• 제목/요약/키워드: Economic dispatch

검색결과 184건 처리시간 0.018초

Monte Carlo 기법을 이용한 교통카드기반 수도권 지하철 통행배정 (Trip Assignment for Transport Card Based Seoul Metropolitan Subway Using Monte Carlo Method)

  • 이미영;남두희
    • 한국ITS학회 논문지
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    • 제22권2호
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    • pp.64-79
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    • 2023
  • 본 연구는 Monte Carlo 기법을 교통카드기반의 수도권 지하철의 통행배정 문제에 적용하는 과정을 검토하였다. 연구는 우선 교통카드에서 역 간 표본의 통행에서 나타나는 통행시간에 대하여 프로빗 모형의 기반이 되는 정규분포의 가정을 적용하였다. Monte Carlo 통행배정은 역 간 통행에 대하여 평균과 표준편차를 산정하고 이를 개별 링크의 차내시간과 환승의 보행 및 배차간격의 가중치로 적용하는 방안을 제안하였다. 샘플 수가 50 이하로 낮게 나타나는 장거리 통행은 유사 통행의 특성을 이전하는 방안으로 적용하였다. 수도권 지하철 네트워크에 대하여 두 가지 방향에서 연구 결과를 검토하였다. 하나는 선릉-성수의 단일 역 간 통행에 대하여 차내시간 및 환승시간에 랜덤샘플링을 적용하는 방안으로 검증하였다. 다음으로 수도권 지하철 전체에 대해서는 역 간 통행 샘플수에 따라서 50 이상은 역 간 정규분포의 가정을 그대로 수용하였다. 샘플수가 50 이하의 장거리 통행은 역 간 최소거리가 122 (Km)에서 표본의 균등성이 확보되는 상황으로 판단하고 이 거리에서 나타나는 카드자료의 역 간 평균과 표준편차를 적용하였다. 사례연구로서 교통카드자료로 구축된 수도권 지하철을 네트워크를 대상으로 단일OD 및 전체 OD의 통행배정의 결과를 도출하였다. 한편 통행에 대한 샘플링이 부족한 상황에서 추가적인 연구가 필요한 것으로 나타났다.

중국 대북 접경지역의 북한 노동력 진입 유형과 요인 (Entry Types and Locational Determinants of North Korean Workers in Cross-border Regions between North Korea and China)

  • 이승철;이용희;김부헌
    • 한국경제지리학회지
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    • 제22권4호
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    • pp.438-457
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    • 2019
  • 본 연구의 주요 목적은 북한 노동력의 대북 접경지역 진출 유형과 요인을 규명하고자 하는 것이다. 특히, 본 논문은 북한 노동력의 대북 접경지역 진출 경로 및 유형을 1) 대북 무역 상인과 북한 대방의 거래를 통한 진입과 2) 조선족 중개업체와 북한 대방의 거래를 통한 진입으로 구분하였으며, 대북 접경지역의 공간적 맥락에서 북한 노동력의 진출 요인을 분석하고자 했다. 우선 북한 노동력의 대북 접경지역 진입 경로 및 유형은 유엔 결의 2094호 이후 대북제재의 성격이 '촉구(call-upon)'에서 '의무화 및 강제화(decide)'로 전환되면서 크게 두 가지 측면에서 변화가 나타났다. 첫째, 중국 기업에게 북한 노동력을 파견할 수 있는 북한 대방과의 거래 주체가 대북 거래 상인에서 전문화된 조선족 중개업체로 전환되었다. 둘째, 중국으로 파견되는 북한 노동력의 성격이 '중화인민공화국입경출경관리법'과 '외국인재중국취업관리규정'에 따라 공식적인 취업 허가증과 취업 거류증을 취득한 공식 노동자에서 북·중 간 '무역비자협정'과 '국경 주민에 대한 통행증 제도'를 이용하거나 단기 방문 및 관광 비자를 취득하여 편법으로 대북 접경지역에 장기 체류하는 비공식 노동자(informal workers)로 전환되었다. 따라서 북한 노동자에 대한 실질적인 제재가 가해진 이후에 이러한 비공식 노동자들의 안정적인 체류와 관리 및 통제를 위한 전문적인 서비스에 대한 수요가 높아짐에 따라 대북 접경지역에 북한 노동자 중개업체가 활성화되고 있다. 이와 더불어 북한 노동력의 대북 접경지역 진입 요인은 세 가지 측면 - 1) 중국 사회보험제도의 개혁에 따른 실질 임금 상승, 2) 대북 접경지역의 취약한 노동시장 구조, 3) 안정적이고 관리 용이한 노동력 활용 -에서 분석했다.

통일 한국의 적정 군사력에 관한 연구 - 분쟁 시나리오와 상대적 균형전략을 중심으로 - (A Study on Appropriate Military Strength of Unified Korea (Focused on relative balance strategy and conflict scenario))

  • 홍봉기
    • 안보군사학연구
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    • 통권13호
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    • pp.687-738
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    • 2016
  • To prepare for the complicated international relationship regarding Korean Peninsula after reunification, this thesis started off with the awareness that Unified Korea should build its international posture and national security at an early stage by determining its appropriate military strength for independent defense and military strategies that Unified Korea should aim. The main theme of this thesis is 'The research on appropriate military strength of the Unified Korean military'. To derive appropriate military strength of Unified Korea, this research focuses on conflict scenario and relative balance strategy based on potential threats posed by neighboring countries, and this is the part that differentiates this research from other researches. First of all, the main objective of the research is to decide appropriate military strength for Unified Korea to secure defense sufficiency. For this, this research will decide efficient military strategy that Unified Korea should aim. Than by presuming the most possible military conflict scenario, this research will judge the most appropriate military strength for Unified Korea to overcome the dispute. Second, after deciding appropriate military strength, this research will suggest how to operate presumed military strength in each armed force. The result of this thesis is as in the following. First, Unified Korea should aim 'relative balance strategy'. 'Relative balance strategy' is a military strategy which Unified Korea can independently secure defense sufficiency by maintaining relative balance when conflicts occur between neighboring countries. This strategy deters conflicts in advance by relative balance of power in certain time and place. Even if conflict occurs inevitably, this strategy secures initiative. Second, when analyzing neighboring countries interest and strategic environment after unification, the possibility of all-out war will be low in the Korean Peninsula because no other nation wants the Korean Peninsula to be subordinated to one single country. Therefore appropriate military strength of the Unified Korean military would be enough when Unified Korea can achieve relative balance in regional war or limited war. Third, Northeast Asia is a region where economic power and military strength is concentrated. Despite increasing mutual cooperation in the region, conflicts and competition to expand each countries influence is inherent. Japan is constantly enhancing their military strength as they aim for normal statehood. China is modernizing their military strength as they aspire to become global central nation. Russia is also enhancing their military strength in order to hold on to their past glory of Soviet Union as a world power. As a result, both in quality and quantity, the gap between military strength of Unified Korea and each neighboring countries is enlarged at an alarming rate. Especially in the field of air-sea power, arms race is occurring between each nation. Therefore Unified Korea should be equipped with appropriate military strength in order to achieve relative balance with each threats posed by neighboring countries. Fourth, the most possible conflicts between Unified Korea and neighboring countries could be summarized into four, which are Dokdo territorial dispute with Japan, Leodo jurisdictional dispute with China, territorial dispute concerning northern part of the Korea Peninsula with China and disputes regarding marine resources and sea routes with Russia. Based on those conflict scenarios, appropriate military strength for Unified Korea is as in the following. When conflict occurs with Japan regarding Dokdo, Japan is expected to put JMSDF Escort Flotilla 3, one out of four of its Japan Maritime Self-Defense Force Escort Fleet, which is based in Maizuru and JMSDF Maizuru District. To counterbalance this military strength, Unified Korea needs one task fleet, comprised with three task flotilla. In case of jurisdictional conflict with China concerning Leodo, China is expected to dispatch its North Sea fleet, one out of three of its naval fleet, which is in charge of the Yellow Sea. To response to this military action, Unified Korea needs one task fleet, comprised with three task flotilla. In case of territorial dispute concerning northern part of the Korean Peninsula with China, it is estimated that out of seven Military Region troops, China will dispatch two Military Region troops, including three Army Groups from Shenyang Military Region, where it faces boarder with the Korean Peninsula. To handle with this military strength, Unified Korea needs six corps size ground force strength, including three corps of ground forces, two operational reserve corps(maneuver corps), and one strategic reserve corps(maneuver corps). When conflict occurs with Russia regarding marine resources and sea routes, Russia is expected to send a warfare group of a size that includes two destroyers, which is part of the Pacific Fleet. In order to balance this strength, Unified Korea naval power requires one warfare group including two destroyers. Fifth, management direction for the Unified Korean military is as in the following. Regarding the ground force management, it would be most efficient to deploy troops in the border area with china for regional and counter-amphibious defense. For the defense except the border line with china, the most efficient form of force management would be maintaining strategic reserve corps. The naval force should achieve relative balance with neighboring countries when there is maritime dispute and build 'task fleet' which can independently handle long-range maritime mission. Of the three 'task fleet', one task fleet should be deployed at Jeju base to prepare for Dokdo territorial dispute and Leodo jurisdictional dispute. Also in case of regional conflict with china, one task fleet should be positioned at Yellow Sea and for regional conflict with Japan and Russia, one task fleet should be deployed at East Sea. Realistically, Unified Korea cannot possess an air force equal to neither Japan nor China in quantity. Therefore, although Unified Korea's air force might be inferior in quantity, they should possess the systematic level which Japan or China has. For this Unified Korea should build air base in island areas like Jeju Island or Ullenong Island to increase combat radius. Also to block off infiltration of enemy attack plane, air force needs to build and manage air bases near coastal areas. For landing operation forces, Marine Corps should be managed in the size of two divisions. For island defense force, which is in charge of Jeju Island, Ulleung Island, Dokdo Island and five northwestern boarder island defenses, it should be in the size of one brigade. Also for standing international peace keeping operation, it requires one brigade. Therefore Marine Corps should be organized into three divisions. The result of the research yields a few policy implications when building appropriate military strength for Unified Korea. First, Unified Korea requires lower number of ground troops compared to that of current ROK(Republic of Korea) force. Second, air-sea forces should be drastically reinforced. Third, appropriate military strength of the Unified Korean military should be based on current ROK military system. Forth, building appropriate military strength for Unified Korea should start from today, not after reunification. Because of this, South Korea should build a military power that can simultaneously prepare for current North Korea's provocations and future threats from neighboring countries after reunification. The core of this research is to decide appropriate military strength for Unified Korea to realize relative balance that will ensure defense sufficiency from neighboring countries threats. In other words, this research should precisely be aware of threats posed by neighboring countries and decide minimum level of military strength that could realize relative balance in conflict situation. Moreover this research will show the path for building appropriate military strength in each armed force.

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내수기업 수출활성화를 위한 무역전문인력 양성 방안에 대한 연구 (A Study on the Proposal for Training of the Trade Experts to Promote Export of Domestic Companies)

  • 강호연;정윤세
    • 무역상무연구
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    • 제78권
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    • pp.93-117
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    • 2018
  • In all countries of the world, the development of trade is an important factor for the survival of the national economy. Increased export will lead to national economic growth. Export is directly linked to employment, and the industrial structure will be developed in the direction to produce products of comparative advantages. Therefore, every country around the world is trying to promote export regardless of the size of its economy. Accordingly, this paper focused on the promotion of export of domestic companies. It proposed to cultivate trade experts to promote export of domestic companies. The following five methods were proposed to materialize the proposal. First, it is important to foster trade experts to expand and foster the one-person creative companies. In particular, it is important to develop a professional education curriculum. It is necessary to design and conduct a systematic curriculum throughout the process including follow-up after education such as teaching detailed procedures for establishing a trade business, identification of relevant regulations and related organizations, understanding of special features of each exporting country, and details of exporting procedures through specialist training for the individual industries, helping themto keep their network steady so that they can easily get help from consultants. Second, it is necessary to educate traders working in the field to make them trade experts and utilize themin on-the-job training and consulting. To do this, it is necessary to introduce systematic consultant selection process, and to introduce a systemto educate and manage them. It is because, we must select the most appropriate candidates, educate themto be lecturers and consultants, and dispatch themto the field, in order to make the best achievement in export. Nurturing trading professionals utilizing the current trading workers to activate export of domestic companies can be more efficient through cooperation of trading education agencies and related agencies in various industries. Third, it is also proposed to cultivate female trade experts by educating female trade workers whose career has been disrupted. It is to provide career disrupted women with opportunities to work after training them as trade professionals and to give manpower pool to domestic companies that are preparing for export. Fourth, it is also proposed to educate foreign students living in Korea to be trading experts and to utilize them as trading infra. They can be trading professionals who will contribute to the promotion of export. In the short term, they will be provided with opportunities for employment and start-upin the field of trade, and in the mid- to long-term, they may develop a business network between Korea and their own countries. To this end, we need to improve the visa system, expand free trade education opportunities, and support them so that they can establish small but strong enterprises. Fifth, it is proposed to proactively expand trade education to specialized high school students. Considering that most of domestic companies pursuing activation of export are small but strong companies or small and mediumsized companies, they may prefer high school graduates rather than university graduates because of financial limitations. Besides, the specialized high school students may occupy better position in the job market if they are equipped with expertise in trading. This study can be meaningful, in that it is the first research that focuses on cultivating trading experts to contribute to the export activation of domestic companies. However, it also has a limitation that it has failed to reflect the more specific field voices. It is hoped that detailed plans will be derived from the opinions of the employees of domestic companies making efforts to become an export company in the related researches in the future.

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