• Title/Summary/Keyword: Economic estimate

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A Study on the Estimation of Technology Economic Life Using Patent Citation Life Analysis (특허인용 수명분석을 이용한 기술의 경제적 수명 추정에 대한 연구)

  • Sung, Oong-Hyun;Yoo, Sun-Hi
    • Knowledge Management Research
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.49-63
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    • 2007
  • This paper presents a new methodology that allows the influence of technological obsolescence and technology composite competitiveness to estimate technology economic life. In this paper the patent citation life analysis is used to estimate technology representative life, and technology residual life analysis is employed to estimate residual life using the linear and inverse functions. The technology economic life will be determined by combining the estimation results of patent citation life analysis and technology residual life analysis. This paper includes an example of applying it to the US patent data for 5 communications areas. Therefore, this logical concept can be applied usefully to determine the technology economic life and be expected to contribute to obtain credibility of technology valuation.

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A Study of a Combining Model to Estimate Quarterly GDP

  • Kang, Chang-Ku
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.553-561
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    • 2012
  • Various statistical models to Estimate GDP (measured as a nation's economic situation) have been developed. In this paper an autoregressive distributed lag model, factor model, and a Bayesian VAR model estimate quarterly GDP as a single model; the combined estimates were evaluated to compare a single model. Subsequently, we suggest that some combined models are better than a single model to estimate quarterly GDP.

Estimating the Economic Value of Boat Fishing Experience Activity Using Travel Cost Method: Focused on Jeju Island's Chagwido (여행비용법에 의한 선상낚시 체험활동의 경제적 가치 추정 : 제주 차귀도를 대상으로)

  • Kang, Seok-Kyu
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.47 no.2
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    • pp.33-41
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    • 2016
  • The purpose of this study is to estimate the economic value of boat fishing experience marine tourism activity in Jeju Island's Chagwido. The economic value is estimated as consumer surplus using count data models including the truncated Poisson model and the truncated negative binominal distribution model. This study collects the effective 504 questionnaires from boat fishing experience tourists in Jeju Island's Chagwido. The truncated negative binominal distribution model was statistically more suitable and valid than other models. The truncated negative binominal distribution model was applied to estimate consumer surplus as economic value from boat fishing experience tourism activity in Jeju Island's Chagwido. A consumer surplus value per trip was estimated as about 209,900 won. The annual economic value from boat fishing experience tourism activity was estimated as 273,700 won in Jeju Island's Chagwido. Consequently, boat fishing experience marine tourism activity has a very large economic value in Jeju Island.

Estimating the Economic Value of Skin Scuba Marine Tourism: Focused on Jeju Island (스킨스쿠버 해양어촌관광의 경제적 가치 추정: 제주도를 대상으로)

  • Kang, Seok-Kyu
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.47 no.1
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    • pp.21-29
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    • 2016
  • The purpose of this study is to estimate the economic value of skin scuba marine tourism activity in Jeju Island. The economic value is estimated as consumer surplus using count data models including the truncated Poisson model and the truncated negative binominal distribution model. This study collects the effective 369 questionnaires from skin scuba marine tourists through three times in Jeju Island. The truncated Poisson model was statistically more suitable and valid than other models. The truncated Poisson model was applied to estimate consumer surplus as economic value from skin scuba in Jeju Island. A consumer surplus value per trip was estimated as about 4,081,633 won. The annual economic value from skin scuba marine tourism activity was estimated as 8,428,571 won in Jeju Island. Consequently, skin scuba marine tourism activity has a very large economic value in Jeju Island.

A Study on the Social and Economic Aspects of Environmental Impact Assessment in Small Scale Rural Development Projects (소규모 농촌개발사업의 사회.경제 부문 환경영향평가 방안 연구)

  • Hong, Chan-Sun;Im, Sang-Bong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
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    • v.9 no.4 s.21
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    • pp.9-18
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    • 2003
  • The objectives of the study are to improve techniques for social impact assessment and to suggest their measuring methods to apply in small scale rural development projects. Population, residence, industries, and traffic volumes were selected to measure the social and economic impact assessment of Seongeup agricultural water development project in Jeju Province. Existing data gathering methods were used to estimate the changes of population and traffic volumes. Interview schedule for villagers was applied to estimate the residents' satisfaction to living environments. Interview schedule for experts was applied to estimate agricultural productivity and land price. The results of social and economic impact assessment show that there will be considerable changes in living environments, agricultural productivity, and land price. On the contrary, the project will make little impacts on the changes of population, em-ployment, and traffic volumes.

Estimating the Economic Value of the East Sea Beach Using Individual Travel Cost Method (개별여행비용법(TCM)을 이용한 동해안 해수욕장의 경제적 가치추정)

  • Pyo, Heedong
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • v.39 no.1
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    • pp.51-59
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of this paper is to estimate the economic value of beaches which are the major part of the East Sea Coast. ITCM (Individual Travel Cost Method) is applied to estimate the economic value of its beaches using Poisson, negative binomial, truncated Poisson and truncated negative binomial models. The consumer surplus during length of stay per capita is 214,088 won in beaches overall on the East Sea Coast, 206,398 won in Gangwon-do beaches and 271,171 won in Gyeongbuk/Ulsan beaches. Annual total economic value of its beaches considering the number of visitors at beaches is 6,269 billion won (3,970 billion won in Kangwondo beaches, 2,299 billion won in Kyungbuk/Ulsan beaches).

Economic Evaluation of the IT SoC Industry Infrastructure Program

  • Oh, Wan-Keun;Min, Wan-Kee
    • 한국벤처창업학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2007.04a
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    • pp.79-99
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    • 2007
  • This paper evaluates the economic effect of the IT SoC Industrial Foundation Composition Project. The evaluation was done in three steps. The first step was to estimate the contribution effect of the fabless small and medium venture business' sales. The step includes interview with all the CEOs of the firms under the support of the Enterprise Incubation System, The second step was to apply input-output analysis and then estimate the production inducement effect. The last step was to compare the results of estimation with the costs of the project. We have concluded this project had achieved 6.3 times greater economic effect compared to the budget. The reason for the large economic effect is that the project provided various infrastructures to the small and medium venture businesses.

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The Impact of ICT Goods Imports on Economic Growth: Evidence from Asia-Pacific Countries

  • Yoon, Sang-Chul
    • Journal of Korea Trade
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    • v.23 no.7
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2019
  • Purpose - This paper empirically investigates the relationship between Information and Communication Technology (ICT) goods imports and economic growth with a focus on the 13 Asia-Pacific economies during 2005-2016. In particular, this paper extends the study by breaking down the data of Asia-Pacific countries into High Income Countries (HICs) and Low Income Countries (LICs) according to the difference of income levels. Design/methodology - Our empirical model employs the standard growth model based on the Barro (1998)-type growth framework. Using static panel-data technique, we estimate the effect of ICT goods imports on economic growth in the 13 Asia-Pacific economies. In addition, we also estimate a difference of the ICT goods imports-economic growth link between HICs and LICs. Findings -The estimation results indicate that ICT goods import has a significant positive effect on economic growth, while ICT goods export has a positive but statistically insignificant effect on it. When we break down the panel data into HICs and LICs in order to gain further insight, ICT goods imports has been effective in spurring growth in only LICs but not in HICs. The other supplementary results show that both domestic investment (GCF) and life expectancy (LE) have a significantly positive impact on economic growth in both HICs and LICs. Originality/value - The main findings of the paper suggest that ICT goods imports has a positive effect on economic growth in only LICs but not in HICs. This result supports the so-called 'leapfrogging' hypothesis through ICT goods imports in the Asia-Pacific countries, in which LICs are gaining more from ICT goods imports than HICs.

Analysis of Problems and Improvement of Environmental Impact Assessment in Social-Economic Items Based on 19 Major Large Scale Development Projects (주요개발사업의 환경영향평가서 분석을 통한 사회경제항목평가의 문제점과 개선방안)

  • Lee, Sang-Don
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.165-185
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    • 2004
  • Assessment in Socio-economic items should be used to estimate social influence when policies and projects were introduced. To estimate current situation of socio-economic items 19 Environmental Impact Statement (EIS) of large scale projects were analyzed. The projects were selected based on magnitude of social impact when the projects were implemented. Environmental Impact Statement was categorized into line projects(road construction, railroad construction, stream development, etc), and surface projects(energy development, wetland reclamation, recreation and sport development, and housing and residential development, etc) thus being chosen for 19 projects in each categories. This report was based on the analysis of 7 items in socio-economic environmental items(i.e., population, residents, industry, public facilities, education, transport and historical monument). Most EIS did not follow the regulation suggested by Ministry of Environment, and only current circumstances were briefly described. Indifference of in-depth analysis of socioeconomic environmental items would influence the process of social and environment impact negatively in the midst of construction of National Projects such as Outer Circle Seoul Highways, Saemankeum Reclamation Projects, etc. This abrupt halt of construction was mostly based on a lack of public hearing or public participation. Socio-economic items are also very much lacking in quantitative method and strengthening socio-economic environmental items is needed via checklist or matrix that brings decision-makers better ideas objectively.

A Framework to Estimate GDP Loss due to Extreme Water-related Disaster in Kangwon-do

  • Kang, Sang-Hyeok
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.7 no.5
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    • pp.159-166
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    • 2007
  • Large scale flood disasters bring human losses and properties, which lead to the decrease of our productive value and change social environment. Human loss and economic damage are considered to be the same system but they are viewed as separated systems. The total amount of human loss can be represented as the total amount of economic damage estimated in the frame of social system while it will be possible to make mutual changing by clearing the relations between social and economic systems. In this regard, an attempt to estimate economic loss considering per capita Gross Domestic Production (GDP) caused by flood-related mortality was carried out to the typhoon Rusa of 2002 in Kangwon-do. The proposed method tried to capture quantitative factors which are affecting the loss of per capita GDP. The approach has great importance not only to set up governmental policy but also methodological progress in the research due to impact of disaster-related mortality on GDP loss.