• Title/Summary/Keyword: Economic growth model

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Innovation and Industrial Concentration (R&D 지출과 경제적 성과에 관한 실증분석 - 16개 광역지역을 대상으로 -)

  • Lee, Dong-Soo;Cho, Taek-Hee
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.184-193
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    • 2021
  • This paper investigates the performance of technology innovation activities performed by firms in 16 major regions in Korea using 2002-2010 survey data by STEPI. The theoretical and empirical analysis is carried out via the 2 models which are the simple R&D - total revenue model and Cobb-Douglas model based on the simple model adding labor variable. The main results shows that for simple model, the R&D elasticity for total revenue is 0.42 for all areas and Ul-San shows the highest elasticity level, 0.66 and Bu-San the lowest level, 0.2. In case of Cobb Douglas model the R&D elasticities are not statistically significant for many regions. To overcome the low statistical significance, we grouped the 15 regions for 3 wider regions using ANOVA based on the R&D intensity for the homogeneity of R&D activities. By grouping, each region has more observations to analyze and the results from the empirical analysis shows higher statistical significance level and data explanation capability. In this case, Group 3 which shows larger firm size and slightly higher export share shows the highest level of R&D elasticity, 0.088 and Group 1 which has the smallest firm size and the lowest revenue growth rate shows the lowest level, 0.31. For the labor elasticity, Group 1 shows the higest level, 1.16 and Group2 the lowest level, 1.096. These results show that the regions which have many middle and small firms reveal low R&D-revenue elasticity and high labor-revenue elasticity.

Analysis of Price Formation Mechanism of Natural Gas in the Global Market and Business Model of ''Cheniere Energy" (Анализ механизмов формирования цен на газ на мировом рынке и бизнес-модели «Сheniere Energy»)

  • Sung, Jinsok
    • Analyses & Alternatives
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.77-105
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    • 2021
  • Natural gas consumption in Asia is growing at fast tempo because of various factors such as economic growth in the region, urbanization, coal-to-gas switch at power and industry sector. Due to geographical characteristics and lack of international pipeline connections between countries in the continent, majority of natural gas exported to Asian consumers is transported by tankers on the sea in the form of liquefied natural gas. As Asian market is the most lucrative market with the fastest demand growth, the competitions between LNG sellers for market share in Asian market are strengthening. The competitions accelerated, especially after the introduction of large volume of incremental supply into the market by new exporters from the U.S., Australia, and Russia. Cheniere Energy, the first exporter of liquefied natural gas (LNG) in the lower 48 states of U.S. has not adopted the traditional price formation mechanism and business model. Traditionally, prices of long-term LNG contracts have been indexed to the price of competing fuels, such as crude oil. The company adopted a pricing mechanism and business model based on a cost-plus system. Cheniere Energy opted for the safer and the risk-free pricing system, that annually guarantees a fixed amount of revenue to the seller. The company earns the same amount of money, regardless of natural gas price dynamics in the domestic and international market, but possibly with less revenue. However, by introducing and successfully implementing the safer and risk- free business model, Cheniere Energy, a company of a relatively smaller size in comparison with major oil and gas companies, became an example to other smaller-sized companies in the U.S. The company's business model demonstrated how to enter and operate LNG business amid increasing competitions among sellers in the U.S. and international market.

A bioeconomic analysis on evaluation of management policies for Blackfin flounder Glyptocephalus stelleri - In the case of eastern sea danish fisheries - (기름가자미 어업관리방안 평가를 위한 생물경제학적 분석 - 동해구외끌이중형저인망어업을 대상으로 -)

  • CHOI, Ji-Hoon;KANG, Hee Joong;LIM, Jung Hyun;KIM, Do-Hoon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Fisheries and Ocean Technology
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    • v.56 no.4
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    • pp.347-360
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    • 2020
  • In this study, the Bayesian state-space model was used for the stock assessment of the Blackfin flounder. In addition, effective measures for the resource management were presentedwith the analysis on the effectiveness of fisheries management plans. According to the result of the analysis using the Bayesian state-space model, the main biometric value of Blackfin flounder was analyzed as 1,985 tons for maximum sustainable yield (MSY), 23,930 tons for carrying capacity (K), 0.000007765 for catchability coefficient (q) and 0.31 for intrinsic growth (r). Also the evaluation on the biological effect of TAC was done. The result showed that the Blackfin flounder biomass will be kept at 14,637 tons 20 years later given the present TAC volume of 1,761 tons. If the Blackfin flounder TAC volume is set to 1,600 tons, the amount of biomass will increase to 16,252 tons in the future. Lastly, the biological effectiveness of the policy to reduce fishing effort was assessed. The result showed that the Blackfin flounder biomass will be maintained at 13,776 tons if the current fishing efforts (currently hp) level is set and maintained. If the fishing effort is reduced by 20%, it will increase to 17,091 tons in the future. The analysis on the economic effect of TAC showed that NPV will be the lowest at 1,486,410 won in 2038, 20 years after the establishment of 2,500 tons of TAC volume. If the TAC volume is set at 2,000 tons, NPV was estimated to be the highest at 2,206,522,000 won. In addition, the analysis on the economic effect of the policy to reduce the amount of fishing effort found that NPV will be 2,235,592,000 won in 2038, 20 years after maintaining the current level of fishing effort. If the fishing effort is increased by 10%, NPV will be the highest at 2,257,575 won even thoughthe amount of biomass will be reduced.

Performance Evaluation of Object Detection Deep Learning Model for Paralichthys olivaceus Disease Symptoms Classification (넙치 질병 증상 분류를 위한 객체 탐지 딥러닝 모델 성능 평가)

  • Kyung won Cho;Ran Baik;Jong Ho Jeong;Chan Jin Kim;Han Suk Choi;Seok Won Jung;Hvun Seung Son
    • Smart Media Journal
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    • v.12 no.10
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    • pp.71-84
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    • 2023
  • Paralichthys olivaceus accounts for a large proportion, accounting for more than half of Korea's aquaculture industry. However, about 25-30% of the total breeding volume throughout the year occurs due to diseases, which has a very bad impact on the economic feasibility of fish farms. For the economic growth of Paralichthys olivaceus farms, it is necessary to quickly and accurately diagnose disease symptoms by automating the diagnosis of Paralichthys olivaceus diseases. In this study, we create training data using innovative data collection methods, refining data algorithms, and techniques for partitioning dataset, and compare the Paralichthys olivaceus disease symptom detection performance of four object detection deep learning models(such as YOLOv8, Swin, Vitdet, MvitV2). The experimental findings indicate that the YOLOv8 model demonstrates superiority in terms of average detection rate (mAP) and Estimated Time of Arrival (ETA). If the performance of the AI model proposed in this study is verified, Paralichthys olivaceus farms can diagnose disease symptoms in real time, and it is expected that the productivity of the farm will be greatly improved by rapid preventive measures according to the diagnosis results.

An Analysis of Contribution Rates of Irrigation Water and Investment for Farmland Base Development Project to Rice Production (농업용수(農業用水)와 농업생산기반조성사업투자(農業生産基盤造成事業投資)의 미곡생산기여도(米穀生産寄與度) 분석(分析))

  • Lim, Jae-Hwan
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
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    • v.31 no.2
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    • pp.135-148
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    • 2004
  • Rice is not only main food but also key farm income source of Korean farmers. In spite of the above facts, rice productivity was decreased on account of drought in every 2 or 3 years interval owing to the vulnerability of irrigation facilities throughout Korea in the past decades. As an context of the first five year economic development plan, all weather farming programme including 4 big river basin comprehensive development projects and large and medium sized irrigation water development projects were carried out successfully. Therefore the area of irrigated paddy were increased from 58% in 1970 to 76.2% in 1999. In the past decades, the Government had invested heavy financial funds to develop irrigation water but as an factor share analysis, the contribution rates of irrigation water and investment for farmland base development project have not been identified yet in national agricultural economic level. It is very scarce to find out the papers concerned to macro-economic factor share analysis or contribution rates of water and investment cost to rice production value in Korea considering the production function of the quantity of irrigation water and investment cost as independent variables. Accordingly this paper covered and aimed at identifying (1) derivation of rice production function with the time serial data from 1965 to 1999 and the contribution rates of irrigation water and total investment cost for farmland base development project. The analytical model of the contribution rates was adapted the famous Cobb-Douglass production function. According to the model analysis, the contribution rate of irrigation water to rice production in Korea was shown 37.8% which was equivalent to 0.28 of the production elasticity of water. The contribution rate of farmland base development project cost was revealed 22% and direct production cost of rice was contributed 60% in the growth of rice production and farm mechanization costs contributed to 18% of it respectively. The two contribution rates comparing with the direct production cost were small but without irrigation water and farmland base development, application of high-pay off inputs and farm mechanization might be impossible. Considering the food security and to cope with the frequent drought, rice farming and investment for the irrigation water development should be continued even in WTO system.

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Sustainability of Olive Flounder Production by the Systems Ecology -II. Simulating the Future of Olive Flounder Aquaculture on the Land- (시스템 생태학적 접근법에 의한 넙치생산의 지속성 평가 -2. 넙치 육상양식산업에 대한 예측-)

  • Kim Nam Kook;Son Ji Ho;Kim Jin Lee;Cho Eun Il;Lee Suk Mo
    • Korean Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
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    • v.35 no.6
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    • pp.660-665
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    • 2002
  • In Korea, an olive flounder is very popular fish food item. However, due to the increasing human population, the present catches of the olive flounder may not be sufficient to satisfy the present demand. To increase the supply of the olive flounder, aquaculture has been begun. An interest in the aquaculture of the olive flounder has been increased recently because of its characteristics of good growth and high price in the market, However, the productivity of the olive flounder aquaculture depends on economic inputs such as fuels, facilities, and labor. The rapid growths of the olive flounder aquaculture and the concerns about economic and ecological sustainability have focused peoples attention on the aquaculture industry. In this study, an energy systems model was built to simulate the variation of sustainability on the aquaculture of olive flounder, The results of simulation based on calibration data in 1995 show that olive flounder production yield and asset slowly increase to steady state because of the law of supply and demand. The results of simulation based on the variation of oil price show that the more increase the oil price, the more decrease the olive flounder economic yield and asset. Energy sources required for systems determine the sustainability of systems. Conclusionally, the present systems of the olive flounder aquaculture should be transformed to ecological-recycling systems or ecological engineering systems which depend on renewable resources rather than aquaculture systems which depend on fossil fuels, and be harmonized with the fishing fisheries by the sustainable use of renewable resources in the carrying capacity.

A Study on the Economic Efficiency of Tourism Industry in China's Bohai Rim Region Using DEA Model (DEA 모델을 이용한 중국 환 발해만 지역 관광산업의 경제효율성에 관한 연구)

  • Li Ting;Jae Yeon Sim
    • Industry Promotion Research
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.267-276
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    • 2023
  • Based on the tourism input-output data of five provinces and cities in China's Bohai Rim region from 2015~2021, this study analyzes the efficiency of regional tourism using DEA-BCC and DEA-Malmquist index, as well as its contribution to regional economic efficiency, and identifies factors influencing the comprehensive efficiency. The research results indicate that the comprehensive efficiency of the tourism industry in the China Bohai Sea region has reached an optimal level of 88.9%, but there is still room for improvement, with overall fluctuations. The overall productivity of the tourism industry exhibits a "U"-shaped fluctuating pattern, with growth mainly driven by technological advancements. Due to the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, the region experienced a nearly 50% decrease in total factor productivity in 2019~2020. However, in 2021, with the implementation of various government stimulus policies, the tourism efficiency rapidly recovered to 80% of pre-pandemic levels. In terms of the impact of the tourism industry on the regional economy in the China Bohai Sea region, Hebei Province stands out as a significant contributor. Based on the aforementioned research findings, the following recommendations are proposed in three aspects: optimizing the supply structure, increasing innovation investment, and strengthening internal collaboration. These recommendations provide valuable insights for enhancing regional tourism efficiency and promoting regional synergy.

Economic Impacts of Carbon Reduction Policy: Analyzing Emission Permit Price Transmissions Using Macroeconometric Models (탄소감축 정책의 경제적 영향: 거시계량모형에 기반한 배출권가격 변동 효과 분석)

  • Jehoon Lee;Soojin Jo
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.33 no.1
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    • pp.1-32
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    • 2024
  • The emissions trading system stands as a pivotal climate policy in Korea, incentivizing abatement equivalent to 87% of total emissions (as of 2021). As the system likely has a far-reaching impact, it is crucial to understand how the real economic activity, energy sector, as well as environment would be influenced by its implementation. Employing a macroeconometric model, this paper is the first study analyzing the effects of the Korean emissions trading policy. It interconnects the Korean Standard Industrial Classification (Economy), Energy Balance (Energy), and National Inventory Report (Environment), enhancing its real-world explanatory power. We find that a 50% increase in emission permit price over four years results in a decrease in greenhouse gas emissions (-0.043%) and downward shifts in key macroeconomic variables, including real GDP (-0.058%), private consumption (-0.003%), and investment (-0.301%). The price increase in emission permit is deemed crucial for achieving greenhouse gas reduction targets. To mitigate transition risk associated with price shocks, revenue recycling using auction could ensure the sustainability of the economy. This study confirms the comparative advantage of expanded current transfers expenditure over corporate tax reduction, particularly from an economic growth perspective.

Study on VC Investment Improve Growth and Productivity of VC: Backed firms Focused on Kosdaq Listed Bio Venture Company (코스닥 상장 바이오벤처기업에 대한 벤처캐피탈 투자가 바이오벤처기업의 경영성과에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구)

  • Shin, Jin-O;Ha, Gyu-Soo
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business Venturing and Entrepreneurship
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.85-95
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    • 2016
  • Generally a venture capital aims at investment and support Venture businesses that signifies a start-up which has high technologies but frailty of the economy so that raise fund from financial agencies at high risk rate, it has high risk but when the venture businesses launch into general orbit, the venture capital guarantee high-rate profits. Venture capital do not just provide risk capital but also takes a role as a mentor for continuous growth with total consulting service at business and technical management. Also it offers in-depth support to reform the supported enterprise in order to enhance the competitive. Venture capital receives attention for years as a principal agent to be promoted strategically at national level. Bio venture, a major concern of venture capital and one of core industries in Korea, is different from other industries because it needs long-term and large scale of investment. these factors bring about difficulties in an investment and growth. Therefore, it is very important to identify growth and profitability of start-ups and small and venture businesses with long-term appreciation above all other industries. This research analyze management results of bio venture businesses empirically by investment from venture capital. according to the results, bio venture businesses need huge capital and a long gap of time, henceforth, formation of model for growth is necessary with angel investing as well as venture capital. Since, there are not many listed bio venture businesses, significant statistical result would be limited. This research studied at only economic focus but further study need to examine a question from various angles.

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Simulation of Pension Finance and Its Economic Effects (연금재정(年金財政) 시뮬레이션과 경제적(經濟的) 파급효과(波及效果))

  • Min, Jae-sung;Kim, Yong-ha
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.115-134
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    • 1991
  • The role of pension plans in the macroeconomy has been a subject of much interest for some years. It has come to be recognized that pension plans may alter basic macroeconomic behavior patterns. The net effects on both savings and labor supply are thus matters for speculation. The aim of the present paper is to provide quantitative results which may be helpful in attaching orders of magnitude to some of the possible effects. We are not concerned with the providing empirical evidence relating to actual behavior, but rather with deriving the macroeconomic implications for a alternative possibilities. The pension plan interacts with the economy and the population in a number of ways. Demographic variables may thus affect both the economic burden of a national pension plan and the ability of the economy to sustain the burden. The tax transfer process associated with the pension plan may have implications for national patterns of saving and consumption. The existence of a pension plan may have implications also for the size of the labor force, inasmuch as labor force participation rates may be affected. Changes in technology and the associated changes in average productivity levels bear directly on the size of the national income, and hence on the pension contribution base. The vehicle for the analysis is a hypothetical but broadly realistic simulation model of an economic- demographic system into which is inserted a national pension plan. All income, expenditure, and related aggregates are in real terms. The economy is basically neoclassical; full employment is assumed, output is generated by a Cobb-Douglas production process, and factors receive their marginal products. The model was designed for use in computer simulation experiments. The simulation results suggest a number of general conclusions. These may be summarized as follows; - The introduction of a national pension plan (funded system) tends to increase the rate of economic growth until cost exceeds revenue. - A scheme with full wage indexing is more expensive than one in which pensions are merely price indexed. - The rate of technical progress is not a critical element in determining the economic burden of the pension scheme. - Raising the rate of benefits affects its economic burden, and raising the age of eligibility may decrease the burden substantially. - The level of fertility is an element in determining the long-run burden. A sustained low fertility rate increases the proportion of the aged in total population and increases the burden of the pension plan. High fertility has inverse effects.

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