• Title/Summary/Keyword: Early prediction

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Compressive Basic Creep Prediction in Early-Age Concrete (초기재령 콘크리트의 압축 기본크리프 예측)

  • 김성훈;송하원;변근수
    • Proceedings of the Korea Concrete Institute Conference
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    • 1999.10a
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    • pp.285-288
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    • 1999
  • Creep is a major parameter to represent long-term behavior of concrete structures concerning serviceability and durability. The effect of creep is recently taking account into crack resistance analysis of early-age concrete concerning durability evaluation. Since existing creep prediction models were proposed to predict creep for hardened concrete, most of them cannot consider effectively the information on microstructure formation and hydration developed in the early-age concrete. In this study, creep tests for early-age concrete made of the type I cement and the type V cement are carried out respectively and creep prediction models are evaluated for the prediction of creep behavior in early-age concrete. A creep prediction model is modified for the prediction of creep in early-age concrete and also verified by comparing prediction results with results of creep tests on early-age concrete.

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A performance improvement of neural network for predicting defect size of steam generator tube using early stopping (조기학습정지를 이용한 원전 SG세관 결함크기 예측 신경회로망의 성능 향상)

  • Jo, Nam-Hoon
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.57 no.11
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    • pp.2095-2101
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    • 2008
  • In this paper, we consider a performance improvement of neural network for predicting defect size of steam generator tube using early stopping. Usually, neural network is trained until MSE becomes less than a prescribed error goal. The smaller the error goal, the greater the prediction performance for the trained data. However, as the error goal is decreased, an over fitting is likely to start during supervised training of a neural network, which usually deteriorates the generalization performance. We propose that, for the prediction of an axisymmetric defect size, early stopping can be used to avoid the over-fitting. Through various experiments on the axisymmetric defect samples, we found that the difference bet ween the prediction error of neural network based on early stopping and that of ideal neural network is reasonably small. This indicates that the error goal used for neural network training for the prediction of defect size can be efficiently selected by early stopping.

Early Software Quality Prediction Using Support Vector Machine (Support Vector Machine을 이용한 초기 소프트웨어 품질 예측)

  • Hong, Euy-Seok
    • Journal of Information Technology Services
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.235-245
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    • 2011
  • Early criticality prediction models that determine whether a design entity is fault-prone or not are becoming more and more important as software development projects are getting larger. Effective predictions can reduce the system development cost and improve software quality by identifying trouble-spots at early phases and proper allocation of effort and resources. Many prediction models have been proposed using statistical and machine learning methods. This paper builds a prediction model using Support Vector Machine(SVM) which is one of the most popular modern classification methods and compares its prediction performance with a well-known prediction model, BackPropagation neural network Model(BPM). SVM is known to generalize well even in high dimensional spaces under small training data conditions. In prediction performance evaluation experiments, dimensionality reduction techniques for data set are not used because the dimension of input data is too small. Experimental results show that the prediction performance of SVM model is slightly better than that of BPM and polynomial kernel function achieves better performance than other SVM kernel functions.

Texture-based Early Decision of Block Sizes for the Complexity Reduction of HEVC Intra-Encoding in the Mobile Environment (모바일 환경에서 HEVC 인트라 인코딩의 계산 복잡도 감소를 위한 영상 특성 기반의 블록 후보 조기 결정 방법)

  • Park, Seung-Won;Rhee, Chae Eun
    • IEMEK Journal of Embedded Systems and Applications
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.235-241
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    • 2016
  • Compared to the former H.264 standard, the number of the prediction modes has highly increased in HEVC intra prediction. Compression efficiency and accurate prediction are significantly improved. However, the computational complexity increases as well. To solve this problem, this paper proposes the new scheme where not only prediction modes but also block partition candidate are early chosen. Compared to the original intra prediction in HEVC, the proposed scheme achieves about 38% reduction in processing cycles with a marginal loss in compression efficiency.

Early Warning System for Inventory Management using Prediction Model and EOQ Algorithm

  • Majapahit, Sali Alas;Hwang, Mintae
    • Journal of information and communication convergence engineering
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.221-227
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    • 2021
  • An early warning system was developed to help identify stock status as early as possible. For performance to improve, there needs to be a feature to predict the amount of stock that must be provided and a feature to estimate when to buy goods. This research was conducted to improve the inventory early warning system and optimize the Reminder Block's performance in minimum stock settings. The models used in this study are the single exponential smoothing (SES) method for prediction and the economic order quantity (EOQ) model for determining the quantity. The research was conducted by analyzing the Reminder Block in the early warning system, identifying data needs, and implementing the SES and EOQ mathematical models into the Reminder Block. This research proposes a new Reminder Block that has been added to the SES and EOQ models. It is hoped that this study will help in obtaining accurate information about the time and quantity of repurchases for efficient inventory management.

Early Start Branch Prediction to Resolve Prediction Delay (분기 명령어의 조기 예측을 통한 예측지연시간 문제 해결)

  • Kwak, Jong-Wook;Kim, Ju-Hwan
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartA
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    • v.16A no.5
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    • pp.347-356
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    • 2009
  • Precise branch prediction is a critical factor in the IPC Improvement of modern microprocessor architectures. In addition to the branch prediction accuracy, branch prediction delay have a profound impact on overall system performance as well. However, it tends to be overlooked when the architects design the branch predictor. To tolerate branch prediction delay, this paper proposes Early Start Prediction (ESP) technique. The proposed solution dynamically identifies the start instruction of basic block, called as Basic Block Start Address (BB_SA), and the solution uses BB_SA when predicting the branch direction, instead of branch instruction address itself. The performance of the proposed scheme can be further improved by combining short interval hiding technique between BB_SA and branch instruction. The simulation result shows that the proposed solution hides prediction latency, with providing same level of prediction accuracy compared to the conventional predictors. Furthermore, the combination with short interval hiding technique provides a substantial IPC improvement of up to 10.1%, and the IPC is actually same with ideal branch predictor, regardless of branch predictor configurations, such as clock frequency, delay model, and PHT size.

Biomarkers and genetic factors for early prediction of pre-eclampsia

  • Kim, Hannah;Shim, Sung Shin
    • Journal of Genetic Medicine
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.49-55
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    • 2017
  • Pre-eclampsia is known to cause considerable maternal morbidity and mortality. Thus, many studies have examined the etiopathogenesis of pre-eclampsia. While many pathophysiological factors related to pre-eclampsia have been identified, the precise etiopathogenesis of pre-eclampsia remains unclear. Numerous studies have identified factors for the early prediction for pre-eclampsia to lead to preparation and closer observation on pre-eclampsia when it occurs. This article reviews on current studies of biomarkers and genetic factors related to pre-eclampsia, which may be important for developing strategies for early prediction of pre-eclampsia.

Modification of Creep-Prediction Equation of Concrete utilizing Short-term Creep Test (단기 크리프 시험 결과를 이용한 콘크리트의 크리프 예측시의 수정)

  • 송영철;송하원;변근주
    • Journal of the Korea Concrete Institute
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.69-78
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    • 2000
  • Creep of concrete is the most dominating factor affecting time-dependent deformations of concrete structures. Especially, creep deformation for design and construction in prestressed concrete structures should be predicted accurately because of its close relation with the loss in prestree of prestressed concrete structures. Existing creep-prediction models for special applications contain several impractical factors such as the lack ok accuracy, the requirement of long-term test and the lack of versatility for change in material properties, ets., which should be improved. In order to improve those drawbacks, a methodology to modify the creep-prediction equation specified in current Korean concrete structures design standard (KCI-99), which underestimates creep of concrete and does not consider change of condition in mixture design, is proposed. In this study, short-term creep tests were carried out for early-age concrete within 28 days after loading and their test results on influencing factors in the equation are analysed. Then, the prediction equation was modified by using the early-age creep test results. The modified prediction equation was verified by comparing their results with results obtained from long-term creep test.

Prediction Principle and System Structure for the Detection of Incipient Electrical Fire (전기화재 예지원리 및 징후검출 시스템 구조)

  • 김창종
    • The Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Illuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.71-77
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    • 1995
  • Electrical fire in residential, commercial, and industrial areas occupies 40 percent of overall fire accidents as of the year of 1994. The causes of most electrical fires were studied and, based on this investigation, the principle of the early detection or prediction of the electrical fires is developed. The basic principle is to early detect electrical arcs or sparks caused by faulty connections and insulation failures. the structure of the prediction system based on microcontroller technique is presented.

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PRISM method for a system reliability prediction in early design phase (시스템 신뢰도 예측에서 PRISM 활용 방안)

  • Song J.Y.;Lee S.W.;Jang J.S.
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Precision Engineering Conference
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    • 2006.05a
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    • pp.351-352
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    • 2006
  • There are many methodologies fur doing analysis of system's reliability in early design stage. Among the methods, PRISM is, as compared to MIL-HDBK-217, a newly developed technology but not easy to use. Because PRISM provides models that predict a part failure rate and field database, called EPRD and NPRD that can be combined with prediction models. This paper presents some capabilities of the prediction models in PRISM and usability of EPRD and NPRD database in system level reliability prediction.

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