• 한국환경과학회지
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• 제2권4호
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• pp.245-254
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• 1993

This paper attempts to analyze the institutionalization process of Environmental Impact Assessment(EIA) system within the context of Korean environmental policy. The implementation of EIA in the 1980's was not seriously considered by other government agencies and was sometimes degraded as mere formality due to the inherent problems of the system. With viewing the theory and practice of EIA in Korea, this paper argues that it is essential to reinforce ex post facto management incorporate the participation of residents of concerned areas, upgrade the validity of assessment by selecting a credible assessment-agenices and develop the required technologies. Finally, this paper acknowledge the necessity of devising the mechanism to reconcile the conflict between the regional interest and the national interest.

• 환경영향평가
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• 제6권2호
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• pp.153-164
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• 1997

This study was conducted to develop the new Environmental Impact Assessment techniques for the grading of rareness in plant. 17 EISs which were submitted in 1996 were analyzed to know the problems in existent EIA techniques for the conservation of rare plants. Category of rare plant was reevaluated and evaluation technique for the grading of rareness in plant was developed. The results obtained from this study were as follows: 1. The evaluation technique of rareness in plant was not reflected in the current preparation provision for EIS. And t his fact also appeared in most of the EIS which were reexamined in this study. 2. The category of rare species which have been considered as the subject of protection in EIA have to be enlarged to more than legally protected species designated by MOE. 3. The taxonomic characteristics and status of species, characteristics of population, geographical characters, extent of threat and its possibility by man resulted from the habitat loss were investigated. Each item was endowed scores from 1 to 5 and all the scores were summed, and then this value was used to evaluate the order of conservation. 4. Conservation measures for the rare plants have to be applied according to the levels of rareness grade, and they are absolute conservation, in situ conservation, transplanting and ex situ conservation, post observation and none by the levels from A to E. 5. Considering the phenology of rare plants, investigation for the rare plants have to be made a1 least three times. 6. Size of the MVP(Minimum Viable Population), pollination ecology also have to be considered for the conservation of rare plants. And in the case of adopting ex situ conservation measure, the site and methods for the conservation of rare plants have to be proposed in detail.

• Spatial Information Research
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• 제20권1호
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• pp.71-80
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• 2012

탄소포인트제도는 가정, 상업 시설의 전기, 가스, 수도 등 에너지 사용 절감량에 대한 인센티브를 제공하는 시민참여형 기후변화대응 프로그램이다. 현재, 기존 국가정책 및 연구는 사업장 위주의 온실가스 인벤토리 구축에 한정되어있고, 가정부문에 대한 탄소저감정책 시행효과에 대한 연구는 거의 이루어지지 않고 있다. 이에 본 연구에서는 탄소저감정책 중 탄소포인트제도를 중심으로 가정부문의 에너지 사용에 따른 탄소배출 저감에 관한 실증 분석을 목적으로 하였다. 우선, 성북구를 대상으로 가정부문의 전기, 가스 사용량 자료를 이용하여 탄소배출량을 산출하고, IPA 분석을 통해 행정동단위의 온실가스 배출변화의 공간패턴을 가시화하고 2007년부터 2009년까지 시계열 공간분석을 실시하였다. 또한 대응표본 t검정을 이용하여 사전-사후분석을 통해 탄소포인트제도의 효과 분석을 실시하였다. 특히, 공간통계기법과 핫스팟을 이용한 점사상의 국지적 분석을 통해 에너지 사용에 따른 탄소배출량의 공간적 분포 유형을 파악할 수 있었으며 실제 탄소배출저감 결과를 도출할 수 있었다. 향후 본 연구 결과는 지방자치단체 에너지 진단 등 온실가스 감축사업의 효과 평가와 녹색생활 개선 수립을 위한 다양한 영역에 활용될 것으로 기대한다.

• 한국산학기술학회논문지
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• 제21권4호
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• pp.538-545
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• 2020

한미 FTA 체결 이후 미국산 오렌지의 지속적인 수입증가에 따른 국내 감귤산업 파급영향에 대한 관심이 높다. 이 연구는 한미 FTA 발효 이후 2012-2017년 동안의 감귤산업의 변화를 계측하고, 한미 FTA 도입이 감귤산업에 미치는 사후 영향을 평가하였다. 이 연구는 분석을 위해 감귤류를 노지감귤, 하우스감귤, 만감류 부문으로 구분하고, 각 부문별 수급균형모형을 구축하여 시뮬레이션 분석에 이용하였다. 각 부문내 주요 방정식들은 응용계량경제학 방법을 이용하여 추정하고, 각 부문별 수급구조모형은 동태축차적 시뮬레이션모형으로 구축하여 2012-2017년 동안에 대해 연차별로 정책 시뮬레이션이 가능하도록 하였다. 각 모형은 작물연도를 기준으로 구축되었고, 해당 시기에 수입되는 오렌지, 체리 등에 수입산 대체가능 작물에 대한 효과를 고려할 수 있도록 설계되었다. 시뮬레이션 분석에 앞서 각 부문별 모형에 대한 예측력을 RMSPE, MAPE, Theil의 불균등계수 등을 기준으로 검토하였다. MAPE 기준으로 노지감귤, 하우스감귤, 만감류의 재배면적 1-7%, 생산량 5-9%, 소비량 5-10%, 경락가격 5-10% 내외의 오차율을 보여, 각 부문별 모형의 주요 변수에 대한 추정치들의 예측력이 전반적으로 양호한 수준으로 나타났다. 예측력 검토결과를 바탕으로 시뮬레이션 분석을 실시한 결과, 한미 FTA 발효 이후 2012-2017년 연평균 조수입(실질)이 노지감귤 23.9억 원, 하우스감귤 30.1억원, 만감류 151.1억 원 감소한 것으로 나타났다. 또한 이 논문은 기존에 2018년 정부부문(KREI)에서 실시한 영향평가방법 및 결과의 차이점을 비교 검토하고 해석시 유의사항 및 정책적 함의를 제안하고 있다.

• 한국산학기술학회논문지
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• 제18권9호
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• pp.377-385
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• 2017

본 연구는 동태적 분석방법을 이용한 경제적 사후영향평가를 통해 기 체결한 14건의 FTA 이행이 국내 농업부문에 미친 영향을 분석하였다. 2015년 기준 전체 농산물 수입액 중 FTA 체결국으로부터의 수입 비중은 82.4%에 달한다. 분석에는 농업부문 세부 품목별 피해액 계측이 용이하고 품목별, 용도별 관세철폐일정을 모형에 반영할 수 있는 장점을 가진 부분균형 모형이면서 농업부문에 국한된 일반균형모형인 한국농촌경제연구원의 KASMO 2015 모형이 사용되었다. 분석 결과, FTA 이행으로 축산업과 과수 산업을 중심으로 농업 생산액이 상당히 감소한 것으로 나타났다. 기존의 선행연구 대부분이 개별 FTA에 대한 사후영향평가에 국한되었으며, 이는 다수의 FTA 이행으로 무역창출과 무역전환 효과, FTA 누적효과 등이 혼재되어 있다는 점을 반영하지 못한다. 이에 본 연구에서는 농업부문에서의 FTA 효과를 보다 객관적이고 종합적으로 평가하였고, 이는 향후 FTA 국내보완대책 수정 보완에 필요한 정책방향을 제시하는데 어느 정도 기여하였다. 물론, FTA 효과에서 국내보완대책과 일반 농정사업의 성과를 분리할 수 있는 보다 정교한 분석이 추가적으로 이루어질 필요가 있다.

• Korean Journal of Radiology
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• 제20권4호
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• pp.580-588
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• 2019

Objective: To evaluate the impact of energy and access methods on extrahepatic tumor spreading and the ablation zone in an ex vivo subcapsular tumor mimic model with a risk of extrahepatic tumor spreading. Materials and Methods: Forty-two tumor-mimics were created in bovine liver blocks by injecting a mixture of iodine contrast material just below the liver capsule. Radiofrequency (RF) ablations were performed using an electrode placed parallel or perpendicular to hepatic surface through the tumor mimic with low- and high-power protocols (groups 1 and 2, respectively). Computed tomography (CT) scans were performed before and after ablation. The presence of contrast leak on the hepatic surface on CT, size of ablation zone, and timing of the first roll-off and popping sound were compared between the groups. Results: With parallel access, one contrast leak in group 1 (1/10, 10%) and nine in group 2 (9/10, 90%) (p < 0.001) were identified on post-ablation CT. With perpendicular access, six contrast leaks were identified in each group (6/11, 54.5%). The first roll-off and popping sound were significantly delayed in group 1 irrespective of the access method (p = 0.002). No statistical difference in the size of the ablation zone of the liver specimen was observed between the two groups (p = 0.247). Conclusion: Low-power RF ablation with parallel access is proposed to be effective and safe from extrahepatic tumor spreading in RF ablation of a solid hepatic tumor in the subcapsular location. Perpendicular placement of an electrode to the capsule is associated with a risk of extrahepatic tumor spreading regardless of the power applied.

• Journal of Korea Trade
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• 제27권3호
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• pp.21-42
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• 2023

Purpose - This paper investigates the trade effect of the Korea-China Free Trade Agreement (KCFTA) which coincides with political conflicts between the two countries due to the deployment of the Terminal High Altitude Area Defense (THAAD) in Korea. The two events occurred in the same year and both are likely to affect trade between two countries but in opposite directions. Therefore, it is crucial to distinguish between the trade effects from the KCFTA event and those from the THAAD event to evaluate the true FTA effects. However, this would be difficult when using only annual data. Accordingly, ex post studies to examine the trade effects of KCFTA are lacking in trustworthiness while many ex ante studies that conjecture the positive trade effects neglect the THAAD deployment impact. This paper aims to fill that gap. Design/methodology - Given that the KCFTA and THAAD events occurred in the same year but in different months, we use the monthly data from 2000 to 2019 of Korea's exports to bracket this period. We employ the difference-in-difference (DID) method within a gravity equation specification that uses hi-dimensional fixed effects to address various endogeneity issues and seasonal effects. We identify the net impact of KCFTA ratification from these two near-simultaneous events to quantify the effects of trade liberalization between these two countries. Findings - After isolating the THAAD effects on trade, the analysis creates a positive and statistically significant coefficient estimate of the KCFTA impact. In contrast, failing to isolate the THAAD effect produced a negative and statistically significant coefficient estimate of the KCFTA impact. Our results indicate that KCFTA independently increased Korea's exports to China by 10.2%, but that this increase was fully mitigated by the THAAD event. Further, our results verify that unobserved heterogeneity and multilateral resistance are technically difficult to account for in those estimations as that rely solely upon annual data, as this type of data are inadequate to control for the potential for endogeneity. Originality/value - This paper is one of the first studies to carefully evaluate the net trade effects of the KCFTA on Korea's largest trading partner while isolating the impact of simultaneously occurred political events that may influence trade in opposing directions. Our findings indicate that the lack of prior evidence of positive trade effects of the KCFTA when using annual data may be attributed to a failure to identify the impact of each event separately. This analysis supports using the correct modeling specification to avoid misleading conclusions when evaluating any important international trade policy.

• 한국산업융합학회 논문집
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• 제26권6_3호
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• pp.1215-1221
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• 2023

According to the study and experiments performed on the Improvement of Maintaining Temperature of Aviation Dangerous Goods, a conclusion was drawn that clear technical guidelines should be established from the design and assembly stage of temperature-controlled packaging, taking into account actual transportation environment. In particular, profiles consisting of only two types of summer and winter are difficult to adjust flexibly in transportation process with severe weather and temperature changes such as spring and fall. To this end, there is a need to establish a compromise profile configuration for summer and winter. It was also found that the condition of the refrigerant, temperature control, and the speed of the packaging operation have a significant impact on maintaining constant temperature. Therefore, all packing operations need to be completed within a short period of time in the environment close to the target temperature. The current packing instructions provided by packaging manufacturers do not provide precise instructions on post-conditioning, but the experiments in this study confirmed that post-conditioning is very important for maintaining the target temperature, so it is necessary to provide precise legal packing technical instructions.

• 수산경영론집
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• 제53권3호
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• pp.85-101
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• 2022

This study analyzed the performance of the national fishing port development project, which lacked ex-post impact evaluation despite a lot of investment in terms of fishery income opportunities. Using micro data from the Census of Agriculture, Forestry, and Fisheries, the sales amount of fishery products and the proportion of fishery-related businesses were used as performance indicators. The fishery households in the fishing port area (treatment group) and those not in the area (control group) were classified through data pre-processing, and factors unrelated to the fishing ports were controlled using the propensity score matching difference-in-difference method. The analysis target is six fishing ports with large investment in from 2010 to 2014. As a result of the analysis, it was confirmed that the sales of fishery products increased significantly in four of the six fishing ports, and the proportion of fishery-related businesses increased in two fishing ports. The analysis method of this study can be fully utilized in the evaluation of the Fishing Community New Deal 300 Project, which is in need of performance analysis.

• East Asian Economic Review
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• 제20권3호
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• pp.279-309
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• 2016

The proposed Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) is a free trade agreement among 12 Pacific Rim countries whose joint gross domestic products (GDPs) account for 36 percent of world GDP and whose mutual trade accounts for approximately 24 percent of world trade. As for most proposed free trade agreements (FTAs), trade economists have provided ex ante computable general equilibrium (CGE) estimates to predict the trade, employment, and real per capita income effects of this agreement, such as ITC (2016). This paper-intended to complement these studies-examines the potential impacts of TPP beyond such traditional CGE estimates, taking a broader economic, governance, and historical perspective. First, we contrast these traditional CGE trade and welfare estimates that treat all firms within an industry as homogeneous with more recent CGE analyses that allow firms' productivities to be heterogeneous. We show that the latter models' trade predictions are much more consistent with ex post empirical evidence of average trade effects of FTAs. Second, empirical evidence now strongly confirms the existence of FTA "contagion." We review this evidence and show that predictive models of the evolution of FTAs indicate that the TPP should be formed. With China now having formed 12 FTAs and negotiating five new ones (including a sixteen member Asia-Pacific FTA), the United States would likely face considerable trade diversion without the TPP. Third, we examine empirical evidence on the likely further economic growth implications of FTAs by reducing firms' uncertainty over trade relations and trade policies. Fourth, we examine empirical evidence on the additional impact of FTAs on consolidating democratic institutions in countries. The TPP would likely help consolidate some of the less mature democracies. Fifth, we examine empirical evidence on the reductions of conflicts (and enhanced peace) between countries owing to the formations of FTAs. We conclude the paper noting that the potential net benefits to member countries of the proposed TPP extend well beyond the real income gains to households based upon traditional CGE models.