• Title/Summary/Keyword: Economic Index

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해외직접 투자와 경제성장의 상호관계에 관한 연구: 카자흐스탄 사례연구 (The Relationship between FDI and Economic Growth: Kazakhstan Case)

  • 장병윤
    • 한국시뮬레이션학회논문지
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    • 제21권1호
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    • pp.19-26
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    • 2012
  • 본 논문은 카자흐스탄의 해외직접투자와 경제성장에 관한 연관관계를 연구한다. 이 연구를 위하여 저자들은 먼서 카자흐스탄의 독립이후로 해외직접투자에 영향을 미친 요인들을 조사하고 그들의 영향정도를 파악한다. 다음으로 일인당 GDP대한 일인당 해외직접투자의 영향을 연구한다. 이러한 연구목적을 달성하기 위하여 1992년부터 2009년 사이의 자료를 World Bank Database에서 수집하여 분석하였다. 자료분석은 중회귀분석, 시계열분석 및 Granger Causality Test를 주로 사용하였다. 연구 결과에 의하면 해외직접투자에 영향을 미치는 요소는 GDP 와 economic freedom index로 나타났으며, 경제성장 또한 해외직접 투자에 영향을 받는 것으로 나타났다. 특별히, 해외직접투자는 GDP 및 economic freedom index와 양의 상관관계가 있었다. 일인당 GDP에 대한 일인당 해외직접투자의 영향은 일인당 해외직접투자 1달러 증가시 일인당 GDP 30.4달러가 증가하는 것으로 나타났다. 본 연구의 결과는 정책결정자들로 하여금 해외투자를 유치하고 경제성장을 촉진하는 정책결정에 유용한 정보를 제공할 것이다.

Nitrogen Harvest Index in Some Varieties of Mulberry, Morus spp.

  • Kumar, Jalaja S.;Chakraborty, Chumki;Sarkar, A.
    • International Journal of Industrial Entomology and Biomaterials
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    • 제5권1호
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    • pp.131-134
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    • 2002
  • Mulberry being the only food of silkworm, Bombyx mori L., is of great economic importance to the silk industry, The success in cocoon production mainly depends on the supply of quality leaves in sufficient quantity. In mulberry, where the economic product is leaf, the uptake of nitrogen from soil is very heavy and high responses to application of nutrients have been reported. Nitrogen supports vegetative growth particularly the leaf biomass. Variation in nitrogen harvest index and other physiological and yield contributing traits were estimated in five mulberry genotypes. Considerable variation was observed for nitrogen harvest index, protein yield per plant and harvest index. The correlation studies indicated the protein yield per plant was significantly correlated with leaf yield, nitrogen content in leaf, nitrogen harvest index and harvest index. The broad sense heritability estimates revealed that harvest index showed highest heritability (88.07%) followed by nitrogen content (82.52%), protein yield (70.28%) and nitrogen harvest index (66.52%).

거시경제변수가 S&P 500 선물지수에 어떤 영향을 미치는가? (How Does Economic News Affect S&P 500 Index Futures?)

  • 소영일;고종문;최원근
    • 재무관리연구
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    • 제13권1호
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    • pp.341-357
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    • 1996
  • Some empirical studies have shown that asset prices respond to announcements of economic news, however, others also have found little evidence. This study assesses how market participants of the S&P 500 Index Futures reacted to the U.S. economic news announcements. For this purpose, using a GARCH (Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity) model, we use several U.S. news variables, its each surprise component and interest rates. We find that some economic news variables affected significantly on the S&P 500 Index Futures. In other words, we find that weekend variable, lagged volatility, and surprise component of trade deficit increased level of volatility. However, interest rate, M1, unemployment announcements caused the variance of the S&P 500 Index Futures to reduce, and each of the surprise component of M1 and trade deficit increased it. The result suggests that resolution of uncertainty, through economic news announcement, while, in some cases, causes market participants to reduce their forecast of volatility, a large difference between the market's forecast and the realization of the series causes the volatility to increase.

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Imported Intermediate Goods and Economic Growth

  • Kim, Kyung-Min
    • Journal of Korea Trade
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    • 제25권8호
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    • pp.25-44
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    • 2021
  • Purpose - This research aims to provide empirical evidence that highlights the importance of imported intermediate goods in long-term economic growth. To this end, this paper develops an index that measures the productivity gains associated with a country's intermediate goods imports using highly disaggregated trade data. Design/methodology - The basic hypothesis is that countries sourcing higher-productivity (or higher-quality) inputs from developed economies derive a larger benefit from foreign R&D. To explore this hypothesis, standard cross-country growth regressions are performed using the highly disaggregated data from the United Nations (UN) Commodity Trade Statistics Database (COMTRADE). To address the endogeneity issue, I apply an instrumental variable (IV) approach. Findings - The results of this study demonstrate that the index predicts subsequent economic growth in middle- and low-income countries. This finding is consistent with previous studies that have argued that developing countries can achieve substantial productivity gains by importing intermediate inputs from developed countries. By contrast, there is no evidence of a significant association between the index and economic growth in high-income countries. Originality/value - This paper contributes to our understanding of the causal relationship between international trade and economic growth. From an economic policy perspective, the results suggest that developing countries with limited technology endowment can boost growth from input-tariff liberalization.

Macro-Economic Factors Affecting the Vietnam Stock Price Index: An Application of the ARDL Model

  • DAO, Hoang Tuan;VU, Le Hang;PHAM, Thanh Lam;NGUYEN, Kim Trang
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제9권5호
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    • pp.285-294
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    • 2022
  • Using the ARDL approach, this study examined the impact of macro factors on Vietnam's stock market in the short and long run from 2010 to 2021. The State Bank of Vietnam and the International Monetary Fund provided time series data for this study. Research results show that in the long run, money supply and exchange rate respectively affect the stock market. The money supply had a positive effect on the VN-Index, while the exchange rate showed the opposite effect. However, the study did not find a relationship between world oil price and interest rates on VN-Index in the long run. On the other hand, in the short term, there are relationships between variables; specifically, interest rates and exchange rates have a negative impact on the VN-Index, while the world oil price and the fluctuation of money supply M2 of the previous one and two months showed an impact in the same direction on this index. The differences in the regression results on the impact of exchange rate and oil price on the VN-Index compared to previous studies come from the characteristics of Vietnam's stock market, with the large capitalization of companies in the oil and gas sector, and the structure of Vietnam's economy with export heavily depends on FDI sector.

품질보증 이슈 조기감지 시스템의 경제성 평가 (Economic Evaluation of Early Detection System for Warranty Issues)

  • 정성환
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제40권1호
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    • pp.39-48
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    • 2012
  • An early detection system for warranty issues periodically collects customers' claim data and automatically reports alarms about emerging issues based on statistical algorithms. It helps companies to reduce an issue definition time and save the handling cost of warranty claims. This paper provides an evaluation framework to validate the economic effect of an early detection system project. For this purpose, we present economical index of a project with explicit formulas such as ROI(return on investment), PP(payback period), NPV(net present value), PI(profitability index) and IRR(internal rate of return) and analyze the sensitivities of the index according to the variation of project input parameters. The proposed analysis framework is expected to be used for evaluating economic values of various system integration projects.

Fractal Structure of the Stock Markets of Leading Asian Countries

  • Gunay, Samet
    • East Asian Economic Review
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    • 제18권4호
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    • pp.367-394
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    • 2014
  • In this study, we examined the fractal structure of the Nikkei225, HangSeng, Shanghai Stock Exchange and Straits Times Index of Singapore. Empirical analysis was performed via non-parametric, semi-parametric long memory tests and also fractal dimension calculations. In order to avoid spurious long memory features, besides the Detrended Fluctuations Analysis (DFA), we also used Smith's (2005) modified GPH method. As for fractal dimension calculations, they were conducted via Box-Counting and Variation (p=1) tests. According to the results, while there is no long memory property in log returns of any index, we found evidence for long memory properties in the volatility of the HangSeng, the Shanghai Stock Exchange and the Straits Times Index. However, we could not find any sign of long memory in the volatility of Nikkei225 index using either the DFA or modified GPH test. Fractal dimension analysis also demonstrated that all raw index prices have fractal structure properties except for the Nikkei225 index. These findings showed that the Nikkei225 index has the most efficient market properties among these markets.

중소기업수출경기지수 개발에 관한 연구 (A Study on Developing SMEEBI(Small and Medium-sized Enterprise Export Business Index))

  • 맹철규
    • 한국중재학회지:중재연구
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    • 제32권1호
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    • pp.93-110
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    • 2022
  • Korea, a resource-scarce country, has been undergoing export-led economic growth in the form of processing and intermediary trade for the past several decades. In Korea, which has an export-led economic structure centered on processing trade, the export economy precedes the domestic economy, so Korea's monthly export performance has been used as an important indicator of economic indicators in itself. In recent decades, small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs), which account for 99% of the total number of domestic enterprises, account for about 35% of exports as of 2021. In this study, from the viewpoint of emphasizing the export contribution of SMEs, the Small and Medium-sized Enterprise Export Business Index is developed based on the actual export performance of SMEs, through which this paper could present alternative index differentiated from the existing Business Survey Indexes.

The Impact of Asian Economic Policy Uncertainty : Evidence from Korean Housing Market

  • Jeon, Ji-Hong
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제5권2호
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    • pp.43-51
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    • 2018
  • We study the impact of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) of Asian four countries such as Korea, Japan, Hong Kong, and China on housing market returns in Korea. Also, we document the relationship between the EPU index of those four countries and the housing market including macroeconomic indicators in Korea. The EPU index of those four countries has significantly a negative effect on the housing purchase price index, housing lease price index in Korea. The EPU index in Korea and Japan has significantly a negative effect on the CPI. The EPU index in only Japan has significantly a negative effect on the PPI. The EPU index in Hong Kong and Korea has significantly a negative effect but the EPU index in China significantly has a positive effect on the stock price index in construction industry. The EPU index in only Korea has significantly a negative effect the stock price index in banking industry. This study shows the EPU index of the Korea has the negative relationships on the housing market economy rather than other countries by VECM. And this study has an important evidence of the spillover of several macroeconomic indicators in Korea for the EPU index of the Asian four countries.

경제심리지수의 유용성 및 개선방안에 관한 연구 (A study on the improvement of the economic sentiment index for the Korean economy)

  • 김치호;김태윤;박인호;안재준
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제26권6호
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    • pp.1335-1351
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    • 2015
  • 경기상황에 대한 기업과 소비자들의 인식을 효과적으로 파악하기 위해 기업경기실사지수 (BSI)와 소비자동향지수 (CSI)를 편제하고 있는 한국은행은 2012년부터 이 두 지수를 합성한 경제심리지수 (ESI)를 추가로 개발하여 발표하고 있다. ESI는 그 유용성을 인정받고 있으나 지수의 예측력 측면에서 개선의 여지가 있는 것으로 나타났다. 본 연구에서는 ESI에 대해 유용성 평가 작업을 실시하고 그 결과를 토대로 현행 ESI의 편제방식의 개선 또는 보완 방법을 모색하였다. 실증분석 결과 ESI 구성요소의 최적 가중치 탐색과정에서 슬라이딩 윈도우 방법을 이용한 동적 최적 가중치 탐색은 기존 ESI의 구성방식을 보완하거나 또는 경제상황을 고려하여 ESI 구성항목들의 가중치를 부여하고자 할 때 매우 유용한 방법이라고 판단할 수 있었다.