• Title/Summary/Keyword: Evaluation and estimation

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Comparison of Benefit Estimation Models in Cost-Benefit Analysis: A Case of Chronic Hypertension Management Programs

  • Lim, Ji-Young;Kim, Mi-Ja;Park, Chang-Gi;Kim, Jung-Yun
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing
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    • v.41 no.6
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    • pp.750-757
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    • 2011
  • Purpose: Cost-benefit analysis is one of the most commonly used economic evaluation methods, which helps to inform the economic value of a program to decision makers. However, the selection of a correct benefit estimation method remains critical for accurate cost-benefit analysis. This paper compared benefit estimations among three different benefit estimation models. Methods: Data from community-based chronic hypertension management programs in a city in South Korea were used. Three different benefit estimation methods were compared. The first was a standard deterministic estimation model; second, a repeated-measures deterministic estimation model; and third, a transitional probability estimation model. Results: The estimated net benefit of the three different methods were $1,273.01, $-3,749.42, and $-5,122.55 respectively. Conclusion: The transitional probability estimation model showed the most correct and realistic benefit estimation, as it traced possible paths of changing status between time points and it accounted for both positive and negative benefits.

A Study on Establishing the Evaluation System of the Stock Enhancement Program (수산자원조성사업의 합리적인 평가체계 도입 방안에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Dae-Young;Ryu, Jeoung-Gon;Lee, Jeoung-Sam
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.41 no.1
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    • pp.1-24
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    • 2010
  • The main goal of the study is to propose an objective and standardized evaluation system of stock enhancement programs. In order to achieve this goal, the study first suggested the need for stock enhancement program evaluation system through the review of current status and problems. Second, the study identified possible problems of the existing stock enhancement program evaluation by reviewing domestic and foreign evaluation systems. Finally the study proposed a new evaluation system and implementation plan of it. This study also classified the program evaluation criteria into ex-ante evaluation and ex-post evaluation according to the evaluation point in time, and applied the economic, political and technical feasibility tests into the evaluation of the stock enhancement program in order to solve the current problems of the evaluation. The evaluation process of the stock enhancement program is composed of an evaluation system design, estimation of weights using the analytical hierarchy process, design of estimation standard, conversion of scores and final summary of the evaluation. The central government takes the lead in the evaluation of the regional (metropolitan city or province) projects and the regional government is in charge of the evaluation of the local (city or county) projects. For the implementation of the ex-ante evaluation, either the regional or local governments ask for the evaluation and then submit an evaluation plan and other necessary documents to the upper level governments. The ex-post evaluation is then carried out by the upper level governments.

A Study on Development of Technology Evaluation Model - Focus on Value Estimation for Presentation in the Transfer of Technology and a Trade Criterion- (개별기술 평가모델 개발에 관한 연구 - 기술 이전 .거래 기준 제시를 위한 가치평가를 중심으로 -)

  • 최락인;박종오
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.130-142
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    • 2000
  • A model of value estimation for Technology Evaluation refers to technology and trade criterion is Presented on this study. Technology evaluation will be recognized to immediately solve the problem in government, Policy executive organs, enterprises. There is a necessity for fixing of technology evaluation institution to objectify technology evaluation method and means, to train and accumulate specialist of technology evaluation, to specialize technology evaluation organ, to secure public-trust, to spread application of technology evaluation results. And there will be become established consideration is indispensable to organize and operate Technology Exchange.

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A Study on the Resilience-Based Performance Evaluation Method of Structures and Their Application Plan (구조물의 회복탄력성 기반 성능평가법에 대한 고찰 및 적용 방안에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Yu-Seong;Kang, Joo-Won;Lee, Joon-Ho
    • Journal of Korean Association for Spatial Structures
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.159-167
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    • 2020
  • The resilience performance evaluation method of a structure can evaluate the ability to recover after an earthquake disaster, and this study deals with the consideration and introduction of the resilience performance evaluation method. The resilience evaluation method can be expressed as a quantified number by constructing a loss estimation model and a recovery evaluation model. The recovery evaluation model should consider downtime in addition to the repair time, and the loss estimation model should consider not only direct loss to structures and non-structures, but also indirect loss due to functional loss of the building. In addition, to build a loss estimation model, the structure should be simplified to perform an efficient analysis. Therefore, in this study, the equivalent terminal induction system proposed cantilever-type and rahmen-type SDOF, and it is evaluated somewhat conservatively compared to the example structure, and it is judged that there is a need to improve the hysteresis characteristics by applying the stiffness reduction factor of the SDOF model.

Model-Prediction-based Collision-Avoidance Algorithm for Excavators Using the RLS Estimation of Rotational Inertia (회전관성의 순환최소자승 추정을 이용한 모델 예견 기반 굴삭기의 충돌회피 알고리즘 개발)

  • Oh, Kwang Seok;Seo, Jaho;Lee, Geun Ho
    • Journal of Drive and Control
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.59-67
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    • 2016
  • This paper proposes a model-prediction-based collision-avoidance algorithm for excavators for which the recursive-least-squares (RLS) estimation of the excavator's rotational inertia is used. To estimate the rotational inertia of the excavator, the RLS estimation with multiple forgetting and two updating rules for the nominal parameter and the forgetting factors was conducted based on the excavator-swing dynamics. The average value of the estimated rotational inertia that is for the minimizing effects of the estimation error was computed using the recursive-average method with forgetting. Based on the swing dynamics, the computed average of the rotational inertia, the damping coefficient for braking, and the excavator's braking angle were predicted, and the predicted braking angle was compared with the detected-object angle for a safety evaluation. The safety level defined in this study consists of the three levels safe, warning, and emergency braking. The analytical rotational-inertia-based performance evaluation of the designed estimation algorithm was conducted using a typical working scenario. The results of the safety evaluation show that the predictive safety-evaluation algorithm of the proposed model can evaluate the safety level of the excavator during its operation.

A Study on the Evaluation Method of Green Remodeling Considering LCA and LCC (LCA 및 LCC를 고려한 환경친화적 리모델링의 평가방법에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Gwan-Ho;Kim, Nam-Gyu;Rhee, Eon-Ku
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.57-67
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    • 2003
  • This study aims to presents Evaluation Method of Green Remodeling that analyze the value of environment through expense, using the method of life cycle cost and life cycle assessment simultaneously. The results of this study are summarized as follows. Evaluation Model developed in this study can convert economical value of environment into cost by integrating. In addition, the model can apply as a useful tool to estimation of economical design alternative as well as quantification of environmental loads and costs. Evaluation Model presented In this study observe energy consumption and the environmental load emission with qualification, it can forecast effect of environmental cost that cost estimation is expected to be added to energy cost rate by being possible. Synthetically, when Estimation Model and computer program that developed in this study is applies to the construction industry; reasonable management of environmental load is convenient at each step of Green Remodeling. In addition, at preliminary design phase, practical use may be possible by reasonable yardstick about various alternatives and improvement of design alternatives likewise by grasping environmental effect.

A Study on Degradation Estimation of 2.25Cr-1Mo Steel Using Ultrasonic Lamb Wave (램파를 이용한 2.25Cr-lMo재의 열화평가에 관한 연구)

  • 이상용;박익근;박은수;권숙인;조윤호
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Machine Tool Engineers Conference
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    • 2001.10a
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    • pp.324-329
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    • 2001
  • The destructive method is reliable and widely used for the estimation of material degradation but, it have time-consuming and a great difficulty in preparing specimens from in-service industrial facilities. Therefore, the estimation of degraded structural materials by nondestructive evaluation is strongly desired. In this paper, the use of guided wave was suggested for the evaluation of thermally damaged 2.25 Cr-lMo steel as an alternative way to compensate for limitations of fracture tests. The observation of microstructure variations of the material including carbide precipitation increase and spheroidization near grain boundary was conducted and the correlation with the guided wave features such as energy loss ratio and group velocity changes was investigated. Through this study, the feasibility of ultrasonic guided wave evaluation for thermally damaged materials was explored.

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DSM Potential Evaluation and Estimation of Commercial Sector (업무용 부문의 DSM 장재량 평가절차 및 절전잠재량 추정)

  • Park, Jong-Jin;Rhee, Chang-Ho;Jo, In-Seung
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 1998.11a
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    • pp.253-255
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    • 1998
  • This paper presents the methodology of DSM potential evaluation and estimation of commercial sector in Korea. In general, the estimation process of the potential savings of DSM activities include the determination of baseline electricity consumption, the instantaneous technical potential (ITP), the phased technical potential (PTP), the economic potential (EP), and the achievable potential(AP). The purpose of this paper is to provide evaluation process of those DSM potential savings based on top-down approach and apply it to commercial sector.

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Bayesian Estimation of Multinomial and Poisson Parameters Under Starshaped Restriction

  • Oh, Myong-Sik
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.185-191
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    • 1997
  • Bayesian estimation of multinomial and Poisson parameters under starshped restriction is considered. Most Bayesian estimations in order restricted statistical inference require the high-dimensional integration which is very difficult to evaluate. Monte Carlo integration and Gibbs sampling are among alternative methods. The Bayesian estimation considered in this paper requires only evaluation of incomplete beta functions which are extensively tabulated.

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An assurance level and product type based evaluation effort model for CC evaluation (CC기반에서 보증수준 및 제품유형을 동시에 고려한 평가업무량 모델)

  • Choi, Sang-Soo;Choi, Seung;Lee, Wan-Seok;Lee, Kang-Soo
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information Security & Cryptology
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.25-34
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    • 2004
  • Common Criteria(CC, ISO/IEC 15408) is an international standard for evaluation of Information Suity Systems(ISS). There need a suitable evidence of estimation of evaluation cost in an evaluation facility under the CC-based evaluation and assurance scheme. In this paper, we propose an evaluation effort model, which is based not only on assurance-level but also on product-type of ISS, by means of real experience of real evaluators, use-ratio concept and the Function Point of security function. The model is based not on a real evaluation environment of evaluation facility, but on CC, public PPs and product specific STs. Our result might be used as a basic model for estimation of evaluation cost and time of ISS in an CC-based evaluation and assurance scheme.