도록 20회 평균값으로 실험하였다. 그 결과 (3.0556, 0.00005), (1.4659, 0.00002)의 값을 얻을 수 있었다. 결과적으로는 비트코인과 같은 암호화폐가 주식보다 더한 변동성을 가지는 만큼 데이터 전처리 과정에서 평활 기법(Savitzky-Golay)을 적용하여 잡음(Noise)을 제거하였으며, 전처리 후의 데이터는 LSTM 신경망 학습을 통해서 비트코인 예측률을 높이는데 가장 유의미한 결과를 얻을 수 있었다.

Performance Improvement on RED Based Gateway in TCP Communication Network

  • Prabhavat, Sumet;Varakulsiripunth, Ruttikorn
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 제어로봇시스템학회 2004년도 ICCAS
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    • pp.782-787
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    • 2004
  • Internet Engineering Task Force (IETF) has been considering the deployment of the Random Early Detection (RED) in order to avoid the increasing of packet loss rates which caused by an exponential increase in network traffic and buffer overflow. Although RED mechanism can prevent buffer overflow and hence reduce an average values of packet loss rates, but this technique is ineffective in preventing the consecutive drop in the high traffic condition. Moreover, it increases a probability and average number of consecutive dropped packet in the low traffic condition (named as "uncritical condition"). RED mechanism effects to TCP congestion control that build up the consecutive of the unnecessary transmission rate reducing; lead to low utilization on the link and consequently degrade the network performance. To overcome these problems, we have proposed a new mechanism, named as Extended Drop slope RED (ExRED) mechanism, by modifying the traditional RED. The numerical and simulation results show that our proposed mechanism reduces a drop probability in the uncritical condition.

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A Synthetic Chart to Monitor The Defect Rate for High-Yield Processes

  • Kusukawa, Etsuko;Ohta, Hiroshi
    • Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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    • 제4권2호
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    • pp.158-164
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    • 2005
  • Kusukawa and Ohta presented the $CS_{CQ-r}$ chart to monitor the process defect $rate{\lambda}$ in high-yield processes that is derived from the count of defects. The $CS_{CQ-r}$ chart is more sensitive to $monitor{\lambda}$ than the CQ (Cumulative Quantity) chart proposed by Chan et al.. As a more superior chart in high-yield processes, we propose a Synthetic chart that is the integration of the CQ_-r chart and the $CS_{CQ-r}$chart. The quality characteristic of both charts is the number of units y required to observe r $({\geq}2)$ defects. It is assumed that this quantity is an Erlang random variable from the property that the quality characteristic of the CQ chart follows the exponential distribution. In use of the proposed Synthetic chart, the process is initially judged as either in-control or out-of-control by using the $CS_{CQ-r}$chart. If the process was not judged as in-control by the $CS_{CQ-r}$chart, the process is successively judged by using the $CQ_{-r}$chart to confirm the judgment of the $CS_{CQ-r}$chart. Through comparisons of ARL (Average Run Length), the proposed Synthetic chart is more superior to monitor the process defect rate in high-yield processes to the stand-alone $CS_{CQ-r}$ chart.

신제품 수요예측을 위하여 누적자료를 활용한 회귀모형에 관한 연구 (Regression models based on cumulative data for forecasting of new product)

  • 박상규;오정현
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제20권1호
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    • pp.117-124
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    • 2009
  • 시계열자료에 계절효과가 존재할 때 성공적인 수요예측을 위해 Winters 방법과 같은 다양한 통계적 방법이 존재지만 신상품과 같이 과거 매출자료가 충분하지 않을 경우 통계적 방법 적용에 한계가 존재한다. 본 연구논문은 신제품과 같이 과거 매출자료가 충분하지 않아 계절효과 등을 추정하기 어려울 때 누적자료를 활용한 통계적 예측방법을 제안한다. 제안된 통계적 방법은 회귀모형이론에 기초하고 있으며 이 방법의 유효성을 최근 화장품 매출자료를 이용하여 검증하였다.

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비대칭무게중심을 지닌 물체 들기 작업시 허리부위 등근육 부하 및 피로 분석 (The Analysis of Low Back Loading and Muscle Fatigue while Lifting an Asymmetric Load)

  • 한승조;김선욱
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제35권2호
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    • pp.30-36
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    • 2012
  • This study is aimed to show that an asymmetric load in the frontal plane leads to an increase in low back loading and fatigue in comparison with a symmetric load when workers lift an external weight by investigating previous studies and verifying the phenomenon with an experiment. Ten male subjects are required to lift and hold an given external load at 70cm height during 50sec, then the EMG amplitude and median frequency on bilateral low back muscle groups (Longissimus, Iliocostalis, and Multifidus) are recorded and analyzed. Independent variables are two-level load weight (13kg, 20kg) and three-level LCG (Center, 6.5cm to the right, and 13cm to the right), and dependent variables are EMG amplitude average, difference, and Fatigue Index (FI). Results show that load weight increases significantly amplitude average and FI, but LCG does significantly amplitude difference and FI significantly (P-value < 0.05). Also the correlation coefficient between amplitude difference and FI is over 0.99. These implies that trunk loading should be explained by not EMG amplitude but muscle fatigue aspect since the association between an external load and amplitude is linear, but the relationship between an external load and median frequency as muscle fatigue index is almost exponential.

수요측 단기 전력소비패턴 예측을 위한 평균 및 시계열 분석방법 연구 (A Study on Forecasting Method for a Short-Term Demand Forecasting of Customer's Electric Demand)

  • 고종민;양일권;송재주
    • 전기학회논문지
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    • 제58권1호
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 2009
  • The traditional demand prediction was based on the technique wherein electric power corporations made monthly or seasonal estimation of electric power consumption for each area and subscription type for the next one or two years to consider both seasonally generated and local consumed amounts. Note, however, that techniques such as pricing, power generation plan, or sales strategy establishment were used by corporations without considering the production, comparison, and analysis techniques of the predicted consumption to enable efficient power consumption on the actual demand side. In this paper, to calculate the predicted value of electric power consumption on a short-term basis (15 minutes) according to the amount of electric power actually consumed for 15 minutes on the demand side, we performed comparison and analysis by applying a 15-minute interval prediction technique to the average and that to the time series analysis to show how they were made and what we obtained from the simulations.

과수재배지 비점오염부하량 추정회귀식 비교 검증 (Verification of Nonpoint Sources Runoff Estimation Model Equations for the Orchard Area)

  • 권헌각;이재운;이윤정;천세억
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제30권1호
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    • pp.8-15
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    • 2014
  • In this study, regression equation was analyzed to estimate non-point source (NPS) pollutant loads in orchard area. Many factors affecting the runoff of NPS pollutant as precipitation, storm duration time, antecedent dry weather period, total runoff density, average storm intensity and average runoff intensity were used as independent variables, NPS pollutant was used as a dependent variable to estimate multiple regression equation. Based on the real measurement data from 2008 to 2012, we performed correlation analysis among the environmental variables related to the rainfall NPS pollutant runoff. Significance test was confirmed that T-P ($R^2=0.89$) and BOD ($R^2=0.79$) showed the highest similarity with the estimated regression equations according to the NPS pollutant followed by SS and T-N with good similarity ($R^2$ >0.5). In the case of regression equation to estimate the NPS pollutant loads, regression equations of multiplied independent variables by exponential function and the logarithmic function model represented optimum with the experimented value.

Nonlinear Finite Element Analysis of Containment Vessel by Considering the Tension stiffening Effect

  • Lee, Hong-Pyo;Choun, Young-Sun;Seo, Jeong-Moon;Shin, Jae-Chul
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제36권6호
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    • pp.512-527
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    • 2004
  • This paper describes the finite element (FE) analysis results of a 1/4 scale model of a prestressed concrete containment vessel (PCCV) by considering the tension stiffening effect, which is a result of the bond effect between the concrete and the steel. The tension stiffening model is assumed to be an exponential form based on the relationship between the average stress and the average strain of the concrete. The objective of the present FE analysis is to evaluate the ultimate internal pressure capacity of the PCCV, as well as its failure mechanism, when the PCCV model is subjected to a monotonous internal pressure beyond is design pressure capacity. With the commercial code ABAQUS, the FE analysis used two concrete failure criteria: a 2-dimensional axi-symmetric model with modified Drucker-Prager failure criteria and a 3-dimensional model with a damaged plasticity mod디. The results of our FE analysis on the ultimate pressure capacity and failure modes of PCCV have a good agreement with the experimental data.