• Title/Summary/Keyword: Ensemble Techniques

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Comparing the Performance of 17 Machine Learning Models in Predicting Human Population Growth of Countries

  • Otoom, Mohammad Mahmood
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.220-225
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    • 2021
  • Human population growth rate is an important parameter for real-world planning. Common approaches rely upon fixed parameters like human population, mortality rate, fertility rate, which is collected historically to determine the region's population growth rate. Literature does not provide a solution for areas with no historical knowledge. In such areas, machine learning can solve the problem, but a multitude of machine learning algorithm makes it difficult to determine the best approach. Further, the missing feature is a common real-world problem. Thus, it is essential to compare and select the machine learning techniques which provide the best and most robust in the presence of missing features. This study compares 17 machine learning techniques (base learners and ensemble learners) performance in predicting the human population growth rate of the country. Among the 17 machine learning techniques, random forest outperformed all the other techniques both in predictive performance and robustness towards missing features. Thus, the study successfully demonstrates and compares machine learning techniques to predict the human population growth rate in settings where historical data and feature information is not available. Further, the study provides the best machine learning algorithm for performing population growth rate prediction.

Product Recommender Systems using Multi-Model Ensemble Techniques (다중모형조합기법을 이용한 상품추천시스템)

  • Lee, Yeonjeong;Kim, Kyoung-Jae
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.39-54
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    • 2013
  • Recent explosive increase of electronic commerce provides many advantageous purchase opportunities to customers. In this situation, customers who do not have enough knowledge about their purchases, may accept product recommendations. Product recommender systems automatically reflect user's preference and provide recommendation list to the users. Thus, product recommender system in online shopping store has been known as one of the most popular tools for one-to-one marketing. However, recommender systems which do not properly reflect user's preference cause user's disappointment and waste of time. In this study, we propose a novel recommender system which uses data mining and multi-model ensemble techniques to enhance the recommendation performance through reflecting the precise user's preference. The research data is collected from the real-world online shopping store, which deals products from famous art galleries and museums in Korea. The data initially contain 5759 transaction data, but finally remain 3167 transaction data after deletion of null data. In this study, we transform the categorical variables into dummy variables and exclude outlier data. The proposed model consists of two steps. The first step predicts customers who have high likelihood to purchase products in the online shopping store. In this step, we first use logistic regression, decision trees, and artificial neural networks to predict customers who have high likelihood to purchase products in each product group. We perform above data mining techniques using SAS E-Miner software. In this study, we partition datasets into two sets as modeling and validation sets for the logistic regression and decision trees. We also partition datasets into three sets as training, test, and validation sets for the artificial neural network model. The validation dataset is equal for the all experiments. Then we composite the results of each predictor using the multi-model ensemble techniques such as bagging and bumping. Bagging is the abbreviation of "Bootstrap Aggregation" and it composite outputs from several machine learning techniques for raising the performance and stability of prediction or classification. This technique is special form of the averaging method. Bumping is the abbreviation of "Bootstrap Umbrella of Model Parameter," and it only considers the model which has the lowest error value. The results show that bumping outperforms bagging and the other predictors except for "Poster" product group. For the "Poster" product group, artificial neural network model performs better than the other models. In the second step, we use the market basket analysis to extract association rules for co-purchased products. We can extract thirty one association rules according to values of Lift, Support, and Confidence measure. We set the minimum transaction frequency to support associations as 5%, maximum number of items in an association as 4, and minimum confidence for rule generation as 10%. This study also excludes the extracted association rules below 1 of lift value. We finally get fifteen association rules by excluding duplicate rules. Among the fifteen association rules, eleven rules contain association between products in "Office Supplies" product group, one rules include the association between "Office Supplies" and "Fashion" product groups, and other three rules contain association between "Office Supplies" and "Home Decoration" product groups. Finally, the proposed product recommender systems provides list of recommendations to the proper customers. We test the usability of the proposed system by using prototype and real-world transaction and profile data. For this end, we construct the prototype system by using the ASP, Java Script and Microsoft Access. In addition, we survey about user satisfaction for the recommended product list from the proposed system and the randomly selected product lists. The participants for the survey are 173 persons who use MSN Messenger, Daum Caf$\acute{e}$, and P2P services. We evaluate the user satisfaction using five-scale Likert measure. This study also performs "Paired Sample T-test" for the results of the survey. The results show that the proposed model outperforms the random selection model with 1% statistical significance level. It means that the users satisfied the recommended product list significantly. The results also show that the proposed system may be useful in real-world online shopping store.

SVM Ensemble Techniques for Class Imbalance Problem (데이터 불균형 문제에서의 SVM 앙상블 기법의 적용)

  • 강필성;이형주;조성준
    • Proceedings of the Korean Information Science Society Conference
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    • 2004.10b
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    • pp.706-708
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    • 2004
  • 대부분의 기계학습 알고리즘은 학습 데이터에서 각각의 범주간의 비율이 동일하거나 비슷하다는 가정 하에 문제를 풀게 된다. 그러나 실제 문제에서는 그 비율이 동일하지 않으며 매우 큰 차이를 보이기도 하는데, 이는 분류 성능을 저하시키는 요인이기도 하다 따라서 본 논문에서는 이러한 데이터의 불균형 문제를 해소하는 방안으로 SVM 앙상블 기법을 적용한 샘플링을 제안하고 이를 실제 불균형 데이터에 적용함으로써 제안된 방법이 기존의 방법들에 비해 향상된 성능을 나타내는 것을 보였다.

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NMR Tools to Decipher Dynamic Structure of RNA

  • Lee, Janghyun;Choi, Byong-Seok
    • Journal of the Korean Magnetic Resonance Society
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.55-62
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    • 2017
  • It is now well established that RNAs exhibit fundamental roles in regulating cellular processes. Many of these RNAs do not exist in a single conformation. Rather, they undergo dynamic transitions among many different conformations to mediate critical interactions with other biomolecules such as proteins, RNAs, DNAs, or small molecules. Here, we briefly review NMR techniques that describe the dynamic behavior of RNA by determining structural, kinetic, and thermodynamic properties.

Multi-Time Window Feature Extraction Technique for Anger Detection in Gait Data

  • Beom Kwon;Taegeun Oh
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.41-51
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    • 2023
  • In this paper, we propose a technique of multi-time window feature extraction for anger detection in gait data. In the previous gait-based emotion recognition methods, the pedestrian's stride, time taken for one stride, walking speed, and forward tilt angles of the neck and thorax are calculated. Then, minimum, mean, and maximum values are calculated for the entire interval to use them as features. However, each feature does not always change uniformly over the entire interval but sometimes changes locally. Therefore, we propose a multi-time window feature extraction technique that can extract both global and local features, from long-term to short-term. In addition, we also propose an ensemble model that consists of multiple classifiers. Each classifier is trained with features extracted from different multi-time windows. To verify the effectiveness of the proposed feature extraction technique and ensemble model, a public three-dimensional gait dataset was used. The simulation results demonstrate that the proposed ensemble model achieves the best performance compared to machine learning models trained with existing feature extraction techniques for four performance evaluation metrics.

Development of Deep Learning Based Ensemble Land Cover Segmentation Algorithm Using Drone Aerial Images (드론 항공영상을 이용한 딥러닝 기반 앙상블 토지 피복 분할 알고리즘 개발)

  • Hae-Gwang Park;Seung-Ki Baek;Seung Hyun Jeong
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.40 no.1
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    • pp.71-80
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    • 2024
  • In this study, a proposed ensemble learning technique aims to enhance the semantic segmentation performance of images captured by Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs). With the increasing use of UAVs in fields such as urban planning, there has been active development of techniques utilizing deep learning segmentation methods for land cover segmentation. The study suggests a method that utilizes prominent segmentation models, namely U-Net, DeepLabV3, and Fully Convolutional Network (FCN), to improve segmentation prediction performance. The proposed approach integrates training loss, validation accuracy, and class score of the three segmentation models to enhance overall prediction performance. The method was applied and evaluated on a land cover segmentation problem involving seven classes: buildings,roads, parking lots, fields, trees, empty spaces, and areas with unspecified labels, using images captured by UAVs. The performance of the ensemble model was evaluated by mean Intersection over Union (mIoU), and the results of comparing the proposed ensemble model with the three existing segmentation methods showed that mIoU performance was improved. Consequently, the study confirms that the proposed technique can enhance the performance of semantic segmentation models.

Dynamic Recommendation System of Web Information Using Ensemble Support Vector Machine and Hybrid SOM (앙상블 Support Vector Machine과 하이브리드 SOM을 이용한 동적 웹 정보 추천 시스템)

  • Yoon, Kyung-Bae;Choi, Jun-Hyeog
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.433-438
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    • 2003
  • Recently, some studies of a web-based information recommendation technique which provides users with the most necessary information through websites like a web-based shopping mall have been conducted vigorously. In most cases of web information recommendation techniques which rely on a user profile and a specific feedback from users, they require accurate and diverse profile information of users. However, in reality, it is quite difficult to acquire this related information. This paper is aimed to suggest an information prediction technique for a web information service without depending on the users'specific feedback and profile. To achieve this goal, this study is to design and implement a Dynamic Web Information Prediction System which can recommend the most useful and necessary information to users from a large volume of web data by designing and embodying Ensemble Support Vector Machine and hybrid SOM algorithm and eliminating the scarcity problem of web log data.

Risk Prediction and Analysis of Building Fires -Based on Property Damage and Occurrence of Fires- (건물별 화재 위험도 예측 및 분석: 재산 피해액과 화재 발생 여부를 바탕으로)

  • Lee, Ina;Oh, Hyung-Rok;Lee, Zoonky
    • The Journal of Bigdata
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.133-144
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    • 2021
  • This paper derives the fire risk of buildings in Seoul through the prediction of property damage and the occurrence of fires. This study differs from prior research in that it utilizes variables that include not only a building's characteristics but also its affiliated administrative area as well as the accessibility of nearby fire-fighting facilities. We use Ensemble Voting techniques to merge different machine learning algorithms to predict property damage and fire occurrence, and to extract feature importance to produce fire risk. Fire risk prediction was made on 300 buildings in Seoul utilizing the established model, and it has been derived that with buildings at Level 1 for fire risks, there were a high number of households occupying the building, and the buildings had many factors that could contribute to increasing the size of the fire, including the lack of nearby fire-fighting facilities as well as the far location of the 119 Safety Center. On the other hand, in the case of Level 5 buildings, the number of buildings and businesses is large, but the 119 Safety Center in charge are located closest to the building, which can properly respond to fire.

Operating Voltage Prediction in Mobile Semiconductor Manufacturing Process Using Machine Learning (기계학습을 활용한 모바일 반도체 제조 공정에서 동작 전압 예측)

  • Inhwan Baek;Seungwoo Jang;Kwangsu Kim
    • Journal of the Semiconductor & Display Technology
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.124-128
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    • 2023
  • Semiconductor engineers have long sought to enhance the energy efficiency of mobile semiconductors by reducing their voltage. During the final stages of the semiconductor manufacturing process, the screening and evaluation of voltage is crucial. However, determining the optimal test start voltage presents a significant challenge as it can increase testing time. In the semiconductor manufacturing process, a wealth of test element group information is collected. If this information can be controlled to predict the test voltage, it could lead to a reduction in testing time and increase the probability of identifying the optimal voltage. To achieve this, this paper is exploring machine learning techniques, such as linear regression and ensemble models, that can leverage large amounts of information for voltage prediction. The outcomes of these machine learning methods not only demonstrate high consistency but can also be used for feature engineering to enhance accuracy in future processes.

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A Study on the Prediction of Cabbage Price Using Ensemble Voting Techniques (앙상블 Voting 기법을 활용한 배추 가격 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Chang-Min;Song, Sung-Kwang;Chung, Sung-Wook
    • Journal of Convergence for Information Technology
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2022
  • Vegetables such as cabbage are greatly affected by natural disasters, so price fluctuations increase due to disasters such as heavy rain and disease, which affects the farm economy. Various efforts have been made to predict the price of agricultural products to solve this problem, but it is difficult to predict extreme price prediction fluctuations. In this study, cabbage prices were analyzed using the ensemble Voting technique, a method of determining the final prediction results through various classifiers by combining a single classifier. In addition, the results were compared with LSTM, a time series analysis method, and XGBoost and RandomForest, a boosting technique. Daily data was used for price data, and weather information and price index that affect cabbage prices were used. As a result of the study, the RMSE value showing the difference between the actual value and the predicted value is about 236. It is expected that this study can be used to select other time series analysis research models such as predicting agricultural product prices