• Title/Summary/Keyword: Evaluation Models

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One-year Graft Patency after Coronary Artery Bypass Surgery (관상동맥우회술 후 1년 개존성에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Gi-Bong;Kim, Hyeon-Jo;Seong, Gi-Ik
    • Journal of Chest Surgery
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    • v.30 no.12
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    • pp.1190-1196
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    • 1997
  • Between July 1994 and August 1995, 78 patients underwent coronary artery bypass graft at Seoul National University Hospital. Coronary angiogram was performed one year after coronary artery bypass graft in 49 patients(62.8%) for evaluation of the graft patency and analysis of the risk factors for graft occlusion. The patency rates of both the internal mammary artery and the radial artery grafts were 100% , although three internal mammary artery grafts(5.0%) were narrowed(string sign). And that of the saphenous vein grafts were 85.2%. Multivariate analysis for the preoperative, operative, and postoperative factors was done between the widely patent and the narrowed internal mammary artery graft groups, and between the patent and the occluded saphenous vein graft groups by the general linear models procedure. Patient's age($\geq$60 years), postoperative intraaortic balloon pump insertion, bleeding, and acute renal failure were found to be the significant risk factors for internal mammary artery graft narrowing, and coronary artery size(< 1.5 mm) was the significant risk factor for the saphenous vein graft occlusion (p<0.05) . This study confirms that the arterial graft is superior to the vein graft at one-year patency rate, and suggests the risk factors for graft occlusion during the first postoperative year. Knowledge of this study may provide a basis for estimating the risk factors for graft occlusion, and thereby modifying surgical strategy and postoperative surveillance.

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The Combined Effect of Subjective Body Image and Body Mass Index (Distorted Body Weight Perception) on Suicidal Ideation

  • Shin, Jaeyong;Choi, Young;Han, Kyu-Tae;Cheon, Sung-Youn;Kim, Jae-Hyun;Lee, Sang Gyu;Park, Eun-Cheol
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.48 no.2
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    • pp.94-104
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    • 2015
  • Objectives: Mental health disorders and suicide are an important and growing public health concern in Korea. Evidence has shown that both globally and in Korea, obesity is associated with an increased risk of developing some psychiatric disorders. Therefore, we examined the association between distorted body weight perception (BWP) and suicidal ideation. Methods: Data were obtained from the 2007-2012 Korea National Health and Nutritional Evaluation Survey (KNHANES), an annual cross-sectional nationwide survey that included 14 276 men and 19 428 women. Multiple logistic regression analyses were conducted to investigate the associations between nine BWP categories, which combined body image (BI) and body mass index (BMI) categories, and suicidal ideation. Moreover, the fitness of our models was verified using the Akaike information criterion. Results: Consistent with previous studies, suicidal ideation was associated with marital status, household income, education level, and perceived health status in both genders. Only women were significantly more likely to have distorted BWP; there was no relationship among men. In category B1 (low BMI and normal BI), women (odds ratio [OR], 2.25; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.48 to 3.42) were more likely to express suicidal ideation than women in category B2 (normal BMI and normal BI) were. Women in overweight BWP category C2 (normal BMI and fat BI) also had an increased OR for suicidal ideation (OR, 2.25; 95% CI, 1.48 to 3.42). Those in normal BWP categories were not likely to have suicidal ideation. Among women in the underweight BWP categories, only the OR for those in category A2 (normal BMI and thin BI) was significant (OR, 1.34; 95% CI, 1.13 to 1.59). Conclusions: Distorted BWP should be considered an important factor in the prevention of suicide and for the improvement of mental health among Korean adults, especially Korean women with distorted BWPs.

Development of Three-Dimensional Finite Element Model for Structural Analysis of Airport Concrete Pavements (공항 콘크리트 포장 구조해석을 위한 3차원 유한요소 모형 개발)

  • Park, Hae Won;Shim, Cha Sang;Lim, Jin Seon;Joe, Nam Hyun;Jeong, Jin Hoon
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.19 no.6
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    • pp.67-74
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    • 2017
  • PURPOSES : In this study, a three-dimensional nonlinear finite element analysis (FEA) model for airport concrete pavement was developed using the commercial program ABAQUS. Users can select an analysis method and set the range of input parameters to reflect actual conditions such as environmental loading. METHODS : The geometrical shape of the FEA model was chosen by considering the concrete pavement located in the third-stage construction site of Incheon International Airport. Incompatible eight-node elements were used for the FEA model. Laboratory test results for the concrete specimens fabricated at the construction site were used as material properties of the concrete slab. The material properties of the cement-treated base suggested by the Federal Aviation Administration(FAA) manual were used as those of the lean concrete subbase. In addition, preceding studies and pavement evaluation reports of Incheon International Airport were referred for the material properties of asphalt base and subgrade. The kinetic friction coefficient between the concrete slab and asphalt base acquired from a preceding study was used for the friction coefficient between the layers. A nonlinear temperature gradient according to slab depth was used as an input parameter of environmental loading, and a quasistatic method was used to analyze traffic loading. The average load transfer efficiency obtained from an Heavy falling Weight Deflectomete(HWD) test was converted to a spring constant between adjacent slabs to be used as an input parameter. The reliability of the FEA model developed in this study was verified by comparing its analysis results to those of the FEAFAA model. RESULTS : A series of analyses were performed for environmental loading, traffic loading, and combined loading by using both the model developed in this study and the FEAFAA model under the same conditions. The stresses of the concrete slab obtained by both analysis models were almost the same. An HWD test was simulated and analyzed using the FEA model developed in this study. As a result, the actual deflections at the center, mid-edge, and corner of the slab caused by the HWD loading were similar to those obtained by the analysis. CONCLUSIONS : The FEA model developed in this study was judged to be utilized sufficiently in the prediction of behavior of airport concrete pavement.

Selection of bandwidth for local linear composite quantile regression smoothing (국소 선형 복합 분위수 회귀에서의 평활계수 선택)

  • Jhun, Myoungshic;Kang, Jongkyeong;Bang, Sungwan
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.30 no.5
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    • pp.733-745
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    • 2017
  • Local composite quantile regression is a useful non-parametric regression method widely used for its high efficiency. Data smoothing methods using kernel are typically used in the estimation process with performances that rely largely on the smoothing parameter rather than the kernel. However, $L_2$-norm is generally used as criterion to estimate the performance of the regression function. In addition, many studies have been conducted on the selection of smoothing parameters that minimize mean square error (MSE) or mean integrated square error (MISE). In this paper, we explored the optimality of selecting smoothing parameters that determine the performance of non-parametric regression models using local linear composite quantile regression. As evaluation criteria for the choice of smoothing parameter, we used mean absolute error (MAE) and mean integrated absolute error (MIAE), which have not been researched extensively due to mathematical difficulties. We proved the uniqueness of the optimal smoothing parameter based on MAE and MIAE. Furthermore, we compared the optimal smoothing parameter based on the proposed criteria (MAE and MIAE) with existing criteria (MSE and MISE). In this process, the properties of the proposed method were investigated through simulation studies in various situations.

Seismic Performance of High Strength Steel(HSA800) Beam-to-Column Connections with Improved Horizontal Stiffener (개량수평스티프너를 보강한 고강도강(HSA800) 접합부 내진성능평가)

  • Oh, Sang Hoon;Park, Hae Yong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Steel Construction
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.361-373
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    • 2014
  • As the height and beam span of buildings built in the construction market increase, increasingly higher quality is being required of the construction materials. In response to this trend, 800MPa tensile strength class steel was developed in domestic company. Currently, experiments applying flexural member, compression member, and connections are continuously conducted, but a design guideline for high strength steel has yet to be established. Among those construction materials, for the high strength steel beam-to-column connections, the evaluation of implementing ductile connections for the high strength steel beam-to-column connections is producing pessimistic results and the number of related researches is inadequate because of the high yield ratio, which is the characteristic of high strength steel. This study on implementation of ductile connections made of high strength steel was conducted using the connection detail as the variable, for the purpose of enhancing the deformation capacity of high strength steel beam-to-column connections. Cyclic loading test and nonlinear finite element analysis were conducted with full-scale mock-up connection models with the applied connection details. As a result, the structural performance of high-strength steel beam-to-column connection with presented detail was contented with demand of Special Moment Frames of KBC standard.

Improvement of the HCM Delay Estimation Model for Exclusive Permitted Left Turns (비보호 좌회전 지체도 추정모형의 개선)

  • 김진태
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.107-118
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    • 2003
  • Highway Capacity Manual (HCM) provides an analytical delay estimation model to assist the evaluation of traffic at a signalized intersection. The model revised and included in the HCM published in the year 2000 reflects the results of recent studies and is utilized in various fields of transportation studies. For the implementation of the model in the case of permitted left turns, the HCM supplement provides a computational procedure to adjust the saturation flow rate of permitted left toms. The model however, is originally designed for a protected movement and thus underestimates the delay of permitted left turns due to its difference right-of-way nature. This document describes (1) a review of the theoretical background of the HCM delay estimation model, (2) problems embedded in the model for the delay estimation of permitted left turns, (3) a proposed model developed in this study to improve the delay estimation for permitted left turns and (4) a set of verification tests. In order to reflect various traffic and control conditions in the test, simulation studies were performed to by using the field data based on 120 different permitted left-turn scenarios. Comparison studies conducted between sets of delays estimated by the HCM and the proposed models against a set of the CORSIM delays and showed that the proposed model improved the estimation of the permitted left-turn delays. The explanatory variable of the relationship between the HCM delay and the simulation delay was 0.47 and the one between the delay estimated by the proposed model and the simulation delay was 0.77.

Research on R&D requirement planning support strategies to foster arms exports: focused on researching the evaluation model of marketability of weapon systems (방산수출을 고려한 R&D 소요기획 지원전략 연구: 무기체계 시장성 평가모델 연구를 중심으로)

  • Han, Bong-Yoon;Won, Jun-Ho
    • Journal of Technology Innovation
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.93-128
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    • 2012
  • Defense technology planning identifies medium-and long-term core technologies to accomplish future defense goals and suggests strategies for future R&D. In order to promote the export-oriented defense industry, planning paradigms should be shifted from technology-oriented planning that focuses on weapon systems to market- oriented R&D planning. This study aims to strategically support 'preliminary technology planning' the Defense Agency for Technology and Quality is pushing ahead with. Through market-orientation analysis models of weapon systems based on defense R&D planning, data research on previous market-oriented research, and the analyses and examples of global defence markets, it evaluates market attractiveness to UAVs and drew methods for exploring markets and enhancing competitiveness of military equipment. The market-oriented analysis model of weapon systems is considered to be a helpful reference as a relevant factor for decision making on establishing and verifying requirement planning. In particular, if a market-oriented defense R&D planning process is established institutionally, it will enable us to make export strategies tailored to different equipment from the planning phase and to support marketing strategically.

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Development of Nondestructive Sorting Method for Brown Bloody Eggs Using VIS/NIR Spectroscopy (가시광 및 근적외선 전투과 스펙트럼을 이용한 갈색 혈란 비파괴선별 방법 개발)

  • Lee, Hong-Seock;Kim, Dae-Yong;Kandpal, Lalit Mohan;Lee, Sang-Dae;Mo, Changyeun;Hong, Soon-Jung;Cho, Byoung-Kwan
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Nondestructive Testing
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    • v.34 no.1
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    • pp.31-37
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    • 2014
  • The aim of this study was the non-destructive evaluation of bloody eggs using VIS/NIR spectroscopy. The bloody egg samples used to develop the sorting mode were produced by injecting chicken blood into the edges of egg yolks. Blood amounts of 0.1, 0.7, 0.04, and 0.01 mL were used for the bloody egg samples. The wavelength range for the VIS/NIR spectroscopy was 471 to 1154 nm, and the spectral resolution was 1.5nm. For the measurement system, the position of the light source was set to $30^{\circ}$, and the distance between the light source and samples was set to 100 mm. The minimum exposure time of the light source was set to 30 ms to ensure the fast sorting of bloody eggs and prevent heating damage of the egg samples. Partial least squares-discriminant analysis (PLS-DA) was used for the spectral data obtained from VIS/NIR spectroscopy. The classification accuracies of the sorting models developed with blood samples of 0.1, 0.07, 0.04, and 0.01 mL were 97.9%, 98.9%, 94.8%, and 86.45%, respectively. In this study, a novel nondestructive sorting technique was developed to detect bloody brown eggs using spectral data obtained from VIS/NIR spectroscopy.

Development of climate change uncertainty assessment method for projecting the water resources (기후변화에 따른 수자원 전망의 불확실성 평가기법 개발)

  • Lee, Moon-Hwan;So, Jae-Min;Bae, Deg-Hyo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.49 no.8
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    • pp.657-671
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    • 2016
  • It is expected that water resources will be changed spatially and temporally due to the global climate change. The quantitative assessment of change in water availability and appropriate water resources management measures are needed for corresponding adaptation. However, there are large uncertainties in climate change impact assessment on water resources. For this reason, development of technology to evaluate the uncertainties quantitatively is required. The objectives of this study are to develop the climate change uncertainty assessment method and to apply it. The 5 RCMs (HadGEM3-RA, RegCM4, MM5, WRF, and RSM), 5 statistical post-processing methods (SPP) and 2 hydrological models (HYM) were applied for evaluation. The results of the uncertainty analysis showed that the RCM was the largest sources of uncertainty in Spring, Summer, Autumn (29.3~68.9%), the hydrological model was the largest source of uncertainty in Winter (46.5%). This method can be possible to analyze the changes in the total uncertainty according to the specific RCM, SPP, HYM model. And then it is expected to provide the method to reduce the total uncertainty.

Research on the Transfer Factor for $C^{14}$ Ingestion Dose Evaluation in PWR plant (PWR 발전소에서 $C^{14}$ 섭취선량 평가를 위한 전이계수 연구)

  • Kim Soong-Pyung;Han Young-Ok;Park Kyeong-Rok
    • Proceedings of the Korean Radioactive Waste Society Conference
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    • 2005.06a
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    • pp.476-484
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    • 2005
  • This paper is to evaluate rather correctly $C^{14}$ ingestion dose that inhabitants around PWR plants can receive, and draw how to apply TF(Transfer Factor) to evaluate dose by the ingestion of animal products. For this, in this paper, dose assessment and analysis about existing materials related to TF were carried out, and the methodology to present TF was based on dose assessment and analysis result. The ingestion dose calculated using TFs presented by CSA and KEPRI was high or equal compared with SAM(Specific Activity Model) which is the most conservative, on the other hand, TFs given by NEC did not consider the effect according to volume change of animal at all, Therefore, it is judged that models used in the existing codes to asses the $C^{14}$ concentration into animal products must be improved to apply fundamentally hybrid model using transfer factors, that transfer factor on each animal products have to be developed through experiment for applying to our county.

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