• 제목/요약/키워드: Energy Consumption Prediction

검색결과 193건 처리시간 0.03초

자율학습기반의 에너지 효율적인 클러스터 관리에서의 성능 개선 (Performance Improvement of an Energy Efficient Cluster Management Based on Autonomous Learning)

  • 조성철;정규식
    • 정보처리학회논문지:컴퓨터 및 통신 시스템
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    • 제4권11호
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    • pp.369-382
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    • 2015
  • 에너지 절감형 서버 클러스터에서는 에너지 절감을 고려하지 않는 기존 서버 클러스터에 비해 서비스 품질을 보장하면서 전력소비를 절감하는 것을 목표로 하며, 현재의 부하를 처리하는 데 필요한 최소수의 서버들만 ON 하도록 고정 주기 또는 가변 주기로 서버들의 전원모드를 조정한다. 이에 대한 기존 연구들은 전력을 절감하거나 열을 낮추는데 노력해왔지만 에너지 효율성을 잘 고려하지 못했다. 본 논문에서는 기존 자율학습기반의 서버 전원 모드 제어 방법의 단위전력당 성능과 QoS를 높이기 위한 에너지 효율적인 클러스터 관리기법을 제안한다. 제안 방법은 다중임계기반의 자율학습 방법과 전력소모 예측 방법을 결합한 서버 전원 모드 제어이다. 일반적인 부하 상황에서는 다중임계 학습기반의 서버 전원 모드 제어를 적용하고, 급변하는 부하 상황에서는 예측기반의 서버 전원 모드 제어가 적용된다. 일반적 상황과 급변하는 상황의 구별은 현재의 사용자 요청과 관찰된 과거 몇 분의 사용자 요청의 비율에 따라 이루어진다. 또한, 동적종료 기법을 추가로 적용해 서버가 OFF 하는 데 소요되는 시간을 단축한다. 제안 방법은 16대 서버로 구성된 클러스터 환경에서 3가지 부하 패턴을 이용하여 실험을 수행한다. 다중임계 학습, 예측, 동적종료를 함께 이용한 실험에서 단위전력당 성능(유효응답 수)과 표준화된 QoS 측면에서 가장 우수한 결과를 보여준다. 제안하는 방법과 파라미터 로드된 단일임계 학습을 비교할 때 뱅킹 부하패턴, 실제 부하패턴, 가상 부하패턴에서 단위전력당 유효응답 수가 각각 1.66%, 2.9%, 3.84% 향상되고, QoS 관점에서는 각각 0.45%, 1.33%, 8.82% 향상되었다.

남부지역 주거건물의 외피단열변화에 따른 에너지소비량 예측 (Prediction of the Amount of Energy Consumption by Variation in Envelope Insulation on a Detached House in Southern Part of Korea)

  • 문진우;한승훈;오세규
    • 한국주거학회논문집
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    • 제22권1호
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    • pp.115-122
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    • 2011
  • This study aimed at quantifying the impact of envelope insulation on energy consumption for thermal controls in residential buildings in southern part of Korea. A series of parametric simulations for a range of R-values of walls, roof, floor, and windows were computationally conducted for a prototypical Korean detached house. Analysis revealed that the total amount of heat gain was larger than that of heat loss, while the amount of energy for cooling was smaller than that for heating due to the difference of system efficiency; the envelope heat transfer was more significant for the heat loss, thus, the increase of the envelope insulation was more effective to reduce heating load; and there were certain levels of envelope insulation after which the energy saving effect was not significant. These findings are expected to be a fundamental database for the decision of proper insulation level in Korean residential buildings.

정규 확률과정을 사용한 공조 시스템의 전력 소모량 예측에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Prediction of Power Consumption in the Air-Conditioning System by Using the Gaussian Process)

  • 이창용;송근수;김진호
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제39권1호
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    • pp.64-72
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    • 2016
  • In this paper, we utilize a Gaussian process to predict the power consumption in the air-conditioning system. As the power consumption in the air-conditioning system takes a form of a time-series and the prediction of the power consumption becomes very important from the perspective of the efficient energy management, it is worth to investigate the time-series model for the prediction of the power consumption. To this end, we apply the Gaussian process to predict the power consumption, in which the Gaussian process provides a prior probability to every possible function and higher probabilities are given to functions that are more likely consistent with the empirical data. We also discuss how to estimate the hyper-parameters, which are parameters in the covariance function of the Gaussian process model. We estimated the hyper-parameters with two different methods (marginal likelihood and leave-one-out cross validation) and obtained a model that pertinently describes the data and the results are more or less independent of the estimation method of hyper-parameters. We validated the prediction results by the error analysis of the mean relative error and the mean absolute error. The mean relative error analysis showed that about 3.4% of the predicted value came from the error, and the mean absolute error analysis confirmed that the error in within the standard deviation of the predicted value. We also adopt the non-parametric Wilcoxon's sign-rank test to assess the fitness of the proposed model and found that the null hypothesis of uniformity was accepted under the significance level of 5%. These results can be applied to a more elaborate control of the power consumption in the air-conditioning system.

전기철도차량의 주행 중 에너지 소비 특성 예측 및 분석 연구 (Prediction and Analysis of the Energy Consumption Considering the Electric Railway Vehicle's Driving)

  • 박찬배;이병송;이형우
    • 전기학회논문지
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    • 제61권5호
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    • pp.777-781
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    • 2012
  • In this paper, an electrical power simulation program was developed to predict the energy consumption of the electrical railway propulsion system, which considered the actual operating conditions of the electric railway vehicles. The developed program was designed to predictable the energy consumption during a virtual driving in the actual route of the virtual railway vehicles equipped with a propulsion system consisting of power conversion equipments and traction motors. In addition, the accuracy verification of the electrical power simulation program for a propulsion system was performed by using a real power consumption data, which was measured during the driving of the railway vehicles in the Gyeongui Line. In conclusion, the electrical power simulation program for a propulsion system was validated throughout a comparative investigation between the simulated values and the experimental values and the energy consumption characteristics of electric railway vehicles on the existing route or the new route will be possible to predict throughout the virtual simulation considering the driving conditions of the electric railway vehicles.

Influencing factors and prediction of carbon dioxide emissions using factor analysis and optimized least squares support vector machine

  • Wei, Siwei;Wang, Ting;Li, Yanbin
    • Environmental Engineering Research
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    • 제22권2호
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    • pp.175-185
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    • 2017
  • As the energy and environmental problems are increasingly severe, researches about carbon dioxide emissions has aroused widespread concern. The accurate prediction of carbon dioxide emissions is essential for carbon emissions controlling. In this paper, we analyze the relationship between carbon dioxide emissions and influencing factors in a comprehensive way through correlation analysis and regression analysis, achieving the effective screening of key factors from 16 preliminary selected factors including GDP, total population, total energy consumption, power generation, steel production coal consumption, private owned automobile quantity, etc. Then fruit fly algorithm is used to optimize the parameters of least squares support vector machine. And the optimized model is used for prediction, overcoming the blindness of parameter selection in least squares support vector machine and maximizing the training speed and global searching ability accordingly. The results show that the prediction accuracy of carbon dioxide emissions is improved effectively. Besides, we conclude economic and environmental policy implications on the basis of analysis and calculation.

주성분 분석기법을 이용한 선박의 연료소비 예측에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Prediction of Fuel Consumption of a Ship Using the Principal Component Analysis)

  • 김영롱;김구종;박준범
    • 한국항해항만학회지
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    • 제43권6호
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    • pp.335-343
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    • 2019
  • 최근 선박의 배기가스 규제가 강화되면서 연료소비량을 저감하기 위한 많은 방안들이 검토되고 있다. 그중에서도 선박으로부터 수집한 데이터를 활용하여 연료소모량을 예측하는 기계학습 모델을 개발하고자 하는 연구가 활발히 수행되고 있다. 하지만 많은 연구들이 학습모델의 주요 변수 선정이나 수집데이터의 처리 방법에 대한 고려가 미흡하였으며, 무분별한 데이터의 활용은 변수 간의 다중공선성 문제를 야기할 수도 있다. 본 연구에서는 이러한 문제점을 해결하기 위하여 주성분 분석을 이용하여 선박의 연료소비를 예측하는 방법을 제시하였다. 13K TEU 컨테이너 선박의 운항데이터에 주성분 분석을 수행하였으며, 추출한 주성분으로 회귀분석을 수행하여 연료소비 예측모델을 구현하였다. 평가용 데이터에 대한 모델의 설명력은 82.99%이었으며, 이러한 예측모델은 항해 계획 수립 시 운항자의 의사결정을 지원하고 항해 중 에너지 효율적인 운항상태 모니터링에 기여할 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

Energy Use Prediction Model in Digital Twin

  • Wang, Jihwan;Jin, Chengquan;Lee, Yeongchan;Lee, Sanghoon;Hyun, Changtaek
    • 국제학술발표논문집
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    • The 9th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • pp.1256-1263
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    • 2022
  • With the advent of the Fourth Industrial Revolution, the amount of energy used in buildings has been increasing due to changes in the energy use structure caused by the massive spread of information-oriented equipment, climate change and greenhouse gas emissions. For the efficient use of energy, it is necessary to have a plan that can predict and reduce the amount of energy use according to the type of energy source and the use of buildings. To address such issues, this study presents a model embedded in a digital twin that predicts energy use in buildings. The digital twin is a system that can support a solution of urban problems through the process of simulations and analyses based on the data collected via sensors in real-time. To develop the energy use prediction model, energy-related data such as actual room use, power use and gas use were collected. Factors that significantly affect energy use were identified through a correlation analysis and multiple regression analysis based on the collected data. The proof-of-concept prototype was developed with an exhibition facility for performance evaluation and validation. The test results confirm that the error rate of the energy consumption prediction model decreases, and the prediction performance improves as the data is accumulated by comparing the error rates of the model. The energy use prediction model thus predicts future energy use and supports formulating a systematic energy management plan in consideration of characteristics of building spaces such as the purpose and the occupancy time of each room. It is suggested to collect and analyze data from other facilities in the future to develop a general-purpose energy use prediction model.

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A Prediction-based Energy-conserving Approximate Storage and Query Processing Schema in Object-Tracking Sensor Networks

  • Xie, Yi;Xiao, Weidong;Tang, Daquan;Tang, Jiuyang;Tang, Guoming
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • 제5권5호
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    • pp.909-937
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    • 2011
  • Energy efficiency is one of the most critical issues in the design of wireless sensor networks. In object-tracking sensor networks, the data storage and query processing should be energy-conserving by decreasing the message complexity. In this paper, a Prediction-based Energy-conserving Approximate StoragE schema (P-EASE) is proposed, which can reduce the query error of EASE by changing its approximate area and adopting predicting model without increasing the cost. In addition, focusing on reducing the unnecessary querying messages, P-EASE enables an optimal query algorithm to taking into consideration to query the proper storage node, i.e., the nearer storage node of the centric storage node and local storage node. The theoretical analysis illuminates the correctness and efficiency of the P-EASE. Simulation experiments are conducted under semi-random walk and random waypoint mobility. Compared to EASE, P-EASE performs better at the query error, message complexity, total energy consumption and hotspot energy consumption. Results have shown that P-EASE is more energy-conserving and has higher location precision than EASE.

GRU기반 전력사용량 예측을 적용한 스마트 미터기 구현 (Implementation of Smart Meter Applying Power Consumption Prediction Based on GRU Model)

  • 이지영;선영규;이선민;김수현;김영규;이원섭;심이삭;김진영
    • 한국인터넷방송통신학회논문지
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    • 제19권5호
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    • pp.93-99
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    • 2019
  • 본 논문에서는 효율적 에너지 관리를 위해 인공 신경망 중 하나인 GRU 모델을 사용하여 전력사용량을 예측하고 예측된 전력사용량과 실제 전력사용량의 비교를 통해 부하를 자동 제어 하는 스마트 미터기를 제안한다. 제안한 스마트 미터기를 통해 GRU 모델을 학습시키기 위해 필요한 전력사용량 데이터를 수집했다. 구현된 스마트 미터기가 전력사용량 자동측정 및 실시간 관찰 기능과 전력사용량 예측을 통한 부하 제어 기능을 가지고 있음을 보여준다. 성능평가 지표 중 하나인 Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) 값에 약 20%의 마진 값을 이용하여 부하 자동 제어를 위한 기준 값으로 설정했다. 부하 자동 제어 기능을 가진 스마트 미터기로 인해 에너지 관리의 효율성이 증대되는 것을 확인하였다.

Impact of Hull Condition and Propeller Surface Maintenance on Fuel Efficiency of Ocean-Going Vessels

  • Tien Anh Tran;Do Kyun Kim
    • 한국해양공학회지
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    • 제37권5호
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    • pp.181-189
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    • 2023
  • The fuel consumption of marine diesel engines holds paramount importance in contemporary maritime transportation and shapes energy efficiency strategies of ocean-going vessels. Nonetheless, a noticeable gap in knowledge prevails concerning the influence of ship hull conditions and propeller roughness on fuel consumption. This study bridges this gap by utilizing artificial intelligence techniques in Matlab, particularly convolutional neural networks (CNNs) to comprehensively investigate these factors. We propose a time-series prediction model that was built on numerical simulations and aimed at forecasting ship hull and propeller conditions. The model's accuracy was validated through a meticulous comparison of predictions with actual ship-hull and propeller conditions. Furthermore, we executed a comparative analysis juxtaposing predictive outcomes with navigational environmental factors encompassing wind speed, wave height, and ship loading conditions by the fuzzy clustering method. This research's significance lies in its pivotal role as a foundation for fostering a more intricate understanding of energy consumption within the realm of maritime transport.