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Education, Industry 4.0 and Earnings: Evidence from Provincial-Level Data of Vietnam

  • TU, Anh Thuy;CHU, Phuong Thi Mai;PHAM, Truong Xuan;DO, Ngoc Minh
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.675-684
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    • 2021
  • This paper aims to analyze factors influencing earnings of workers in Vietnam using provincial-level data from 2016 to 2018. We show the important determinants of earnings of workers of more than 15 years old including working hour, labor force, life expectancy, education, regulation measured by Provincial Competitiveness Index (PCI) and especially Industry 4.0, our major depart from literature proxies by government expenditure on science and technology, number of phone lines, and number of internet users. Working hours are a typical measurement of quantity of labor supplied. Labor force represents market size from the supply side. Life expectancy measures the health of laborers, a physical quality measure of workers. PCI stands for institutional status of the locality. Two most important factors of our interest are education, representing qualification of workers, and Industry 4.0, reflecting the new working environment of workers. By estimating a robust standard error fixed-effect model, we have evidence that all factors are significant in explaining earnings of Vietnamese workers. Education and IR4.0 play an important role in earnings of workers of Vietnam. Results also provide an estimation of Vietnam's labor supply in the context of Industry 4.0. In addition, findings contribute to explain the income discrepancy among Vietnamese provinces.

Envisaging Macroeconomics Antecedent Effect on Stock Market Return in India

  • Sivarethinamohan, R;ASAAD, Zeravan Abdulmuhsen;MARANE, Bayar Mohamed Rasheed;Sujatha, S
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.8
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    • pp.311-324
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    • 2021
  • Investors have increasingly become interested in macroeconomic antecedents in order to better understand the investment environment and estimate the scope of profitable investment in equity markets. This study endeavors to examine the interdependency between the macroeconomic antecedents (international oil price (COP), Domestic gold price (GP), Rupee-dollar exchange rates (ER), Real interest rates (RIR), consumer price indices (CPI)), and the BSE Sensex and Nifty 50 index return. The data is converted into a natural logarithm for keeping it normal as well as for reducing the problem of heteroscedasticity. Monthly time series data from January 1992 to July 2019 is extracted from the Reserve Bank of India database with the application of financial Econometrics. Breusch-Godfrey serial correlation LM test for removal of autocorrelation, Breusch-Pagan-Godfrey test for removal of heteroscedasticity, Cointegration test and VECM test for testing cointegration between macroeconomic factors and market returns,] are employed to fit regression model. The Indian market returns are stable and positive but show intense volatility. When the series is stationary after the first difference, heteroskedasticity and serial correlation are not present. Different forecast accuracy measures point out macroeconomics can forecast future market returns of the Indian stock market. The step-by-step econometric tests show the long-run affiliation among macroeconomic antecedents.

The Contribution of Innovation on Productivity and Growth in Korea (기술혁신이 생산성과 경제성장에 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, Byung-Woo
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.72-90
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    • 2008
  • What has been the contribution of industrial innovation to economic growth? Typically, the issue has been approached with growth-accounting methods augmented to include a "stock of knowledge". An independent estimate of the rate of return to R&D is found in order to impute patents granted to the accumulation of knowledge. Griliches(1973) then uses a regression approach to assess the effect of an R&D variable on the computed TFP growth rate. The regression coefficient on the R&D variable would provide an estimate of the social rate of return to R&D. The related studies tend to show high social rates of return to R&D, typically in a range of 20 to 40 % per year. We need to provide multiple equation dynamic system for productivity and innovation in Korean economy in state space form. A wide range of time series models, including the classical linear regression model, can be written and estimated as special cases of a state space specification. State space models have been applied in the econometrics literature to model unobserved variables like productivity. Estimation produces the following results. Considering the goodness of fit, we can see that the evidence is strongly in favor of the range $0.120{\sim}0.135$ for the elasticity of TFP to R&D stock in the period between 1970's and the early 2000's.

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Forecast and Demand Analysis of Oyster as Kimchi's Ingredients (김장굴의 수요 분석 및 예측)

  • Nam, Jong-Oh;Nho, Seung-Guk
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.42 no.2
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    • pp.69-83
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    • 2011
  • This paper estimates demand functions of oyster as Kimchi's ingredients of capital area, other areas excluding a capital area, and a whole area in Korea to forecast its demand quantities in 2011~2015. To estimate oyster demand function, this paper uses pooled data produced from Korean housewives over 30 years old in 2009 and 2010. Also, this paper adopts several econometrics methods such as Ordinary Least Squares and Feasible Generalized Least Squares. First of all, to choose appropriate variables of oyster demand functions by area, this paper carries out model's specification with joint significance test. Secondly, to remedy heteroscedasticity with pooled data, this paper attempts residual plotting between estimated squared residuals and estimated dependent variable and then, if it happens, undertakes White test to care the problem. Thirdly, to test multicollinearity between variables with pooled data, this paper checks correlations between variables by area. In this analysis, oyster demand functions of a capital area and a whole area need price of the oyster, price of the cabbage for Gimjang, and income as independent variables. The function on other areas excluding a capital area only needs price of the oyster and income as ones. In addition, the oyster demand function of a whole area needed White test to care a heteroscedasticity problem and demand functions of the other two regions did not have the problem. Thus, first model was estimated by FGLS and second two models were carried out by OLS. The results suggest that oyster demand quantities per a household as Kimchi's ingredients are going to slightly increase in a capital area and a whole area, but slightly decrease in other areas excluding a capital area in 2011~2015. Also, the results show that oyster demand quantities as kimchi's ingredients for total household targeting housewives over 30 years old are going to slightly increase in three areas in 2011~2015.

I-TGARCH Models and Persistent Volatilities with Applications to Time Series in Korea (지속-변동성을 가진 비대칭 TGARCH 모형을 이용한 국내금융시계열 분석)

  • Hong, S.Y.;Choi, S.M.;Park, J.A.;Baek, J.S.;Hwang, S.Y.
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.605-614
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    • 2009
  • TGARCH models characterized by asymmetric volatilities have been useful for analyzing various time series in financial econometrics. We are concerned with persistent volatility in the TGARCH context. Park et al. (2009) introduced I-TGARCH process exhibiting a certain persistency in volatility. This article applies I-TGARCH model to various financial time series in Korea and it is obtained that I-TGARCH provides a better fit than competing models.

Korean Exchange Rate Regime Change and Its Impact on Inflation in Comparison to Japan and Australia (한국 환율제도의 변화가 국내물가상승에 미치는 영향: 일본 및 호주와의 비교분석)

  • Lee, Byung-Joo
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.193-218
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    • 2006
  • This paper examines the macroeconomic structural differences of the free floating exchange rate regime and the managed float exchange rate regime focusing on the Korean economy, and compares it to the two benchmark economies, Japan and Australia. Korea's shift to the free floating exchange rate regime from the managed float exchange rate regime came after the 1997 economic crisis. Korea's exchange rate policy provides a unique opportunity to study the different behaviors or roles, if any, of managed float and free floating exchange rate regimes. Based on a simple monetary model, we find that the exchange rates of Korea are more sensitive to the economic fundamentals under the free floating regime than under the managed float regime. Impulse response analysis shows that exchange rate pass-through into domestic variables, especially inflation rate, has a bigger short-term impact under the floating regime than under the managed regime. This finding is consistent with the view that the managed (or fixed) regime provides the domestic price stability necessary for the economic growth for the developing countries.

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Spatial Regression Analysis of Factors Affecting the Spatial Accessibility of the Public Libraries in Busan (공간회귀분석을 이용한 부산지역 공공도서관 접근성 영향 요인 분석)

  • Koo, Bon Jin;Chang, Durk Hyun
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Library and Information Science
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    • v.55 no.4
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    • pp.67-87
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    • 2021
  • Public library accessibility directly affects library usage, and the disproportionate distribution of accessibility is a decisive factor limiting the equitable provision of library services. In this regard, this study analyzed the spatial accessibility of public libraries in Busan and identified the factors affecting accessibility of public libraries using spatial regression analysis. As a results of the analysis, the accessibility of public libraries in the Busan showed large deviations by region. Also, spatial distribution of public libraries had no correlation with the settled population and use of public transportation, and location of public libraries was inefficient, in terms of social equity. The results of this study will assist to understand the spatial accessibility of public libraries in Busan, to identify factors that affect the accessibility. Moreover, this study is expected to be utilized as fundamental data for releasing disparities of the spatial accessibility and selecting new location of public library in Busan.

Predicting claim size in the auto insurance with relative error: a panel data approach (상대오차예측을 이용한 자동차 보험의 손해액 예측: 패널자료를 이용한 연구)

  • Park, Heungsun
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.34 no.5
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    • pp.697-710
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    • 2021
  • Relative error prediction is preferred over ordinary prediction methods when relative/percentile errors are regarded as important, especially in econometrics, software engineering and government official statistics. The relative error prediction techniques have been developed in linear/nonlinear regression, nonparametric regression using kernel regression smoother, and stationary time series models. However, random effect models have not been used in relative error prediction. The purpose of this article is to extend relative error prediction to some of generalized linear mixed model (GLMM) with panel data, which is the random effect models based on gamma, lognormal, or inverse gaussian distribution. For better understanding, the real auto insurance data is used to predict the claim size, and the best predictor and the best relative error predictor are comparatively illustrated.

Factors in Spatial Clustering and Regional Disparity of Public Libraries (공공도서관의 공간적 집적과 지역 간 격차 요인 분석)

  • Durk Hyun, Chang;Bon Jin, Koo
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Library and Information Science
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    • v.56 no.4
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    • pp.377-397
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    • 2022
  • The number of public libraries in Korea has been increasing. However, the focus was on quantitative growth, while it did not have much interests in whether its growth trend are have deviations by region, and if that is a fact, what factors caused such a disparity. For this reason, this study analyzes spatial distribution of public libraries in Korea and its affecting factors of regional gap. As a result, public libraries are constantly distributing in the metropolitan area and the distribution of public libraries showed deviations by region. The results of analysis regarding the determinants of public libraries distribution, rate of population growth, the number of businesses and financial independence rate are found to have a positive effect but local taxes per capita are not. Especially economic power of region and financial ability of a local government are key factors of regional disparity. It shows empirically that the supply of public libraries has been determined by the convenience of suppliers.

Development of an impact Identification Program in Mathematical Education Research Using Machine Learning and Network (기계학습과 네트워크를 이용한 수학교육 연구의 영향력 판별 프로그램 개발)

  • Oh, Se Jun;Kwon, Oh Nam
    • Communications of Mathematical Education
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    • v.37 no.1
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    • pp.21-45
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    • 2023
  • This study presents a machine learning program designed to identify impactful papers in the field of mathematics education. To achieve this objective, we examined the impact of papers from a scientific econometrics perspective, developed a mathematics education research network, and defined the impact of mathematics education research using PageRank, a network centrality index. We developed a machine learning model to determine the impact of mathematics education research and identified the journals with the highest percentage of impactful articles to be the Journal for Research in Mathematics Education (25.66%), Educational Studies in Mathematics (22.12%), Zentralblatt für Didaktik der Mathematik (8.46%), Journal of Mathematics Teacher Education (5.8%), and Journal of Mathematical Behaviour (5.51%). The results of the machine learning program were similar to the findings of previous studies that were read and evaluated qualitatively by experts in mathematics education. Significantly, the AI-assisted impact evaluation of mathematics education research, which typically requires significant human resources and time, was carried out efficiently in this study.