• Title/Summary/Keyword: Economic threshold

Search Result 165, Processing Time 0.026 seconds

Anomaly Detection in Livestock Environmental Time Series Data Using LSTM Autoencoders: A Comparison of Performance Based on Threshold Settings (LSTM 오토인코더를 활용한 축산 환경 시계열 데이터의 이상치 탐지: 경계값 설정에 따른 성능 비교)

  • Se Yeon Chung;Sang Cheol Kim
    • Smart Media Journal
    • /
    • v.13 no.4
    • /
    • pp.48-56
    • /
    • 2024
  • In the livestock industry, detecting environmental outliers and predicting data are crucial tasks. Outliers in livestock environment data, typically gathered through time-series methods, can signal rapid changes in the environment and potential unexpected epidemics. Prompt detection and response to these outliers are essential to minimize stress in livestock and reduce economic losses for farmers by early detection of epidemic conditions. This study employs two methods to experiment and compare performances in setting thresholds that define outliers in livestock environment data outlier detection. The first method is an outlier detection using Mean Squared Error (MSE), and the second is an outlier detection using a Dynamic Threshold, which analyzes variability against the average value of previous data to identify outliers. The MSE-based method demonstrated a 94.98% accuracy rate, while the Dynamic Threshold method, which uses standard deviation, showed superior performance with 99.66% accuracy.

Geochemical Exploration for the Bougouni Area in Mali (말리 부구니 지역에 대한 지화학탐사)

  • Kim, In-Joon
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
    • /
    • v.41 no.5
    • /
    • pp.563-575
    • /
    • 2008
  • The ore depositional and geochemical exploration on Bougouni area in Mali, central-western Africa covering $2,000\;Km^2$ was conducted for determining the detailed survey area. According to the results of this exploration, the highly potential area for the zinc-tin-gold-silver mineralization was found in Kolani and Riarako areas. The contents of zinc in heavy sand collected in the stream sediments range from 14 to 8,600 ppm, while the mean values of zinc in this area are 543 ppm with threshold($x+2{\sigma}$) of zinc anomalies being 1,000 ppm in Bougouni area. Generally zinc anomalies are associated with the tin and molybdenum anomalies and hence the anomalous area was selected for the detailed survey area for tracing the primary zinc and precious ore deposits related to these anomalies in following project.

The Impact of Globalization on CO2 Emissions in Malaysia

  • CHUAH, Soo Cheng;CHEAM, Chai Li;SULAIMAN, Saliza
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
    • /
    • v.9 no.5
    • /
    • pp.295-303
    • /
    • 2022
  • This study investigates the impact of globalization, coal consumption, and economic growth on CO2 emissions in Malaysia by applying the Kuznets Environmental Curve model. The study employed the Autoregressive Distributed Lag modeling technique on time series data over the period of 1970-2018 to determine the short and long-run relationship between CO2 emissions and a number of variables, including globalization, coal consumption, and economic growth. The results show that globalization increase CO2 emissions in both the short and long run in Malaysia. Furthermore, the results reveal that economic growth and coal consumption degrade the environmental quality by accelerating the CO2 emissions in the short-run and long run. As a result, the findings validate the Kuznets Environmental Curve hypothesis of an inverted U-shaped relationship between economic growth and CO2 emissions in the long run for Malaysia. The findings of this study suggest that higher globalization levels and usage of coal consumption degrade the environmental quality in Malaysia. The findings also indicate the effect of economic growth on environmental degradation is positive at the initial stage but improves after the economy achieves a threshold level of income per capita in the economic development process with an inverted U-shaped pattern in the long run.

Economic Threshold for the Diamondback Moth (Plutella xylostella L., Lepidoptera: Plutellidae) on Leaf Broccoli (Brassica oleracea var. botrytis italiana) (잎브로콜리에서 배추좀나방 요방제 수준 설정)

  • Choi, Seon Wu;Lim, Ju Rak;Kim, Ju-Hee;Lee, Gong-Jun;Moon, Young-Hun;Cheong, Seong-Soo;Lee, Gi-Kwon
    • Korean journal of applied entomology
    • /
    • v.54 no.1
    • /
    • pp.1-6
    • /
    • 2015
  • This study was conducted to estimate the economic injury level (EIL) to leaf broccoli (leaf vegetable) by the diamondback moth (Plutella xylostella L.) in 2007 and obtain basic data for pest management. To investigate the relationship between initial density of diamondback moth larvae and broccoli leaf yield, experimental plots with five treatments (0, 0.5, 1.0, 1.5 and 2.0 larvae per plant) as initial density were established. We inoculated larvae on cheesecloth covering to survey changes in larval density. When grown for consumption, leaves of broccoli are harvested in periods. High levels of larvae were associated with significant reductions in leaf yield. There were 0%, 15%, 35%, 42%, 44% yield reductions due to a density of 0, 0.5, 1.0, 1.5, 2.0 diamond back moth larvae per plant, respectively, 25 days after larva inoculation. The regression equation used to predict leaf yield based on the number of initial larvae per plant was y = 1636-394x($R^2=0.79^{***}$>). EIL of the diamondback moth on leaf broccoli was 2~3 larvae per 10 plants for a damage level of 5%. The economic threshold was 1~2 larvae per 10 plants. Thus, diamondback moth management should be initiated when 1~2 larvae appear on 10 plants.

Studies on the Effects of the Black-tipped Sawfly, Acantholyda posticalis posticalis Matsumura, on Cone Formation and Cone and Seed Production of Korean White Pine, Pinus koraiensis Siebold et Zuccarini (잣나무넓적잎벌 피해(被害)가 잣나무구과형성(毬果形成)과 구과(毬果) 및 종자생산량(種字生產量)에 미치는 영향(影響)에 관(關)한 연구(硏究))

  • Chung, Sang Bae;Shin, Shang Chul
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
    • /
    • v.83 no.4
    • /
    • pp.498-504
    • /
    • 1994
  • The damage by the black-tipped sawfly, Acantholyda posticalis posticalis Matsumura, has been incheasing at several locations in central part of the Korean peninsula. This study was undertaken at selected plots in locality of Kapyung-gun. Kyunggi Province from 1984 through 1987. The purpose of this study was to provide basic information for integrated control of this pest and to determine the economic threshold by investigating the pest-host interactions with special reference to damage analysis. The results obtained were as follows ; 1. One year old cone formation began to be reduced when 30-40% of the needles were destroyed. With 70% of defoliation, few cones were produced. 2. Number of two year old cone formation and amount of cones began to be reduced when 61-70% of the needles were destroyed ; economic threshold of the defoliation rate retarding the seed production was 51%. 3. Growth of the trees was significantly reduced when more than 50% of the needles were destroyed, and cone production began to be retarded at 30-40% of defoliation. Therefore, it was determined that the economic thresholds requiring the control practices to keep normal tree growth and cone production from being reduced were 50% and 30%, respectively.

  • PDF

Economic Injury Level of Mamestra brassicae L. (Lepidoptera: Noctuidae) on Early Stage of Cabbage (Brassica oleracea L. var capitata L.) (양배추에서 생육초기 도둑나방의 경제적피해수준 설정)

  • Kang, Taek-Jun;Jeon, Heung-Yong;Kim, Hyeong-Hwan;Yang, Chang-Yeol;Kim, Dong-Soon
    • Korean journal of applied entomology
    • /
    • v.48 no.2
    • /
    • pp.237-243
    • /
    • 2009
  • This study was conducted to develop economic injury level (ElL) and economic threshold (ET) of Cabbage armyworm, Mamestra brassicae L. on cabbage (Brassica oleracea L. var). The changes of cabbage biomass and M. brassicae density were investigated after introduction of larval M. brassicae (2nd instar) at different densities: 0, 1, 2, 4, 8, and 16 larvae per plant at 40 d after planting for an open field experiment, and 0, 2, 5, 8 and 12 larvae per plant at 25 d after planting for a glass house experiment. In the field experiment, the yield loss of cabbage was not significantly different among treated-plots at 30 d after the larval introduction, showing an over-compensatory response of cabbage plants to M. brassicae attack. In the glasshouse experiment, however, the biomass of cabbage at 15 d after the larval introduction significantly decreased with increasing the initial introduced number of M. brassicae, resulting in 38.3, 36.7, 21.7, 23.3 and 16.7g in above treated-plots, respectively. The relationship between cumulative insect days (CID) and yield loss (%) of cabbage was well described by a nonlinear logistic equation. Using the estimated equation, ElL of M. brassicae on cabbage was estimated at 44 CID per plant based on the yield loss 14%, which take into account of an empirical gain threshold 5% and marketable rate 91% of cabbage. Also, ET was calculated at 80% of the EIL: 35 CID per plant. Until a more elaborate EIL-model is developed, the present result may be useful for M. brassicae management at early growth stage of cabbage.

Study on the Vulnerability Regarding High Temperature Related Mortality in Korea (우리나라 지역별 고온 극한 현상에 의한 사망 취약도 비교)

  • Jung, Jihoon;Kim, In-Gyum;Lee, Dae-Geun;Shin, Jinho;Kim, Baek-Jo
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
    • /
    • v.49 no.2
    • /
    • pp.245-263
    • /
    • 2014
  • This study tries to investigate the changes of mortality regarding heat waves which are usually considered as one of the most direct impacts of climate change. Based on 17 years data period (1994-2010), each city's threshold temperature and minimum mortality temperature are recognized. According to the results, minimum mortality temperature varies from 23 to $25^{\circ}C$, showing minimum temperature corresponding to $23^{\circ}C$ in Gangwondo and maximum temperature corresponding to $25.4^{\circ}C$ in Jeollabukdo and Major 7 city group. In case of threshold temperature, it ranges from 27 to $30^{\circ}C$. The cities having higher threshold temperatures tend to have large populations and vice versa. In addition, the cities having negative demographic vulnerability relatively have lower temperatures, representing correlation -0.44(p=0.06). The socio-economic-environmental vulnerability shows negative correlation with minimum mortality temperature(r=-0.36, p=0.032) and threshold temperature(r=-0.29, p=0.081). This paper represents that the number of mortality could increase rapidly and show large spatial differences in the number of mortality depending on various factors including natural, social, and economic factors of each region.

  • PDF

Monetary Policy Independence during Reversal Phases of Domestic-Foreign Interest Rate Differentials

  • Kyunghun Kim
    • East Asian Economic Review
    • /
    • v.28 no.2
    • /
    • pp.221-244
    • /
    • 2024
  • This study examines how the independence of monetary policy changes in situations where the interest rate differential between domestic and foreign rates inverts, utilizing the trilemma indices. For analysis, this paper uses the trilemma indices developed by Kim et al. (2017) to analyze the relationship between the monetary policy independence index and the other two trilemma indices, namely the capital account openness index and the exchange rate stability index, across 45 countries from 2002 to 2018. The analysis reveals that the trilemma's validity is contingent. In particular, no statistically significant negative correlation was found between the monetary policy independence index and exchange rate stability index during periods of interest rate differential inversion. A positive correlation emerges between exchange rate stability and the independence of monetary policy, particularly when the inverted interest rate differential exceeds a certain threshold. This situation, where the exchange rate remains stable despite low domestic interest rates, implies that the central bank is effectively managing monetary policy to appropriately respond to economic conditions, which is reflected in the monetary policy independence index.

Real Option Study on Sustainable DMZ Management under Biodiversity Uncertainty (생물다양성 불확실성하에서 지속가능한 DMZ 관리 실물옵션 분석)

  • Lee, Jaehyung
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
    • /
    • v.28 no.4
    • /
    • pp.617-643
    • /
    • 2019
  • The Demilitarized Zone(DMZ) is a buffer zone set between the southern and northern limit lines established after the 1953 Armistice Agreement. It is an important natural environment conservation area where wild species of animals and plants live. On the other hand, the development pressure on the DMZ will increase when the inter-Korean economic cooperation is activated in the future. As a result, DMZ development should consider not only the economic cost-benefit aspects, but also how to assess and conserve the biodiversity of the DMZ, as well as the recovery costs and budget. This paper develope a sustainable DMZ management model under biodiversity uncertainly by using real option approach. The model is also designed to reflect the political risk and regional specificity of the DMZ. Through empirical analysis, I derive the biodiversity threshold (b*) that can secure the DMZ investment economy under uncertainty. In addition, through the sensitivity analysis, I derive the factors influencing the biodiversity threshold, and suggest the policy implications for sustainable management of DMZ.

Quantitative Approaches in Use to Assess Cancer Risk

  • Anderson Elizabeth L.
    • 대한예방의학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 1994.02a
    • /
    • pp.450-468
    • /
    • 1994
  • Scientists have long used conventional toxicological methods to establish 'safe levels of exposure' for chemicals presumed to have threshold health effects or doses below which significant effects are unlikely to occur. These same methods cannot be used to establish safe levels of exposure for non-threshold pollutants. such as carcinogens. Therefore. Federal regulatory agencies in the United States are using risk assessment methods to provide information for public health policy decisions concerning increases in risk associated with increases in exposure to carcinogenic and other non-threshold pollutants. Acceptable exposure/risk levels are decided by policymakers who consider descriptions and estimates of risks together with social and economic benefits from the uses of the chemical. 1bis paper focuses on the development of quantitative risk assessment approaches by Federal regulatory agencies in the United States, and identifies the mathematical models currently being used for risk extrapolation. including their inherent uncertainties. The uncertainties and limitations of these methods have led some scientists to question the utility of quantitative risk extrapolation. The experience of the; U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA). as summarized in this paper. can provide a realistic basis for evaluating the pros and cons. Finally. shortcomings in current risk assessment methods and their use in policy decisions are explored. and areas for possible improvement. given current scientific knowledge. are identified.

  • PDF