• Title/Summary/Keyword: Economic Openness

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International Transmission of Macroeconomic Uncertainty in China: A Time-varying Bayesian Global SVAR Approach

  • Wongi Kim
    • East Asian Economic Review
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.95-140
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    • 2024
  • This study empirically investigates the international transmission of China's uncertainty shocks. It estimates a time-varying parameter Bayesian global structural vector autoregressive model (TVP-BGVAR) using time series data for 33 countries to evaluate heterogeneous international linkage across countries and time. Uncertainty shocks are identified via sign restrictions. The empirical results reveal that an increase in uncertainty in China negatively affects the global economy, but those effects significantly vary over time. The effects of China's uncertainty shocks on the global economy have been significantly altered by China's WTO accession, the global financial crisis, and the recent US-China trade conflict. Furthermore, the effects of China's uncertainty shocks, typically on inflation, differ significantly across countries. Moreover, Trade openness appears crucial in explaining heterogeneous GDP responses across countries, whereas the international dimension of monetary policy appears to be important in explaining heterogeneous inflation responses across countries.

A Study on the Model of Inter-Korean Economic Integration Based on Industrial Cooperation (산업협력 기반 한반도경제정책의 구상)

  • Han, Hongyul
    • 사회경제평론
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.29-53
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    • 2018
  • This study provides a model of inter-Korean economic cooperation suggesting that economic cooperation should be centered on industrial cooperation. As an independent economic zone, the two Koreas will go through a gradual and functional process of cooperation. Also, economic convergence through 'openness and integration' of both markets is a pre-requisite of successful economic integration on the Korean peninsula. This success of the process requires industrialization of North Korea. This study suggests a model of 'the Corea Industrial Development Community on the Korean Peninsula. It aims to support industrialization of the North Korean economy as well as promotion of South Korea's SME competitiveness. It would help meet the demand for improvement of living conditions of North Korean people. Main policy measures includes: 1) co-effort to develop North Korea's provincial industrial zones, 2) upgrading North Korea's 'Jangmadang' into a highly efficient distribution market. Finally, through the construction of the Joint Industrial Development Zone, it is necessary to create a production sharing module for both Korea's industries.

Rising Open Misery Index of the USA - A Precursor of Economic Crisis - (미국 개방 미저리 지수의 증가추세 - 경제위기의 전조 -)

  • Cheong, Ki-Woong;Kim, Jeongsook;Lee, Sanghack
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.39-51
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    • 2009
  • The misery index is the sum of the inflation rate and the unemployment rate. The higher the index, the lower the performance of the national economy. Lee and Cheong (2007) propose that the open misery index, defined to be the sum of the misery index and the ratio of current account to GDP, properly measure the economic performance of a national economy when its degree of openness is large. This paper shows that the periods of rising open misery index of the USA coincide with those of economic hardship in the USA. Most recently, the open misery index of the USA has shown a rising trend for a decade prior to the current economic crisis. That is, external and internal imbalances of the USA have accumulated for a decade prior to the current economic crisis. We interpret the recent rising trend of the open misery index of the USA as a precursor of the current economic crisis.

Effects of the Personality Traits of Baby Boomers on the Preparation Behaviors for the Old Age -Focused on the Cheon-An Industrial Complex's Workers- (베이비부머의 성격특성이 노후준비행동에 미치는 영향 -천안지역 공단 근로자를 중심으로-)

  • You, In-Soon;Choi, Soo-Il
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.245-262
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    • 2012
  • The purpose of this study is to find out the differences in personality traits and preparation level of the baby boomers for the old age by the demographic factors and to analyze the effect of Big 5 on preparation for the old age. The 331 questionnaires were distributed among workers born in 1955 to 1963 in the Chunan industrial complex. And the frequency analysis, factor analysis, reliability analysis, t-test, ANOVA, hierarchical regression analysis for the collected data were conducted with program SPSS 18.0 The findings are as follows. First, there is a partial difference in personality and preparation for the old age by the demographic factors. Second, extraversion, openness to experience and conscientiousness from personality have a positive effect on physical preparation for the old age while neuroticism has a negative effect on it. And there is no relationship between agreeableness and personality. Third, conscientiousness, openness to experience and extraversion have a positive effect on social preparation for the old age, but neuroticism and agreeableness do no affect it. Fourth, neuroticism,extraversion,openness to experience and conscientiousness have a positive effect on economic preparation for the old age, but agreeableness does not have any relationship with economic preparation.

The path analysis of carbon emission reduction: A case study of the Silk Road Economic Belt

  • Kong, Yang;He, Weijun
    • Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.71-79
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    • 2020
  • This paper uses super-efficiency DEA model and Malmquist index to evaluate the carbon emission efficiency (CEE) values of the nine western provinces along the "Silk Road Economic Belt" for the period from 2000 to 2015, and analyses the influencing factors of the CEE. The major findings of this study are the following: (1) the overall CEE of the nine western provinces is not high, and there are significant inter-provincial differences in the CEE. Meanwhile, the provinces with higher levels of economic development generally have higher CEE. (2) The annual total factor productivity (TFP) of the nine western provinces, which is mainly determined by technological change, is greater than 1. Moreover, the total average growth rate of the TFP is 15.5%. (3) The CEE of the nine western provinces is not spatially dependent. In addition, the urbanization, openness, use of energy-saving technologies and research and development (R&D) investment have a significant positive impact on the CEE values, while the industrial structure, foreign direct investment, fixed asset investment, government expenditure levels and energy structure have a significant negative impact on the CEE. Among them, R&D investment is the primary factor in promoting the development of CEE, and the government expenditure has the greatest negative impact on the CEE.

Does Technological Progress, Trade, or Financial Globalization Stimulate Income Inequality in India?

  • GIRI, Arun Kumar;PANDEY, Rajan;MOHAPATRA, Geetilaxmi
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.111-122
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    • 2021
  • The main purpose of the present research is to analyze the effects of trade, financial globalization, and technological progress on income inequality in the Indian economy over the period from 1982 to 2018. For this purpose, the study uses economic growth, financial globalization, trade openness, technological development, and economic inequality variables with appropriate proxies. The study employs the Auto Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) approach to co-integration and VECM based Granger causality approach to estimate both the short-run and long-run relationship and causality among variables. Using the ARDL bounds test, the study finds a long-run co-integrating relationship existing among the variables in the model. The study confirms the existence of a positive and significant impact of technological progress on income inequality. Further, globalization's limited impact reflects two offsetting tendencies; trade globalization is associated with a reduction in income inequality, while financial globalization is related to an increase in inequality. The results of VECM based Granger causality approach further confirm that technological progress, trade, and financial globalization causes income inequality both directly and indirectly through economic growth and inflation. In case of India, the results of this research can significantly facilitate stakeholders and policymakers in devising policies towards effective globalization and technological innovation for inclusive growth.

The Consideration of Progressive Urban Park and The Possibility of Urban Agricultural Park (도시공원 진화상의 비판적 고찰을 통한 도시농업공원의 발전 가능성)

  • Yun, Hee-Jeong;Cho, Mi-Kyoung
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.81-90
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    • 2012
  • Urban parks are progressing but are in chaos in the twenty-first century. Therefore the purposes of this study are to consider critically and classify the new paradigm of urban parks. Urban parks are one of the space products, and progressing aspects can be divided into three parts; supply, demand and market aspects. In the abstract, urban parks' progress represents process, openness or voidness, general and cultural ecology, productivity, experience program, identity or sense of place, carriers of urban regeneration, urban infrastructure, community space, multi-layered activity, active space, communication with urban space, tool of low carbon strategy and consilience. But urban parks have come under increased criticism about the long period development on trees growth, covering open space, limitation of general and cultural ecology, production, activity programs, identity and community space, visible urban regeneration, economic validity, urban sprawl, not using as the low carbon strategy, and finally negative consilience with contiguous fields. We collected these critical consideration about progressing urban parks, and proposed urban agricultural park as one of the alternative urban parks. This is closely connected with sustainable region development, low-carbon society, local food, well-being, Lohas paradigm and amenity of urban life.

A Study on the Effect of the Improvement of Investment Environment with Investment Incentive on National Economy

  • Moon, Jae-Young;Lee, Won-Hee;Choi, Pyeong-Rak;Suh, Yung-Ho
    • International Journal of Quality Innovation
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.129-147
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    • 2008
  • This research is to investigate the effect of the improvement of investment environments with investment incentive on Korean national economy by looking into the foreign investment support system in Korea. To this end, first research model was set up based on our literary study and case study was conducted on 150 foreign companies that were located in industrial complex for foreign companies, received the tax benefit and government subsidization. And it was found that even though the foreign companies were contributing to the national economy in general such as in the area of production, export, employment, development of technology, there was no significant contributory difference between the investment incentive beneficiary and non-beneficiary foreign companies. Therefore it deemed reasonable to reconsider the way Korean government supports foreign companies in Korea and to reinforce foreign companies' relevance to national policy agenda with additional incentives to foreign companies located in comparatively less developed areas. As a way to promote foreign investment, promotion of investment infra such as improvement of follow-up services, openness to foreign investment, industrial deregulations in capital area, revitalization of free economic zone, efficient system to promote foreign investment and the reinforcement of public relations were considered necessary, especially the upgrading of economic structure and the integrated management of domestic and foreign investors deemed necessary for the optimal distribution of the industries.

Estimating the Impact of Trade Cost on Export: A Case Study Vietnam

  • Tu, Mai Thi Cam;Giang, Huynh Thi Thuy
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.5 no.3
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    • pp.43-50
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    • 2018
  • The paper aims to investigate the impact of trade cost on export: A Case Study Vietnam. The study conducts a static linear panel data analysis on annual data covering bilateral export between Vietnam and 70 major importers of Vietnam from 2001 to 2013. The gravity model has been one of the most successful applications in empirical trade. In this paper we apply the gravity model to estimate the impact of trade cost on Vietnamese bilateral export value. The paper uses gravity model to estimate the impact of trade cost on Vietnamese bilateral export value. The empirical results derive from a static linear panel data analysis (fixed effects model) indicates that trade cost plays a crucial role in determining the export value that occurs between Vietnam and trading partners. Besides, population of importing country, trade openness of importing country, gross domestic product of importing country and gross domestic product of Vietnam are also significant determinants of Vietnamese bilateral export value. The main findings indicates that trade cost plays a very important role in the Vietnamese bilateral export performance. This suggests that the Vietnamese government should attempt to improve domestic trade costs to enhance competitiveness and increase export growth sustainably.

Factors Affecting Foreign Direct Investment: Evidence on Tay Ninh Province

  • TRAN, Thinh Quoc;DANG, Tuan Anh;TRAN, Ngoc Anh Thu
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.9
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    • pp.263-269
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    • 2020
  • The purpose of this paper is to examine the impact of consumer price index, infrastructure, human resources, trade openness, and private credit on the attraction of foreign direct investment (FDI) in Tay Ninh province as well as to emphasize the important role of FDI in economic growth of developing areas. The research data was collected from Tay Ninh Statistical Office with 80 samples of a 20-year period from 2000 to 2019. Also, OLS regression method using Eviews software was employed to analyze the data obtained. The findings revealed that human resources, infrastructure and private credit have a positive and significant impact on FDI attraction in Tay Ninh province, while consumer price index was proven to affect FDI attraction negatively. Accordingly, competent authorities of Tay Ninh province should focus on stabilizing prices as well as implementing policies for developing local human resources and attracting high-quality personnel from foreign countries. Tay Ninh province also needs to pay more attention to information technology investment for synchronous development of infrastructure. Moreover, the State Bank of Tay Ninh branch needs to consider more credit sources to provide support packages for businesses, creating a strong basis for establishments to attract FDI for the province's economic development.