• 제목/요약/키워드: Event Study Analysis

검색결과 2,015건 처리시간 0.031초

국내 원자력발전소의 화재사건 확률론적안전성평가에서 다중오동작 분석 연구 (A Study on the Multiple Spurious Operation Analysis in Fire Events Probabilistic Safety Assessment of Domestic Nuclear Power Plant)

  • 강대일;정용훈;최선영;황미정
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제33권6호
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    • pp.136-143
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    • 2018
  • In this study, we conducted a pilot study on the multiple spurious operations (MSO) analysis in the fire probabilistic safety assessment (PSA) of domestic nuclear power plant (NPP) to identify the degree of influence of the operator actions used in the MSO mitigation strategies. The MSO scenario of the domestic reference NPP selected for this study is refueling water tank (RWT) drain down event. It could be caused by spurious operations of the containment spray system (CSS) of the reference NPP. The RWT drain down event can be stopped by the main control room (MCR) operator actions for stopping the operation of CSS pump or closing the CSS motor operated valve if the containment spray actuation signal (CSAS) is spuriously actuated. Outside the MCR, it can be stopped by operator actions for closing the CSS manual valves or motor operated valve or stopping the operation of CSS pump. The quantification result of a fire PSA model that takes into account all recovery actions for the RWT drain down event lead to risk reduction by about 95%, compared with quantification result of fire PSA model without considering them. Among the various operator actions, the recovery action for the spurious CSAS operations and the operator action for the manual valve are identified as the most important operator actions. This study quantitatively showed the extent to which the operator actions used as MSO countermeasures have affected the fire PSA quantification results. In addition, we can see the rank of importance among the operator recovery actions in quantitative terms.

재난시스템에서 사용하기 위한 인적요인 위험 모델의 개발 (Development of Human Factor Risk Model for Use in Disaster System A Study on Safety Analysis)

  • 박종훈
    • 한국재난정보학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국재난정보학회 2022년 정기학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.227-228
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    • 2022
  • 전통적인 HRA(Human Reliability Analysis)방법은 특정 애플리케이션 또는 산업을 염두에 두고 있으며. 또한 이러한 방법은 종종 복잡하며, 시간이 많이 걸리고 적용하는 데 비용이 많이 들며 직접 비교하기에는 적합하지 않다. 제안된 HFHM(Human Factors Hazard Model: 인적 요인 위험 모델)은 기검증되고 시간 테스트를 거친 FTA(Fault Tree Analysis:결함 트리 분석)및 ETA(Event Tree Analysis:이벤트 트리 분석)의 확률 분석 도구 및 새로 개발된 HEP(Human Error Probability:인적 오류 확률)예측 도구와 통합되고, 인간과 관련된 PSF(Performance Shaping Factors:성능 형성 요인)를 중심으로 새로운 접근 방식으로 개발되었다. 인간-시스템은 상호작용으로 인한 재난사고 가능성을 모델링하는 위험분석 접근법 HFHM은 다음과 같은 상용 소프트웨어 도구 내에서 예시되고 자동화된다. HFHM에서 생성된 데이터는 SE 분석가 및 설계에 대한 표준화된 가이드로 사용될 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 인적 위험을 예측하는 이 새로운 접근 방식을 통해, 전체 시스템에 대한 포괄적인 재난안전 분석을 가능하게 한다.

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Impact of Time Interval between Index Event and Stenting on Periprocedural Risk in Patients with Symptomatic Carotid Stenosis

  • Han, Wonsuck;Hwang, Gyojun;Oh, Sung Han;Lee, Jong Joo;Kim, Mi Kyung;Chung, Bong Sub;Rhim, Jong Kook;Sheen, Seung Hun;Kim, Taehyung
    • Journal of Korean Neurosurgical Society
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    • 제63권5호
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    • pp.598-606
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    • 2020
  • Objective : The purpose of this study was to evaluate the impact of time interval between index event and stenting on the periprocedural risk of stenting for symptomatic carotid stenosis and to determine the optimal timing of stenting. Methods : This retrospective study included 491 (322 symptomatic [65.6%] and 169 asymptomatic [34.4%]) patients undergoing carotid stenting. The symptomatic patients were categorized into Day 0-3, 4-7, 8-10, 11-14, 15-21, and >21 groups according to the time interval between index event and stenting. Periprocedural (≤30 days) risk for clinical (any neurological deterioration) and radiological (new infarction on postprocedural diffusion-weighted imaging) events of stenting in each time interval versus asymptomatic stenosis was calculated with logistic regression analysis adjusted for confounders, and provided as odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval (CI). Results : Overall clinical event rate (4.3%) of stenting for symptomatic carotid stenosis was higher than that for asymptomatic stenosis (1.2%; OR, 3.979 [95% CI, 1.093-14.489]; p=0.036). Stenting in Day 0-3 (13.2%; OR, 10.997 [95% CI, 2.333-51.826]; p=0.002) and Day 4-7 (8.3%; OR, 6.775 [95% CI, 1.382-33.227]; p=0.018) was associated with high risk for clinical events. However, the clinical event rates in stenting after 7 days from index event (Day 8-10, 1.8%; Day 11-14, 2.5%; Day 15-21, 0%; Day >21, 2.9%) were not different from that in stenting for asymptomatic stenosis. Overall radiological event rate (55.6%) in symptomatic stenosis was also higher than that in asymptomatic stenosis (35.5%; OR, 2.274 [95% CI, 1.553-3.352]; p<0.001). The high risk for radiological events was maintained in all time intervals (Day 0-3 : 55.3%; OR, 2.224 [95% CI, 1.103-4.627]; p=0.026; Day 4-7 : 58.3%; OR, 2.543 [95% CI, 1.329-4.949]; p=0.005; Day 8-10 : 53.6%; OR, 2.096 [95% CI, 1.138-3.889]; p=0.018; Day 11-14 : 57.5%; OR, 2.458 [95% CI, 1.225-5.021]; p=0.012; Day 15-21 : 55.6%; OR, 2.271 [95% CI, 1.099-4.764]; p=0.028; Day >21 : 54.8%; OR, 2.203 [95% CI, 1.342-3.641]; p=0.002). Conclusion : This study showed that as stenting was delayed, the periprocedural risk for clinical events decreased. The clinical event risk was high only in stenting within 7 days and comparable with that for asymptomatic stenosis in stenting after 7 days from index event, although the radiological event risk was not affected by stenting timing. Therefore, our results suggest that delayed stenting after 7 days from symptom onset is a safe strategy for symptomatic stenosis.

항공기 안전 운항에 영향을 미치는 중규모 대류계 사례 연구(I) (A study of Mesoscale Convective Systems(MCSs) event impacts on the safe operation of aircraft(I))

  • 김영철
    • 한국항공운항학회지
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    • 제22권1호
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    • pp.76-84
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    • 2014
  • Heavy Rainfall event accompanying with Mesoscale Convective Systems(MCSs) inducing flash flooding and Kimpo and Inchon International Airport closing over Seoul metropolitan area was investigated this study. This heavy rainfall event was occurred through the synoptic scale boundary of North Pacific Subtropical high, Typhoon and also can predicted by proper analysis of various forecasting parameters such as abundant moisture, instabilities, and synoptic/mesoscale forcing.

3축 가속도 신호를 이용한 편마비 환자의 보행 분석에 대한 연구 (The Study of Gait Analysis for Hemiplegic Patient Using 3-axis Acceleration Signal)

  • 이효기;이경중;서지현;박시운
    • 대한전자공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전자공학회 2006년도 하계종합학술대회
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    • pp.869-870
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    • 2006
  • In this study, we proposed an algorithm which can detect the walking event in hemiplegic patient using three axis acceleration signal. Twenty hemiplegic patients were participated in an experiment on a level corridor. To evaluate the accuracy, we compared the time difference between the detected event and signal from FSR-Sensor. Consequently, the mean difference of 46.1ms was obtained and it suggests that the proposed method is effective to detect the walking event in hemiplegic patient. In future, these results could be used to evaluate the walking ability in hemiplegic patient in clinical practice.

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신뢰성 해석에 의한 내폭 CFRP-steel 복합구조의 최적화 설계 (Design Optimization of Blast Resistant CFRP-steel Composite Structure Based on Reliability Analysis)

  • 김정중;노혁천
    • 복합신소재구조학회 논문집
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    • 제3권4호
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    • pp.10-16
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    • 2012
  • This study presents the effectiveness of a composite structure at improving blast resistance. The proposed composite structure consists of carbon fiber reinforced polymer (CFRP) and steel layers. While CFRP layer is used for blast energy reflection due to its high strength, steel layer is used for blast energy absorption due to its high ductility. A dynamic model is used to simulate the elastoplastic behavior of the proposed composite structure subject to blast load. Considering the magnitude variations of a blast event, the probability of failure of each layer is evaluated using reliability analysis. By assigning design probability of failure of each layer in the composite structure, the thickness of layers is optimized. A case study for the design of CFRP-steel composite structure subjected to an uncertain blast event is also presented.

어드벤처 게임에서 플레이이벤트별 게임공간의 시각적 환경요소 (Visual Environmental Elements of Game Space by Play-Event in Adventure Games)

  • 최규혁;진형우;김미진
    • 한국게임학회 논문지
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    • 제20권1호
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    • pp.47-56
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    • 2020
  • 본 논문은 어드벤처 게임에서 플레이이벤트별 게임공간의 시각적 환경요소를 분석하였다. 대표적인 어드벤처 게임 10종에서 공통 플레이이벤트 6종을 추출하고, 공간구조 3유형과 오브젝트 4유형을 분석기준으로 설정하였다. 이를 바탕으로 직접플레이 및 모니터링을 수행하여 시각적 환경요소의 특징을 구체화 하였다. 그 결과, 플레이이벤트에서 의도하는 스토리와 유도하는 게임플레이는 시각적 환경요소와 밀접한 연관성이 있음을 확인하였다.

Application of Percentile Rainfall Event for Analysis of Infiltration Facilities used by Prior Consultation for LID (Low Impact Development)

  • Kwon, Kyung-Ho;Song, Hye-Jin
    • KIEAE Journal
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    • 제15권5호
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    • pp.5-12
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    • 2015
  • Purpose: Retention and infiltration of small and frequently-occurring rainfall by LID facilities account for a large proportion of the annual precipitation volume. Based on 4 standard facilities such as Porous Pavement, Infiltration Trench, Cylindrical Infiltration Well, Rectangular Infiltration Well by Seoul Metropolitan Handbook of the Prior Consultation for LID. The total retention volume of each facility was calculated according to the type and size. The Purpose of this study is to find out the quantitative relationship between Percentile Rainfall Event and Design Volume of Infiltration Facilities. Methode: For the estimation of Percentile Rainfall Event, Daily Precipitation of Seoul from 2005 to 2014 was sorted ascending and the distribution of percentile was estimated by PERCENTILE spreadsheet function. The managed Rainfall Depth and Percentile of each facility was calculated at the several sizes. In response to the rainwater charge volume of 5.5mm/hr by the Category "Private large site", the 3 types of facilities were planned for example. The calculated Rainfall Depth and Percentile were 54.4mm and 90% by the use of developed Calculation-Module based on the Spreadsheet program. Result: With this Module the existing Designed Infiltration volume which was introduced from Japan was simply converted to the Percentile-Rainfall-Event used in USA.

Simulation of Multiple Steam Generator Tube Rupture (SGTR) Event Scenario

  • Seul Kwang Won;Bang Young Seok;Kim In Goo;Yonomoto Taisuke;Anoda Yoshinari
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제35권3호
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    • pp.179-190
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    • 2003
  • The multiple steam generator tube rupture (SGTR) event scenario with available safety systems was experimentally and analytically evaluated. The experiment was conducted on the large scaled test facility to simulate the multiple SGTR event and investigate the effectiveness of operator actions. As a result, it indicated that the opening of pressurizer power operated relief valve was significantly effective in quickly terminating the primary-to-secondary break flow even for the 6.5 tubes rupture. In the analysis, the recent version of RELAP5 code was assessed with the test data. It indicated that the calculations agreed well with the measured data and that the plant responses such as the water level and relief valve cycling in the damaged steam generator were reasonably predicted. Finally, sensitivity study on the number of ruptured tubes up to 10 tubes was performed to investigate the coolant release into atmosphere. It indicated that the integrated steam mass released was not significantly varied with the number of ruptured tubes although the damaged steam generator was overfilled for more than 3 tubes rupture. These findings are expected to provide useful information in understanding and evaluating the plant ability to mitigate the consequence of multiple SGTR event.

우리나라 국민학생의 스트레스에 관한 연구 (A Study on Stress of Primary Students in Korea)

  • 김무채;김정근;김지주
    • 한국학교보건학회지
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    • 제6권1호
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    • pp.78-92
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    • 1993
  • The purpose of this study is to find out the stress causes of the primary students in Korea, through the three major methods, life event score, multiple regression about stress causes and G.H.Q. path-diagram. A survey was made of 889 students who were selected among students of six primary schools in seoul and Ka-pyeng, from Sep. 28 to Oct. 2. 1992. The results of this study are summarized as follows : 1. Life event score Among the children's life events, (deaths of family) (degrade of school record) (the increase of absence days) (divorce of parents) (trouble with relationship) are high ranking in life event score. Besides, (scolded by teacher and parents) (beginning of extracurricular work) are spread stress causes. In conclusion, these stress causes are shown by two aspects, home, school, and so children are under stress circumstance in both places. These stress causes vary with area and sex. 2. Multiple regression about stress causes and G.H.Q. This study analysed how a stress caused by home life affects the children's health of mind and body. The most influential factors are , and these factors vary with area and sex. 3. Path-diagram This study proved that socio-psychological school environment raises children to secede from school, and this secession that operates as a stress cause affects children's health of mind and body. This serial process is analysed by path analysis, and made out a path-diagram. In conclusion, as expected socio-psychological,school environment affects the children's health of mind and body. This is shown by two aspects : positive, negative. This stress causes vary with area and sex.

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