• 제목/요약/키워드: Economic Crisis

검색결과 989건 처리시간 0.027초

The Effect of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Stock Market Returns in Emerging Economies: Empirical Evidence from Panel Data

  • GNAHE, Franck Edouard;ASHRAF, Junaid;HUANG, Fei-Ming
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제9권4호
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    • pp.191-196
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    • 2022
  • From several socioeconomic perspectives, the present health crisis can be connected to the 2008 financial and economic catastrophe. Governments worldwide are working hard to keep the markets in check, as evidence suggests that the health crisis may soon become an economic crisis. This paper aims to analyze the effect of COVID-19 on the selected stock market. Using a panel of daily COVID-19 confirmed cases and deaths and the stock market from 22 developing countries, we exploit an oil price as a shock to the stock market and examine the effect of COVID-19 on the slowdown of the stock market. We find a negative and significant impact of COVID-19 on the stock market in the first stage till April. However, there is no net influence on the stock market downturn when we extend the period. However, further study suggests that the outbreak's negative influence on the selected stock market has diminished and has begun to decline as of mid-April. As a result of the COVID-19 effect on the chosen stock, our findings imply that the government in the chosen market should consider a regulatory mechanism to reduce the stock market slowdown induced by the pandemic COVID-19.

코로나바이러스감염증-19 (COVID-19)과 항공신체검사 (COVID-19 and Aviation Medical Examination)

  • 권영환
    • 항공우주의학회지
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    • 제30권3호
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    • pp.86-90
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    • 2020
  • Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has had a significant impact on our society as a whole. The COVID-19 pandemic is not only a health crisis, it is also an economic, social and humanitarian crisis. Considering the dramatic global economic and social impact that the crisis has engendered, the aviation system is standing on the doorstep of rapid transformation. In particular, the impact on the aviation and travel industries is enormous. Air travel to most countries has been suspended and blocked. Looking at Korea's current situation, COVID-19 has wholly changed the aviation industry. As COVID-19 spreads around the world, countries have come up with aviation safety measures. Infectious disease safety measures were established to protect passengers and crew members, and countries with collapsed medical systems extended the validity period for aviation medical examinations. In Korea, on August 11, the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport provided guidance on medical measures related to COVID-19 through an official letter of "Notification of cautions for pilots and air traffic control officers (ATCO) when COVID-19 is confirmed". Overseas countries such as the United States and the United Kingdom have announced regulations for aviation medical examination regulations in relation to COVID-19, and have set standards for returning to aviation after COVID-19 is confirmed. In this paper, we would like to investigate the regulations for aviation medical examination related to COVID-19.

Qualitative Content Analysis: Solutions for Tourism Industry to Overcome the Crisis in a Post-Covid 19 era

  • LEE, Soo-Hee
    • 산경연구논집
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    • 제13권9호
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    • pp.27-36
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    • 2022
  • Purpose: The coronavirus pandemic has affected the tourism industry in a big way. The travel industry suffered intense damage from the pandemic and procedures acquainted to containing its spread because the pandemic outbreak has led to a decline in the number of tourists and a change in their behavior. At this point, this research is to investigate adequate solutions for tourism industry to overcome the crisis in a post-Covid 19 era. Research design, data and methodology: The current author gathered data from each included study to analyze and summarize the evidence when conducting a literature analysis. This stage involves gathering and reviewing intricate texts databases for the meta-analysis. Results: The current author found total five solutions from numerous literature contents, suggesting how to overcome the crisis in a post-Covid era for tourism industry. Solutions as follows, (1) Drawing beginning illustrations, (2) Introducing Government Backing Programs, (3) Increasing Promotion of Tourism Destinations, (4) Enhancing Safety and Security Measures, and (5) Improving Infrastructure and Facilities. Conclusions: This research suggests that although the global economic recession leads to reduced demand and intense competition from other sectors, the tourism industry will be well positioned to weather these challenges if practitioners of tourism organizations follow five solutions of this research.

경제위기 이후 한국경제의 성장: 성장회계 및 성장회귀 분석 (Understanding Post-Crisis Growth of the Korean Economy: Growth Accounting and Cross-Country Regressions)

  • 한진희;신석하
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • 제30권1호
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    • pp.33-70
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    • 2008
  • 본 연구는 경제위기 이후 한국경제의 성장 둔화의 요인을 살펴보고, 국제비교적 관점에서 위기 이후의 성장 성과를 평가해 보았다. 수량변수 및 가격변수를 이용한 성장회계 분석 결과는 경제위기 이후 급격한 성장 둔화가 주로 노동자 1인당 자본축적의 둔화에 의해 설명되는 것으로 나타났다. 반면, 경제위기 이후 2001~05년 기간 중 총요소생산성 증가율은 경제 위기 이전인 1991~95년 시기에 비해 다소 높은 것으로 분석되었다. 한편 외환위기 이후 한국경제의 성장 둔화는 전 세계적 성장 둔화라는 시대적 요인과 동아시아 지역 고유의 요인에 대부분 기인한 것으로 분석되었다. 특히 자본축적의 둔화는 동아시아 지역 고유 요인에 주로 기인한 것으로 분석되었다. 국제비교적 관점에서 볼 때 전반적으로 위기 이후 한국경제의 성장 성과는 생산성 향상 및 자본축적이라는 측면에서 부정적으로만 평가하기는 어려운 것으로 보인다.

선진국 수입수요가 우리나라 수출에 미치는 영향 (Import Demand in Developed Economies & Korean Exports)

  • 최문정;김경근
    • 경제분석
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    • 제25권1호
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    • pp.34-65
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    • 2019
  • 본 연구에서는 선진국의 수입수요가 우리나라의 대선진국 수출에 미치는 영향이 글로벌 금융위기 전후로 어떻게 변화하였는지 살펴보았다. 교역상대국의 수입수요를 측정하기 위해 총수요 부문별(민간소비, 공공소비, 투자, 수출)로 상이한 직간접 수입집약도를 보정한 총수요 (Import Intensity-Adjusted Demand) 변수를 산출하여 사용하였다. G7국가의 수입수요가 우리나라의 대G7 수출에 미친 영향을 동태패널 모형으로 분석한 결과, 우리나라의 대G7 수출은 상대국의 수입수요에 대해 글로벌 금융위기까지는 탄력적이었던 반면 위기 이후에는 비탄력적으로 변한 것으로 나타났다. 수입수요를 세분화하여 민간소비, 공공소비, 투자 및 수출로 나누어 분석한 결과, 위기 기간 중 G7국가의 민간소비 감소가 우리나라의 대G7 수출을 유의하게 감소시켰으며, 위기 이후에는 공공소비 증가가 우리나라 수출을 유의하게 증가시킨 것으로 분석되었다. G7국가의 투자가 우리나라 수출을 증가시키는 영향은 위기 이후 약화된 반면 G7국가의 수출이 우리나라의 대G7 수출을 증가시키는 영향은 위기 전후 모두 유의하게 나타났다. 이러한 결과는 향후 선진국의 내수경기 변화가 우리나라의 대선진국 수출에 미치는 영향이 예전에 비해 제한적일 수 있음을 시사하는 한편 보호무역주의 대두 및 세계교역량 둔화에 따른 선진국 수출감소 우려가 우리나라 수출에 부정적 영향을 미칠 가능성에 유의해야함을 시사한다.

FPD Industry, Challenge for Value Creation

  • Chang, Won-Kie
    • 한국정보디스플레이학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국정보디스플레이학회 2009년도 9th International Meeting on Information Display
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    • pp.1-1
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    • 2009
  • Recently, the FPD industry has faced the limit in market growth due to lack of new growth engine as a replacement of television. With sluggish market demand deepened by global economic crisis and persistent concern over panel oversupply, growth of the panel market has sharply slowed down, and profitability has been eroded. This also has tremendous effect on related industries including component, material and machine industries, spreading a sense of crisis across the whole FPD industry. Under this circumstance, for the FPD industry to take off once again, all involved in the FPD industry must cooperate and come up with innovative ideas, and identify the driving force to realize turbo-charged growth.

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The Impact of the Covid-19 Crisis on the 21st General Election in Korea

  • LEE, EURI
    • 산경연구논집
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    • 제12권12호
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    • pp.25-33
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    • 2021
  • Purpose: This paper estimates the impact of the epidemic crisis on election outcomes through investigating the effect of Covid19 crisis on election results of 21st General Election held in April 15th 2020 in Korea. Research design, data and methodology: This study employs Ordinary Least Square (OLS) method using district-level data from Seoul and Gyeonggi province available at National election data in Korea. Results: Despite the current crisis in Korea, Covid-19 has had positive effects on voter turnout on average, after controlling for other factors. On the other hand, the effect of Covid-19 on the voter turnout was negative in districts with a larger aging population and higher health insurance premiums. In addition, Covid-19 negatively impacted vote shares for the incumbent party, while its rival party saw gains in their votes. Conclusion: The effect of Covid-19 election outcomes in Korea is distinct from other countries due to the nationwide acknowledgment of the Korean government's achievement in managing the epidemic. This implies that the crisis management ability of a government is crucial in gaining support for an incumbent party in future elections. Countries facing upcoming elections need to implement acceptable Covid-19 restriction policies as well as economic support for compensation to reap similar benefits.

The Effect of Digitalization and Virtual Leadership on Organizational Innovation During the COVID-19 Pandemic Crisis: A Case Study in Indonesia

  • HUTAJULU, Richard Surungan;SUSITA, Dewi;ELIYANA, Anis
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제8권10호
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    • pp.57-64
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    • 2021
  • In the last decade, the effect of digitalization was the most cited issue in economic discourse, especially since technological advances, automation, and artificial intelligence are the key to the future discussions. Unemployment is one of the most important and continuous debates, especially in times of crisis due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Therefore, this study aims to analyze the influence of leadership style in innovation organizations to deal with the crisis. In this study, a non-probability purposive sampling method was used. A total of 377 respondents were from LinkedIn social media in Indonesia, with the criteria of employees who have worked for at least 6 years. The structural equation model was analyzed with Amos 25.0. The results show that virtual, servant, and transformational leadership influence employee creativity. Moreover, employee creativity strongly influences organizational innovation; therefore, a new model was found to meet the challenges during the COVID-19 pandemic crisis, which is leadership. Therefore, these results are useful for managers to overcome challenges during the COVID-19 pandemic crisis to manage employee creativity for a better innovative organization and make science a reference for finding solutions to the global wave of unemployment in the revolution 5.0 era.

금융위기 이후 투기 거래가 원자재 가격에 미친 영향 (The Impacts of Speculative Trading on Commodity Prices After the Global Financial Crisis)

  • 김화년
    • 한국산학기술학회논문지
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    • 제17권5호
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    • pp.179-185
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    • 2016
  • 본 연구에서는 금융위기 이후 투기적 성향의 거래가 원자재 가격 상승의 주요 요인으로 작용했음을 구조적 벡터자기회귀(SVAR: Structural Vector Auto Regressive) 모형을 이용해 정량적으로 증명했다. SVAR 모형을 추정 후 충격반응 분석과 분산분해 결과에서 금융위기 이후 투기 거래가 원자재 가격에 미친 영향력이 금융위기 전 보다 3~6배 커진 것으로 분석되었다. 또한 금융위기 이후 급증한 글로벌 유동성도 원자재 가격에 영향을 준 것으로 나타났다. 금융위기 이전에는 산업생산 등 수요와 경기 요인이 원자재 가격에 크게 영향을 주었으나 금융위기 이후에는 그 영향력이 감소했다. 따라서 금융위기 이후 원자재 가격 반등은 유동성 확대에 따른 투기 거래 증가에 영향을 받은 것으로 판단할 수 있다. 미국은 2015년 12월 금리 인상을 시작했고 향후 금융 긴축 기조를 지속할 것으로 전망되어 글로벌 유동성이 감소할 가능성이 커지고 있다. 금융위기 이후 원자재 가격이 금융 변수의 영향을 크게 받았기 때문에 향후 유동성이 감소한다면 투기 거래가 위축되고 원자재 가격의 하락 요인으로 작용할 것으로 예상된다.

Assessing the Contributions of Non-bank Financial Institutions (NBFI) and ELS Issuance to Systemic Risk in Korea

  • JONG SOO HONG
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • 제46권1호
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    • pp.21-51
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    • 2024
  • Since the Global Financial Crisis of 2008-2009, the importance of nonbank financial institutions in macroprudential management has increased significantly. Consequently, major countries and international financial institutions have been actively discussing and implementing macroprudential supervision and regulation for non-bank financial institutions (NBFI). In this context, this paper analyzes the systemic risk of both banks and non-bank sectors (securities firms and insurance companies) in South Korea over different time periods. Using the widely recognized ΔCoVaR methodology for measuring systemic risk, the analysis reveals that systemic risk increased substantially across all three sectors (banks, securities firms, and insurance companies) during the Global Financial Crisis, the European Sovereign Debt Crisis, and the COVID-19 pandemic. Although the banking sector exhibited relatively high systemic risk compared to the securities and insurance sectors, the relative differences in systemic risk varied across the different crisis periods. Notably, during the margin call crisis in March of 2020, the gap in systemic risk between the banking and securities sectors decreased significantly compared to that during both the Global Financial Crisis and the European Sovereign Debt Crisis, indicating that securities firms had a more substantial impact on risk in the overall financial system during this period. Furthermore, I analyze the impact of the issuance of equity-linked securities (ELS) by financial institutions on systemic risk, as measured by ΔCoVaR, finding that an increase in the outstanding balance of ELS issuance by financial institutions had an impact on increasing ΔCoVaR during the three crisis periods. These findings underscore the growing importance of non-bank financial institutions in relation to South Korea's macroprudential management and supervision. To address this evolving landscape, enhanced monitoring and regulatory measures focusing on non-bank systemic risk are essential components of maintaining financial stability in the country.