• Title/Summary/Keyword: Early Warning

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Early warning of hazard for pipelines by acoustic recognition using principal component analysis and one-class support vector machines

  • Wan, Chunfeng;Mita, Akira
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • v.6 no.4
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    • pp.405-421
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    • 2010
  • This paper proposes a method for early warning of hazard for pipelines. Many pipelines transport dangerous contents so that any damage incurred might lead to catastrophic consequences. However, most of these damages are usually a result of surrounding third-party activities, mainly the constructions. In order to prevent accidents and disasters, detection of potential hazards from third-party activities is indispensable. This paper focuses on recognizing the running of construction machines because they indicate the activity of the constructions. Acoustic information is applied for the recognition and a novel pipeline monitoring approach is proposed. Principal Component Analysis (PCA) is applied. The obtained Eigenvalues are regarded as the special signature and thus used for building feature vectors. One-class Support Vector Machine (SVM) is used for the classifier. The denoising ability of PCA can make it robust to noise interference, while the powerful classifying ability of SVM can provide good recognition results. Some related issues such as standardization are also studied and discussed. On-site experiments are conducted and results prove the effectiveness of the proposed early warning method. Thus the possible hazards can be prevented and the integrity of pipelines can be ensured.

Study on Development of Insulation Degradation Diagnosis System for Electrical System (전기기기 절연열화진단 시스템개발에 관한 고찰)

  • Kim, Yi-Gon;Yoo, Kwen-Jong;Kim, Seo-Young;Cho, Yong-Sub;Bak, Bong-Seo;Choi, Si-Young;Sim, Sang-Uk
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2001.11c
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    • pp.231-235
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    • 2001
  • Insulation aging diagnosis system provides early warning regarding electrical equipment defect. Early warning is very important in that it can avoid great losses resulting from unexpected shutdown of the production line. Since relations of insulation aging and partial discharge dynamics are non-linear, it is very difficult to provide early warning in an electrical equipment. In this paper, we propose the design method of insulation aging diagnosis system that use a magnetic wave and acoustic signal to diagnoses an electrical equipment. Proposed system measures the partial discharge on-line from DAS(Data Acquisition System) and acquires 2D Patterns from analyzing it. For fettering the noise contained in sensor signals we used ICA algorithms. Using this data design of the neuro-fuzzy model that diagnoses an electrical equipment is investigated. Validity of the new method is asserted by numerical simulation.

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A Fuzzy Based Early Warning System to Predict Banking Distress on Selected Asia-Pacific Countries

  • Farajnejad, Elham;Lau, Wee-Yeap
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.39-49
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    • 2017
  • This study develops an early warning system (EWS) to prevent the banking crisis. The proposed system incorporates both the perspective of crises and fundamental characteristics of the banking system in each economy. A fuzzy logic method with data from 1990-2009 is employed to construct the EWS of banking crisis based on 21 pre-determined variables from the aspect of total economy, financial and banking sectors. Our results show: Firstly, South Korea recorded higher probability to have a banking crisis in 1997 as there was large foreign debt in dollars. Secondly, China, Australia and New Zealand banking systems appear to be vulnerable to the crisis in 2007. The surge of China export, FDIs and booming stock market were signs of a heated economy. Australia with high commodity prices was also vulnerable to crisis. Thirdly, Australia, China, Japan and New Zealand banking systems appear to be exposed to the higher chance of a crisis in 2010. Japan with deflation coupled with expensive yen did not augur well for its export. Overall, the findings show that in Asian Financial Crisis 1997/98 and Global Financial Crisis 2008/09, many economies are exposed to a higher probability of having the crisis and this shows an urgent need of having surveillance in these economies.

Status of Agrometeorology Monitoring Network for Weather Risk Management: Focused on RDA of Korea (위험기상 대응 농업기상관측 네트워크의 현황: 농촌진흥청을 중심으로)

  • Shim, Kyo Moon;Kim, Yong Seok;Jeong, Myung Pyo;Choi, In Tae;So, Kyu Ho
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.55-60
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    • 2015
  • Agro-Meteorological Information Service (AMIS) network has been established since 2001 by Rural Development Administration (RDA) in Korea, and has provided access to current and historical weather data with useful information for agricultural activities. AMIS network includes 158 automated weather stations located mostly in farm region, with planning to increase by 200 stations until 2017. Agrometeorological information is disseminated via the web site (http://weather.rda.go.kr) to growers, researchers, and extension service officials. Our services will give enhanced information from observation data (temperature, precipitation, etc.) to application information, such as drought index, agro-climatic map, and early warning service. AMIS network of RDA will help the implementation of an early warning service for weather risk management.

Agrometeorological Early Warning System: A Service Infrastructure for Climate-Smart Agriculture (농업기상 조기경보체계: 기후변화-기상이변 대응서비스의 출발점)

  • Yun, Jin I.
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.403-417
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    • 2014
  • Increased frequency of climate extremes is another face of climate change confronted by humans, resulting in catastrophic losses in agriculture. While climate extremes take place on many scales, impacts are experienced locally and mitigation tools are a function of local conditions. To address this, agrometeorological early warning systems must be place and location based, incorporating the climate, crop and land attributes at the appropriate scale. Existing services often lack site-specific information on adverse weather and countermeasures relevant to farming activities. Warnings on chronic long term effects of adverse weather or combined effects of two or more weather elements are seldom provided, either. This lecture discusses a field-specific early warning system implemented on a catchment scale agrometeorological service, by which volunteer farmers are provided with face-to-face disaster warnings along with relevant countermeasures. The products are based on core techniques such as scaling down of weather information to a field level and the crop specific risk assessment. Likelihood of a disaster is evaluated by the relative position of current risk on the standardized normal distribution from climatological normal year prepared for 840 catchments in South Korea. A validation study has begun with a 4-year plan for implementing an operational service in Seomjin River Basin, which accommodates over 60,000 farms and orchards. Diverse experiences obtained through this study will certainly be useful in planning and developing the nation-wide disaster early warning system for agricultural sector.

An Operational Site-specific Early Warning of Weather Hazards for Farmers and Extension Workers in a Mountainous Watershed (산간집수역의 농민과 농촌지도사를 위한 농업기상재해 조기경보 현업서비스)

  • Shin, Yong Soon;Park, Joo Hyun;Kim, Seong Ki;Kang, Wee Soo;Shim, Kyo Moon;Park, Eun Woo
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.290-305
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    • 2015
  • To improve the practicality of 'Early warning service about agrometeorological weather hazards' and operation efficiency to deliver site-specific about a lot of land unit possibility of weather hazard occurrence with the suitable counterplan to farmer, site-specific early warning service system that was built at the National Academy of Agricultural Science in Korea passed some of the error supplementation and service's stabilization stage during operation period for trial services from October 2014 to March 2015. Field service system covered about 470 volunteered farmer and 950 lots in Seomjin river downstream areas (part of Gwangyang-si, Hadong-gun, Gurye-gun). This system (Two track system) consists of early warning system (a lot of land unit) to inform farmer by individual text message and dispersal prior alert system that can see the jurisdiction's situation of local government. Individual text message about Seomjin river downstream that is our first study area was launched since $2^{nd}$ March 2015, and online site (http://www.agmet.kr) started business since April 2015. Service offers currently information of farm weather, farm weather hazard, nationwide weather risk and special weather alert, also our system will consistently expand the service target area and contents and improve the service quality until 2017 when our study finished. To prevent crops damage that was caused by crisis situation like farm weather and weather damage offer prior alert about agrometeorological weather harzard to volunteered farmer, thereby our study expects to help the reduction of farm's damage caused by weather derivatives.

Phonology and Minimum Temperature as Dual Determinants of Late Frost Risk at Vineyards (발아시기 정밀추정에 의한 포도 만상해 경보방법 개선)

  • Jung, Jea-Eun;Yun, Jin-I.
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.28-35
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    • 2006
  • An accurate prediction of budburst in grapevines is indispensable for vineyard frost warning system operations in spring because cold tolerance depends heavily on phonology. However, existing frost warning systems utilize only daily minimum temperature forecasts since there is no way to estimate the site-specific phonology of grapevines. A budburst estimation model based on thermal time was used to project budburst dates of two grapevine cultivars (Kyoho and Campbell Early), and advisories were issued depending on phonology as well as temperature. A 'warning' is issued if two conditions are met: the forecasted daily minimum temperature falls below $-1.5^{\circ}C$ and the estimated phonology is within the budburst period. A 'watch' is issued for a temperature range of -1.5 to $+1.5^{\circ}C$ with the same phonology condition. Validation experiments were done at 8 vineyards in Anseong in spring 2005, and the results showed a good agreement with the observations. This method was applied to the climatological normal year (1971-2000) to determine sites with high frost risk at a 30 m grid cell resolution. Among 608,585 grid cells constituting Anseong, 1,059 cells were identified as high risk for growing Kyoho and 2,788 cells for Campbell Early.

Agrometeorological Early Warning System: A Service Infrastructure for Climate-Smart Agriculture (농업기상 조기경보시스템 설계)

  • Yun, Jin I.
    • Proceedings of The Korean Society of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology Conference
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    • 2014.10a
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    • pp.25-48
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    • 2014
  • Increased frequency of climate extremes is another face of climate change confronted by humans, resulting in catastrophic losses in agriculture. While climate extremes take place on many scales, impacts are experienced locally and mitigation tools are a function of local conditions. To address this, agrometeorological early warning systems must be place and location based, incorporating the climate, crop and land attributes at the appropriate scale. Existing services often lack site-specific information on adverse weather and countermeasures relevant to farming activities. Warnings on chronic long term effects of adverse weather or combined effects of two or more weather elements are seldom provided, either. This lecture discusses a field-specific early warning system implemented on a catchment scale agrometeorological service, by which volunteer farmers are provided with face-to-face disaster warnings along with relevant countermeasures. The products are based on core techniques such as scaling down of weather information to a field level and the crop specific risk assessment. Likelihood of a disaster is evaluated by the relative position of current risk on the standardized normal distribution from climatological normal year prepared for 840 catchments in South Korea. A validation study has begun with a 4-year plan for implementing an operational service in Seomjin River Basin, which accommodates over 60,000 farms and orchards. Diverse experiences obtained through this study will certainly be useful in planning and developing the nation-wide disaster early warning system for agricultural sector.

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Relationships between Knowledge about Early Detection, Cancer Risk Perception and Cancer Screening Tests in the General Public Aged 40 and Over (암 조기발견 지식.암발생 위험성 지각과 암 조기검진 수검 여부와의 관계: 40세 이상 일반인 대상으로)

  • Yang, Young-Hee
    • Asian Oncology Nursing
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.52-60
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    • 2012
  • Purpose: This study is to determine knowledge about early detection and risk perception of cancer according to taking cancer screening tests in the general population. Methods: The participants were 151 people aged 40 years or older. A questionnaire consisted of knowledge about early detection (warning signs, cancer screening methods, general knowledge for early detection), cancer risk perception and history of cancer screening during past 2 years. Results: The percentages of correct answers were 64.7% in knowledge about warning signs, 73.7% in knowledge of cancer screening tests and 80.1% in general knowledge for early detection. Participants had the highest knowledge about screening methods for stomach cancer and the lowest for liver and colon cancer. The level of risk perception was medium. The participants who participated in cancer screening showed lower risk perception than those who did not. There was no significant relationship between knowledge and performance of cancer screening. The primary reason for not participating in cancer screening was patient's perception of their own health. Conclusion: These results suggest that cancer risk perception can affect the performance of cancer screening and we need to study how to handle this problem. Additionally screening programs should focus on liver cancer and colon cancer.

An intelligent early warning system for forecasting abnormal investment trends of foreign investors (외국인 투자자의 비정상적 중·장기매도성향패턴예측을 위한 지능형 조기경보시스템 구축)

  • Oh, Kyong Joo;Kim, Young Min
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.223-233
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    • 2013
  • At local emerging stock markets such as Korea, Hong Kong, Singapore and Taiwan, foreign investors (FI) are recognized as important investment community due to the globalization and deregulation of financial markets. Therefore, it is required to monitor the behavior of FI against a sudden enormous selling stocks for the concerned local governments or private and institutional investors. The main aim of this study is to propose an early warning system (EWS) which purposes issuing a warning signal against the possible massive selling stocks of FI at the market. For this, we suggest machine learning algorithm which predicts the behavior of FI by forecasting future conditions. This study is empirically done for the Korean stock market.