• Title/Summary/Keyword: Estimated rainfall

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A Study of Distribution of Rainfall Erosivity in USLE/RUSLE for Estimation of Soil Loss (토양유식공식의 강우침식도 분포에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Jeong-Hwan;U, Hyo-Seop;Pyeon, Jong-Geun;Kim, Gwang-Il
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.33 no.5
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    • pp.603-610
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    • 2000
  • Climate factors such as rainfall, temperature, wind, humidity, and solar radiant heat affect soil erosion. Among those factors, rainfall influences soil erosion to the most extent. The kinetic energy of rainfall breaks away soil particles and the water flow caused by the rainfall entrains and transport them downstream. In order to estimate soil erosion, therefore, it is important to determine the rainfall erosivity. In this study, the annual average Rainfall Erosivity(R) in Korea, an important factor of the Universal Soil Loss Equation(USLE) and Revised Equation(RUSLE), has been estimated using the nationwide rainfall data from 1973 to 1996. For this estimation, hourly rainfall data at 53 meterological stations managed by the Meterological Agency was used. It has been found from this study that the newly computed values for R are slightly larger than the existing ones. It would be because this study is based on the range of rainfall data that is longer in period and denser in the number of gauging stations than what the existing result used. The final result of this study is shown in the form the isoerodent map of Korea.

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A Study on Application of Very Short-range-forecast Rainfall for the Early Warning of Mud-debris Flows (토사재해 예경보를 위한 초단기 예측강우의 활용에 대한 연구)

  • Jun, Hwandon;Kim, Soojun
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.366-374
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    • 2017
  • The objective of this study is to explore the applicability of very short-range-forecast rainfall for the early warning of mud-debris flows. An artificial neural network was applied to use the very short-range-forecast rainfall data. The neural network is learned by using the relationship between the radar and the AWS, and forecasted rainfall is estimated by replacing the radar rainfall with the MAPLE data as the very short-range-forecast rainfall data. The applicability of forecasted rainfall by the MAPLE was compared with the AWS rainfall at the test-bed using the rainfall criteria for cumulative rainfall of 6hr, 12hr, and 24hr respectively. As a result, it was confirmed that forecasted rainfall using the MAPLE can be issued prior to the AWS warning.

Comparative Analysis of Estimation Methods for Basin Averaged Effective Rainfall Using NRCS-CN Method (NRCS-CN 방법을 이용한 유역평균 유효우량 산정기법의 비교·분석)

  • Moon, Geon-Woo;Yoo, Ji-Young;Ahn, Jae-Hyun;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.493-503
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    • 2014
  • The NRCS-CN method is generally applied for estimating effective rainfalls in practice, in which the basin-averaged CN is normally used. In order to develop a more appropriate method for estimating effective rainfalls in a basin, this study compared estimated effective rainfalls from two distinct methods with the observed direct runoff. The first method is to estimate the basin-representative effective rainfall using the basin-averaged CN (hereafter, effective rainfall I), whereas the second method to estimate the basin-averaged effective rainfall through areal-averaging sub-area effective rainfalls corresponding to the soil type and landuse type (hereafter, effective rainfall II). The overall results indicated that the effective rainfall II was higher than the effective rainfall I and closer to the observed direct runoff. The study also performed error analyses to verify that the effective rainfall II can be applied in practice in a basin as more accurate estimate of basin-representative effective rainfall.

Morphometric Characteristics and Correlation Analysis with Rainfall-runoff in the Han River Basin (한강 유역의 형태학적 특성과 강우-유출의 상관분석)

  • Lee, Ji Haeng;Lee, Woong Hee;Choi, Heung Sik
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.38 no.2
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    • pp.237-247
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    • 2018
  • The basin characteristics reflect the attributes of geomorphological pattern of basin and stream networks affect the rainfall-runoff. In order to analyze the relationship between the basin runoff and stream morphometric characteristics, the morphometric characteristics were investigated for 27 water-level observation stations on 19 rivers in the Han River basin using Arc-map. The morphometric characteristics were divided into linear, areal and relief aspects for calculation while the annual mean runoff ratio as a basin response by rainfall was estimated using the measured precipitation and discharge to analyze the rainfall-runoff characteristics. The correlation among the morphometric parameters were schematized to analyze the correlations among them. The multiple regression equation for rainfall-runoff ratio was provided with morphometric parameters of stream length ratio, form factor ratio, shape factor, stream area ratio, and relief ratio and the coefficient of determination was 0.691. The RMSE and MAPE between the measured and the estimated annual runoff rates were found as 0.09, 11.61% respectively, the suggested regression equation showed good estimation.

Evaluation of Effective Rainfall Ratio Method for Estimating Unit Load from Paddy Fields (비우량 방법에 의한 논 오염부하 원단위 산정시 적용성 평가)

  • Jung, Jae-Woon;Yoon, Kwang-Sik;Yoon, Suk-Gun;Choi, Woo-Jung;Choi, Woo-Young;Huh, Yu-Jeong;Cho, Kyeong-Min;Hong, Jung-Jin
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.849-854
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    • 2009
  • Pollutant unit load (unit-load) reported by Ministry of Environment (MOE) in 1995 has been a useful method for watershed management and environmental policy decision. The unit-load has been estimated using effective rainfall ratio method. However, reliability of unit-load determined by the method has been criticized especially for paddy field and upland conditions. In this paper the unit-load of paddy field estimated by effective rainfall ratio method was compared with continuous monitoring data. Annual loads was simulated by the method choosing 5~6 storm events randomly from whole events collected. Probability distribution of difference between results by the method and measured data was investigated. The results showed that unit-load derived by the method was generally lesser than measured unit-load and showed wide variations. Therefore, unit-load estimation of paddy fields by effective rainfall ratio method need caution.

Parameter Estimation of Tank Model by Data Interval and Rainfall Factors for Dry Season (건기 실측간격, 강우인자에 따른 탱크모형 매개변수 추정)

  • Park, Chae Il;Baek, Chun Woo;Jun, Hwan Don;Kim, Joong Hoon
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.22 no.5
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    • pp.856-864
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    • 2006
  • For estimating the minimum discharge to maintain a river, low flow analysis is required and long term runoff records are needed for the analysis. However, runoff data should be estimated to run a hydrologic model for ungaged river basin. For the reason, parameter estimation is crucial to simulate rainfall-runoff events for those basins using Tank model. In this study, only runoff data recorded for dry season are used for parameter estimation, which is different to other methods based on runoff data recorded for wet and dry seasons. The Harmony Search algorithm is used to determine the optimum parameters for Tank model. The coefficient of determination ($R^2$) is served as the objective function in the Harmony Search. In cases that recorded data are insufficient, the recording interval is changed and Empirical CDF is adopted to analyze the estimated parameters. The suggested method is applied to Yongdam dam, Soyanggang dam, Chungju dam and Seomjingang dam basins. As results, the higher $R^2s$ are obtained when the shorter recording interval, the better recorded data quality, and the more rainfall events recorded along with certain rainfall amount is. Moreover, when the total rainfall is higher than the certain amount, $R^2$ is high. Considering the facts found from this study for the low flow analysis, it is possible to estimate the parameters for Tank model properly with the desired confidence level.

Estimation of Areal Reduction Factors for the Youngsan River Basin (영산강유역의 면적우량감소계수 산정)

  • Lee, Jae-Hyung;Koh, Won-Joon;Lee, Yoon-Young;Kim, Dae-Geun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.39 no.10 s.171
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    • pp.813-822
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    • 2006
  • By analyzing the concurrent rainfall data from rainfall gauges positioned in the Youngsan River basin, the areal reduction factors related to the rainfall characteristics of the Youngsan River basin are estimated. The estimated values are compared with the values of the Han River basin, and show that the rate of decrease of the areal reduction factors of the Youngsan River basin are smaller than those of the Han River basin as the basin area is increasing. That is especially true for short-term duration storm events. These findings reveal that the spatial variations in the Youngsan River basin's storms are smaller than the spatial variations of the storms In the Han River basin, due to the size of the two basin areas in addition to the topological characteristics that affect the rainfall distributions.

A Study on the Positive Economic Values of Rain After a Long Drought: for the Rainfall Case of 20~21 April, 2009 (오랜 가뭄 뒤 내린 비에 대한 긍정적 측면의 경제적 가치 연구: 2009년 4월 20~21일 강수 사례 중심으로)

  • Lee, Young-Gon;Kim, Baek-Jo;Cha, Kee-Uk;Park, Gil-Un;Ryoo, Kyong-Sik
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.173-186
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    • 2010
  • The impact of the precipitation has been focused on losses in social and economical sectors. However, as growing the concerns of the future water shortage caused by the climate change, the precipitation should be consider in various views for an effective planning in the water resource management. A precipitation case occurred from 20 to 21 April 2009 was recorded as a welcome rain because it reduced the severe drought continued in Korea from winter season of 2008. In this study, economic values of the event was calculated with positive aspects in various sectors. The estimation is based on four major parts such as a secure of water resources, the improvement of air quality, the decrease of forest fires, and the reduction of the drought impact. The water resources only considered inflow waters into dams and the reservoirs managed by Korean public institutions and their economic values accounts for 5.92 billion won. Decreases of four air pollutants($PM_{10}$, $NO_2$, CO, and $SO_2$) were considered as the positive effects of the rainfall and estimated 175.4 billion won. The preventive effect of the forest fire after the rainfall results in 0.48 billion won. Finally, the rainfall during the drought period is effective to reduce the social costs of 108.65 billion won. Although the economic values estimated in this study explain parts of the positive effects of the precipitation, it can help to develop a comprehensive and systematic valuation system for the whole process of the precipitation. For doing this, various rainfall types should be analyzed in social-economic terms including economics, environments and hydrology.

Development of an Event Rainfall-Runoff Model in Small Watersheds

  • Lee, Sang-Ho;Lee, Kil-Seong
    • Korean Journal of Hydrosciences
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    • v.6
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    • pp.81-98
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    • 1995
  • A linear reservoir rainfall-runoff system was developed as a rainfall-runoff event simulation model. It was achieved from large modification of runoff function method. There are six parameters in the model. Hydrologic losses consist of some quantity of initial loss and some ratio of rainfall intensity followed by initial loss. The model has analytical routing equations. Hooke and Jaeves algorithm was used for model calibration. Parameters were estimated for flood events from '84 to '89 at Seomyeon and Munmak stream gauges, and the trends of major parameters were analyzed. Using the trends, verifications were performed for the flood event in September 1990. Because antecedent rainfalls affect initial loss, future researches are required on such effects. The estimation method of major parameters should also be studied for real-time forecasting.

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A Study on Flood Prediction without Rainfall Data (강우 데이터를 쓰지 않는 홍수예측법에 관한 연구)

  • 김치홍
    • Journal of the Korean Professional Engineers Association
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.1-5
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    • 1985
  • In the flood prediction research, it is pointed out that the difficulty of flood prediction is the frequently experienced overestimation of flood peak. That is caused by the rainfall prediction difficulty and the nonlinearity of hydrological phenomena. Even though the former reason will remain still unsolved, but the latter one can be possibly resolved the method of the AMRA (Auto Regressive Moving Average) model for each runoff component as developed by Dr. Hino and Dr. Hasebe. The principle of the method consists of separating though the numerical filters the total runoff time series into long-term, intermediate and short-term components, or ground water flow, interflow, and surface flow components. As a total system, a hydrological system is a non-linear one. However, once it is separated into two or three subsystems, each subsystem may be treated as a linear system. Also the rainfall components into each subsystem a estimated inversely from the runoff component which is separated from the observed flood. That is why flood prediction can be done without rainfall data. In the prediction of surface flow, the Kalman filter will be applicable but this paper shows only impulse function method.

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