• Title/Summary/Keyword: Economic assessment

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Methodological Issues in Socio-Economic Assessment of the Hydrogen Economy Development (수소경제로 이행을 위한 사회경제적 영향평가 방법론)

  • Kim, Ho-Seok
    • 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2005.06a
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    • pp.586-591
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    • 2005
  • 우리나라는 에너지의 안정적 공급과 에너지이용 과정에서 발생하는 환경적, 안보적 외부성을 최소화하는 에너지수급 구조를 마련하기 위해 2003년 12월 '제2차 신재생에너지 기술개발 및 이용보급 기본계획(2003-2012)'을 발표하였다. 이 계획에서는 2011년까지 전체 TPES의 $5\%$를 신재생에너지로 공급하는 것을 정책목표로 수립하고 수소, 태양광 그리고 풍력기술을 중점적으로 추진하기로 하였다. 특히 수소부문에서는 주택 및 건물용, 발전용, 수송용 연료전지의 개발을 중심으로 개발하여 세계 기술시장의 $20\%$를 확보한다는 계획을 발표하였다. 이러한 기술 잠재력을 기반으로 우리 정부도 미국이나 일본과 같이 수소경제로의 전환을 준비하고 있으며 2020년대 이후 우리나라의 에너지부문은 새로운 국면에 접어들 것으로 전망된다. 에너지나 환경기술의 효과적 인 개발을 위해서는 이들 기술의 직접적인 비용측면에 대한 분석 즉 경제성 평가와 새로운 기술변화로 인한 중장기적인 사회경제적 영향평가가 선행되어야 한다. 이러한 평가는 대상 기술의 사회경제적 파급효과가 광범위할수록 더욱 복잡한 분석이 요구된다. 본 연구의 주제인 수소에너지기술은 지금까지 이용되던 것과는 전혀 새로운 에너지캐리어(carrier)를 개발하는 것으로 에너지부문 및 여타 다른 산업부문이 공유하고 있는 에너지 관련 인프라의 전면적인 조정이 요구되며 에너지 이용과 관련된 사회경제적 측면의 급속한 변화를 수반한다. 본 연구는 수소경제로의 이행에 대한 사회경제적 영향평가의 방법론적 요소들과 기법을 제시한다."중등도 독성"으로 나타났다 이상의 결과는 전기도금을 이용하여 교정용 선재의 직경을 증가시키는 방법이 임상에 적용되기 위해서는 세포독성을 줄이기 위한 추가의 연구가 필요함을 시사하였다.의하게 가장 낮은 정지. 운동 마찰력을 보였고 브라켓-호선 각도가 증가함에 따라 유의하게 정지, 운동 마찰력도 증가하였다 (P<0.001)%$ 낮추지만(p value=0.260) 평균 $D_{max}$는 거의동일 하여($0.3\%$ 감소, p value=0.867), 전통적인 방법보다 우수성이 크게는 없는 것으로 평가되었다. 그러나 환자의 체곡선이 보상체와 잘 일치하는 경우에는 DII가 $18\%$까지 감소하였다. 결론 : Multistatic field 방법은 모든 환자에 대하여 선량분포의 균일성을 전반적으로 향상시키는 효과적인 방법으로 평가되는 반면 공용보상체의 사용은 보상체의 크기가 환자의 체 윤곽과 잘 일치하는 경우만 효과적으로, 적용의 범위에는 한계가 있는 방법으로 평가되었다.비교하여 계통에 따르는 차이가 있음을 알 수 있었다. 그러므로 가임기 여성의 방사선 진단 및 치료시 Rugh의 10일 법칙을 적용하여 착상전기 방사선 조사로 인한 부작용들을 적극적으로 예방하는 것이 매우 중요하다고 생각한다.equirements of the prematured infants during the early weeks of life. 모든 치근단 수준에서 비표준화 medium 크기 master cone 사용군이 ISO 표준화 규격의 master cone 사용군에 비해

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A Study on Security Plans At Large-Scale International Event Halls: Focusing on Assessment of Escape Safety of K Stadium for The Incheon Asian Games (대규모 국제행사장의 경호경비계획에 관한 연구: 인천 아시안게임 K경기장의 피난안전성 평가를 중심으로)

  • Park, Nam-Kwun;Lee, Young-Ju;Yoon, Myong-O
    • Korean Security Journal
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    • no.30
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    • pp.7-32
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    • 2012
  • Korea faces The 2014 Incheon Asian Games and 2018 Pyungchang Winter Olympics. It is imperative to hold a safe event for the economic benefits, enhancing Korea's image, social integration, national harmony and unity in order to be evaluated as a successful international event. Furthermore, since the international event tends to draw many spectators, the host country must be ready to accommodate a large number of injured people in the event of an accident or terror attack. As stadiums for international events are where a large number of spectators gather in, a large refuge is essential, when dangerous situations happen. In this study, evacuation simulation was conducted using three scenarios in order to predict escape behaviors of spectators during the large escape by destruction of safety systems of stadiums and assess escape safety. As the result, the following results and proposals were extracted. Firstly, it is considered that dangerous situations during the security of stadiums should be predicted in advance and concrete plans for a large refuge of spectators have to be established to minimize damage. Secondly, it was found that the reduction in evacuation exits has an important impact on evacuation in an emergency situation. It implies that securing escape exits are quite important. Thirdly, there were areas where spectators stayed, due to blocked escape exits, while they were dispersed and concentrated at once. It demonstrates that security plans considering properties of facilities are required to solve these problems.

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Review on Prior Evaluation for Terrorism Risk of High-rise Buildings (초고층건축물의 테러 위험도 사전평가에 관한 연구)

  • Seong, Bin;Lee, Yoon-Ho
    • Korean Security Journal
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    • no.36
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    • pp.293-316
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    • 2013
  • Today's high-rise buildings are increasing concern about the safety and evacuation of people related to the fire and threat from outside. Terrorism breaking out in high-rise buildings, a symbol of the national economy results in a number of casualties, economic loss, social fear and damage to national status. That's why high-rise building has also emerged as a target of major terrorist attacks, compared to other types of buildings. We have 54 high-rise buildings in 15 regions over the country. The Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport and Seoul Metropolitan Government have offered the guidelines to prevent terrorist attacks toward high-rise buildings. Since the 9/11 terrorist attacks, the U.S. Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) has developed and taken advantage of the Risk Management Manual Series. According to this manual, pre-assessment is conducted for the prevention of terrorism and particularly in FEMA 455, risk of the surrounding areas, vulnerability, possibility from terrorist attacks are checked. After the check, experts classify the risk of terrorist attacks toward the high-rise buildings and according to the risk classification, architects, security experts and structure engineers can carry out terrorism prevention program for high-rise buildings. The U.K. NaCTSO has also offered the terrorism prevention guidelines. Therefore, the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport and Seoul Metropolitan Government should make more concrete guidelines for high-rise buildings such as what U.S. FEMA and U.K. NaCTSO implement, including prior evaluation technique for terrorism risk.

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NIS quality analysis of pre- and post-harvest sugarcane.

  • Johnson, Sarah E.;Berding, Nils
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Near Infrared Spectroscopy Conference
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    • 2001.06a
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    • pp.1621-1621
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    • 2001
  • The quality of sugarcane grown on the NE Australian tropical coast ($16^{\circ}$15'- $18^{\circ}$15' S Lat.) has declined markedly in the past seven years. This has been linked to dilution of mill-supply cane with increasing levels of non mature-stalk material consisting of leaves and sucker culms. The prime research objective was to examine the transition from the pre-harvest, in-field crop to harvested material sent for processing, in terms of quality and crop fraction proportions. A secondary objective was to quantify the effects of preharvest-season crop habit and culm condition on crop quality. Ten quadrat samples from each of 54 random crop sites (17 in 1999 and 37 in 2000), covering a wide range of variables (cultivar, crop class, and edaphic, topographic, climatic, and temporal factors) were collected immediately before harvest. Samples were partitioned into four fractions:- sound and unsound mature stalks (culms), sucker culms, and extraneous matter (leaves). Material harvested from each site was sampled and partitioned into four fractions:- sound and unsound billets (culm pieces), culm-spindle pieces, and leaf. In 2000, before harvest, 14 additional sites were sampled monthly, on three occasions, from March - June. Erect and non-erect culms were divided into sound and unsound classes. All samples were disintegrated and presented to a remote reflectance module of a scanning spectrophotometer using the BSES large cassette module. Near infra-red spectroscopic (NIS) analyses were developed for the rapid determination of quality components (Brix, commercial cane sugar (CCS), fibre, moisture, and polariscope reading). Calibrations for three material groups (culm (n = 639), non-culm (n = 496), and combined) were developed for all components using the 1999 data set. Two sub-sets (n = 178, and 190) of about 10% of the preharvest-season and harvest populations scanned in 2000 also were subjected to full routine laboratory analyses. The 1999 combined calibrations were excellent, but the culm calibrations produced consistently lower standard errors. Non-culm calibrations were marginally better than the combined for only CCS and pol. reading. Analysis of the 2000 culm data with calibrations using all 1999 and 2000 culm data resulted in better predictions relative to the 1999 culm calibrations. This also was true for the combined calibrations. Assessment of quality components in pre- and post-harvest sugarcane using NIS calibrations was more cost effective than using routine laboratory techniques. Outcomes from this NIS-facilitated research will have important economic consequences for the Australian sugarcane industry. Potential CCS present in mature culms is being discounted by dilution with leaves and sucker culms, threatening farm viability. The results question the efficacy of current harvesting technology. The CCS of harvested cane is improved only marginally over that of the in-field crop. Current harvesting technology requires either supplementary, innovative pre-mill processing or a design revolution to improve mill-supply cane quality, and therefore whole of industry economics. NIS-facilitated analyses, before the harvest season, highlighted the benefits of growing erect, sound crops. Loss of CCS then, can be minimized only by a combination of crop improvement and agronomic solutions, applied as part of sound on-farm management.

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Life-Cycle Cost-Effective Optimum Design of Steel Bridges Considering Environmental Stressors (환경영향인자를 고려한 강교의 생애주기비용 최적설계)

  • Lee, Kwang Min;Cho, Hyo Nam;Cha, Cheol Jun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Steel Construction
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    • v.17 no.2 s.75
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    • pp.227-241
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    • 2005
  • This paper presents a practical and realistic Life-Cycle Cost (LCC) optimum design methodology for steel bridges considering the long-term effect of environmental stressors such as corrosion and heavy truck traffics on bridge reliability. The LCC functions considered in the LCC optimization consist of initial cost, expected life-cycle maintenance cost, and expected life-cycle rehabilitation costs including repair/replacement costs, loss of contents or fatality and injury losses, road user costs, and indirect socio-economic losses. For the assessment of the life-cycle rehabilitation costs, the annual probability of failure, which depends upon the prior and updated load and resistance histories, should be accounted for. For the purpose, Nowak live load model and a modified corrosion propagation model, which takes into consideration corrosion initiation, corrosion rate, and repainting effect, are adopted in this study. The proposed methodology is applied to the LCC optimum design problem of an actual steel box girder bridge with 3 continuous spans (40m+50m+40m=130m). Various sensitivity analyses are performed to investigate the effects of various design parameters and conditions on the LCC-effectiveness. From the numerical investigation, it has been observed that local corrosion environments and the volume of truck traffic significantly influence the LCC-effective optimum design of steel bridges. Thus, these conditions should be considered as crucial parameters for the optimum LCC-effective design.

Development of an Technique for Assessing Priority of Alternatives in Railroad Projects Considering Civil Petitions (민원을 고려한 철도대안 우선순위 판단기법 개발)

  • Chung, Sung-Bong;Song, Ki-Han;Hong, Sang-Yeon;Kim, Dong-Jun;Kim, Dong-Sun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.23 no.7 s.85
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    • pp.87-98
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    • 2005
  • Through rail transit has many merits as a safe, environmental harmonic and scheduled transit, there are many problems to construct railroads because of the public resentment. However, there is no reasonable way to settle the conflict properly and it causes enormous social and economic losses. This paper suggests a methodology to evaluate public complaint using the AHP technique, which is generally used as the methodology to evaluate public complaint using the AHP technique, which is generally used as the Multi-Criteria Decision Making (MCDM). However, the result from the AHP has some defects to control conflicts because the interests related to railroad projects are so complex that it is hard to make people persuaded easily. Therefore, this paper suggests 'the improvement ranking method', 'the sensitive analysis', and 'the assessment of independence relationship' which can aid the basic AHP to be robust. And the AHP. modified by fuzzy method, is also suggested to apply this methodology to example rail paths in Korea.

Determinants of Length of Stay in Geriatric Hospitals - Focused on Alzheimer Dementia's Inpatients (요양병원 입원 알츠하이머 치매노인의 재원일수 결정요인 분석)

  • Bang, Hyo-Jung;Lee, Kwang-Soo
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.13 no.12
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    • pp.900-909
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    • 2013
  • This study purposed to analyze the determinants of length of stay for patients having alzheimer dementia in geriatric hospitals. Sample data was collected from the National Patient Sample (NPS) produced by the Health Insurance Review & Assessment Service (HIRA) in 2009. Total 538 alzheimer inpatients over 65 years were used in the analysis. Patients were classified into 5 risk groups to represent the case-mix differences of patients. Organizational characteristics of geriatric hospitals such as number of beds, doctors, and nurses were included in the analysis model. In multivariate regression analysis, hospital variables were not statistically significant in explaining the length of stay. Two risk group were statistically significant in analysis, However, their signs of relationship with the dependent variable were opposite to the expectations. These results suggest that the characteristics of patients and hospitals did not have impacts on the length of stay. There will be needs to test the effects of other factor such as social needs which represents the socio-economic status of the family for the patients.

A Study on the Location Factors of Foreign Direct Investment Firms in Korea (국내 외국인직접투자기업의 입지결정요인에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Ho-Yeong;Park, Won-Seok
    • Journal of the Korean association of regional geographers
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.58-74
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    • 2011
  • This study analyzed and compared the importance and priority of location decision factors in Foreign Direct Investment Firms managing the manufacturing business in the nation's southeastern economic zone, and in expert group by using AHP analytical technique based on examining the location theory and the prior research of real estate for industry. Also, it analyzed difference in importance and priority for location factors by corporate scale, by business category, and by location type targeting only foreign direct investment firms, and offered references necessary for location decision-making. In addition, to elicit useful information for policy related to location decision factors for foreign direct investment firms, the implications were elicited by analyzing the results recognized between foreign direct investment firms and expert group on information elements regarding investment satisfaction, business bottlenecks, and location decision process. The considerable gap was indicated in importance and priority of location decision factors considered between the nation's foreign direct investment firms and real-estate expert group for industry. As a result of analyzing by reflecting the corporate characteristic variable in location assessment model unlike before, the importance of the competitive advantage factor and the business strategic factor was indicated to be very high.

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Percentile Approach of Drought Severity Classification in Evaporative Stress Index for South Korea (Evaporative Stress Index (ESI)의 국내 가뭄 심도 분류 기준 제시)

  • Lee, Hee-Jin;Nam, Won-Ho;Yoon, Dong-Hyun;Hong, Eun-Mi;Kim, Taegon;Park, Jong-Hwan;Kim, Dae-Eui
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.62 no.2
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    • pp.63-73
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    • 2020
  • Drought is considered as a devastating hazard that causes serious agricultural, ecological and socio-economic impacts worldwide. Fundamentally, the drought can be defined as temporarily different levels of inadequate precipitation, soil moisture, and water supply relative to the long-term average conditions. From no unified definition of droughts, droughts have been divided into different severity level, i.e., moderate drought, severe drought, extreme drought and exceptional drought. The drought severity classification defined the ranges for each indicator for each dryness level. Because the ranges of the various indicators often don't coincide, the final drought category tends to be based on what the majority of the indicators show and on local observations. Evaporative Stress Index (ESI), a satellite-based drought index using the ratio of potential and actual evaporation, is being used as a index of the droughts occurring rapidly in a short period of time from studies showing a more sensitive and fast response to drought compared to Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), and Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI). However, ESI is difficult to provide an objective drought assessment because it does not have clear drought severity classification criteria. In this study, U.S. Drought Monitor (USDM), the standard for drought determination used in the United States, was applied to ESI, and the Percentile method was used to classify drought categories by severity. Regarding the actual 2017 drought event in South Korea, we compare the spatial distribution of drought area and understand the USDM-based ESI by comparing the results of Standardized Groundwater level Index (SGI) and drought impact information. These results demonstrated that the USDM-based ESI could be an effective tool to provide objective drought conditions to inform management decisions for drought policy.

Disaster Prevention Planning through Analysis of Debris Flow Vulnerability Based on Mountain Basin Features (산지유역 기반의 토석류 취약성 분석을 통한 재해방지 계획수립 연구)

  • Kim, Man-Il;Lee, Moon-Se;Hong, Kwan-Pyo
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.393-403
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    • 2017
  • Mountain disasters in Korea have caused massive social and economic damage. During the period 2005-2014 there has been an annual average of 7 deaths and disaster recovery costs of 79.8 billion won in the country's 4393 ha of mountainous areas. The primary mountain disasters are landslides on mountain slopes, and secondary debris flows can spread along mountain streams, damaging facilities and settlements in lower areas. Typhoons and local rainfall can cause such disasters, while anthropogenic factors include development that damages the mountainous terrain. The study area was divided into three basins. For each basin, a debris flow vulnerability assessment method was proposed considering FLO-2D analysis results and the local topography, geology, and forestation. To establish an in situ investigation, analysis, and evaluation plan for potential mountain disasters, we selected mountain basins that are potentially vulnerable to mountain disasters through analysis of their mountain slopes and streams. This work suggests the establishment of a comprehensive plan for disaster prevention based on a mountain basin feature.