• Title/Summary/Keyword: Estimation Models

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A Model for Software Maintenance Cost Estimation based on Productivity (생산성 기반의 소프트웨어 유지보수 대가산정 모델)

  • Bae, Joon-Soo
    • IE interfaces
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    • v.17 no.spc
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    • pp.122-130
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    • 2004
  • Since the cost of software maintenance occupies about 50~75% in a general successful organization, the software maintenance plays an important role in software life cycle. In particular, if the managed system needs to be operated in a long term or the system is very large and complex, then the maintenance is especially more important. Software maintenance is defined as software modification activities after customer delivery, such as improvement of performance or functionality, error correction, adaptation to environmental changes, etc. In this paper, software cost estimation models are proposed, that is based on productivity of manpower in maintenance projects. In order to do this, the activities of maintenance are classified into function change, non-function change, user support and application operation. The proposed models are constructed and verified based on the real size and cost information of projects in the real world. The approach in this paper is to discriminate the heterogeneous activities in maintenance projects, and then to calculate the respective cost of each discriminated activity. By using the proposed models, the total cost of maintenance project is summed from the costs of four activities. In addition the number of conflicts between owner and order receiver about the amount of cost will be reduced and the reasonable cost estimation system will be established.

A Study on Comparative Analysis with Existing Model to Development of Software System Reliability Estimation Model of Field Applicable to be Easy and Simply (현장적용이 용이한 간편한 소프트웨어 시스템 신뢰성 평가모형 개발과 기존 모형과의 비교분석에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Suk-Hee;Kim, Jong-Hun
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.1307-1317
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    • 2010
  • The various models that estimate the reliability of application software system had been made. But most of the existing models are inconvenient to industrial fields because so complicated mathematic methods as method of estimation parameter have been used. The two purposes of this paper are to develop the reliability estimation model which was easily applied to industrial fields, and to prove no differences between the existing models and the developed model. Therefore the reliability of software system and handled informations are upgraded by far.

Maximum Control Force of Velocity-dependent Damping Devices Using Response Estimation Models (응답예측모델을 이용한 속도의존형 감쇠장치의 최대제어력 산정)

  • 이상현;민경원
    • Transactions of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering
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    • v.14 no.6
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    • pp.503-511
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    • 2004
  • In this study, for estimating responses of a controlled structure and determining the maximum control force of velocity-dependent damping devices, three estimation models such as Fourier envelope convex model, probability model, and Newmark design spectrum are used. For this purpose, a procedure is proposed for estimating actual velocity using pseudo-velocity and this procedure considers the effects of damping ratio increased by the damping device. Time history results indicate that actual velocity should be used for estimating accurate maximum control force of damping device and Newmark design spectrum modified by the proposed equation gives the best estimation results for over all period structures.

Assessment of slope stability using multiple regression analysis

  • Marrapu, Balendra M.;Jakka, Ravi S.
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.237-254
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    • 2017
  • Estimation of slope stability is a very important task in geotechnical engineering. However, its estimation using conventional and soft computing methods has several drawbacks. Use of conventional limit equilibrium methods for the evaluation of slope stability is very tedious and time consuming, while the use of soft computing approaches like Artificial Neural Networks and Fuzzy Logic are black box approaches. Multiple Regression (MR) analysis provides an alternative to conventional and soft computing methods, for the evaluation of slope stability. MR models provide a simplified equation, which can be used to calculate critical factor of safety of slopes without adopting any iterative procedure, thereby reducing the time and complexity involved in the evaluation of slope stability. In the present study, a multiple regression model has been developed and tested its accuracy in the estimation of slope stability using real field data. Here, two separate multiple regression models have been developed for dry and wet slopes. Further, the accuracy of these developed models have been compared and validated with respect to conventional limit equilibrium methods in terms of Mean Square Error (MSE) & Coefficient of determination ($R^2$). As the developed MR models here are not based on any region specific data and covers wide range of parametric variations, they can be directly applied to any real slopes.

Maximum likelihood estimation of stochastic volatility models with leverage effect and fat-tailed distribution using hidden Markov model approximation (두꺼운 꼬리 분포와 레버리지효과를 포함하는 확률변동성모형에 대한 최우추정: HMM근사를 이용한 최우추정)

  • Kim, TaeHyung;Park, JeongMin
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.35 no.4
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    • pp.501-515
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    • 2022
  • Despite the stylized statistical features of returns of financial returns such as fat-tailed distribution and leverage effect, no stochastic volatility models that can explicitly capture these features have been presented in the existing frequentist approach. we propose an approximate parameterization of stochastic volatility models that can explicitly capture the fat-tailed distribution and leverage effect of financial returns and a maximum likelihood estimation of the model using Langrock et al. (2012)'s hidden Markov model approximation in a frequentist approach. Through extensive simulation experiments and an empirical analysis, we present the statistical evidences validating the efficacy and accuracy of proposed parameterization.

Development of Simple Dynamic Models for Ship Manoeuvring Simulation (선박 조종 시뮬레이션을 위한 단순 기동 모델 개발)

  • Kim, Dong-Jin;Yeo, Dong-Jin;Rhee, Key-Pyo
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.17-25
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    • 2010
  • It is necessary for the ship dynamic models to realize ship dynamics and to achieve the real-time analysis in the manoeuvring simulation. Generally, simple dynamic models, such as 1st-order differential equation models of turning angle, turning rate, and forward speed, are used in the manoeuvring simulation for multiple ships. Ship dynamic modeling and parameter estimation methods based on its turning test results are proposed in this paper. Parameter estimation methods for the constant speed model and the speed-changing model are mathematically developed and verified by comparing with turning test results of a real ship.

Estimation of Errors in Inertial Navigation Systems with GPS

  • Chang, Yu-Shin;Ha, Seong-Ki;Kim, Eun-Joo;Hong, Sin-Pyo;Lee, Man-Hyung
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2001.10a
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    • pp.69.1-69
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    • 2001
  • In this paper, observability properties of a multiantenna GPS measurement system for the estimation of errors in INS are presented. It is shown that time-invariant INS error models are observable with measurements from at least three GPS antennas on the vehicle. There is at least one unobservable mode with two antennas. There are three unobservable modes with one antenna. It is also shown that time-varying INS error models are instantaneously observable with measurements from three GPS antennas. A numerical simulation results are given to verify the effectiveness of the multiantenna measurement system on the INS error estimation. In the simulation, a GPS measurement system is considered in which a trade-off between computational load and accuracy of estimation is achieved.

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Quasi-Deadbeat Minimax Estimation for Deterministic Generic Linear Models

  • Lee, Kwan-Ho;Han, Soo-Hee;Kwon, Wook-Hyun
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2002.10a
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    • pp.45.5-45
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    • 2002
  • In this paper, a quasi-deadbeat minimax estimation (QME) is proposed as a new class of time-domain parameter estimations for deterministic generic linear models. Linearity, quasi-deadbeat property, FIR structure, and independency of the initial parameter information will be required in advance, in addition to a new performance criterion of a worst case gain between the disturbances and the current estimation error. The proposed QME is obtained in a closed form by directly solving an optimization problem. The QME is represented in both a batch form and an iterative form. A fast algorithm for the suggested estimation is also presented, which is remarkable in view...

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Real-Time Estimation of Radial and Axial Depth of Cuts in End Milling Using the Cutting Forces (절삭력을 이용한 엔드밀링 공정의 실시간 축방향 및 반경방향 절삭깊이 추정)

  • 김승철
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Machine Tool Engineers Conference
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    • 1999.10a
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    • pp.34-39
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    • 1999
  • If the on-line cutting conditions (e.g. speed, feedrate, radial and axal depth of cuts) can be identified in an end milling process, much information about cutting forces will be estimated from the cutting force model. Therefore, those estimated conditions can be applied to monitoring and control areas. In this paper, a real-time estimation algorithm for radial and axial depth of cuts is studied in end milling using the averaging cutting forces per tooth. The analytical estimation models of depth of cuts are derived from the geometric cutting force model. The validity of the estimation models is verified on a horizontal machining center through the experiments in various cutting conditions.

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An Investigation on the Acoustic Impedances and Estimation Models of Multiple Layer Perforated Plate Systems (다중 다공판 시스템의 음향임피던스와 계산모델에 관한 고찰)

  • 이동훈;허성춘;허성욱;김민배
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering Conference
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    • 2002.05a
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    • pp.1238-1243
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    • 2002
  • In this study, the validity of the acoustic impedance model and the estimation model by electro-acoustic analogy suggested by Maa for predicting the absorptive performance of multiple layer perforated plate systems is investigated. From the comparison between the experiment and calculation for the absorption performance of double layer perforated plate system, the calculated results of using Rao and Munjal's impedance model and transfer matrix method are closer to the experimental values than those of using Maa's impedance model and electro-acoustic analogy. Therefore, in order to apply the acoustic impedance model and the estimation model by electro-acoustic analogy suggested by Maa to the multiple layer perforated plate systems, it is necessary that the suggested acoustic impedance and estimation models should be re-examined.

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