• Title/Summary/Keyword: Economic impact analysis

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The Effect of Trade Agreements on Korea's Bilateral Trade Volume: Mitigating the Impact of Economic Uncertainty in Trading Countries

  • Heedae Park;Jiyoung An
    • Journal of Korea Trade
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    • v.27 no.5
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    • pp.153-166
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    • 2023
  • Purpose - This research empirically analyzes the influence of economic policy uncertainty and free trade agreements (FTAs) on bilateral trade volumes between Korea and its trading partners. The study investigates whether fluctuations in the Economic Policy Uncertainty Index (EPUI) for both Korea and its trading partners significantly impact trade volumes and whether the implementation of FTAs mitigates these effects. Design/methodology - The study employs dynamic panel data analysis using the system generalized method of moments (system GMM) estimation method to achieve its research objectives. It utilizes country-month-level panel data, including the EPUI, trade volume between Korea and its trading partner countries, and other pertinent variables. The use of system GMM allows for the control of potential endogeneity issues and the incorporation of country-specific and time-specific effects. Findings - The analysis yields significant results regarding the impact of economic policy uncertainty on Korea's exports and imports, particularly before the implementation of FTAs. An increase in the EPUI of trading partners leads to a notable increase in Korea's exports to them. Conversely, an increase in Korea's EPUI negatively affects its imports from trading partners. However, post-FTA implementation, the influence of each country's EPUI on trade volume is neutralized, with no significant difference observed. Originality/value - This research contributes to the existing literature by providing empirical evidence on the interaction effects between economic policy uncertainty and FTAs on bilateral trade volumes. The study's uniqueness lies in its examination of how FTAs mitigate the impact of economic uncertainty on trade relations between countries. The findings underscore the importance of trade agreements as mechanisms to address economic risks and promote international trade relations. In a world where global market uncertainties persist, these insights can aid policymakers in Korea and other countries in enhancing their trade cooperation strategies and navigating challenges posed by evolving economic landscapes.

Application of Risk Analysis for Economic Evaluation of Railroad Investments (위험도 분석을 이용한 철도투자사업 경제성평가 적용방안)

  • Lee, Ho;Suh, Sun-Duck
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2001.05a
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    • pp.44-51
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    • 2001
  • To account for uncertainties involved in an economic analysis of project, sensitivity analysis are usually being done in Korea. Though useful for policy analysis, but it larks explicit consideration of probability of occurring certain events considered in the sensitivity analysis. Risk analysis otherwise can explicitly account for the probability of certain event which has dire impact on project viability, such as cost, discount rate, and size of benefit. This paper reports experience of applying risk analysis method for economic evaluation of railroad investment. Probability distribution of event has paramount impact on the risk analysis results, while not many prior researches dealt with these issues. Probability distribution of rolling stock cost and operating cost, in addition to those cost variables, are developed considering railway demand in this study. Case study results are reported. Issues in applying risk analysis are reported in addition to further research direction.

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Regional Production, Income and Employment Impact of Nuclear Power Plant (원자력발전소(原子力發電所)가 지역(地域)의 생산(生産), 소득(所得)과 고용(雇傭)에 미치는 효과(效果) 분석(分析))

  • Shin, Yong-In;Yang, Kwang-Nam
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.272-284
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    • 1996
  • The present study has quantitatively assessed the regional production, income and employment impact resulting from the construction and operation of nuclear power plant (NPP) upon the domestic local areas by applying the regional input-output analysis model to the case of Wolsong unit-l site. The conclusions regarding the most likely regional economic impacts upon the wolsong site are summarized as follows: 1. The income multipliers are calculated to be 1.563 for the construction phase and 1.500 for the operation phase. These values are relatively high compared with those of other conventional facilities. 2. The level of total employee's wage induced employment associated with the construction phase has been estimated to be 37,000 while that with the operational phase in 1990 to be 5,610. 3. With relation to the aspect of resident welfare it is found that the industrial sector associated with electricity, gas and water supply have remarkably improved with the construction of the NPP. 4. The NPP siting has induced substantial changes in interindustry (input-output) structures of the Wolsong unit-l site which is one of the rural areas where all the domestic NPPs are sited. Such changes are attributed to the industrial recomposition of the region. 5. With the application of other regional economic analysis models and the use of more sufficient regional data, other detailed studies on the economic impact analysis of domestic NPP-related facility sitings are suggested to be carried out further since the influence of NPP sitings is significant to the national economic impact as well as the regional economic impact.

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A Study on the Economic Factors and Properties in Architecture (건축의 경제적 요인과 특성에 관한 연구)

  • Lee Dong Heon
    • Journal of the Korean housing association
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.45-53
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    • 2005
  • Korea has recently experienced a large change in civil architecture and urban environment. However most of civil architectures and urbanization have been accomplished without considering economic efficiency and impact. This study focuses primarily on an analysis on the relationship between architecture and economic efficiency through the foreign and domestic case studies. Secondly, it is going to elucidate the economic properties on Korean architecture recently established. With perspectives of the analysis, we need to consider the following factors in the production of architecture; labor intensive industry, seasonal industry, strong and domestic demand.

The Effects of Attitude, Subjective Norm, and Behavioral Intention on Perceived Values in Traditional Marketplaces

  • YANG, Jae-Jang;AHN, Sun-Choung
    • Journal of Distribution Science
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    • v.18 no.10
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    • pp.25-38
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    • 2020
  • Purpose: Traditional markets have served as important locations for social-cultural and economic activities. It is a hub of economic transactions and where people gather and exchange information and goods, while also serving as the center of social activities, including commercial exchanges. Accordingly, this study aimed to contribute to the studies on the perceived value in traditional markets for customers in different aspects. Research design, data, and methodology: To analyze the proposed model, data was collected from 456 respondents and analyzed with SPSS 21.0 and AMOS 21.0. The data was analyzed with structural equation modeling (SEM) using path analysis. Results: According to the results of the analysis, the perceived value comprises utilitarian value, emotional value, economic value, and social value, all of which had a positive impact on attitude. Emotional value and social value had a positive impact on subjective norms, while utilitarian value and economic value did not have an impact on subjective norms. Also, attitudes and subjective norms were found to have a positive impact on behavioral intention. Conclusions: Through this study, the value that the traditional markets need to provide to consumers have been identified. Traditional markets should develop into places that can provide value for their consumers.

A Study on Application Methods to Economic Impact Analysis on R&D of Geoscience and Mineral Resources in Input-Output-Outcome Perspective (연구성과(outcome) 관점에서 지질지원 분야 연구개발의 경제적 파급효과 분석 방법론 적용)

  • Ahn, Eun-Young;Kim, Seong-Yong
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
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    • v.39 no.6 s.181
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    • pp.787-801
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    • 2006
  • Focused in the characteristic of R&D on Geoscience and Mineral Resources as basic research area, we survey on methods of public works' economic impact analysis including cost-benefit analysis and resent technology evaluation methods and suggest apply-methods to conduct economic impact analysis on R&D of geoscience and mineral resources. To conduct economic impact analysis on the basic research area, it need to identification research's out-come not just output. In this perspective, we propose a method, Input-Output-Outcome Roadmapping to identify the outcome of R&D and show the relation of input, output, and outcome of R&D. Furthermore, noticing the different effects of R&D from public works, we directly evaluate the use-value of the academic theory or geological maps through Contingent Valuation Method(CVM) and others developed as evaluation methods on environmental goods. In indirect application methods, it can evaluate the partial of the pubic works' benefit with assuming R&D factors if R&D is a part of public works. If not, we evaluate the R&D's value as reductions of costs or additions of benefit with finding related public works.

Regional Economic Impacts Induced by u-City Construction in Wha-sung and Dong-tan City (u-City 구축사업의 지역경제적 파급효과에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Heon-Yeong;Choi, Yeseul;Lim, Up
    • Journal of Information Technology Services
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.25-37
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    • 2012
  • In recent year, the u-City construction projects which integrate IT technology into urban infrastructures are being pushed forward by many local governments. These projects contain various purposes in an aspect of regional economy : to reinforce a competitiveness of region by increasing efficiency of urban managements and to revitalize regional economy by stimulating the regional high-tech industries that related to u-City construction. In this context, regional economic impact assessment of u-City construction projects is particularly important because, it give us information about effectiveness of u-City construction policy as a stimulus of regional high-tech industries and the policy feasibility of u-City construction projects that can be a base of public projects. However, it is challenging to assess the impact of u-City projects on regional economy properly due to a lack of understanding about industrial classification, and specific industrial inputs related to u-City construction. In this study, we suggest u-City industrial classifications, and specific-industrial inputs induced by u-City construction projects based on associated legislations, business report for a u-City construction, and results from previous studies. Using these classification and industrial input, we also investigate the regional economic impacts of a u-City construction project in Wha-sung and Dong-tan cities employing Input-output analysis. The empirical results suggests that u-City industries have relatively high in production inducement, and value added inducement compared to input of other industrial sectors. These results indicate that regional economic impact of a Wha-sung and Dong-tan u-City construction project are relatively high, but economic impacts of u-City construction projects vary according to the regional industrial structure, and the specific expense accounts of u-City construction projects.

The Impact of the Characteristics of Economic Cooperation on Customer Value and Enterprise Performance in Korean Electronic Industry: Focus on the Economic Cooperation Between China and South Korea

  • Li, Zhou-Yang;Liu, Zi-Yang
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.24 no.6
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    • pp.45-55
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    • 2019
  • The purposes of this paper is to draw a conclusion on the impact of the characteristics of economic cooperation between china and south korea on customer value and enterprise performance in the korean electronics industry. In this paper, product reliability and product innovation are especially used as analytical factors, and this paper used a survey of 293 internal employees working in the electronics industry for analyze, and structural equation model(SEM) was used to analyze the data. The results of the research analysis are summarized as follows. First, it was found that the characteristic of economic cooperation in the research model has a significant effect on the product reliability. Second, it was found that the characteristics of economic cooperation have a significant effect on the products innovation. Third, the products reliability has a significant impact on customer value, while the products innovation has not affected customer value. Finally, it was found that the customer value of the korean electronics industry also has a significant impact on the Enterprise performance. As a good development alternative to this research, there is the ultimate goal of hoping that corporate managers will help to create new good values. To this end, we hope it will be helpful as we have made necessary suggestions to establish the desired direction of the Korean electronics industry operator.

The Impact of Technology Transfer on Economic Development in the 4.0 Era: Empirical Evidence from the Agriculture and Rural Sector in Vietnam

  • TRAN, Quang Bach;NGUYEN, Thi Yen
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.9 no.5
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    • pp.261-272
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    • 2022
  • Agriculture and the rural sector play a crucial part in Vietnam's socio-economic growth. The study's goal is to see how technology transfer from young intellectual research activities affects the economic evolution of Vietnam's agriculture and rural sector in the 4.0 technology era. The research has used a quantitative method through analysis of linear structural model SEM, with a survey scale including 480 samples that are managers in departments and branches in agriculture and rural sector in the provinces in Vietnam. Research results show that technology transfer from research activities of the young intellectual has a direct and positive impact on economic development in agriculture and rural sector. This level of impact will increase with the participation of the intermediary factors such as awareness of managers, trust, and mechanisms in the mobilization and use of resources. These results contribute to both theoretical and practical aspects when proving the impact of technology transfer from the research activity of the young intellectual to the economic development in the field of agriculture and rural sector in the 4.0 era and the mediating role of awareness of managers, trust and mechanisms in the mobilization and use of resources.

Assessing the Economic Impact of Covid-19 through a Counterfactual Analysis

  • Hongjai Rhee
    • East Asian Economic Review
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.69-94
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    • 2024
  • The Covid-19 pandemic has caused unprecedented disruptions across industries worldwide. This paper aims to analyze the economic impact of the pandemic on the sales performance of basic commercial areas in Seoul, Korea. Using a regression analysis with credit card transaction data, the study underscores the critical nature of determining the reference point for comparison. Firstly, in comparison to the revenue in the same quarter before the onset of the pandemic, a significant decrease in revenue was observed across most categories during the pandemic periods. Secondly, when compared to the counterfactual revenue in the same period, extrapolated by an exponential smoothing forecasting, the overall revenue decrease during the periods was less pronounced, except in a few categories. Interestingly, certain categories appeared to witness marginal increases in sales after the pandemic. The paper discusses some policy implications of these findings.