• 제목/요약/키워드: Ensemble learning technique

검색결과 72건 처리시간 0.021초

부도 예측을 위한 앙상블 분류기 개발 (Developing an Ensemble Classifier for Bankruptcy Prediction)

  • 민성환
    • 한국산업정보학회논문지
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    • 제17권7호
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    • pp.139-148
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    • 2012
  • 분류기의 앙상블 학습은 여러 개의 서로 다른 분류기들의 조합을 통해 만들어진다. 앙상블 학습은 기계학습 분야에서 많은 관심을 끌고 있는 중요한 연구주제이며 대부분의 경우에 있어서 앙상블 모형은 개별 기저 분류기보다 더 좋은 성과를 내는 것으로 알려져 있다. 본 연구는 부도 예측 모형의 성능개선에 관한 연구이다. 이를 위해 본 연구에서는 단일 모형으로 그 우수성을 인정받고 있는 SVM을 기저 분류기로 사용하는 앙상블 모형에 대해 고찰하였다. SVM 모형의 성능 개선을 위해 bagging과 random subspace 모형을 부도 예측 문제에 적용해 보았으며 bagging 모형과 random subspace 모형의 성과 개선을 위해 bagging과 random subspace의 통합 모형을 제안하였다. 제안한 모형의 성과를 검증하기 위해 실제 기업의 부도 예측 데이터를 사용하여 실험하였고, 실험 결과 본 연구에서 제안한 새로운 형태의 통합 모형이 가장 좋은 성과를 보임을 알 수 있었다.

Genetic classification of various familial relationships using the stacking ensemble machine learning approaches

  • Su Jin Jeong;Hyo-Jung Lee;Soong Deok Lee;Ji Eun Park;Jae Won Lee
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제31권3호
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    • pp.279-289
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    • 2024
  • Familial searching is a useful technique in a forensic investigation. Using genetic information, it is possible to identify individuals, determine familial relationships, and obtain racial/ethnic information. The total number of shared alleles (TNSA) and likelihood ratio (LR) methods have traditionally been used, and novel data-mining classification methods have recently been applied here as well. However, it is difficult to apply these methods to identify familial relationships above the third degree (e.g., uncle-nephew and first cousins). Therefore, we propose to apply a stacking ensemble machine learning algorithm to improve the accuracy of familial relationship identification. Using real data analysis, we obtain superior relationship identification results when applying meta-classifiers with a stacking algorithm rather than applying traditional TNSA or LR methods and data mining techniques.

스태킹 앙상블 기법을 활용한 고속도로 교통정보 예측모델 개발 및 교차검증에 따른 성능 비교 (Development of Highway Traffic Information Prediction Models Using the Stacking Ensemble Technique Based on Cross-validation)

  • 이요셉;오석진;김예진;박성호;윤일수
    • 한국ITS학회 논문지
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    • 제22권6호
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    • pp.1-16
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    • 2023
  • 정확도가 높은 교통정보 예측은 지능형교통체계(intelligent transport systems, ITS)를 통한 교통 시설 이용자들의 혼잡 경로 회피 안내 등에서 활용되는 중요한 기능이다. 정확한 교통정보예측을 위해 다양한 딥러닝 모델들이 발전되어 왔다. 최근에는 앙상블 기법을 활용하여 다양한 모델들의 장단점을 결합하여 예측 정확도와 안정성을 높이고 있다. 따라서, 본 연구에서는 다양한 딥러닝 모델들을 활용하여 교통정보 예측 모델을 개발하였으며, 개발된 딥러닝 모델들을 스태킹 앙상블(stacking ensemble)하여 성능을 개선하였다. 개별 모델들은 교통량 예측에서 10% 이내의 오차율을, 속도 예측에서 3% 이내의 오차율을 보였다. 앙상블 모델은 교차검증을 수행하지 않았을 때, 타 모델과 비교하여 더욱 높은 정확도를 보였다. 교차검증을 수행한 앙상블 모델은 장기예측에서 타 모델보다 균일한 오차율을 보이는 것으로 나타났다.

Rockfall Source Identification Using a Hybrid Gaussian Mixture-Ensemble Machine Learning Model and LiDAR Data

  • Fanos, Ali Mutar;Pradhan, Biswajeet;Mansor, Shattri;Yusoff, Zainuddin Md;Abdullah, Ahmad Fikri bin;Jung, Hyung-Sup
    • 대한원격탐사학회지
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    • 제35권1호
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    • pp.93-115
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    • 2019
  • The availability of high-resolution laser scanning data and advanced machine learning algorithms has enabled an accurate potential rockfall source identification. However, the presence of other mass movements, such as landslides within the same region of interest, poses additional challenges to this task. Thus, this research presents a method based on an integration of Gaussian mixture model (GMM) and ensemble artificial neural network (bagging ANN [BANN]) for automatic detection of potential rockfall sources at Kinta Valley area, Malaysia. The GMM was utilised to determine slope angle thresholds of various geomorphological units. Different algorithms(ANN, support vector machine [SVM] and k nearest neighbour [kNN]) were individually tested with various ensemble models (bagging, voting and boosting). Grid search method was adopted to optimise the hyperparameters of the investigated base models. The proposed model achieves excellent results with success and prediction accuracies at 95% and 94%, respectively. In addition, this technique has achieved excellent accuracies (ROC = 95%) over other methods used. Moreover, the proposed model has achieved the optimal prediction accuracies (92%) on the basis of testing data, thereby indicating that the model can be generalised and replicated in different regions, and the proposed method can be applied to various landslide studies.

Multi-Time Window Feature Extraction Technique for Anger Detection in Gait Data

  • Beom Kwon;Taegeun Oh
    • 한국컴퓨터정보학회논문지
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    • 제28권4호
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    • pp.41-51
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    • 2023
  • 본 논문에서는 보행자의 걸음걸이로부터 분노 감정 검출을 위한 다중 시간 윈도 특징 추출 기술을 제안한다. 기존의 걸음걸이 기반 감정인식 기술에서는 보행자의 보폭, 한 보폭에 걸리는 시간, 보행 속력, 목과 흉부의 전방 기울기 각도(Forward Tilt Angle)를 계산하고, 전체 구간에 대해서 최솟값, 평균값, 최댓값을 계산해서 이를 특징으로 활용하였다. 하지만 이때 각 특징은 보행 전체 구간에 걸쳐 항상 균일하게 변화가 발생하는 것이 아니라, 때로는 지역적으로 변화가 발생한다. 이에 본 연구에서는 장기부터 중기 그리고 단기까지 즉, 전역적인 특징과 지역적인 특징을 모두 추출할 수 있는 다중 시간 윈도 특징 추출(Multi-Time Window Feature Extraction) 기술을 제안한다. 또한, 제안하는 특징 추출 기술을 통해 각 구간에서 추출된 특징들을 효과적으로 학습할 수 있는 앙상블 모델을 제안한다. 제안하는 앙상블 모델(Ensemble Model)은 복수의 분류기로 구성되며, 각 분류기는 서로 다른 다중 시간 윈도에서 추출된 특징으로 학습된다. 제안하는 특징 추출 기술과 앙상블 모델의 효과를 검증하기 위해 일반인에게 공개된 3차원 걸음걸이 데이터 세트를 사용하여 시험 평가를 수행했다. 그 결과, 4가지 성능 평가지표에 대해서 제안하는 앙상블 모델이 기존의 특징 추출 기술로 학습된 머신러닝(Machine Learning) 모델들과 비교하여 최고의 성능을 달성하는 것을 입증하였다.

적록색맹 모사 영상 데이터를 이용한 딥러닝 기반의 위장군인 객체 인식 성능 향상 (Performance Improvement of a Deep Learning-based Object Recognition using Imitated Red-green Color Blindness of Camouflaged Soldier Images)

  • 최근하
    • 한국군사과학기술학회지
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    • 제23권2호
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    • pp.139-146
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    • 2020
  • The camouflage pattern was difficult to distinguish from the surrounding background, so it was difficult to classify the object and the background image when the color image is used as the training data of deep-learning. In this paper, we proposed a red-green color blindness image transformation method using the principle that people of red-green blindness distinguish green color better than ordinary people. Experimental results show that the camouflage soldier's recognition performance improved by proposed a deep learning model of the ensemble technique using the imitated red-green-blind image data and the original color image data.

Estimation of lightweight aggregate concrete characteristics using a novel stacking ensemble approach

  • Kaloop, Mosbeh R.;Bardhan, Abidhan;Hu, Jong Wan;Abd-Elrahman, Mohamed
    • Advances in nano research
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    • 제13권5호
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    • pp.499-512
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    • 2022
  • This study investigates the efficiency of ensemble machine learning for predicting the lightweight-aggregate concrete (LWC) characteristics. A stacking ensemble (STEN) approach was proposed to estimate the dry density (DD) and 28 days compressive strength (Fc-28) of LWC using two meta-models called random forest regressor (RFR) and extra tree regressor (ETR), and two novel ensemble models called STEN-RFR and STEN-ETR, were constructed. Four standalone machine learning models including artificial neural network, gradient boosting regression, K neighbor regression, and support vector regression were used to compare the performance of the proposed models. For this purpose, a sum of 140 LWC mixtures with 21 influencing parameters for producing LWC with a density less than 1000 kg/m3, were used. Based on the experimental results with multiple performance criteria, it can be concluded that the proposed STEN-ETR model can be used to estimate the DD and Fc-28 of LWC. Moreover, the STEN-ETR approach was found to be a significant technique in prediction DD and Fc-28 of LWC with minimal prediction error. In the validation phase, the accuracy of the proposed STEN-ETR model in predicting DD and Fc-28 was found to be 96.79% and 81.50%, respectively. In addition, the significance of cement, water-cement ratio, silica fume, and aggregate with expanded glass variables is efficient in modeling DD and Fc-28 of LWC.

An Ensemble Cascading Extremely Randomized Trees Framework for Short-Term Traffic Flow Prediction

  • Zhang, Fan;Bai, Jing;Li, Xiaoyu;Pei, Changxing;Havyarimana, Vincent
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • 제13권4호
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    • pp.1975-1988
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    • 2019
  • Short-term traffic flow prediction plays an important role in intelligent transportation systems (ITS) in areas such as transportation management, traffic control and guidance. For short-term traffic flow regression predictions, the main challenge stems from the non-stationary property of traffic flow data. In this paper, we design an ensemble cascading prediction framework based on extremely randomized trees (extra-trees) using a boosting technique called EET to predict the short-term traffic flow under non-stationary environments. Extra-trees is a tree-based ensemble method. It essentially consists of strongly randomizing both the attribute and cut-point choices while splitting a tree node. This mechanism reduces the variance of the model and is, therefore, more suitable for traffic flow regression prediction in non-stationary environments. Moreover, the extra-trees algorithm uses boosting ensemble technique averaging to improve the predictive accuracy and control overfitting. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first time that extra-trees have been used as fundamental building blocks in boosting committee machines. The proposed approach involves predicting 5 min in advance using real-time traffic flow data in the context of inherently considering temporal and spatial correlations. Experiments demonstrate that the proposed method achieves higher accuracy and lower variance and computational complexity when compared to the existing methods.

Enhancing prediction accuracy of concrete compressive strength using stacking ensemble machine learning

  • Yunpeng Zhao;Dimitrios Goulias;Setare Saremi
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • 제32권3호
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    • pp.233-246
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    • 2023
  • Accurate prediction of concrete compressive strength can minimize the need for extensive, time-consuming, and costly mixture optimization testing and analysis. This study attempts to enhance the prediction accuracy of compressive strength using stacking ensemble machine learning (ML) with feature engineering techniques. Seven alternative ML models of increasing complexity were implemented and compared, including linear regression, SVM, decision tree, multiple layer perceptron, random forest, Xgboost and Adaboost. To further improve the prediction accuracy, a ML pipeline was proposed in which the feature engineering technique was implemented, and a two-layer stacked model was developed. The k-fold cross-validation approach was employed to optimize model parameters and train the stacked model. The stacked model showed superior performance in predicting concrete compressive strength with a correlation of determination (R2) of 0.985. Feature (i.e., variable) importance was determined to demonstrate how useful the synthetic features are in prediction and provide better interpretability of the data and the model. The methodology in this study promotes a more thorough assessment of alternative ML algorithms and rather than focusing on any single ML model type for concrete compressive strength prediction.

머신러닝을 이용한 이러닝 학습자 집중도 평가 연구 (A Study on Evaluation of e-learners' Concentration by using Machine Learning)

  • 정영상;주민성;조남욱
    • 디지털산업정보학회논문지
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    • 제18권4호
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    • pp.67-75
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    • 2022
  • Recently, e-learning has been attracting significant attention due to COVID-19. However, while e-learning has many advantages, it has disadvantages as well. One of the main disadvantages of e-learning is that it is difficult for teachers to continuously and systematically monitor learners. Although services such as personalized e-learning are provided to compensate for the shortcoming, systematic monitoring of learners' concentration is insufficient. This study suggests a method to evaluate the learner's concentration by applying machine learning techniques. In this study, emotion and gaze data were extracted from 184 videos of 92 participants. First, the learners' concentration was labeled by experts. Then, statistical-based status indicators were preprocessed from the data. Random Forests (RF), Support Vector Machines (SVMs), Multilayer Perceptron (MLP), and an ensemble model have been used in the experiment. Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) has also been used for comparison. As a result, it was possible to predict e-learners' concentration with an accuracy of 90.54%. This study is expected to improve learners' immersion by providing a customized educational curriculum according to the learner's concentration level.