• 대한교통학회지
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• 제30권5호
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• pp.43-59
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• 2012

통행분포 예측시 목표년도가 단기일 경우에는 성장인자모형의 예측 정확도가 높고, 장기 목표년도의 경우에는 중력모형의 예측 정확도가 높은 것으로 인식되어 오고 있다. 이와 같은 예측모형 적용경향에 대한 검정을 위해 본 연구에서는 대구시 3개 년도(1988년, 1992년, 2004년)의 O-D표를 이용하여 통행분포 예측모형들의 정확도를 비교하였다. 비교는 분석 죤이 대죤인 경우와 중죤인 경우에서 예측모형별로 단기 목표년도의 정확도와 장기 목표년도 정확도를 구분하여 행하였다. 비교결과, 통행분포 예측모형의 통상적인 인식과 다른 결과가 있을 수 있다는 것이 규명되었다.

• 한국물환경학회지
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• 제29권5호
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• pp.625-629
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• 2013

The objective of this study is to develop and evaluate simple and multiple regression models for Total Organic Carbon (TOC) concentration estimation in stream flow. For development (using water quality data in 2012) and evaluation (using water quality data in 2011) of regression models, we used water quality data from downstream of Yeongsan river basin during 2011 and 2012, and correlation analysis between TOC and water quality parameters was conducted. The concentrations of TOC were positively correlated with Chemical Oxygen Demand (COD), Biochemical Oxygen Demand (BOD), TN (Total Nitrogen), Water Temperature (WT) and Electric Conductivity (EC). From these results, simple and multiple regression models for TOC estimation were developed as follows : $TOC=0.5809{\times}BOD+3.1557$, $TOC=0.4365{\times}COD+1.3731$. As a result of the application evaluation of the developed regression models, the multiple regression model was found to estimate TOC better than simple regression models.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제28권5호
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• pp.1191-1204
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• 2017

Weighted least squares (WLS) estimation is often easily used for the data with heteroscedastic errors because it is intuitive and computationally inexpensive. However, WLS estimator is less robust to a few outliers and sometimes it may be inefficient. In order to overcome robustness problems, Box-Cox transformation, Huber's M estimation, bisquare estimation, and Yohai's MM estimation have been proposed. Also, more efficient estimations than WLS have been suggested such as Bayesian methods (Cepeda and Achcar, 2009) and semiparametric methods (Kim and Ma, 2012) in heteroscedastic error models. Recently, Çelik (2015) proposed the weight methods applicable to the heteroscedasticity patterns including butterfly-distributed residuals and megaphone-shaped residuals. In this paper, we review heteroscedastic regression estimators related to robust or efficient estimation and describe their properties. Also, we analyze cost data of U.S. Electricity Producers in 1955 using the methods discussed in the paper.

• 한국수자원학회논문집
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• 제50권11호
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• pp.781-793
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• 2017

본 연구에서는 우리나라 56개 연구지역에 대해서 증발량 산정방법 중에 하나인 공기동력학적 방법의 적용성을 검토하였다. 이를 위해 과거 연구자들에 의해서 제안된 공기동력학적 증발량 산정식들을 7가지 형식으로 구분하고 일반화하여 증발량 산정모델을 유도하였다. 또한, 공기동력학적 방법 적용에 필요한 기상요소자료들(풍속, 포화미흡량, 기온, 대기압)을 이용하여 4가지의 다변량 선형회귀모델을 유도하고 그 적용성을 검토하였다. 기상자료들의 자기상관의 영향을 고려하기 위해 변수들을 차분시켜 회귀분석을 실시하고 자기상관을 고려하지 않은 경우와 비교한 결과 결정계수 값에 큰 차이가 없음을 확인하였다. 연구결과에 의하면 공기동력학적 모델이나 다변량 선형회귀모델 모두에서 산정된 월 증발량과 관측된 월 증발량 사이에 매우 높은 상관성이 있는 것으로 나타났다. 하지만 대부분의 증발량 산정모델에서 8, 9, 10, 11, 12월에 증발량을 과다 산정하고 있는 것으로 나타났다. 다변량 선형회귀모델들에 사용된 기상요소자료들은 모두 증발량 산정에 유의한 영향력이 있는 것으로 나타났으며, 특히 포화 미흡량이 가장 중요한 기상요소이며, 두 번째로는 기온, 세 번째로는 풍속, 그리고 마지막으로 대기압인 것으로 나타났다.

• Advances in environmental research
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• 제6권2호
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• pp.83-94
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• 2017

Air quality planning and management requires accurate and consistent records of the air quality parameters. Limited number of monitoring stations and inconsistent measurements of the air quality parameters is a very serious problem in many parts of India. It becomes difficult for the authorities to plan proactive measures with such a limited data. Estimation models can be developed using soft computing techniques considering the physics behind pollution dispersion as they can work very well with limited data. They are more realistic and can present the complete picture about the air quality. In the present case study spatio-temporal models using Linear Genetic Programming (LGP) have been developed for estimation of air quality parameters. The air quality data from four monitoring stations of an Indian city has been used and LGP models have been developed to estimate pollutant concentration of the fifth station. Three types of models are developed. In the first type, models are developed considering only the pollutant concentrations at the neighboring stations without considering the effect of distance between the stations as well the significance of the prevailing wind direction. Second type of models are distance based models based on the hypothesis that there will be atmospheric interactions between the two stations under consideration and the effect increases with decrease in the distance between the two. In third type the effect of the prevailing wind direction is also considered in choosing the input stations in wind and distance based models. Models are evaluated using Band Error and it was observed that majority of the errors are in +/-1 band.

• 대한토목학회논문집
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• 제32권1B호
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• pp.9-20
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• 2012

최근 수위 예측을 위한 개념적 기반, 수문학적, 물리적 기반 모형 등의 단점을 극복하고자 홍수예측을 위해 자료지향형 모형 중의 하나인 다중선형회귀 모형이 널리 도입되고 있다. 본 연구의 목적은 이러한 다중선형회귀 모형의 서로 다른 회귀계수 선정 방법에 따른 홍수예측 성능을 비교 검토하고 이를 통해 적절한 다중회귀 홍수예측 모형을 구축하는 것이다. 이를 위해 입력자료의 자기상관분석을 통해 독립변수의 시간 규모를 결정한 후 최소 자승법, 가중 최소 자승법, 단계별 선택법의 각기 다른 회귀계수 산정 방법을 이용한 홍수예측 모형을 구축하고 중랑천 유역의 다양한 홍수사상에 대해 적용하였다. 구축된 모형들의 성능을 평가하기 위해 평균제곱근오차, Nash-Suttcliffe 효율계수, 평균절대오차, 수정 결정계수와 같이 4개의 통계지표들을 사용하였다. 모의결과 단계별 선택법을 이용한 다중선형회귀 홍수예측 모형이 가장 정확한 예측 결과를 보였고, 최소자승법을 이용한 홍수예측 모형이 가중 최소자승법을 이용한 홍수예측 모형보다 좀 더 나은 예측 결과를 나타냈다.

• 산업경영시스템학회지
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• 제34권1호
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• pp.42-51
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• 2011

Poisson model and Gamma-Poisson model are popularly used to analyze statistical behavior from defective data. The methods are based on binary criteria, that is, good or failure. However, manufacturing industries prefer polytomous criteria for classifying manufactured products due to flexibility of marketing. In this paper, I introduce two multivariate Gamma-Poisson(MGP) models and estimation methods of the parameters in the models, which are able to handle polytomous data. The models and estimators are verified on defective pixels of LCD manufacturing. Experimental results show that both the independent MGP model and the multinomial MGP model have excellent performance in terms of mean absolute deviation and the choice of method depends on the purpose of use.

• 대한안전경영과학회지
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• 제12권1호
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• pp.199-205
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• 2010

The research proposes the three-factor random measurement models for estimating the precision about operator, part, tool, and various measurement environments. The combined model with crossed and nested factors is developed to analyze the approximate F test by degrees of freedom given by Satterthwaite and point estimation of precisions from expected mean square. The model developed in this paper can be extended to the three useful models according to the type of nested designs. The study also provides the three-step procedures to evaluate the measurement precisions using three indexes such as SNR(Signal-To-Noise Ratio), R&R TR(Reproducibility&Repeatability-To-Total Precision Ratio), and PTR(Precision-To-Tolerance Ratio), The procedures include the identification of resolution, the improvement of R&R reduction, and the evaluation of precision effect.

• 상하수도학회지
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• 제21권6호
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• pp.689-699
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• 2007

The accurate estimation of water pipe deterioration is indispensable to prevent pipe breakage and manage in advance. In this study, corrosion of water pipe is adopted, which is relatively underestimated although it takes most part of deteriorating pipeline. Predicting corrosion rate and corrosion depth of a pipe can make an increase the life span of the pipeline, which is laid under the ground according to characteristics of soil and water corrosion. For the purpose, mathematical models that can presume nominal depth through estimation of pit corrosion and corrosion rate is introduced. As comparison of results with conventional methods in other foreign countries, it is evaluated that the external corrosion depth is estimated less than the models, proposed by other researchers and the internal corrosion rate was processed faster than the external corrosion rate.

• 산업경영시스템학회지
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• 제22권52호
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• pp.1-8
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• 1999

This study was conducted to collect data concerning the preferred driving postures and adopted seat adjustment levels and to grasp relationships among drivers' body sizes, postural angles, and adopted seat positions and angles. Also optimum driving posture and seat adjustment level estimation models were constructed. An experiment was conducted to investigate observed optimum driving posture, and seat adjustment level. Thirty-six subjects (male=20, female=16) was selected to include a wide range of percentiles in the dimensions important for automotive driving workstation design and to be representative of the automotive driving population in Korea. New guidelines and estimation models for optimum postural comfort were developed. There were significant differences between male and female in postural angles but not in seat adjustment levels. Taller subjects preferred a more open and reclined posture. Estimation models enable us to estimate the quantitative optimum driving posture and seat adjustment level with some drivers' physical dimensions.